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Strength of Schedule Ratings
:: 2014 :: 2013

 

Strength of Schedule (SOS) Ratings are a function of the FEI ratings of a given team's opponents and the location (home/away/neutral) of each game. These ratings are calculated from the top down, with more significance given to the toughest opponents faced. The overall SOS ratings below represent the likelihood than an elite team (two standard deviations better than average) would go undefeated against the given team's entire schedule. Stronger schedules have smaller SOS ratings.

Additional schedule strength ratings are provided across each of the following dimensions, along with the national SOS ranking in each column. SOS E1 is the likelihood that an elite team would lose one game or fewer against the given team's schedule. SOS E2 is the likelihood that an elite team would lose two games or fewer. SOS G0 is the likelihood that a good team (one st. deviation better than average) would go undefeated against the given team's schedule. SOS G1 is the likelihood that a good team would lose one game or fewer. SOS G2 is the likelihood that a good team would lose two games or fewer. SOS G3 is the likelihood that a good team would lose three games or fewer. SOS G4 is the likelihood that a good team would lose four games or fewer.

Andrew Garcia Phillips of Chartball.com has developed an interactive visualization of 2014 college football strength of schedule based on FEI ratings and the SOS data provided here. The data and visualization tool will be updated weekly throughout the season.

 

 

2014 Strength of Schedule (updated through 9/13/14)

 

Rk Team W-L SOS   Rk E1   Rk E2   Rk G0   Rk G1   Rk G2   Rk G3   Rk G4
1 Stanford 1-1 .034   3 .200   3 .493   1 .000   4 .002   3 .014   3 .074   4 .242
2 Auburn 2-0 .035   2 .198   1 .436   1 .000   2 .001   2 .009   2 .055   2 .180
3 Arkansas 1-1 .037   1 .174   2 .450   1 .000   1 .000   1 .008   1 .046   1 .158
4 Florida 2-0 .044   8 .239   11 .572   1 .000   9 .004   14 .039   12 .144   17 .429
5 Utah 1-0 .045   4 .202   5 .511   1 .000   8 .004   6 .019   6 .101   6 .275
6 Virginia 1-1 .048   7 .235   9 .546   1 .000   3 .001   7 .025   8 .113   7 .298
7 Notre Dame 3-0 .048   6 .232   7 .539   24 .001   18 .007   9 .028   11 .138   10 .374
8 California 1-0 .049   10 .248   6 .519   1 .000   7 .003   4 .017   4 .085   3 .240
9 Texas A&M 2-0 .049   5 .204   4 .494   1 .000   6 .003   5 .018   7 .108   8 .314
10 Washington State 0-2 .049   11 .255   8 .545   1 .000   10 .005   8 .028   5 .099   5 .259
11 Tennessee 2-1 .051   9 .241   10 .551   1 .000   5 .002   13 .037   10 .136   15 .398
12 Colorado 1-2 .058   16 .313   14 .641   1 .000   14 .006   12 .035   14 .153   11 .378
13 Arizona 3-0 .070   13 .311   17 .669   25 .001   22 .010   23 .067   22 .229   22 .488
14 Oregon State 1-0 .072   17 .315   18 .678   1 .000   16 .007   18 .055   23 .237   23 .489
15 Kentucky 1-1 .072   14 .311   16 .652   1 .000   26 .012   20 .062   20 .217   21 .476
 
Rk Team W-L SOS   Rk E1   Rk E2   Rk G0   Rk G1   Rk G2   Rk G3   Rk G4
16 UCLA 3-0 .073   12 .305   12 .624   1 .000   11 .005   10 .033   9 .130   9 .347
17 Clemson 0-1 .073   19 .338   19 .683   26 .001   20 .009   25 .070   28 .259   27 .530
18 Miami 1-1 .075   15 .311   13 .630   1 .000   12 .005   16 .044   16 .161   13 .379
19 Boston College 2-1 .080   24 .377   25 .702   29 .001   31 .015   29 .084   35 .290   34 .565
20 Arizona State 2-0 .080   18 .329   15 .651   1 .000   13 .005   11 .034   13 .153   14 .391
21 Oklahoma State 1-1 .082   21 .344   21 .685   27 .001   30 .015   33 .094   33 .280   32 .560
22 LSU 2-0 .085   23 .349   20 .683   1 .000   15 .006   17 .045   17 .183   16 .404
23 Washington 2-0 .086   27 .401   27 .736   1 .000   24 .011   22 .065   27 .258   28 .531
24 Mississippi State 3-0 .086   22 .348   23 .694   28 .001   21 .009   26 .074   31 .273   37 .589
25 USC 2-1 .089   20 .341   22 .688   1 .000   17 .007   15 .043   15 .154   12 .378
26 Wake Forest 0-2 .102   33 .427   35 .767   31 .001   47 .031   45 .130   44 .352   46 .643
27 Vanderbilt 1-2 .107   30 .407   29 .737   51 .004   29 .014   28 .084   38 .304   45 .641
28 Alabama 3-0 .108   25 .381   26 .723   37 .002   19 .008   24 .069   25 .252   26 .520
29 South Carolina 2-1 .110   26 .381   24 .697   1 .000   27 .012   30 .085   24 .245   24 .489
30 Mississippi 3-0 .113   29 .405   30 .745   1 .000   40 .021   35 .098   36 .299   38 .598
 
