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Strength of Schedule Ratings
:: 2014 :: 2013

 

Strength of Schedule (SOS) Ratings are a function of the FEI ratings of a given team's opponents and the location (home/away/neutral) of each game. These ratings are calculated from the top down, with more significance given to the toughest opponents faced. The overall SOS ratings below represent the likelihood than an elite team (two standard deviations better than average) would go undefeated against the given team's entire schedule. Stronger schedules have smaller SOS ratings.

Additional schedule strength ratings are provided across each of the following dimensions, along with the national SOS ranking in each column. SOS E1 is the likelihood that an elite team would lose one game or fewer against the given team's schedule. SOS E2 is the likelihood that an elite team would lose two games or fewer. SOS G0 is the likelihood that a good team (one st. deviation better than average) would go undefeated against the given team's schedule. SOS G1 is the likelihood that a good team would lose one game or fewer. SOS G2 is the likelihood that a good team would lose two games or fewer. SOS G3 is the likelihood that a good team would lose three games or fewer. SOS G4 is the likelihood that a good team would lose four games or fewer.

Andrew Garcia Phillips of Chartball.com has developed an interactive visualization of 2014 college football strength of schedule based on FEI ratings and the SOS data provided here. The data and visualization tool will be updated weekly throughout the season.

 

 

2014 Strength of Schedule (updated through 11/22/14)

 

Rk Team W-L SOS   Rk E1   Rk E2   Rk G0   Rk G1   Rk G2   Rk G3   Rk G4
1 Auburn 7-3 .027   1 .175   1 .454   1 .000   1 .000   1 .011   1 .073   1 .260
2 Stanford 5-5 .041   4 .223   6 .555   1 .000   3 .001   4 .022   3 .106   5 .299
3 Texas A&M 6-4 .041   2 .215   5 .533   1 .000   8 .005   5 .024   5 .113   6 .332
4 Colorado 2-9 .042   3 .215   3 .523   1 .000   1 .000   3 .018   4 .107   3 .283
5 Arkansas 5-5 .049   6 .230   4 .525   1 .000   15 .008   6 .029   6 .121   8 .345
6 Virginia 4-6 .050   5 .227   2 .522   19 .001   5 .003   2 .017   2 .095   2 .271
7 Florida 5-4 .057   10 .293   13 .642   20 .001   20 .012   18 .060   27 .274   33 .604
8 Tennessee 4-6 .060   8 .283   9 .615   1 .000   6 .004   12 .042   14 .193   17 .495
9 Clemson 7-3 .062   11 .309   11 .634   1 .000   12 .006   19 .064   16 .208   18 .500
10 LSU 6-4 .063   7 .278   7 .602   1 .000   4 .002   8 .033   8 .134   12 .386
11 Arizona 9-2 .063   15 .333   19 .689   25 .001   10 .005   14 .050   17 .214   22 .510
12 Miami 5-5 .068   9 .290   10 .625   1 .000   7 .004   9 .034   9 .136   7 .335
13 Utah 6-4 .069   14 .315   14 .649   21 .001   16 .008   10 .034   10 .147   13 .410
14 USC 7-4 .075   13 .314   12 .638   1 .000   13 .006   13 .043   11 .158   9 .366
15 Oklahoma State 4-6 .076   17 .346   20 .698   41 .003   28 .017   22 .076   24 .253   28 .565
 
Rk Team W-L SOS   Rk E1   Rk E2   Rk G0   Rk G1   Rk G2   Rk G3   Rk G4
16 Washington 6-5 .078   20 .357   22 .718   26 .001   19 .011   21 .074   26 .271   26 .546
17 UCLA 9-2 .079   12 .313   8 .608   1 .000   11 .006   7 .031   7 .124   4 .291
18 Washington State 2-8 .083   16 .343   15 .654   1 .000   9 .005   11 .041   13 .176   10 .380
19 California 4-6 .084   19 .354   18 .687   24 .001   21 .012   15 .050   15 .198   14 .450
20 Kentucky 4-6 .092   21 .362   17 .677   23 .001   31 .021   28 .090   23 .239   21 .501
21 Mississippi State 9-1 .093   25 .415   27 .760   36 .002   30 .021   43 .144   44 .397   49 .738
22 North Carolina 5-5 .095   18 .347   16 .663   22 .001   17 .010   16 .053   12 .163   11 .381
23 Alabama 9-1 .103   22 .363   21 .700   1 .000   25 .014   25 .079   18 .220   15 .468
24 Mississippi 7-3 .104   26 .416   23 .739   1 .000   26 .014   17 .058   20 .227   19 .500
25 Kansas 2-8 .105   24 .408   24 .739   35 .002   27 .015   27 .089   30 .293   31 .594
26 Vanderbilt 2-8 .106   23 .407   25 .755   48 .004   34 .022   30 .107   34 .330   37 .638
27 Kansas State 7-2 .114   28 .445   30 .775   28 .001   43 .030   40 .139   46 .406   50 .739
28 Notre Dame 7-4 .119   31 .455   32 .780   42 .003   24 .014   20 .068   22 .238   25 .534
29 Georgia Tech 8-2 .122   29 .446   29 .767   37 .002   22 .012   24 .078   25 .261   24 .523
30 Virginia Tech 4-6 .123   33 .458   26 .759   1 .000   18 .011   26 .083   19 .227   16 .471
 
