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Strength of Schedule Ratings
:: 2014 :: 2013

 

Strength of Schedule (SOS) Ratings are a function of the FEI ratings of a given team's opponents and the location (home/away/neutral) of each game. These ratings are calculated from the top down, with more significance given to the toughest opponents faced. The overall SOS ratings below represent the likelihood than an elite team (two standard deviations better than average) would go undefeated against the given team's entire schedule. Stronger schedules have smaller SOS ratings.

Additional schedule strength ratings are provided across each of the following dimensions, along with the national SOS ranking in each column. SOS E1 is the likelihood that an elite team would lose one game or fewer against the given team's schedule. SOS E2 is the likelihood that an elite team would lose two games or fewer. SOS G0 is the likelihood that a good team (one st. deviation better than average) would go undefeated against the given team's schedule. SOS G1 is the likelihood that a good team would lose one game or fewer. SOS G2 is the likelihood that a good team would lose two games or fewer. SOS G3 is the likelihood that a good team would lose three games or fewer. SOS G4 is the likelihood that a good team would lose four games or fewer.

Andrew Garcia Phillips of Chartball.com has developed an interactive visualization of 2014 college football strength of schedule based on FEI ratings and the SOS data provided here. The data and visualization tool will be updated weekly throughout the season.

 

 

2014 Strength of Schedule (updated through 11/15/14)

 

Rk Team W-L SOS   Rk E1   Rk E2   Rk G0   Rk G1   Rk G2   Rk G3   Rk G4
1 Stanford 4-5 .026   1 .154   1 .435   1 .000   8 .003   2 .010   2 .077   5 .255
2 Colorado 2-8 .027   2 .178   3 .485   1 .000   6 .002   5 .014   1 .057   1 .186
3 Auburn 7-3 .031   3 .180   2 .472   1 .000   1 .000   6 .018   7 .105   6 .296
4 Arizona 8-2 .039   6 .248   7 .571   1 .000   1 .000   10 .029   10 .133   9 .344
5 Texas A&M 6-4 .047   8 .266   9 .594   1 .000   9 .003   11 .035   12 .158   13 .400
6 Washington State 2-7 .050   5 .223   5 .554   1 .000   4 .001   4 .014   5 .084   4 .250
7 Virginia 3-6 .050   4 .215   4 .527   1 .000   3 .001   3 .011   4 .080   3 .238
8 Arkansas 4-5 .052   9 .266   6 .555   1 .000   7 .002   9 .027   9 .127   10 .345
9 Utah 6-3 .054   7 .256   10 .598   22 .001   11 .003   7 .024   8 .107   8 .339
10 Tennessee 4-5 .055   11 .285   13 .620   1 .000   15 .006   17 .053   15 .180   17 .449
11 UCLA 8-2 .058   10 .270   8 .578   21 .001   5 .001   1 .010   3 .079   2 .216
12 Washington 5-5 .060   16 .309   15 .635   1 .000   19 .009   18 .055   18 .219   19 .472
13 USC 7-3 .064   13 .290   12 .613   1 .000   12 .004   8 .024   6 .104   7 .311
14 Florida 5-4 .066   15 .306   18 .657   23 .001   22 .012   25 .086   29 .285   34 .619
15 California 4-5 .070   14 .298   14 .630   36 .003   16 .007   13 .042   14 .171   14 .402
 
Rk Team W-L SOS   Rk E1   Rk E2   Rk G0   Rk G1   Rk G2   Rk G3   Rk G4
16 LSU 6-4 .072   12 .286   11 .613   30 .002   23 .012   14 .049   16 .187   16 .426
17 Clemson 6-3 .076   17 .313   17 .653   1 .000   10 .003   20 .069   26 .265   27 .555
18 Oklahoma State 4-5 .079   20 .349   20 .680   1 .000   17 .008   22 .070   28 .272   29 .596
19 Miami 5-4 .080   18 .335   16 .648   1 .000   13 .005   12 .039   11 .136   11 .371
20 Oregon State 4-5 .090   21 .377   27 .742   1 .000   26 .015   21 .069   19 .221   18 .468
21 Mississippi State 8-1 .091   29 .424   33 .782   37 .003   35 .021   43 .159   49 .486   52 .803
22 North Carolina 4-5 .095   19 .339   19 .671   1 .000   14 .005   16 .051   13 .165   12 .383
23 Kansas 2-7 .097   27 .407   23 .726   24 .001   27 .016   28 .091   31 .290   33 .616
24 Alabama 9-1 .099   22 .379   21 .709   1 .000   20 .009   19 .069   21 .246   21 .528
25 Vanderbilt 2-7 .105   23 .379   29 .748   32 .002   28 .016   34 .119   34 .331   37 .653
26 Arizona State 7-2 .106   25 .396   24 .727   31 .002   21 .009   15 .050   17 .202   15 .418
27 Kentucky 4-6 .107   24 .392   22 .712   45 .004   34 .020   29 .096   24 .257   24 .541
28 Notre Dame 7-3 .111   30 .431   26 .741   1 .000   18 .008   26 .089   25 .261   23 .530
29 Kansas State 6-2 .111   28 .407   32 .765   1 .000   32 .020   40 .146   42 .421   45 .739
30 Wake Forest 1-8 .121   31 .447   31 .764   27 .001   25 .013   27 .091   30 .286   28 .582
 