Rk Team W-L SOS   Rk E1   Rk E2   Rk G0   Rk G1   Rk G2   Rk G3   Rk G4
31 Louisville 1-1 .114   28 .402   32 .751   38 .002   32 .017   46 .132   46 .375   44 .639
32 Georgia Tech 2-0 .120   31 .414   31 .745   1 .000   34 .018   31 .088   32 .277   31 .556
33 North Carolina 1-0 .121   32 .418   28 .737   30 .001   25 .011   21 .063   19 .208   18 .440
34 Syracuse 1-0 .123   35 .456   41 .796   46 .003   28 .014   34 .096   34 .281   33 .562
35 Oregon 2-0 .128   34 .442   34 .762   39 .002   45 .029   32 .093   26 .256   25 .499
36 Indiana 0-1 .129   37 .458   33 .757   44 .003   39 .021   39 .117   40 .318   41 .635
37 North Carolina State 3-0 .129   41 .472   43 .804   40 .002   53 .051   54 .205   54 .479   56 .757
38 Michigan State 0-1 .132   47 .529   51 .849   36 .001   48 .032   52 .200   56 .483   55 .755
39 Kansas 0-1 .133   38 .460   37 .779   1 .000   36 .020   37 .104   30 .267   29 .534
40 Texas 1-2 .136   40 .469   40 .789   33 .001   23 .010   19 .062   18 .195   19 .452
41 Georgia 1-1 .139   42 .475   44 .814   41 .002   42 .024   42 .120   45 .356   40 .631
42 West Virginia 1-1 .142   36 .457   36 .769   45 .003   33 .017   27 .076   21 .218   20 .455
43 Rutgers 1-1 .143   44 .498   38 .783   32 .001   41 .021   36 .098   29 .260   30 .542
44 Kansas State 1-0 .148   39 .462   39 .783   54 .005   46 .030   41 .119   47 .379   43 .637
45 Michigan 2-1 .150   43 .497   42 .803   34 .001   43 .027   44 .127   43 .351   42 .635
 
Rk Team W-L SOS   Rk E1   Rk E2   Rk G0   Rk G1   Rk G2   Rk G3   Rk G4
46 Illinois 1-1 .164   49 .540   48 .824   48 .003   50 .040   49 .173   49 .432   53 .728
47 Texas Tech 1-1 .165   46 .528   47 .823   42 .002   35 .019   47 .132   42 .350   47 .650
48 Wyoming 1-1 .165   60 .647   71 .951   65 .012   68 .134   74 .535   81 .873   89 .987
49 Florida State 1-0 .172   48 .532   45 .819   35 .001   37 .020   38 .107   39 .308   35 .570
50 Missouri 2-0 .175   50 .543   50 .840   49 .003   51 .041   50 .184   48 .424   48 .692
51 Iowa State 1-1 .185   45 .519   46 .821   47 .003   38 .020   43 .125   41 .344   39 .631
52 Maryland 1-1 .187   51 .558   49 .835   43 .002   44 .027   40 .119   37 .303   36 .588
53 Virginia Tech 1-1 .212   52 .575   52 .871   55 .006   52 .045   53 .202   51 .451   54 .739
54 Northwestern 0-2 .220   54 .598   54 .881   53 .004   54 .053   51 .199   53 .470   49 .720
55 Purdue 1-2 .224   53 .596   53 .875   52 .004   49 .037   48 .166   50 .439   51 .725
56 Minnesota 1-1 .224   55 .602   55 .891   60 .010   59 .076   58 .236   58 .491   57 .762
57 Nebraska 2-0 .235   59 .646   61 .903   58 .009   63 .102   64 .335   65 .666   66 .899
58 Baylor 2-0 .243   56 .630   58 .895   61 .012   57 .071   59 .259   60 .541   60 .809
59 East Carolina 1-1 .246   64 .666   63 .909   63 .012   61 .091   65 .336   66 .678   65 .896
60 Pittsburgh 2-0 .248   58 .644   57 .893   50 .003   56 .065   55 .218   52 .462   52 .727
 
