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Strength of Schedule Ratings
:: 2014 :: 2013

 

Strength of Schedule (SOS) Ratings are a function of the FEI ratings of a given team's opponents and the location (home/away/neutral) of each game. These ratings are calculated from the top down, with more significance given to the toughest opponents faced. The overall SOS ratings below represent the likelihood than an elite team (two standard deviations better than average) would go undefeated against the given team's entire schedule. Stronger schedules have smaller SOS ratings.

Additional schedule strength ratings are provided across each of the following dimensions, along with the national SOS ranking in each column. SOS E1 is the likelihood that an elite team would lose one game or fewer against the given team's schedule. SOS E2 is the likelihood that an elite team would lose two games or fewer. SOS G0 is the likelihood that a good team (one st. deviation better than average) would go undefeated against the given team's schedule. SOS G1 is the likelihood that a good team would lose one game or fewer. SOS G2 is the likelihood that a good team would lose two games or fewer. SOS G3 is the likelihood that a good team would lose three games or fewer. SOS G4 is the likelihood that a good team would lose four games or fewer.

Andrew Garcia Phillips of Chartball.com has developed an interactive visualization of 2014 college football strength of schedule based on FEI ratings and the SOS data provided here. The data and visualization tool will be updated weekly throughout the season.

 

 

2014 Strength of Schedule (updated through 10/25/14)

 

Rk Team W-L SOS   Rk E1   Rk E2   Rk G0   Rk G1   Rk G2   Rk G3   Rk G4
1 Colorado 2-6 .024   2 .145   2 .413   1 .000   7 .002   1 .004   1 .036   1 .154
2 Stanford 4-3 .027   1 .143   1 .373   1 .000   1 .000   3 .010   2 .049   3 .177
3 Washington State 1-6 .034   3 .180   3 .481   1 .000   4 .001   2 .009   3 .050   2 .169
4 USC 5-3 .038   5 .213   5 .492   1 .000   10 .003   5 .011   4 .051   4 .179
5 Arizona 6-1 .041   6 .223   7 .530   1 .000   1 .000   7 .018   8 .100   9 .282
6 UCLA 6-2 .045   4 .202   4 .484   1 .000   8 .002   4 .011   5 .065   5 .181
7 Auburn 6-1 .045   7 .232   6 .520   1 .000   5 .001   8 .021   12 .136   13 .366
8 Utah 5-1 .048   8 .240   8 .548   1 .000   12 .004   11 .025   9 .106   7 .266
9 California 3-4 .058   9 .261   9 .595   1 .000   11 .003   10 .024   10 .123   10 .301
10 Washington 4-3 .060   17 .303   18 .642   1 .000   16 .005   16 .041   15 .165   14 .381
11 Arizona State 5-1 .064   10 .276   12 .602   1 .000   6 .001   9 .022   6 .097   8 .267
12 Virginia 3-4 .064   16 .298   10 .597   1 .000   13 .004   6 .017   7 .098   6 .247
13 North Carolina 3-4 .068   11 .288   11 .600   1 .000   9 .002   12 .027   11 .128   11 .307
14 Arkansas 3-4 .072   13 .289   13 .613   1 .000   15 .005   15 .040   16 .172   17 .444
15 Miami 4-3 .072   20 .326   14 .623   1 .000   19 .008   13 .029   13 .143   12 .350
 
Rk Team W-L SOS   Rk E1   Rk E2   Rk G0   Rk G1   Rk G2   Rk G3   Rk G4
16 Oregon State 3-3 .072   14 .291   16 .637   1 .000   18 .007   14 .038   14 .146   15 .398
17 Oklahoma State 4-3 .074   12 .289   17 .640   25 .001   17 .006   18 .052   19 .213   23 .525
18 Texas A&M 4-3 .075   15 .296   15 .631   1 .000   1 .000   20 .055   18 .204   21 .506
19 Clemson 5-2 .082   19 .325   21 .676   1 .000   22 .010   22 .070   26 .255   25 .545
20 Tennessee 2-5 .082   18 .324   19 .667   1 .000   20 .009   24 .075   29 .280   31 .585
21 Kansas 1-5 .086   21 .352   20 .670   32 .002   23 .010   21 .067   23 .240   24 .529
22 Notre Dame 6-1 .088   23 .375   22 .705   1 .000   21 .009   19 .053   20 .213   20 .477
23 Oregon 6-1 .089   22 .364   23 .706   26 .001   14 .004   17 .043   17 .173   16 .419
24 Kansas State 5-1 .106   24 .397   24 .720   33 .002   31 .020   31 .108   34 .350   41 .681
25 Florida 3-3 .114   25 .416   27 .760   1 .000   36 .026   39 .136   41 .392   45 .714
26 Fresno State 2-5 .118   33 .472   37 .806   42 .003   47 .035   44 .152   46 .453   51 .779
27 Louisville 5-2 .119   27 .435   25 .749   40 .003   24 .011   26 .078   27 .261   28 .566
28 Wake Forest 1-6 .121   29 .449   32 .777   35 .002   30 .018   27 .082   25 .247   29 .569
29 Georgia Tech 5-2 .123   28 .445   31 .774   1 .000   32 .021   30 .092   22 .226   18 .461
30 Alabama 7-1 .128   30 .455   26 .756   34 .002   29 .018   33 .119   33 .346   35 .638
 
