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Elite Win Ratings
:: 2018 

 

Elite Win Ratings (EWR) are based on FEI ratings, but instead of measuring efficiency against schedule, they measure achievement against schedule. Team win totals are adjusted to account for FBS victories and the expected losses an elite team (two standard deviations better than average) would achieve against the given team's schedule (EL). The College Football Playoff selection committee ranking (CFP) for each team is provided for reference.

The table also includes each team's current FEI rating (FEI), its current APA rating (APA), and the count of single-game efficiency performances the team has produced to date based on current GFEI ratings in each of the following categories: 90th percentile performances or better (G90), 80th percentile performances or better (G80), 70th percentile performances or better (G70), 60th percentile performances or better (G60), 50th percentile performances or better (G50), and performances in the bottom 50th percentile (Sub).

 

2018 Elite Win Ratings (final)

 

Rk Team Rec EWR   CFP   FEI Rk APP Rk EL Rk   G90 G80 G70 G60 G50 Sub
1 Clemson 14-0 15.60   2   .311 2 2.76 2 1.60 21   10 13 13 14 14 0
2 Alabama 13-1 14.63   1   .326 1 2.91 1 2.63 1   11 12 12 12 13 1
3 Ohio State 13-1 13.29   6   .206 6 1.63 6 1.29 41   6 9 10 12 13 1
4 Notre Dame 12-1 12.33   3   .177 9 1.48 10 1.33 37   5 9 9 11 11 2
5 Oklahoma 12-2 11.81   4   .218 5 1.84 4 1.81 13   5 10 13 13 14 0
6 Central Florida 11-1 10.61   8   .175 11 1.61 8 .61 100   2 3 6 10 11 1
7 Fresno State 11-2 9.82   21   .163 14 1.38 12 .82 74   2 6 10 10 12 1
8 Georgia 10-3 9.37   5   .262 3 2.33 3 2.37 4   8 10 13 13 13 0
9 Washington State 10-2 8.81   13   .131 22 1.05 25 .81 76   1 6 7 8 11 1
10 Cincinnati 10-2 8.66   -   .117 27 1.09 22 .66 94   2 4 5 7 9 3
11 Utah State 10-2 8.62   -   .130 23 1.25 15 .62 98   3 4 7 7 10 2
12 Michigan 10-3 8.60   7   .164 13 1.39 11 1.60 20   4 8 9 10 11 2
13 Appalachian State 10-2 8.44   -   .094 32 1.05 26 .44 116   2 4 5 5 8 4
14 LSU 9-3 8.37   11   .219 4 1.62 7 2.37 5   4 6 9 9 9 3
15 Boise State 10-3 7.84   25   .142 19 1.16 20 .84 73   2 4 9 9 9 4
 
Rk Team Rec EWR   CFP   FEI Rk APP Rk EL Rk   G90 G80 G70 G60 G50 Sub
16 Army 9-2 7.76   -   .129 24 1.21 18 .76 82   3 5 5 5 7 4
17 Kentucky 9-3 7.71   14   .139 21 .96 28 1.71 17   3 4 6 8 9 3
18 Texas 10-4 7.68   15   .149 16 1.08 23 1.68 18   3 4 8 9 11 3
19 UAB 10-3 7.45   -   .018 55 .22 49 .45 114   0 1 2 6 8 5
20 Syracuse 9-3 7.41   20   .087 34 .68 32 1.41 30   2 4 5 6 8 4
21 Georgia Southern 9-3 6.91   -   .001 61 .12 56 .91 68   1 1 2 4 6 6
22 Florida 8-3 6.74   10   .177 10 1.34 13 1.74 15   3 6 7 9 9 2
23 Troy 9-3 6.53   -   .021 52 .16 53 .53 108   0 1 3 3 4 8
24 Texas A&M 8-4 6.51   19   .141 20 1.08 24 2.51 3   3 6 9 9 10 2
25 Washington 9-4 6.45   9   .200 7 1.53 9 1.45 28   4 6 9 12 12 1
26 Penn State 9-4 6.29   12   .145 17 1.17 19 1.29 42   3 5 9 10 11 2
27 Northwestern 9-5 5.63   22   .100 31 .65 33 1.63 19   3 6 7 9 9 5
28 Buffalo 9-4 5.54   -   .026 49 .31 45 .54 106   0 2 4 5 9 4
29 Stanford 8-4 5.34   -   .089 33 .64 34 1.34 35   0 3 7 10 11 1
30 North Carolina State 8-4 5.25   -   .060 40 .60 35 1.25 46   1 2 6 8 9 3
 
