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2018 Game Projections


FEI Game Projections are calculated as a function of the current FEI rating of each team and an adjustment for home field advantage. Projections identify the Win Likelihood (WL) of the projected game winner, a projected final score (PF), and the likelihood of various game results for the projected winner: DW (dominant win by 25+ points), SW (strong win by 17-24 points), MW (moderate win by 9-16 points), NW (narrow win by 1-8 points), NL (narrow loss by 1-8 points), ML (moderate loss by 9-16 points), SL (strong loss by 17-24 points), and DL (dominant loss by 25+ points).

 

2018 Game Projection Results Summary


FEI game projection results are provided below, including expected results as a function of individual game win likelihoods (Proj Pct), actual results of projected game winners (SU Rec, SU Pct), projected game winner results by win likelihood range, the average absolute error between projected margin and result (ME), and projection results against the betting market line (ATS Rec, ATS Pct).

Week
  Proj Pct   SU Rec SU Pct   50-60 60-75 75-90 90+   ME   ATS Rec ATS Pct
1
  .782   34-9 .791   .714 .727 .636 1.000   13.7   24-17 .585
2
  .765   35-14 .714   .455 .700 .706 1.000   14.5   25-22 .532
3
  .769   32-17 .653   .308 .571 .786 .867   14.6   22-21 .512
4
  .779   46-9 .836   .571 .800 .882 .938   12.0   28-24 .538
5
  .750   44-11 .800   .600 .750 .867 1.000   12.4   28-26 .519
6
  .799   33-23 .589   .429 .462 .571 .800   16.5   21-31 .404
7
  .798   38-16 .704   .429 .500 .813 .882   15.8   27-25 .519
Total
  .777   262-99 .726   .484 .656 .748 .918   14.2   175-166 .513

 

 

Week 7 Game Projections and Results

 