Rk Team W-L SOS   Rk E1   Rk E2   Rk G0   Rk G1   Rk G2   Rk G3   Rk G4
31 Boston College 4-3 .132   31 .458   30 .772   1 .000   26 .014   23 .074   24 .246   22 .517
32 Syracuse 2-5 .134   26 .432   28 .760   41 .003   33 .022   28 .087   30 .280   27 .559
33 North Carolina State 3-4 .139   32 .463   29 .769   27 .001   28 .017   37 .130   35 .354   33 .619
34 Mississippi State 7-0 .139   41 .514   45 .840   44 .003   40 .029   50 .209   53 .539   55 .835
35 Vanderbilt 1-6 .140   37 .488   42 .829   30 .001   37 .026   46 .172   48 .470   47 .766
36 Virginia Tech 3-4 .140   36 .487   34 .782   28 .001   25 .014   25 .077   21 .224   19 .473
37 LSU 6-2 .142   39 .492   36 .800   36 .002   42 .031   35 .125   40 .378   40 .668
38 Michigan 3-5 .143   34 .475   33 .780   48 .005   35 .025   40 .138   38 .374   39 .653
39 Texas 3-5 .150   35 .486   38 .808   1 .000   27 .015   29 .089   28 .275   26 .552
40 Kentucky 4-3 .150   38 .488   35 .786   49 .005   39 .028   38 .130   36 .362   34 .635
41 South Carolina 3-4 .152   43 .526   49 .854   45 .004   49 .041   48 .187   49 .478   49 .777
42 Wyoming 2-5 .153   48 .550   52 .872   47 .004   51 .057   56 .279   56 .595   56 .846
43 Texas Tech 2-5 .153   40 .499   41 .826   29 .001   41 .031   36 .127   37 .373   36 .640
44 Rutgers 4-3 .164   42 .516   40 .821   43 .003   43 .031   45 .166   45 .430   42 .687
45 Michigan State 6-1 .166   52 .580   53 .887   51 .005   53 .060   53 .260   58 .602   60 .868
 
Rk Team W-L SOS   Rk E1   Rk E2   Rk G0   Rk G1   Rk G2   Rk G3   Rk G4
46 Pittsburgh 3-4 .170   44 .529   39 .814   37 .002   38 .028   34 .125   31 .312   30 .576
47 Minnesota 5-2 .183   50 .559   46 .851   39 .002   48 .036   47 .186   50 .479   48 .771
48 Illinois 3-4 .188   51 .568   48 .852   55 .007   54 .065   51 .215   47 .467   46 .736
49 West Virginia 5-2 .189   46 .544   43 .837   31 .001   34 .025   32 .110   32 .325   32 .603
50 Iowa State 2-4 .191   53 .582   51 .854   46 .004   44 .031   43 .146   39 .375   38 .648
51 Mississippi 7-1 .192   45 .541   47 .852   54 .007   46 .033   42 .144   43 .413   43 .689
52 Florida State 6-0 .198   49 .555   44 .839   38 .002   45 .032   41 .141   42 .396   37 .645
53 Georgia 6-1 .207   47 .548   50 .854   50 .005   50 .042   49 .191   44 .424   44 .695
54 Florida Atlantic 3-5 .225   59 .665   59 .910   61 .014   65 .139   76 .518   81 .859   81 .966
55 Baylor 5-1 .231   54 .619   54 .893   52 .005   58 .081   59 .302   57 .595   58 .856
56 Oklahoma 5-2 .236   55 .631   55 .900   53 .006   55 .067   55 .276   55 .583   54 .834
57 Duke 5-1 .240   57 .653   56 .901   58 .012   56 .073   57 .287   59 .611   57 .853
58 Purdue 2-5 .249   60 .680   60 .913   57 .010   52 .059   52 .238   52 .538   50 .777
59 Northwestern 2-4 .254   58 .662   57 .905   56 .007   57 .078   54 .264   51 .520   52 .784
60 TCU 5-1 .264   56 .637   58 .908   59 .013   59 .095   60 .313   61 .644   59 .866
 