Rk Team Rec EWR   CFP   FEI Rk APP Rk EL Rk   G90 G80 G70 G60 G50 Sub
31 Oregon 8-4 5.07   -   .051 42 .38 43 1.07 59   2 3 6 6 8 4
32 Iowa 8-4 5.00   -   .165 12 1.24 16 1.00 62   2 7 8 9 12 0
33 Temple 8-4 4.67   -   .025 50 .24 48 .67 92   0 2 4 4 4 8
34 Ohio 8-4 4.56   -   .115 28 1.13 21 .56 105   2 3 6 6 8 4
35 Auburn 7-5 4.54   -   .145 18 1.22 17 2.54 2   3 6 6 8 10 2
36 Utah 8-5 4.35   17   .125 25 .89 29 1.35 34   3 7 8 10 11 2
37 North Texas 8-4 4.33   -   .030 47 .30 46 .33 123   0 1 3 3 4 8
38 Wisconsin 8-5 4.28   -   .052 41 .49 40 1.28 43   2 4 4 6 6 7
39 Marshall 8-4 4.28   -   -.007 71 -.11 73 .28 125   0 1 1 1 4 8
40 Florida International 8-4 4.25   -   -.039 83 -.21 81 .25 127   0 0 1 2 4 8
41 Mississippi State 7-5 4.22   18   .182 8 1.70 5 2.22 7   7 8 9 11 11 1
42 West Virginia 7-4 4.07   16   .125 26 .96 27 1.07 57   2 6 7 8 9 2
43 Missouri 7-5 3.94   23   .152 15 1.31 14 1.94 12   1 7 8 12 12 0
44 Duke 7-5 3.44   -   .076 37 .49 38 1.44 29   3 5 5 8 9 3
45 Iowa State 7-5 3.36   24   .103 30 .79 31 1.36 31   1 2 6 8 10 2
 
Rk Team Rec EWR   CFP   FEI Rk APP Rk EL Rk   G90 G80 G70 G60 G50 Sub
46 Louisiana Tech 7-5 3.03   -   -.081 93 -.63 93 1.03 60   0 0 3 3 4 8
47 Arkansas State 7-5 3.00   -   -.042 86 -.13 78 1.00 63   0 0 1 1 2 10
48 Northern Illinois 8-6 2.75   -   -.003 66 -.12 75 .75 84   0 1 2 3 6 8
49 Virginia 7-5 2.65   -   .083 36 .59 36 .65 95   2 3 4 6 7 5
50 Nevada 7-5 2.48   -   .013 58 .02 60 .48 109   0 1 2 4 6 6
51 Houston 7-5 2.36   -   -.056 89 -.31 85 .36 121   0 0 1 4 5 7
52 Michigan State 7-6 2.25   -   .114 29 .81 30 1.25 45   2 5 6 9 11 2
53 Arizona State 7-6 2.21   -   .068 39 .48 41 1.21 47   1 2 4 7 10 3
54 South Carolina 6-6 2.18   -   .048 43 .43 42 2.18 8   1 3 5 8 8 4
55 Boston College 6-5 2.17   -   .001 62 .01 63 1.17 48   0 2 4 5 6 5
56 Middle Tennessee 7-6 2.16   -   -.020 74 -.08 69 1.16 51   0 2 4 4 5 8
57 Minnesota 7-6 2.11   -   .035 46 .28 47 1.11 54   3 5 5 6 8 5
58 Memphis 7-6 1.88   -   -.023 77 -.10 72 .88 70   0 0 1 4 5 8
59 Hawaii 7-6 1.81   -   -.114 104 -.86 100 .81 77   0 1 2 2 2 11
60 Georgia Tech 6-6 1.54   -   -.023 76 -.10 71 1.54 23   0 1 4 5 9 3
 