Result ATS Date WL Projected Winner Projected Loser PF DW SW MW NW NL ML SL DL
W 35-9 Win 10/9 .836 Appalachian State Arkansas State 36-20 .316 .245 .185 .091 .124 .023 .012 .004
W 15-13 Win 10/11 .849 Georgia Southern Texas State 34-18 .335 .246 .183 .084 .117 .021 .010 .003
L 14-17 Win 10/11 .548 TCU Texas Tech 28-26 .061 .016 .198 .273 .261 .096 .062 .032
W 21-17 Lose 10/12 .903 San Diego State Air Force 35-14 .302 .268 .214 .119 .071 .015 .008 .003
L 24-25 Win 10/12 .574 Tulsa South Florida 27-24 .062 .043 .204 .265 .248 .090 .058 .030
W 42-10 Win 10/12 .854 Utah Arizona 31-15 .224 .252 .226 .152 .101 .025 .014 .006
W 39-10 Lose 10/13 .941 Alabama Missouri 43-19 .390 .270 .196 .084 .047 .008 .004 .001
W 52-3 Win 10/13 .912 Army San Jose State 40-18 .461 .245 .162 .044 .075 .009 .004 .000
L 24-30 Lose 10/13 .990 Auburn Tennessee 41-3 .659 .198 .111 .021 .009 .000 .000 .000
W 31-27 Lose 10/13 .926 Boise State Nevada 37-13 .497 .241 .155 .033 .065 .006 .002 .000
W 38-20 Win 10/13 .963 Boston College Louisville 40-13 .463 .264 .179 .057 .031 .004 .002 .000
W 24-6 Win 10/13 .829 Buffalo Akron 32-18 .193 .241 .229 .167 .115 .030 .018 .008
W 49-23 Lose 10/13 .718 BYU Hawaii 33-25 .104 .171 .227 .215 .175 .055 .034 .017
L 7-37 Win 10/13 .664 California UCLA 27-21 .080 .127 .221 .236 .203 .068 .043 .021
W 31-30 Lose 10/13 .816 Central Florida Memphis 43-28 .287 .241 .188 .100 .137 .027 .015 .005
L 23-24 Lose 10/13 .636 Central Michigan Ball State 26-21 .072 .101 .217 .246 .217 .075 .048 .024
L 20-45 Lose 10/13 .744 Coastal Carolina Louisiana Monroe 39-29 .119 .190 .229 .205 .162 .049 .030 .015
W 28-14 Win 10/13 .888 Duke Georgia Tech 38-19 .406 .248 .172 .062 .092 .013 .006 .001
W 28-26 Win 10/13 .942 Eastern Michigan Toledo 42-17 .392 .270 .196 .083 .046 .008 .004 .001
W 37-27 Win 10/13 .968 Florida Vanderbilt 37-8 .628 .208 .120 .012 .031 .000 .000 .001
W 24-21 Win 10/13 .785 Florida International Middle Tennessee 33-21 .150 .217 .230 .188 .140 .040 .024 .011
W 27-3 Win 10/13 .898 Fresno State Wyoming 32-12 .293 .267 .215 .123 .074 .016 .009 .003
L 16-36 Win 10/13 .554 Georgia LSU 28-26 .084 .137 .173 .160 .279 .087 .054 .026
W 42-20 Win 10/13 .871 Houston East Carolina 37-19 .373 .248 .178 .072 .103 .016 .008 .002
W 42-16 Win 10/13 .758 Iowa Indiana 29-18 .219 .225 .192 .121 .171 .040 .022 .009
W 22-16 Win 10/13 .590 Liberty Troy 29-26 .064 .057 .208 .261 .240 .086 .055 .028
W 31-3 Win 10/13 .955 Louisiana Tech UTSA 37-10 .591 .225 .135 .004 .042 .001 .000 .001
W 42-20 Lose 10/13 .561 Marshall Old Dominion 28-26 .087 .140 .174 .159 .276 .085 .053 .025
W 34-7 Win 10/13 .961 Maryland Rutgers 37-10 .454 .265 .181 .060 .032 .004 .002 .000
L 13-16 Win 10/13 .655 Miami Virginia 28-22 .135 .185 .188 .146 .227 .063 .038 .017
W 31-6 Lose 10/13 .747 Miami (OH) Kent State 32-22 .121 .192 .229 .204 .160 .049 .030 .014
W 37-33 Lose 10/13 .693 Mississippi Arkansas 32-24 .161 .201 .191 .139 .207 .054 .032 .014
L 18-20 Lose 10/13 .686 New Mexico Colorado State 32-24 .157 .199 .190 .140 .210 .056 .033 .015
L 38-66 Lose 10/13 .777 New Mexico State Louisiana Lafayette 37-25 .239 .231 .192 .115 .160 .036 .020 .008
W 30-7 Win 10/13 .884 North Texas Southern Mississippi 31-13 .268 .263 .219 .133 .083 .019 .010 .004
W 24-21 Win 10/13 .655 Northern Illinois Ohio 29-24 .077 .119 .220 .239 .208 .070 .045 .022
W 34-31 Push 10/13 .937 Northwestern Nebraska 36-12 .381 .271 .198 .088 .049 .008 .004 .001
W 19-14 Lose 10/13 .990 Notre Dame Pittsburgh 46-6 .678 .182 .099 .031 .009 .001 .000 .000
W 30-14 Lose 10/13 .990 Ohio State Minnesota 44-10 .606 .236 .142 .006 .009 .000 .000 .000
L 12-31 Lose 10/13 .848 Oklahoma State Kansas State 38-22 .334 .246 .183 .085 .117 .021 .011 .004
L 17-21 Win 10/13 .602 Penn State Michigan State 27-24 .065 .068 .210 .258 .234 .083 .053 .027
W 46-7 Win 10/13 .835 Purdue Illinois 34-19 .313 .245 .186 .091 .125 .023 .012 .004
W 24-17 Win 10/13 .887 Temple Navy 37-17 .405 .248 .173 .062 .092 .013 .006 .001
W 23-17 Lose 10/13 .955 Texas Baylor 42-15 .434 .267 .186 .067 .037 .005 .002 .001
W 26-23 Lose 10/13 .546 Texas A&M South Carolina 26-24 .081 .132 .172 .161 .284 .089 .055 .027
W 42-0 Lose 10/13 .711 UAB Rice 32-23 .176 .209 .192 .134 .197 .050 .029 .013
W 31-20 n/a 10/13 .702 USC Colorado 31-24 .096 .158 .226 .222 .184 .059 .037 .018
W 59-28 Lose 10/13 .947 Utah State UNLV 41-16 .409 .269 .192 .077 .042 .007 .003 .001
W 22-19 Lose 10/13 .943 Virginia Tech North Carolina 38-12 .549 .233 .144 .017 .052 .003 .001 .000
L 27-30 Lose 10/13 .937 Washington Oregon 39-15 .527 .237 .149 .023 .057 .004 .002 .000
L 14-30 Lose 10/13 .701 West Virginia Iowa State 30-23 .168 .205 .191 .137 .202 .052 .031 .014
L 14-40 Lose 10/13 .815 Western Kentucky Charlotte 33-19 .285 .241 .189 .100 .137 .028 .015 .006
W 42-35 Win 10/13 .688 Western Michigan Bowling Green 36-29 .158 .199 .191 .140 .209 .055 .033 .015
L 13-38 Lose 10/13 .535 Wisconsin Michigan 27-26 .077 .127 .170 .161 .289 .091 .057 .028