Rk Team W-L SOS   Rk E1   Rk E2   Rk G0   Rk G1   Rk G2   Rk G3   Rk G4
61 TCU 1-0 .250   62 .654   59 .899   57 .007   55 .060   57 .229   57 .490   58 .770
62 Fresno State 0-3 .251   63 .656   65 .917   68 .015   69 .137   69 .406   70 .734   71 .932
63 Central Florida 0-2 .254   67 .696   66 .927   67 .014   65 .108   68 .398   68 .730   69 .920
64 Ohio State 2-1 .264   61 .653   60 .901   56 .006   58 .071   56 .221   55 .480   50 .724
65 Memphis 0-1 .267   69 .722   69 .948   69 .016   70 .144   71 .484   73 .806   75 .957
66 Louisiana Monroe 2-1 .267   71 .743   76 .962   72 .023   79 .249   97 .749   100 .962   103 .996
67 Duke 2-0 .270   57 .642   56 .892   66 .013   64 .106   61 .307   61 .593   64 .854
68 Rice 0-2 .271   68 .712   68 .946   70 .018   72 .159   73 .530   76 .842   80 .974
69 SMU 0-2 .297   65 .688   62 .904   62 .012   62 .101   63 .313   63 .625   62 .847
70 Louisiana Tech 2-1 .298   75 .769   78 .968   74 .025   80 .254   95 .739   97 .956   115 .999
71 Wisconsin 0-1 .303   70 .727   67 .935   64 .012   67 .118   67 .376   67 .689   67 .904
72 Oklahoma 3-0 .313   66 .694   64 .913   59 .009   60 .082   60 .300   59 .531   59 .784
73 Florida Atlantic 1-2 .314   73 .761   77 .963   76 .031   77 .241   82 .627   82 .891   86 .984
74 Southern Mississippi 0-2 .336   77 .781   79 .968   75 .027   84 .292   86 .669   89 .920   90 .987
75 Penn State 3-0 .353   72 .761   70 .949   71 .021   66 .109   62 .312   62 .603   61 .843
 
Rk Team W-L SOS   Rk E1   Rk E2   Rk G0   Rk G1   Rk G2   Rk G3   Rk G4
76 Toledo 0-2 .357   76 .776   73 .956   82 .051   78 .248   77 .577   79 .853   79 .972
77 San Diego State 0-1 .358   74 .769   75 .960   84 .053   81 .263   84 .652   88 .918   91 .989
78 UNLV 0-2 .370   80 .809   81 .973   77 .032   73 .205   72 .504   71 .785   70 .928
79 Kent State 0-3 .392   81 .811   80 .972   81 .048   90 .308   85 .664   86 .909   82 .981
80 Iowa 1-1 .400   79 .803   74 .958   73 .025   71 .151   66 .367   64 .639   63 .849
81 Tulane 0-2 .401   78 .796   72 .953   79 .039   74 .209   70 .471   69 .733   68 .912
82 Louisiana Lafayette 0-2 .410   87 .846   91 .985   100 .098   113 .568   120 .935   121 .994   117 .999
83 Cincinnati 1-0 .412   82 .816   82 .975   78 .037   76 .228   76 .563   78 .850   76 .964
84 Eastern Michigan 0-2 .413   90 .859   93 .985   83 .051   91 .313   87 .680   84 .905   81 .979
85 Army 1-1 .417   100 .898   98 .991   96 .076   99 .446   99 .810   105 .969   114 .998
86 Boise State 2-1 .422   83 .819   83 .975   87 .055   88 .305   89 .683   83 .904   87 .986
87 Nevada 1-1 .423   84 .826   87 .981   88 .063   85 .294   83 .651   85 .908   84 .982
88 South Florida 0-2 .429   85 .829   84 .976   80 .043   75 .228   75 .547   72 .804   72 .935
89 Navy 2-1 .431   86 .830   95 .988   85 .053   83 .284   88 .681   94 .935   93 .990
90 Georgia State 0-2 .433   89 .850   89 .983   98 .092   104 .496   116 .895   117 .991   108 .997
 