Rk Team Rec EWR   CFP   FEI Rk APP Rk EL Rk   G90 G80 G70 G60 G50 Sub
61 Baylor 6-6 1.33   -   -.015 73 -.07 66 1.33 36   0 2 4 4 7 5
62 TCU 6-6 1.33   -   .020 53 .09 58 1.33 38   0 1 4 6 8 4
63 Oklahoma State 6-6 1.27   -   .084 35 .49 39 1.27 44   2 5 5 5 9 3
64 BYU 6-6 1.17   -   -.004 67 -.02 64 1.17 49   0 2 3 5 6 6
65 Wake Forest 6-6 1.16   -   -.022 75 -.13 77 1.16 52   2 2 2 3 4 8
66 San Diego State 6-6 1.00   -   -.001 63 -.11 74 1.00 61   1 1 3 4 5 7
67 Pittsburgh 6-7 0.99   -   .047 44 .34 44 1.99 9   1 3 5 9 9 4
68 Miami 6-6 0.81   -   .074 38 .52 37 .81 75   0 2 7 8 8 4
69 California 6-6 0.78   -   .010 59 -.05 65 .78 79   1 2 3 6 7 5
70 Tulane 6-6 0.76   -   -.064 90 -.44 89 .76 81   0 1 1 1 2 10
71 Miami (OH) 6-6 0.67   -   .020 54 .12 55 .67 93   0 2 4 5 5 7
72 Western Michigan 6-6 0.62   -   -.084 94 -.63 92 .62 99   0 1 1 1 4 8
73 South Florida 6-6 0.56   -   -.088 95 -.69 94 .56 104   0 0 0 1 2 10
74 Louisiana Lafayette 6-7 0.56   -   -.139 111 -.88 101 1.56 22   0 0 0 1 2 11
75 Toledo 6-6 0.53   -   -.066 91 -.47 90 .53 107   0 0 1 1 3 9
 
Rk Team Rec EWR   CFP   FEI Rk APP Rk EL Rk   G90 G80 G70 G60 G50 Sub
76 Southern Mississippi 5-5 0.46   -   -.004 68 -.08 68 .46 111   0 0 2 3 4 6
77 Eastern Michigan 6-6 0.42   -   -.025 79 -.20 80 .42 119   0 0 1 1 1 11
78 Purdue 6-7 0.30   -   .037 45 .21 50 1.30 40   1 5 6 8 10 3
79 Wyoming 5-6 -0.02   -   -.055 88 -.36 87 .98 66   0 0 0 2 3 8
80 Vanderbilt 5-7 -0.27   -   .014 57 .21 51 1.73 16   0 2 5 8 8 4
81 Maryland 5-7 -0.47   -   -.040 84 -.17 79 1.53 24   1 2 3 4 6 6
82 Louisiana Monroe 5-6 -0.56   -   -.104 102 -.78 99 .44 115   1 1 2 3 3 8
83 Indiana 5-7 -0.69   -   .024 51 .17 52 1.31 39   0 2 3 4 7 5
84 Tennessee 4-7 -0.78   -   -.038 82 -.30 84 2.22 6   2 2 2 3 4 7
85 USC 5-7 -0.90   -   -.002 64 -.12 76 1.10 56   0 1 2 4 5 7
86 Mississippi 4-7 -1.23   -   -.003 65 .09 57 1.77 14   1 1 2 3 6 5
87 Virginia Tech 5-7 -1.24   -   -.029 80 -.35 86 .76 83   1 1 2 6 6 6
88 Liberty 4-6 -1.30   -   -.142 113 -1.07 106 .70 91   0 0 0 2 2 8
89 Florida State 4-7 -1.51   -   -.049 87 -.37 88 1.49 25   0 0 1 3 5 6
90 Kansas State 4-7 -1.64   -   -.037 81 -.23 82 1.36 33   1 1 3 4 7 4
 