Rk Team W-L SOS   Rk E1   Rk E2   Rk G0   Rk G1   Rk G2   Rk G3   Rk G4
61 Southern Mississippi 2-5 .270   66 .725   74 .961   71 .026   77 .209   81 .598   87 .910   94 .993
62 Louisiana Tech 5-2 .274   67 .726   84 .979   75 .031   85 .272   97 .793   102 .972   116 1.000
63 Memphis 3-3 .275   68 .737   81 .974   72 .028   75 .199   85 .654   88 .919   95 .994
64 Tulane 1-5 .293   64 .719   65 .938   69 .023   63 .117   63 .379   63 .680   64 .904
65 Nebraska 6-1 .297   62 .707   61 .916   60 .013   61 .107   61 .328   62 .652   62 .875
66 SMU 0-7 .301   63 .718   66 .941   63 .017   67 .143   65 .399   67 .722   69 .918
67 Nevada 4-3 .302   70 .741   70 .953   67 .020   66 .142   64 .395   68 .723   66 .905
68 Indiana 2-4 .302   61 .703   63 .935   66 .020   62 .112   62 .359   60 .642   61 .873
69 San Jose State 2-4 .303   69 .740   67 .950   64 .017   64 .128   67 .403   65 .712   63 .894
70 UNLV 1-6 .320   72 .773   68 .950   65 .019   70 .158   70 .438   70 .739   70 .920
71 Tulsa 1-6 .328   71 .743   64 .935   73 .029   69 .156   66 .400   64 .707   71 .921
72 Troy 1-6 .329   81 .812   82 .976   87 .054   87 .311   88 .722   96 .953   97 .996
73 Maryland 4-3 .333   65 .720   62 .924   62 .014   60 .095   58 .292   54 .574   53 .800
74 Cincinnati 4-3 .339   78 .804   78 .968   74 .031   71 .159   72 .480   75 .793   76 .951
75 Boise State 6-2 .342   74 .781   69 .950   70 .023   72 .172   71 .477   72 .765   72 .934
 
Rk Team W-L SOS   Rk E1   Rk E2   Rk G0   Rk G1   Rk G2   Rk G3   Rk G4
76 Louisiana Lafayette 3-3 .371   86 .844   97 .986   91 .079   104 .525   116 .919   121 .995   116 1.000
77 Ohio State 6-1 .375   73 .778   71 .955   79 .038   74 .189   73 .484   71 .761   68 .913
78 New Mexico 2-5 .380   79 .807   77 .968   76 .033   76 .208   77 .546   78 .829   77 .953
79 Colorado State 6-1 .385   76 .786   72 .959   88 .056   82 .243   82 .599   80 .856   80 .962
80 Utah State 4-3 .391   77 .800   73 .960   85 .048   81 .237   79 .563   77 .828   79 .958
81 Wisconsin 4-2 .392   80 .811   75 .963   68 .022   68 .155   69 .435   69 .734   67 .906
82 Missouri 5-2 .409   83 .820   80 .969   78 .037   79 .227   74 .502   73 .772   74 .938
83 UAB 3-4 .415   90 .868   92 .985   83 .046   88 .324   90 .732   90 .927   91 .992
84 Rice 4-3 .418   88 .855   90 .985   90 .069   89 .365   95 .762   95 .945   90 .991
85 San Diego State 3-3 .423   82 .814   79 .969   84 .047   86 .281   83 .605   82 .861   82 .966
86 Iowa 4-2 .431   75 .783   76 .964   77 .036   73 .182   68 .407   66 .713   65 .904
87 Navy 3-4 .433   87 .845   87 .982   86 .050   84 .271   84 .624   83 .882   83 .973
88 Georgia State 0-7 .434   92 .878   89 .984   89 .067   98 .444   99 .812   101 .970   115 .999
89 Kent State 1-7 .445   89 .867   91 .985   98 .093   101 .487   109 .880   111 .982   110 .999
90 BYU 4-4 .463   84 .841   86 .982   81 .041   80 .228   78 .548   74 .789   73 .936
 