Rk Team W-L SOS   Rk E1   Rk E2   Rk G0   Rk G1   Rk G2   Rk G3   Rk G4
91 San Jose State 0-1 .438   93 .870   100 .991   90 .064   93 .348   90 .695   87 .914   83 .981
92 Houston 0-2 .455   96 .881   101 .991   89 .063   92 .330   91 .706   90 .924   85 .983
93 UTSA 1-2 .457   91 .862   94 .985   97 .088   95 .371   92 .723   92 .929   92 .990
94 South Alabama 1-1 .457   97 .884   102 .992   104 .113   109 .530   109 .869   112 .984   111 .998
95 Utah State 1-1 .457   92 .868   88 .982   95 .072   94 .361   94 .735   95 .935   94 .990
96 New Mexico State 1-1 .460   113 .928   110 .994   107 .143   124 .826   126 .991   125 1.000   119 1.000
97 Troy 0-2 .464   106 .914   108 .994   105 .117   115 .620   119 .921   118 .991   118 .999
98 Tulsa 1-2 .476   88 .847   92 .985   86 .054   82 .278   79 .594   77 .848   78 .969
99 Miami (OH) 0-2 .495   95 .880   90 .984   99 .093   97 .406   96 .743   93 .932   96 .991
100 Western Michigan 1-1 .500   102 .906   115 .996   91 .064   96 .401   98 .774   96 .945   98 .993
101 Temple 1-1 .506   94 .874   85 .979   92 .066   87 .298   80 .603   75 .835   74 .955
102 UTEP 2-1 .514   104 .910   103 .992   102 .105   102 .479   105 .822   106 .969   100 .994
103 Connecticut 0-2 .524   99 .886   86 .981   93 .066   89 .305   81 .617   80 .868   77 .965
104 Bowling Green 1-1 .527   112 .927   119 .998   103 .110   101 .472   102 .816   98 .959   99 .994
105 Akron 0-1 .530   101 .898   97 .990   106 .129   100 .460   103 .818   99 .959   102 .995
 
Rk Team W-L SOS   Rk E1   Rk E2   Rk G0   Rk G1   Rk G2   Rk G3   Rk G4
106 BYU 3-0 .546   98 .885   112 .995   94 .067   86 .295   78 .577   74 .833   73 .954
107 UAB 1-1 .554   103 .906   107 .993   109 .144   103 .483   100 .813   101 .963   101 .995
108 Ball State 0-1 .590   105 .913   116 .996   110 .146   107 .511   106 .840   107 .973   109 .997
109 Georgia Southern 0-2 .591   108 .921   109 .994   115 .190   112 .551   112 .881   115 .987   119 1.000
110 Colorado State 1-1 .593   107 .918   99 .991   114 .180   111 .550   110 .872   109 .977   105 .996
111 Florida International 0-1 .596   109 .924   96 .989   112 .155   105 .503   101 .813   108 .976   110 .998
112 Hawaii 0-2 .613   110 .924   105 .993   101 .104   98 .409   93 .728   91 .928   88 .987
113 Middle Tennessee 1-1 .626   116 .940   113 .995   108 .143   106 .509   107 .841   104 .968   116 .999
114 New Mexico 0-2 .636   111 .925   117 .996   111 .151   108 .515   104 .820   102 .964   95 .990
115 Massachusetts 0-3 .651   114 .930   106 .993   116 .211   114 .602   111 .875   111 .980   106 .997
116 North Texas 1-2 .655   115 .932   104 .992   117 .218   118 .643   115 .894   114 .985   112 .998
117 Western Kentucky 1-2 .661   117 .949   114 .995   113 .175   110 .547   108 .855   103 .966   97 .993
118 Arkansas State 0-2 .663   121 .963   111 .994   124 .348   122 .791   123 .975   122 .998   119 1.000
119 Central Michigan 1-1 .664   120 .954   126 1.000   118 .224   116 .636   117 .912   120 .993   119 1.000
120 Northern Illinois 2-0 .697   119 .953   118 .997   119 .225   117 .637   114 .893   110 .978   104 .996
 
Rk Team W-L SOS   Rk E1   Rk E2   Rk G0   Rk G1   Rk G2   Rk G3   Rk G4
121 Buffalo 0-2 .699   118 .953   125 1.000   122 .308   123 .799   122 .973   123 .999   119 1.000
122 Ohio 1-2 .724   122 .974   120 .998   120 .260   119 .645   113 .891   113 .984   107 .997
123 Appalachian State 0-1 .733   123 .977   121 .999   125 .448   125 .885   124 .985   125 1.000   119 1.000
124 Old Dominion 1-1 .757   125 .981   128 1.000   123 .327   121 .754   121 .942   119 .992   119 1.000
125 Air Force 1-1 .766   124 .979   127 1.000   121 .269   120 .669   118 .913   116 .988   113 .998
126 Texas State 0-1 .825   126 .985   122 .999   126 .511   126 .886   125 .987   125 1.000   119 1.000
127 Idaho 0-2 .832   128 .989   124 .999   127 .598   127 .943   128 .994   125 1.000   119 1.000
128 Marshall 2-0 .845   127 .986   123 .999   128 .676   128 .954   127 .993   124 .999   119 1.000