 

 

Week 6 Game Projections and Results

 

Result ATS Date WL Projected Winner Projected Loser PF DW SW MW NW NL ML SL DL
W 41-26 Win 10/4 0.825 Houston Tulsa 34-20 0.189 0.239 0.229 0.168 0.117 0.031 0.018 0.008
W 37-20 Push 10/4 0.894 Troy Georgia State 38-18 0.285 0.266 0.217 0.126 0.077 0.017 0.009 0.004
L 20-45 Lose 10/5 0.726 BYU Utah State 30-22 0.108 0.177 0.228 0.212 0.171 0.054 0.033 0.016
L 31-66 Lose 10/5 0.575 Louisville Georgia Tech 29-27 0.062 0.044 0.204 0.265 0.248 0.090 0.058 0.029
L 24-34 Lose 10/5 0.928 Marshall Middle Tennessee 35-12 0.356 0.271 0.204 0.097 0.055 0.010 0.005 0.002
W 35-7 Win 10/6 0.504 Air Force Navy 31-30 0.055 0.034 0.162 0.253 0.283 0.107 0.070 0.036
L 17-41 Lose 10/6 0.667 Akron Miami (OH) 26-20 0.081 0.130 0.221 0.235 0.202 0.067 0.043 0.021
W 65-31 Win 10/6 0.986 Alabama Arkansas 43-9 0.691 0.168 0.089 0.038 0.011 0.002 0.000 0.000
W 24-17 Win 10/6 0.730 Arizona California 29-21 0.111 0.180 0.228 0.211 0.169 0.053 0.033 0.016
L 21-28 Lose 10/6 0.797 Arizona State Colorado 35-22 0.262 0.237 0.190 0.108 0.148 0.031 0.017 0.007
L 9-23 Lose 10/6 0.787 Auburn Mississippi State 28-16 0.250 0.234 0.191 0.112 0.154 0.034 0.018 0.007
W 37-34 Lose 10/6 0.713 Baylor Kansas State 32-24 0.101 0.167 0.227 0.217 0.178 0.057 0.035 0.017
L 13-19 Win 10/6 0.764 Boise State San Diego State 32-21 0.133 0.204 0.230 0.197 0.151 0.045 0.027 0.013
W 34-24 Win 10/6 0.777 Buffalo Central Michigan 30-18 0.239 0.231 0.192 0.115 0.160 0.036 0.020 0.008
W 48-20 Win 10/6 0.985 Central Florida SMU 48-16 0.571 0.245 0.152 0.018 0.013 0.001 0.000 0.000
W 37-21 Win 10/6 0.825 Cincinnati Tulane 33-19 0.188 0.239 0.229 0.169 0.118 0.031 0.018 0.008
W 63-3 Win 10/6 0.952 Clemson Wake Forest 39-12 0.580 0.228 0.138 0.007 0.045 0.002 0.000 0.001
L 24-27 Win 10/6 0.638 Eastern Michigan Western Michigan 30-25 0.125 0.178 0.186 0.149 0.236 0.067 0.040 0.019
W 21-3 Lose 10/6 0.839 Fresno State Nevada 35-19 0.320 0.245 0.185 0.089 0.123 0.023 0.012 0.004
W 41-13 Win 10/6 0.990 Georgia Vanderbilt 49-6 0.721 0.145 0.074 0.050 0.003 0.005 0.000 0.001
W 48-13 n/a 10/6 0.804 Georgia Southern South Alabama 34-21 0.168 0.228 0.230 0.179 0.129 0.036 0.021 0.010
W 17-13 Win 10/6 0.584 Hawaii Wyoming 29-27 0.063 0.052 0.206 0.262 0.243 0.087 0.056 0.029
W 48-31 Win 10/6 0.807 Iowa Minnesota 26-12 0.275 0.239 0.189 0.104 0.142 0.029 0.016 0.006
L 14-20 Lose 10/6 0.590 Kentucky Texas A&M 26-23 0.100 0.155 0.179 0.156 0.261 0.078 0.048 0.023
L 41-49 Lose 10/6 0.674 Liberty New Mexico State 28-21 0.148 0.194 0.190 0.143 0.217 0.058 0.035 0.016
L 7-28 Lose 10/6 0.978 Louisiana Tech UAB 44-13 0.529 0.254 0.163 0.033 0.020 0.002 0.001 0.000
L 19-27 Lose 10/6 0.806 LSU Florida 30-16 0.273 0.239 0.190 0.104 0.143 0.029 0.016 0.006