Rk Team W-L SOS   Rk E1   Rk E2   Rk G0   Rk G1   Rk G2   Rk G3   Rk G4
31 Wake Forest 2-8 .126   27 .441   31 .778   1 .000   23 .013   29 .094   31 .299   32 .596
32 Arizona State 8-2 .132   35 .471   33 .780   1 .000   14 .007   23 .078   21 .229   20 .501
33 Georgia 8-2 .134   30 .446   28 .761   27 .001   35 .022   31 .107   28 .287   23 .520
34 Oregon State 4-6 .136   34 .468   40 .803   30 .001   33 .021   35 .118   35 .331   30 .587
35 West Virginia 5-5 .136   41 .498   44 .822   38 .002   37 .023   32 .113   38 .354   40 .667
36 North Carolina State 5-5 .141   32 .457   35 .790   44 .003   40 .026   34 .115   40 .372   38 .660
37 South Carolina 5-5 .147   37 .484   38 .796   51 .006   42 .030   45 .151   41 .376   41 .669
38 Oregon 9-1 .149   42 .498   42 .809   31 .001   36 .023   36 .119   33 .317   27 .562
39 Texas Tech 3-7 .149   39 .489   43 .815   32 .001   41 .028   41 .141   43 .378   43 .675
40 Wyoming 3-7 .155   49 .581   54 .904   34 .001   57 .084   58 .326   63 .681   64 .896
41 Boston College 5-5 .157   43 .505   36 .794   1 .000   29 .020   37 .121   37 .348   36 .634
42 Louisville 7-3 .158   40 .496   37 .795   45 .003   38 .023   44 .147   39 .369   39 .662
43 Texas 6-5 .159   38 .485   39 .797   29 .001   32 .021   33 .114   32 .316   35 .633
44 Pittsburgh 4-6 .160   36 .482   34 .786   43 .003   39 .026   39 .125   36 .341   34 .614
45 Minnesota 7-3 .162   46 .533   47 .838   39 .002   49 .051   47 .177   49 .439   51 .751
 
Rk Team W-L SOS   Rk E1   Rk E2   Rk G0   Rk G1   Rk G2   Rk G3   Rk G4
46 Michigan State 8-2 .163   50 .601   61 .925   53 .006   59 .092   61 .340   61 .666   61 .882
47 Michigan 5-6 .164   44 .506   41 .806   49 .004   47 .043   46 .153   45 .405   45 .702
48 Illinois 4-6 .164   45 .525   46 .834   33 .001   44 .030   48 .186   47 .408   44 .696
49 Syracuse 2-8 .170   48 .538   48 .841   40 .002   46 .037   38 .121   29 .289   29 .574
50 Rutgers 5-5 .172   47 .535   45 .829   46 .003   45 .033   42 .141   42 .377   42 .670
51 Southern Mississippi 2-8 .173   56 .639   70 .945   56 .010   69 .165   80 .599   89 .916   94 .994
52 Florida Atlantic 3-8 .193   59 .658   62 .928   68 .018   74 .206   81 .608   84 .903   82 .980
53 Iowa State 2-7 .201   51 .603   49 .881   50 .005   50 .053   50 .199   50 .460   48 .734
54 Duke 7-3 .209   53 .623   50 .882   47 .003   52 .064   54 .277   56 .578   55 .826
55 Florida State 10-0 .225   54 .627   51 .885   55 .009   48 .048   49 .190   48 .432   46 .703
56 Oklahoma 8-3 .225   52 .608   58 .917   54 .007   55 .081   56 .284   55 .574   56 .831
57 Missouri 8-2 .235   58 .640   55 .904   52 .006   53 .075   53 .274   54 .550   54 .799
58 Nebraska 7-3 .247   55 .633   53 .900   63 .015   56 .081   57 .288   57 .591   57 .852
59 Indiana 2-8 .249   60 .661   59 .922   60 .014   61 .107   59 .331   59 .641   58 .863
60 TCU 8-1 .253   63 .689   56 .913   59 .014   60 .094   60 .333   58 .640   59 .872
 