Rk Team W-L SOS   Rk E1   Rk E2   Rk G0   Rk G1   Rk G2   Rk G3   Rk G4
91 Central Florida 4-2 .471   85 .842   83 .977   96 .091   90 .371   86 .666   84 .902   84 .974
92 Georgia Southern 5-2 .497   110 .944   113 .998   103 .121   110 .598   119 .930   124 .998   114 .999
93 Middle Tennessee 4-3 .499   93 .879   85 .981   95 .087   95 .406   92 .742   94 .942   96 .995
94 Hawaii 1-6 .507   95 .886   94 .986   82 .044   83 .264   80 .587   79 .839   78 .956
95 East Carolina 5-1 .511   94 .884   98 .988   100 .111   97 .413   96 .766   91 .928   86 .983
96 Penn State 4-3 .521   96 .887   93 .985   80 .040   78 .216   75 .517   76 .794   75 .939
97 UTSA 2-6 .525   97 .892   100 .989   92 .081   91 .384   94 .749   92 .935   88 .988
98 Arkansas State 3-3 .525   101 .912   109 .996   107 .168   113 .606   117 .922   117 .989   107 .999
99 South Florida 2-5 .527   98 .907   95 .986   93 .083   93 .389   89 .722   86 .906   89 .989
100 Connecticut 0-6 .529   91 .876   88 .983   104 .122   94 .397   93 .747   93 .940   92 .992
101 South Alabama 5-2 .532   100 .909   96 .986   99 .103   100 .481   100 .821   99 .967   102 .998
102 UTEP 4-3 .533   106 .927   112 .997   97 .092   103 .514   102 .851   98 .965   101 .998
103 Eastern Michigan 1-6 .541   105 .925   107 .995   101 .116   99 .469   98 .806   97 .955   93 .992
104 Louisiana Monroe 3-4 .571   99 .908   106 .995   105 .135   102 .505   101 .838   100 .968   105 .998
105 Temple 3-3 .582   102 .920   102 .992   94 .084   92 .387   87 .701   85 .904   85 .978
 
Rk Team W-L SOS   Rk E1   Rk E2   Rk G0   Rk G1   Rk G2   Rk G3   Rk G4
106 Army 2-4 .587   112 .947   110 .996   106 .147   108 .580   108 .879   105 .976   108 .999
107 Air Force 4-2 .588   103 .923   99 .988   102 .119   96 .407   91 .738   89 .924   87 .985
108 Akron 3-4 .590   104 .923   101 .990   111 .194   106 .559   103 .858   110 .981   116 1.000
109 Western Kentucky 3-4 .624   109 .933   104 .994   110 .188   111 .602   106 .868   112 .984   111 .999
110 New Mexico State 1-6 .625   116 .955   111 .996   118 .247   119 .705   121 .946   120 .994   116 1.000
111 Western Michigan 4-3 .628   111 .946   123 1.000   112 .194   115 .629   112 .894   109 .980   109 .999
112 Ohio 3-5 .629   113 .949   116 .998   115 .226   116 .629   110 .880   115 .986   116 1.000
113 Florida International 2-4 .630   108 .931   108 .995   109 .182   105 .553   105 .861   104 .976   103 .998
114 Houston 3-3 .649   115 .953   117 .998   116 .240   114 .628   115 .906   108 .978   99 .996
115 Massachusetts 2-7 .652   117 .964   105 .994   108 .170   107 .564   104 .860   103 .973   100 .996
116 Northern Illinois 5-2 .658   107 .929   103 .994   113 .212   109 .594   111 .881   106 .977   104 .998
117 Bowling Green 4-3 .669   118 .966   115 .998   114 .214   112 .602   107 .873   107 .978   98 .996
118 Buffalo 1-5 .705   119 .972   118 .999   122 .361   127 .870   127 .985   125 .998   116 1.000
119 Toledo 4-3 .726   114 .953   114 .998   117 .243   117 .661   113 .899   114 .985   112 .999
120 Ball State 2-4 .742   120 .974   123 1.000   121 .307   122 .747   122 .950   119 .994   116 1.000
 
Rk Team W-L SOS   Rk E1   Rk E2   Rk G0   Rk G1   Rk G2   Rk G3   Rk G4
121 Old Dominion 2-5 .754   124 .980   121 .999   120 .293   120 .733   118 .925   116 .988   113 .999
122 Miami (OH) 2-6 .758   121 .976   119 .999   119 .271   118 .680   114 .903   113 .985   106 .999
123 Idaho 1-6 .773   123 .977   122 .999   125 .414   125 .842   125 .976   128 1.000   116 1.000
124 Appalachian State 1-4 .783   122 .976   120 .999   124 .397   124 .829   124 .972   127 .999   116 1.000
125 Central Michigan 4-4 .827   126 .986   123 1.000   123 .369   121 .736   120 .935   118 .992   116 1.000
126 Texas State 3-3 .834   128 .991   123 1.000   127 .508   126 .849   126 .980   122 .995   116 1.000
127 Marshall 7-0 .844   125 .983   123 1.000   128 .559   128 .903   128 .987   126 .998   116 1.000
128 North Texas 1-6 .847   127 .987   123 1.000   126 .464   123 .821   123 .965   123 .997   116 1.000