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Strength of Schedule Ratings
:: 2014 :: 2013

 

Strength of Schedule (SOS) Ratings are a function of the FEI ratings of a given team's opponents and the location (home/away/neutral) of each game. These ratings are calculated from the top down, with more significance given to the toughest opponents faced. The overall SOS ratings below represent the likelihood than an elite team (two standard deviations better than average) would go undefeated against the given team's entire schedule. Stronger schedules have smaller SOS ratings.

Additional schedule strength ratings are provided across each of the following dimensions, along with the national SOS ranking in each column. SOS E1 is the likelihood that an elite team would lose one game or fewer against the given team's schedule. SOS E2 is the likelihood that an elite team would lose two games or fewer. SOS G0 is the likelihood that a good team (one st. deviation better than average) would go undefeated against the given team's schedule. SOS G1 is the likelihood that a good team would lose one game or fewer. SOS G2 is the likelihood that a good team would lose two games or fewer. SOS G3 is the likelihood that a good team would lose three games or fewer. SOS G4 is the likelihood that a good team would lose four games or fewer.

Andrew Garcia Phillips of Chartball.com has developed an interactive visualization of 2014 college football strength of schedule based on FEI ratings and the SOS data provided here. The data and visualization tool will be updated weekly throughout the season.

 

 

2014 Strength of Schedule (updated through 10/18/14)

 

Rk Team W-L SOS   Rk E1   Rk E2   Rk G0   Rk G1   Rk G2   Rk G3   Rk G4
1 Colorado 2-5 .019   1 .115   1 .358   1 .000   1 .000   1 .002   1 .028   1 .120
2 Stanford 3-3 .022   2 .140   2 .387   1 .000   1 .000   2 .007   3 .052   5 .178
3 Washington State 1-5 .030   3 .157   3 .423   1 .000   6 .002   3 .008   2 .051   3 .155
4 Arizona 5-1 .031   6 .198   7 .493   1 .000   10 .003   6 .012   8 .067   7 .230
5 USC 5-2 .034   4 .171   4 .446   1 .000   7 .002   4 .011   4 .052   2 .149
6 UCLA 5-2 .040   8 .215   6 .471   1 .000   5 .001   7 .013   5 .057   4 .168
7 Utah 4-1 .040   5 .186   5 .451   1 .000   8 .002   9 .016   7 .066   6 .225
8 California 3-3 .043   7 .210   8 .521   1 .000   1 .000   10 .019   11 .096   12 .273
9 Washington 4-2 .049   10 .262   10 .576   1 .000   11 .003   15 .033   13 .131   13 .346
10 Auburn 5-1 .053   9 .250   15 .604   1 .000   14 .004   14 .032   18 .169   17 .416
11 Arizona State 4-1 .056   15 .286   13 .586   34 .002   22 .007   12 .026   12 .099   9 .242
12 Virginia 3-3 .059   13 .277   11 .576   25 .001   9 .002   5 .012   6 .066   8 .240
13 Oklahoma State 4-2 .059   14 .281   12 .576   1 .000   16 .005   16 .035   17 .157   19 .426
14 North Carolina 2-4 .063   11 .268   9 .574   1 .000   1 .000   8 .016   9 .081   10 .244
15 Miami 3-3 .067   12 .268   14 .589   1 .000   12 .003   11 .021   10 .090   11 .270
 
Rk Team W-L SOS   Rk E1   Rk E2   Rk G0   Rk G1   Rk G2   Rk G3   Rk G4
16 Oregon State 3-2 .068   16 .304   16 .627   1 .000   18 .006   18 .038   14 .135   14 .355
17 Kansas 1-5 .071   18 .319   18 .658   1 .000   15 .004   17 .035   15 .148   16 .410
18 Oregon 5-1 .074   17 .307   17 .648   1 .000   13 .003   13 .030   16 .154   15 .373
19 Tennessee 2-4 .076   20 .344   20 .678   27 .001   24 .008   26 .070   27 .256   27 .540
20 Kansas State 4-1 .086   21 .347   23 .711   35 .002   23 .007   23 .061   29 .259   29 .567
21 Arkansas 2-4 .087   19 .342   19 .676   26 .001   21 .007   22 .057   22 .198   24 .474
22 Clemson 4-2 .094   27 .421   28 .749   1 .000   33 .016   32 .091   31 .282   34 .605
23 Boston College 3-3 .094   22 .373   21 .691   1 .000   17 .005   20 .050   21 .196   23 .469
24 Georgia Tech 4-2 .096   23 .376   22 .705   1 .000   19 .007   21 .057   23 .203   18 .424
25 Texas A&M 4-3 .098   24 .391   24 .724   1 .000   26 .010   34 .096   33 .286   32 .583
26 Notre Dame 6-1 .102   29 .421   29 .751   28 .001   29 .015   28 .075   28 .256   28 .548
27 Wake Forest 1-5 .106   25 .398   25 .726   1 .000   35 .018   29 .078   26 .241   26 .505
28 Syracuse 2-4 .107   28 .421   26 .740   1 .000   25 .009   25 .066   20 .192   20 .432
29 Texas 3-4 .108   30 .429   27 .742   1 .000   27 .012   19 .047   19 .181   21 .434
30 Texas Tech 2-4 .115   31 .439   33 .770   36 .002   31 .015   31 .089   35 .300   30 .573
 