Rk Team W-L SOS   Rk E1   Rk E2   Rk G0   Rk G1   Rk G2   Rk G3   Rk G4
61 Memphis 7-3 .257   67 .716   73 .963   67 .017   70 .184   78 .593   81 .892   83 .985
62 Purdue 2-8 .265   57 .639   52 .887   58 .013   51 .060   51 .206   51 .464   47 .732
63 Fresno State 4-6 .267   62 .675   63 .928   61 .014   63 .125   65 .383   68 .726   69 .925
64 Northwestern 4-6 .275   64 .694   57 .916   65 .016   58 .085   55 .280   52 .531   52 .784
65 San Jose State 2-8 .277   68 .716   65 .931   66 .017   64 .127   62 .374   60 .659   62 .884
66 SMU 0-10 .280   66 .706   67 .940   62 .014   67 .134   68 .418   65 .714   66 .908
67 Maryland 6-4 .284   61 .674   64 .929   57 .011   54 .076   52 .263   53 .541   53 .786
68 Baylor 8-1 .286   65 .694   60 .925   64 .015   62 .111   63 .379   66 .722   67 .921
69 Cincinnati 7-3 .312   70 .759   71 .960   73 .030   75 .206   72 .507   74 .814   76 .962
70 UAB 4-6 .315   74 .775   74 .966   71 .024   77 .210   82 .613   80 .890   89 .988
71 Ohio State 10-1 .319   69 .721   66 .931   69 .019   65 .127   64 .381   62 .672   60 .878
72 Louisiana Tech 7-3 .335   72 .772   76 .969   80 .044   89 .350   102 .829   108 .981   114 .999
73 Tulane 2-8 .342   73 .774   68 .943   70 .019   66 .133   66 .393   67 .725   63 .893
74 Troy 3-7 .343   79 .826   97 .989   84 .054   95 .399   97 .787   101 .968   98 .996
75 Iowa 6-4 .369   71 .764   69 .944   76 .036   68 .155   67 .407   64 .682   65 .903
 
Rk Team W-L SOS   Rk E1   Rk E2   Rk G0   Rk G1   Rk G2   Rk G3   Rk G4
76 Kent State 1-9 .373   84 .851   83 .979   83 .053   94 .399   100 .821   104 .974   97 .995
77 Nevada 5-5 .373   77 .813   79 .971   72 .027   71 .197   73 .513   72 .799   73 .941
78 UNLV 1-10 .387   78 .814   82 .976   74 .031   72 .198   74 .519   71 .786   72 .940
79 Utah State 8-3 .404   75 .798   75 .968   85 .055   81 .263   77 .587   77 .853   80 .974
80 Tulsa 2-9 .409   76 .803   72 .961   75 .034   76 .208   70 .496   69 .772   70 .937
81 Navy 4-5 .418   83 .844   81 .975   77 .036   83 .280   83 .647   85 .908   84 .985
82 Georgia Southern 7-3 .424   99 .904   95 .987   94 .083   102 .504   113 .887   117 .988   108 .998
83 New Mexico 3-8 .427   80 .830   78 .970   82 .049   80 .262   79 .596   78 .860   77 .962
84 Louisiana Lafayette 6-4 .429   95 .884   104 .993   97 .092   105 .522   112 .882   111 .982   107 .998
85 Boise State 9-2 .431   81 .837   77 .970   81 .046   79 .234   76 .581   76 .842   75 .956
86 Middle Tennessee 5-5 .433   86 .857   87 .983   89 .068   87 .341   87 .696   92 .930   96 .994
87 Rice 7-4 .437   87 .858   86 .982   91 .072   88 .344   88 .708   91 .928   95 .994
88 Wisconsin 8-2 .439   82 .838   84 .979   78 .040   73 .204   69 .488   70 .784   71 .937
89 East Carolina 6-3 .455   90 .866   89 .984   92 .074   86 .328   85 .665   83 .897   79 .971
90 South Florida 3-7 .457   93 .879   98 .990   87 .063   84 .302   84 .664   79 .875   78 .968
 