Rk Team W-L SOS   Rk E1   Rk E2   Rk G0   Rk G1   Rk G2   Rk G3   Rk G4
31 Oregon 8-1 .122   26 .399   25 .741   25 .001   24 .013   24 .079   20 .243   26 .546
32 Mississippi 7-2 .130   33 .455   28 .744   26 .001   30 .019   30 .099   27 .265   25 .541
33 Wyoming 3-6 .130   50 .562   51 .887   48 .004   52 .061   54 .274   58 .597   58 .865
34 Virginia Tech 4-5 .133   32 .454   30 .753   33 .002   29 .016   23 .076   22 .255   20 .521
35 Michigan State 7-2 .137   47 .558   53 .889   44 .003   55 .078   56 .283   55 .576   56 .850
36 Georgia Tech 8-2 .141   39 .515   37 .805   1 .000   33 .020   31 .102   23 .255   22 .530
37 Boston College 5-4 .149   34 .495   38 .812   39 .003   37 .026   33 .117   33 .325   31 .612
38 West Virginia 5-4 .150   36 .508   43 .829   28 .001   36 .023   39 .145   41 .404   40 .680
39 South Carolina 4-5 .163   38 .510   39 .815   40 .003   42 .032   45 .169   43 .422   41 .705
40 Georgia 8-2 .165   40 .521   34 .795   46 .004   31 .019   32 .114   32 .317   32 .613
41 Michigan 5-5 .165   42 .530   42 .828   41 .003   41 .030   38 .142   39 .387   39 .675
42 Rutgers 5-4 .166   43 .534   44 .834   29 .001   43 .033   42 .155   38 .384   38 .664
43 Minnesota 6-3 .167   48 .561   47 .864   56 .007   47 .043   49 .198   48 .470   49 .790
44 Texas 6-5 .169   41 .528   36 .803   38 .003   39 .027   37 .136   37 .352   36 .652
45 Texas Tech 2-7 .169   49 .561   48 .864   43 .003   44 .035   44 .164   46 .451   44 .734
 
Rk Team W-L SOS   Rk E1   Rk E2   Rk G0   Rk G1   Rk G2   Rk G3   Rk G4
46 North Carolina State 5-5 .170   46 .548   46 .863   47 .004   46 .043   46 .187   44 .427   46 .743
47 Illinois 3-6 .172   44 .545   45 .853   42 .003   45 .042   47 .195   47 .458   47 .746
48 Louisville 6-3 .172   35 .502   35 .796   34 .002   48 .043   41 .150   40 .399   42 .720
49 Pittsburgh 3-6 .176   37 .508   41 .825   35 .002   38 .026   35 .125   36 .345   35 .625
50 Syracuse 2-7 .179   45 .546   40 .820   50 .005   40 .029   36 .126   35 .335   30 .610
51 Fresno State 3-6 .184   51 .576   49 .867   53 .006   59 .088   57 .283   56 .580   57 .857
52 Southern Mississippi 2-8 .197   56 .663   70 .947   65 .014   70 .152   81 .588   87 .901   90 .985
53 Florida Atlantic 3-7 .205   55 .657   63 .928   63 .013   76 .184   82 .602   86 .893   85 .984
54 Iowa State 2-6 .212   52 .604   50 .879   54 .006   50 .054   50 .221   50 .523   53 .804
55 Memphis 6-3 .219   63 .686   74 .957   68 .018   68 .144   80 .557   80 .882   92 .989
56 Duke 7-2 .222   54 .632   59 .917   52 .005   54 .077   59 .302   59 .624   62 .881
57 Oklahoma 7-3 .227   57 .663   55 .908   57 .008   51 .058   52 .260   54 .570   55 .844
58 Florida State 9-0 .232   53 .628   52 .888   49 .004   49 .052   48 .197   45 .439   43 .734
59 TCU 8-1 .257   60 .684   62 .926   64 .014   64 .114   63 .350   64 .692   65 .898
60 Missouri 7-2 .265   58 .664   58 .916   61 .011   58 .088   58 .300   57 .592   54 .832
 