Rk Team W-L SOS   Rk E1   Rk E2   Rk G0   Rk G1   Rk G2   Rk G3   Rk G4
31 Florida 3-3 .121   33 .452   35 .786   37 .002   36 .024   43 .164   41 .423   43 .737
32 Louisville 5-2 .121   34 .461   34 .773   31 .001   34 .017   30 .086   36 .333   36 .619
33 Fresno State 2-5 .125   36 .469   37 .787   40 .003   38 .029   48 .193   49 .501   56 .813
34 Virginia Tech 3-3 .128   26 .420   31 .753   30 .001   30 .015   24 .065   24 .213   22 .464
35 Vanderbilt 1-5 .132   37 .481   38 .792   32 .001   40 .031   40 .155   46 .457   48 .780
36 Michigan State 5-1 .132   40 .507   46 .854   44 .004   47 .043   50 .221   53 .528   53 .802
37 Wyoming 2-4 .133   46 .541   50 .872   46 .004   50 .049   53 .234   59 .587   60 .847
38 Iowa State 2-4 .134   32 .452   30 .752   29 .001   28 .014   35 .098   32 .285   35 .606
39 West Virginia 4-2 .136   35 .463   32 .764   1 .000   20 .007   27 .073   25 .218   25 .479
40 Michigan 3-4 .139   38 .485   36 .786   38 .002   32 .015   33 .094   30 .281   33 .587
41 South Carolina 3-3 .144   42 .522   44 .838   41 .003   41 .033   44 .172   45 .455   45 .749
42 Rutgers 4-2 .149   39 .487   39 .810   33 .001   39 .030   37 .144   40 .395   39 .670
43 Alabama 6-1 .157   41 .507   40 .811   42 .004   44 .038   42 .162   39 .393   40 .692
44 North Carolina State 3-4 .165   44 .529   43 .827   43 .004   45 .038   38 .145   37 .381   38 .666
45 Kentucky 4-2 .176   43 .528   41 .813   49 .005   43 .038   41 .161   42 .424   41 .714
 
Rk Team W-L SOS   Rk E1   Rk E2   Rk G0   Rk G1   Rk G2   Rk G3   Rk G4
46 Pittsburgh 3-3 .179   45 .541   42 .817   39 .002   37 .028   36 .111   34 .297   31 .574
47 Oklahoma 5-2 .183   49 .565   48 .862   50 .005   46 .042   45 .179   43 .426   44 .742
48 Mississippi State 6-0 .186   51 .589   55 .896   48 .004   53 .060   61 .306   66 .674   71 .910
49 Minnesota 5-1 .186   47 .558   47 .857   45 .004   49 .048   51 .223   52 .525   51 .795
50 Baylor 5-1 .188   48 .561   45 .850   54 .007   52 .055   49 .220   50 .510   52 .800
51 LSU 5-2 .191   50 .568   52 .876   47 .004   48 .044   47 .191   47 .466   47 .763
52 Illinois 2-4 .213   53 .613   56 .896   52 .006   54 .060   52 .228   51 .514   49 .789
53 Georgia 6-1 .225   52 .610   49 .869   55 .007   51 .051   46 .179   44 .436   42 .730
54 TCU 4-1 .227   57 .641   57 .900   60 .012   57 .066   55 .241   55 .536   54 .806
55 Florida State 6-0 .229   55 .624   51 .875   51 .005   42 .037   39 .153   38 .387   37 .649
56 Indiana 2-4 .230   54 .614   53 .890   56 .007   55 .062   56 .258   54 .534   50 .794
57 Florida Atlantic 3-4 .234   58 .645   67 .933   69 .018   69 .122   71 .428   75 .771   81 .951
58 Duke 5-1 .237   56 .636   54 .893   57 .008   58 .081   58 .265   60 .591   59 .838
59 SMU 0-6 .238   59 .654   61 .922   58 .008   62 .097   64 .339   69 .699   66 .885
60 Memphis 2-3 .254   63 .693   86 .972   71 .018   76 .179   87 .633   93 .922   93 .990
 