Rk Team Rec EWR   CFP   FEI Rk APP Rk EL Rk   G90 G80 G70 G60 G50 Sub
91 Florida Atlantic 4-7 -2.01   -   -.005 70 .01 61 .99 64   1 1 1 3 4 7
92 Texas Tech 4-7 -2.01   -   .015 56 .01 62 .99 65   1 1 3 3 7 4
93 Colorado 4-7 -2.09   -   .004 60 .04 59 .91 69   0 2 5 5 6 5
94 SMU 4-7 -2.13   -   -.089 97 -.76 96 .87 71   0 0 0 3 4 7
95 Air Force 4-7 -2.26   -   -.009 72 -.08 70 .74 86   0 0 0 3 5 6
96 Arizona 4-7 -2.37   -   -.004 69 -.07 67 .63 97   1 1 2 3 5 6
97 Charlotte 4-7 -2.66   -   -.075 92 -.75 95 .34 122   0 0 1 2 3 8
98 Coastal Carolina 4-7 -2.68   -   -.189 122 -1.53 119 .32 124   1 1 1 1 1 10
99 Nebraska 3-8 -3.55   -   .027 48 .13 54 1.45 26   0 4 4 5 5 6
100 Kansas 3-8 -3.90   -   -.090 98 -.77 98 1.10 55   0 0 0 0 2 9
101 Massachusetts 3-8 -4.03   -   -.211 126 -1.66 124 .97 67   0 0 0 0 1 10
102 Colorado State 3-8 -4.13   -   -.162 120 -1.34 118 .87 72   0 0 1 1 1 10
103 Akron 3-8 -4.21   -   -.102 101 -1.06 105 .79 78   0 1 1 2 3 8
104 Illinois 3-8 -4.26   -   -.151 116 -1.26 114 .74 85   1 1 1 2 3 8
105 Ball State 3-8 -4.27   -   -.148 115 -1.24 113 .73 87   0 0 1 1 1 10
 
Rk Team Rec EWR   CFP   FEI Rk APP Rk EL Rk   G90 G80 G70 G60 G50 Sub
106 East Carolina 3-8 -4.37   -   -.146 114 -1.09 107 .63 96   0 0 1 1 2 9
107 UNLV 3-8 -4.43   -   -.089 96 -.77 97 .57 103   0 0 1 2 3 8
108 UCLA 3-9 -4.55   -   -.024 78 -.26 83 1.45 27   1 1 1 5 7 5
109 Western Kentucky 3-8 -4.74   -   -.113 103 -.99 104 .26 126   0 0 0 1 1 10
110 Old Dominion 3-8 -4.84   -   -.130 106 -1.24 112 .16 129   0 0 0 0 2 9
111 UTSA 3-9 -5.62   -   -.219 128 -1.88 127 .38 120   0 0 0 0 0 12
112 New Mexico 2-9 -6.29   -   -.153 117 -1.29 115 .71 88   0 1 1 1 1 10
113 South Alabama 2-9 -6.52   -   -.206 125 -1.75 126 .48 110   0 0 0 0 0 11
114 Tulsa 2-9 -6.55   -   -.099 100 -.89 102 .45 112   0 0 0 1 2 9
115 Bowling Green 2-9 -6.57   -   -.179 121 -1.58 122 .43 117   0 0 0 1 1 10
116 New Mexico State 2-9 -6.57   -   -.195 124 -1.67 125 .43 118   0 0 0 0 0 11
117 Texas State 2-9 -6.77   -   -.133 108 -1.16 108 .23 128   0 0 0 2 2 9
118 Navy 2-10 -6.93   -   -.137 110 -1.23 111 1.07 58   0 0 0 0 2 10
119 Arkansas 1-10 -7.02   -   -.098 99 -.90 103 1.98 10   0 0 3 3 3 8
120 Louisville 1-10 -7.06   -   -.235 129 -2.11 129 1.94 11   0 0 0 0 0 11
 
Rk Team Rec EWR   CFP   FEI Rk APP Rk EL Rk   G90 G80 G70 G60 G50 Sub
121 North Carolina 1-9 -7.29   -   -.041 85 -.55 91 .71 89   0 0 0 4 6 4
122 Oregon State 1-10 -7.64   -   -.162 119 -1.56 121 1.36 32   0 0 1 3 3 8
123 San Jose State 1-10 -7.89   -   -.133 109 -1.20 110 1.11 53   0 0 0 1 2 9
124 Kent State 1-10 -8.41   -   -.158 118 -1.53 120 .59 102   0 0 0 0 1 10
125 Georgia State 1-10 -8.55   -   -.193 123 -1.65 123 .45 113   0 0 0 1 1 10
126 Rutgers 1-11 -8.83   -   -.132 107 -1.20 109 1.17 50   0 0 1 2 4 8
127 UTEP 1-10 -8.85   -   -.139 112 -1.31 117 .15 130   0 0 0 0 1 10
128 Rice 1-11 -9.29   -   -.216 127 -1.94 128 .71 90   0 0 0 0 0 12
129 Connecticut 0-11 -10.23   -   -.296 130 -2.82 130 .77 80   0 0 0 0 0 11
130 Central Michigan 0-11 -10.40   -   -.121 105 -1.30 116 .60 101   0 0 0 1 1 10