Rk Team W-L SOS   Rk E1   Rk E2   Rk G0   Rk G1   Rk G2   Rk G3   Rk G4
61 Indiana 2-7 .267   64 .688   57 .915   51 .005   60 .090   60 .314   60 .638   61 .876
62 Nebraska 7-2 .268   61 .684   56 .914   55 .006   57 .086   61 .321   61 .639   59 .866
63 SMU 0-9 .270   67 .708   73 .950   62 .011   63 .105   65 .373   67 .715   68 .917
64 Cincinnati 6-3 .276   68 .710   69 .947   58 .009   66 .128   68 .428   71 .758   74 .936
65 Maryland 5-4 .280   62 .685   64 .931   59 .010   53 .062   51 .246   52 .558   51 .799
66 San Jose State 2-7 .287   66 .705   61 .925   69 .019   65 .117   62 .340   63 .666   63 .887
67 Northwestern 3-6 .291   59 .670   54 .906   60 .011   61 .096   55 .279   53 .564   50 .793
68 Baylor 7-1 .299   69 .731   65 .935   71 .023   69 .144   67 .420   69 .737   75 .937
69 Purdue 2-7 .301   65 .698   60 .922   66 .015   56 .085   53 .268   51 .532   48 .786
70 Boise State 8-2 .306   71 .739   68 .946   73 .028   73 .169   69 .433   68 .724   66 .898
71 Tulane 2-7 .311   70 .734   66 .938   67 .016   62 .103   64 .359   62 .646   60 .875
72 Louisiana Lafayette 6-3 .337   84 .839   89 .983   88 .066   98 .444   103 .861   104 .978   109 .998
73 Louisiana Tech 7-2 .339   78 .798   86 .977   85 .059   90 .369   102 .854   120 .992   116 .999
74 Ohio State 9-1 .348   72 .761   67 .944   70 .020   67 .141   66 .400   65 .699   67 .905
75 Nevada 5-4 .350   79 .799   75 .957   72 .023   74 .180   71 .462   72 .765   70 .921
 
Rk Team W-L SOS   Rk E1   Rk E2   Rk G0   Rk G1   Rk G2   Rk G3   Rk G4
76 Troy 3-7 .353   81 .821   88 .983   87 .065   92 .392   98 .815   100 .968   103 .997
77 Utah State 7-3 .364   74 .775   77 .964   76 .030   75 .183   72 .465   70 .752   77 .943
78 UNLV 1-9 .364   76 .795   78 .966   74 .029   71 .161   70 .455   66 .714   64 .896
79 New Mexico 3-7 .364   73 .765   71 .948   77 .034   77 .205   78 .531   79 .823   79 .957
80 Tulsa 2-8 .371   75 .778   72 .948   75 .030   72 .168   73 .482   73 .771   72 .929
81 Navy 4-5 .386   82 .825   79 .967   81 .042   83 .284   84 .646   84 .892   84 .982
82 UAB 4-5 .389   80 .808   80 .969   84 .054   88 .334   89 .713   92 .935   101 .996
83 Colorado State 8-1 .395   77 .796   76 .959   83 .053   80 .228   76 .520   78 .819   76 .943
84 Kent State 1-9 .406   87 .851   100 .991   92 .073   103 .497   106 .871   105 .979   98 .995
85 Iowa 6-3 .425   85 .839   81 .971   79 .040   78 .214   74 .498   74 .773   71 .927
86 Arkansas State 5-4 .432   90 .857   90 .983   94 .091   100 .475   104 .866   108 .982   105 .997
87 Georgia Southern 7-3 .432   97 .887   97 .990   98 .100   105 .555   119 .916   119 .991   118 1.000
88 Rice 6-4 .454   83 .838   94 .984   96 .095   93 .403   92 .733   94 .938   94 .992
89 East Carolina 5-3 .463   93 .867   91 .984   90 .067   89 .338   88 .704   88 .916   86 .984
90 South Florida 3-6 .466   92 .866   106 .993   89 .066   84 .307   86 .666   83 .889   83 .978
 