Rk Team W-L SOS   Rk E1   Rk E2   Rk G0   Rk G1   Rk G2   Rk G3   Rk G4
91 Eastern Michigan 1-9 .458   91 .872   90 .984   93 .082   92 .389   94 .747   95 .952   92 .991
92 Northern Illinois 8-2 .466   85 .851   93 .986   96 .089   93 .395   95 .768   96 .955   102 .997
93 Colorado State 9-1 .471   89 .862   85 .979   90 .071   85 .327   86 .669   82 .894   81 .980
94 Penn State 6-5 .482   92 .877   91 .985   79 .043   78 .215   71 .506   73 .813   68 .925
95 Central Florida 6-3 .489   88 .858   80 .974   88 .067   90 .355   89 .711   87 .910   91 .989
96 Arkansas State 5-5 .490   94 .883   94 .986   101 .116   103 .507   107 .866   110 .982   106 .998
97 South Alabama 6-5 .503   96 .891   99 .990   98 .109   98 .417   98 .796   97 .956   103 .997
98 San Diego State 5-5 .509   98 .898   88 .983   95 .087   91 .358   92 .730   93 .934   86 .985
99 BYU 6-4 .525   97 .891   92 .985   86 .063   82 .263   75 .566   75 .829   74 .951
100 Georgia State 0-10 .527   100 .907   113 .996   103 .123   109 .549   110 .877   112 .983   101 .997
101 Bowling Green 6-4 .558   106 .933   107 .993   100 .114   106 .522   106 .862   105 .975   110 .998
102 UTEP 6-5 .580   117 .958   114 .996   106 .139   112 .577   114 .891   118 .988   116 .999
103 Louisiana Monroe 4-7 .585   107 .934   108 .994   108 .145   104 .510   101 .822   100 .965   99 .996
104 Connecticut 1-8 .593   101 .914   96 .989   102 .118   97 .407   91 .728   88 .915   90 .988
105 Western Kentucky 6-5 .595   108 .938   103 .992   113 .178   107 .527   103 .841   102 .968   105 .998
 
Rk Team W-L SOS   Rk E1   Rk E2   Rk G0   Rk G1   Rk G2   Rk G3   Rk G4
106 UTSA 3-8 .599   110 .944   116 .997   105 .133   101 .489   99 .816   98 .957   104 .997
107 Hawaii 3-8 .602   112 .951   121 .999   99 .112   96 .406   90 .717   86 .909   85 .985
108 Florida International 3-7 .607   109 .942   105 .993   109 .150   108 .532   104 .852   109 .981   118 .999
109 Ohio 4-6 .610   111 .946   109 .994   115 .199   116 .627   116 .899   113 .985   121 1.000
110 Akron 4-6 .610   102 .918   100 .991   114 .189   110 .560   109 .871   107 .979   113 .999
111 Western Michigan 7-3 .614   114 .954   111 .995   112 .167   115 .626   117 .907   120 .990   109 .998
112 Houston 5-4 .638   103 .924   101 .991   117 .226   117 .628   115 .895   115 .986   121 1.000
113 Air Force 7-3 .639   105 .932   110 .995   104 .129   100 .466   96 .779   94 .938   88 .987
114 Toledo 6-4 .649   115 .954   106 .993   111 .162   111 .562   108 .870   103 .968   100 .996
115 New Mexico State 1-9 .650   120 .965   120 .998   123 .327   124 .800   125 .978   124 1.000   121 1.000
116 Army 3-6 .651   118 .960   115 .996   110 .157   113 .577   111 .881   106 .978   112 .999
117 Temple 4-5 .652   104 .926   102 .992   107 .140   99 .428   93 .741   90 .919   87 .986
118 Buffalo 2-6 .653   119 .961   125 1.000   119 .258   126 .879   127 .989   124 1.000   121 1.000
119 Massachusetts 3-8 .685   116 .956   112 .995   118 .257   118 .669   118 .918   114 .985   111 .998
120 Miami (OH) 2-8 .722   113 .953   117 .997   116 .205   114 .588   105 .853   99 .963   93 .993
 
Rk Team W-L SOS   Rk E1   Rk E2   Rk G0   Rk G1   Rk G2   Rk G3   Rk G4
121 Ball State 3-6 .738   121 .966   125 1.000   120 .260   119 .681   119 .921   119 .988   117 .999
122 Old Dominion 4-6 .779   122 .970   118 .998   122 .314   121 .744   120 .937   121 .994   119 .999
123 Idaho 1-9 .813   123 .981   122 .999   126 .381   123 .796   123 .960   123 .995   120 .999
124 Appalachian State 5-4 .816   125 .985   123 .999   125 .371   125 .828   124 .973   124 1.000   121 1.000
125 North Texas 3-7 .817   124 .982   119 .998   124 .362   122 .771   122 .959   122 .995   121 1.000
126 Central Michigan 6-5 .825   126 .985   124 .999   121 .311   120 .727   121 .942   116 .987   115 .999
127 Texas State 5-5 .835   128 .992   125 1.000   127 .549   127 .905   126 .984   124 1.000   121 1.000
128 Marshall 10-0 .847   127 .988   125 1.000   128 .576   128 .921   128 .993   124 1.000   121 1.000