Rk Team W-L SOS   Rk E1   Rk E2   Rk G0   Rk G1   Rk G2   Rk G3   Rk G4
61 Nevada 3-3 .265   66 .705   70 .942   68 .015   70 .127   70 .389   70 .722   72 .915
62 Northwestern 2-4 .265   64 .693   64 .928   64 .013   60 .088   57 .264   57 .559   58 .819
63 UNLV 1-5 .266   67 .708   65 .931   67 .015   64 .107   66 .358   65 .664   67 .891
64 Mississippi 7-0 .270   60 .655   60 .915   59 .011   56 .062   54 .237   48 .495   46 .762
65 Tulsa 1-6 .274   62 .688   59 .914   61 .012   63 .098   62 .318   62 .638   65 .877
66 Southern Mississippi 2-4 .276   69 .713   68 .934   62 .012   72 .138   79 .491   82 .841   83 .969
67 Purdue 2-5 .283   71 .732   69 .935   53 .006   59 .083   59 .270   58 .565   57 .814
68 San Jose State 2-3 .285   61 .679   62 .925   66 .014   66 .112   63 .327   63 .656   61 .864
69 Louisiana Tech 4-2 .287   77 .775   87 .973   74 .021   83 .213   94 .703   97 .944   100 .995
70 Tulane 1-5 .289   65 .695   58 .909   65 .014   65 .111   65 .351   64 .662   63 .870
71 Boise State 5-2 .290   70 .715   66 .931   73 .021   67 .112   67 .371   67 .678   68 .891
72 Ohio State 5-1 .291   68 .712   63 .927   75 .023   71 .133   68 .373   61 .630   64 .873
73 Utah State 3-3 .328   72 .741   73 .948   77 .024   75 .178   73 .462   76 .773   76 .940
74 Troy 1-5 .344   88 .832   91 .978   86 .050   93 .342   98 .755   99 .957   109 .998
75 Iowa 4-2 .350   76 .774   71 .945   70 .018   68 .118   69 .376   68 .681   62 .869
 
Rk Team W-L SOS   Rk E1   Rk E2   Rk G0   Rk G1   Rk G2   Rk G3   Rk G4
76 Maryland 4-2 .353   73 .749   72 .947   63 .012   61 .094   60 .293   56 .546   55 .807
77 New Mexico 2-5 .354   74 .768   76 .960   72 .019   73 .174   77 .478   80 .793   79 .948
78 Cincinnati 3-3 .356   75 .773   75 .958   76 .023   82 .203   80 .500   78 .784   80 .948
79 Colorado State 5-1 .362   81 .806   84 .971   81 .033   84 .220   82 .528   81 .808   77 .943
80 Nebraska 5-1 .375   83 .811   83 .971   79 .029   74 .176   74 .463   73 .746   74 .921
81 Missouri 4-2 .386   78 .779   78 .962   78 .026   79 .192   78 .480   77 .775   75 .934
82 Louisiana Lafayette 2-3 .388   94 .863   103 .991   100 .079   105 .497   115 .901   115 .987   111 .998
83 Kent State 1-6 .389   85 .826   88 .975   92 .058   100 .424   105 .843   108 .979   107 .997
84 Central Florida 3-2 .390   80 .803   74 .953   89 .056   86 .258   84 .614   84 .863   84 .969
85 Rice 3-3 .398   86 .828   89 .975   91 .057   89 .304   90 .665   94 .927   94 .990
86 Wisconsin 3-2 .415   79 .801   77 .961   80 .031   78 .188   76 .472   74 .746   73 .915
87 San Diego State 3-3 .419   84 .821   79 .964   87 .052   87 .280   83 .569   83 .854   82 .966
88 Georgia State 0-6 .421   99 .892   96 .982   97 .076   101 .426   104 .825   106 .970   102 .996
89 UAB 3-3 .421   93 .857   98 .984   94 .068   90 .314   92 .691   92 .914   91 .986
90 BYU 4-3 .422   82 .810   81 .966   84 .044   80 .193   75 .465   71 .728   69 .895
 