Rk Team W-L SOS   Rk E1   Rk E2   Rk G0   Rk G1   Rk G2   Rk G3   Rk G4
91 Middle Tennessee 4-5 .468   86 .839   84 .973   95 .093   96 .415   94 .760   93 .938   93 .990
92 BYU 6-4 .472   88 .853   85 .977   82 .047   81 .239   77 .529   77 .804   73 .932
93 Eastern Michigan 1-8 .477   89 .856   87 .982   97 .098   97 .421   95 .777   95 .951   91 .988
94 San Diego State 4-5 .482   94 .870   83 .972   86 .060   86 .317   85 .656   82 .887   81 .965
95 Wisconsin 7-2 .484   91 .859   82 .971   80 .040   82 .246   79 .540   76 .792   78 .946
96 Penn State 6-4 .488   99 .893   93 .984   78 .039   79 .225   75 .520   75 .773   69 .917
97 Central Florida 5-3 .503   95 .883   95 .987   93 .084   87 .328   87 .686   89 .919   87 .984
98 Georgia State 0-9 .513   101 .899   107 .993   102 .116   101 .487   101 .841   99 .967   95 .993
99 South Alabama 6-4 .515   96 .883   103 .992   100 .108   99 .457   96 .800   98 .965   100 .995
100 Hawaii 2-8 .542   98 .892   92 .984   91 .070   85 .307   83 .633   81 .887   80 .964
101 Bowling Green 6-3 .566   105 .931   116 .998   106 .152   107 .558   107 .884   112 .983   112 .998
102 Northern Illinois 7-2 .569   108 .944   111 .996   107 .174   106 .556   100 .833   97 .963   99 .995
103 Connecticut 1-7 .582   102 .919   98 .990   104 .128   94 .406   93 .734   91 .933   88 .984
104 Air Force 7-2 .592   100 .894   102 .992   101 .110   91 .387   90 .719   90 .922   89 .984
105 Western Michigan 6-3 .593   115 .952   110 .995   110 .185   118 .646   115 .902   109 .982   106 .997
 
Rk Team W-L SOS   Rk E1   Rk E2   Rk G0   Rk G1   Rk G2   Rk G3   Rk G4
106 UTSA 3-7 .597   104 .927   96 .989   103 .120   102 .495   97 .806   96 .960   97 .994
107 Western Kentucky 5-5 .597   103 .926   105 .993   109 .180   108 .587   109 .892   110 .983   102 .997
108 Louisiana Monroe 3-7 .598   107 .935   99 .990   105 .152   104 .511   99 .833   102 .971   96 .994
109 UTEP 6-4 .610   114 .951   114 .997   108 .174   111 .615   111 .895   111 .983   111 .998
110 Temple 4-5 .613   106 .931   104 .992   99 .103   95 .410   91 .732   85 .892   82 .974
111 Buffalo 2-6 .618   113 .950   117 .998   119 .265   126 .846   127 .990   128 1.000   118 1.000
112 Akron 3-6 .626   109 .944   108 .994   112 .205   109 .602   117 .907   116 .989   114 .999
113 Ohio 4-5 .630   116 .952   101 .991   113 .215   116 .633   116 .906   115 .988   118 1.000
114 Houston 4-4 .633   111 .949   113 .996   114 .220   115 .626   105 .869   101 .970   104 .997
115 Florida International 3-6 .646   112 .949   123 .999   111 .193   110 .612   112 .896   117 .990   118 1.000
116 New Mexico State 1-8 .647   110 .946   109 .995   120 .268   122 .755   122 .953   124 .997   118 1.000
117 Army 3-6 .658   119 .960   125 1.000   116 .223   113 .624   114 .900   107 .981   110 .998
118 Massachusetts 3-7 .669   117 .955   115 .997   117 .225   112 .616   113 .898   113 .984   107 .998
119 Toledo 5-4 .694   118 .957   112 .996   115 .223   117 .637   110 .892   106 .979   118 1.000
120 Miami (OH) 2-8 .747   120 .974   118 .998   118 .256   114 .624   108 .885   103 .976   108 .998
 
Rk Team W-L SOS   Rk E1   Rk E2   Rk G0   Rk G1   Rk G2   Rk G3   Rk G4
121 Ball State 2-6 .767   122 .979   124 .999   122 .310   119 .693   120 .926   118 .990   115 .999
122 Old Dominion 3-6 .786   121 .978   119 .999   123 .333   121 .746   121 .944   121 .993   118 1.000
123 North Texas 2-7 .818   123 .986   125 1.000   124 .410   123 .788   123 .953   122 .993   117 .999
124 Appalachian State 4-4 .822   125 .989   121 .999   126 .427   125 .841   125 .973   123 .997   118 1.000
125 Central Michigan 6-4 .824   124 .986   120 .999   121 .300   120 .728   118 .915   114 .986   113 .999
126 Texas State 4-5 .828   127 .990   125 1.000   127 .569   127 .892   126 .985   127 .999   118 1.000
127 Idaho 1-9 .829   128 .992   125 1.000   125 .425   124 .813   124 .970   125 .998   118 1.000
128 Marshall 9-0 .847   126 .989   122 .999   128 .667   128 .950   128 .996   126 .998   118 1.000