Rk Team W-L SOS   Rk E1   Rk E2   Rk G0   Rk G1   Rk G2   Rk G3   Rk G4
91 Middle Tennessee 4-3 .427   90 .835   80 .966   93 .062   88 .289   86 .632   88 .891   88 .982
92 Navy 2-4 .428   87 .831   90 .977   83 .039   85 .250   85 .624   86 .881   86 .974
93 East Carolina 4-1 .434   102 .894   104 .991   90 .056   97 .370   97 .725   96 .939   98 .994
94 Hawaii 1-5 .440   91 .845   93 .981   82 .036   81 .197   81 .521   79 .792   78 .944
95 Penn State 4-2 .464   89 .833   82 .969   85 .044   77 .185   72 .458   72 .732   70 .902
96 Akron 3-3 .465   95 .866   97 .983   101 .086   99 .406   100 .785   105 .969   104 .996
97 Connecticut 0-5 .473   92 .853   85 .972   96 .072   96 .344   93 .696   89 .901   89 .986
98 UTSA 2-5 .483   97 .886   95 .982   88 .052   95 .344   96 .719   91 .911   90 .986
99 UTEP 3-3 .507   104 .916   102 .990   102 .086   102 .440   101 .789   102 .962   99 .994
100 Western Michigan 3-3 .518   106 .934   112 .997   105 .118   109 .566   108 .869   111 .982   116 .999
101 Air Force 4-2 .534   100 .892   94 .981   98 .077   94 .343   91 .689   90 .907   92 .988
102 Temple 3-2 .535   98 .890   92 .980   95 .071   91 .328   88 .652   85 .878   87 .979
103 Florida International 2-4 .540   103 .905   99 .985   104 .101   98 .375   95 .709   95 .932   95 .991
104 South Alabama 4-2 .540   101 .893   100 .987   107 .142   104 .477   102 .801   100 .958   96 .992
105 South Florida 2-4 .542   96 .880   101 .990   99 .077   92 .336   89 .655   87 .887   85 .971
 
Rk Team W-L SOS   Rk E1   Rk E2   Rk G0   Rk G1   Rk G2   Rk G3   Rk G4
106 Eastern Michigan 1-5 .551   105 .930   107 .993   103 .089   103 .445   99 .782   98 .956   97 .993
107 Georgia Southern 4-2 .566   111 .941   110 .996   111 .173   118 .665   120 .938   118 .989   113 .998
108 Ohio 3-4 .574   112 .943   118 .998   112 .174   110 .597   112 .889   117 .989   112 .998
109 Western Kentucky 2-4 .578   110 .940   109 .995   110 .168   108 .555   106 .857   103 .969   105 .997
110 Arkansas State 3-2 .582   108 .936   106 .992   114 .201   115 .635   117 .930   120 .991   110 .998
111 Houston 3-3 .586   109 .936   108 .994   108 .151   107 .530   107 .869   107 .973   121 1.000
112 Army 2-4 .603   114 .947   113 .997   109 .163   114 .615   113 .893   114 .985   118 .999
113 Massachusetts 2-6 .621   107 .935   105 .991   106 .139   106 .507   103 .823   101 .961   101 .995
114 Ball State 1-4 .676   120 .968   116 .997   119 .269   119 .678   118 .930   116 .988   119 .999
115 Toledo 3-3 .678   115 .955   114 .997   117 .224   117 .648   116 .905   113 .982   117 .999
116 Buffalo 1-4 .683   118 .961   124 .998   124 .364   128 .880   128 .987   128 .999   121 1.000
117 Louisiana Monroe 3-3 .684   116 .957   111 .996   116 .221   112 .607   114 .895   110 .981   108 .997
118 Northern Illinois 4-2 .689   113 .943   117 .997   115 .210   111 .607   109 .874   112 .982   103 .996
119 Miami (OH) 1-6 .706   117 .957   119 .998   113 .200   113 .611   111 .885   104 .969   106 .997
120 Old Dominion 2-4 .711   122 .976   120 .998   118 .262   120 .702   119 .933   121 .993   114 .999
 
Rk Team W-L SOS   Rk E1   Rk E2   Rk G0   Rk G1   Rk G2   Rk G3   Rk G4
121 New Mexico State 1-6 .728   119 .966   115 .997   123 .342   123 .787   123 .955   123 .993   121 1.000
122 Bowling Green 4-3 .762   121 .974   127 1.000   120 .276   116 .636   110 .883   109 .979   115 .999
123 Appalachian State 1-4 .771   123 .979   121 .998   125 .393   125 .817   124 .966   127 .998   121 1.000
124 Idaho 1-6 .800   125 .981   123 .998   126 .411   124 .815   126 .969   125 .997   120 .999
125 North Texas 1-5 .811   126 .983   126 .999   122 .335   121 .733   122 .945   119 .990   121 1.000
126 Central Michigan 3-4 .819   124 .979   122 .998   121 .334   122 .749   121 .943   122 .993   121 1.000
127 Texas State 2-3 .840   128 .990   127 1.000   128 .522   127 .866   125 .967   124 .996   121 1.000
128 Marshall 6-0 .845   127 .989   125 .999   127 .467   126 .837   127 .969   126 .997   121 1.000