W 55-14 Lose 10/6 0.990 Memphis Connecticut 51-17 0.604 0.236 0.143 0.007 0.009 0.000 0.000 0.000
W 28-27 Lose 10/6 0.863 Miami Florida State 30-14 0.236 0.256 0.224 0.147 0.095 0.023 0.013 0.006
W 42-21 Win 10/6 0.876 Michigan Maryland 33-15 0.255 0.261 0.221 0.139 0.088 0.020 0.011 0.005
L 19-29 Lose 10/6 0.942 Michigan State Northwestern 34-10 0.392 0.270 0.196 0.083 0.046 0.008 0.004 0.001
W 70-21 Lose 10/6 0.887 Mississippi Louisiana Monroe 39-20 0.274 0.264 0.219 0.131 0.081 0.018 0.010 0.004
W 28-23 Lose 10/6 0.820 North Carolina State Boston College 34-20 0.183 0.236 0.229 0.171 0.120 0.032 0.019 0.009
W 27-24 Lose 10/6 0.961 North Texas UTEP 39-10 0.609 0.220 0.129 0.003 0.038 0.001 0.000 0.001
W 24-16 n/a 10/6 0.573 Northern Illinois Ball State 23-20 0.092 0.146 0.177 0.158 0.270 0.082 0.051 0.024
W 45-23 Win 10/6 0.715 Notre Dame Virginia Tech 27-19 0.180 0.210 0.192 0.133 0.194 0.049 0.029 0.013
W 27-26 Win 10/6 0.711 Ohio Kent State 36-27 0.176 0.209 0.192 0.134 0.197 0.050 0.029 0.013
W 49-26 Lose 10/6 0.981 Ohio State Indiana 43-11 0.543 0.251 0.159 0.028 0.017 0.001 0.001 0.000
L 45-48 Lose 10/6 0.768 Oklahoma Texas 35-24 0.184 0.224 0.210 0.150 0.157 0.041 0.024 0.011
L 42-48 Lose 10/6 0.842 Oklahoma State Iowa State 34-19 0.209 0.247 0.227 0.159 0.107 0.027 0.016 0.007
L 33-52 Lose 10/6 0.507 Old Dominion Florida Atlantic 29-28 0.068 0.112 0.164 0.163 0.303 0.098 0.062 0.030
L 3-20 Lose 10/6 0.720 Rice UTSA 32-24 0.105 0.173 0.228 0.215 0.174 0.055 0.034 0.017
L 17-38 Lose 10/6 0.558 Rutgers Illinois 25-23 0.061 0.026 0.200 0.270 0.257 0.094 0.061 0.031
L 30-42 Lose 10/6 0.642 San Jose State Colorado State 30-25 0.074 0.107 0.218 0.244 0.214 0.073 0.047 0.023
W 37-35 Win 10/6 0.668 South Carolina Missouri 31-25 0.082 0.130 0.222 0.234 0.201 0.067 0.043 0.021
W 58-42 Win 10/6 0.839 South Florida Massachusetts 37-21 0.320 0.245 0.185 0.089 0.122 0.022 0.012 0.004
L 21-40 Lose 10/6 0.887 Stanford Utah 31-13 0.273 0.264 0.219 0.131 0.081 0.018 0.010 0.004
L 37-44 Lose 10/6 0.759 Syracuse Pittsburgh 32-21 0.220 0.226 0.192 0.121 0.170 0.039 0.022 0.009
W 49-6 Win 10/6 0.929 Temple East Carolina 37-14 0.359 0.271 0.203 0.096 0.055 0.010 0.005 0.002
L 27-42 Lose 10/6 0.835 Texas State Louisiana Lafayette 37-23 0.200 0.244 0.228 0.163 0.112 0.029 0.017 0.008
W 52-36 Win 10/6 0.723 Toledo Bowling Green 37-29 0.107 0.175 0.228 0.213 0.173 0.054 0.034 0.016
L 14-50 Lose 10/6 0.742 UNLV New Mexico 33-23 0.118 0.189 0.229 0.206 0.163 0.050 0.031 0.015
W 31-24 Lose 10/6 0.990 Washington UCLA 44-8 0.715 0.150 0.078 0.047 0.005 0.004 0.000 0.001
W 56-37 Win 10/6 0.903 Washington State Oregon State 42-21 0.438 0.247 0.167 0.051 0.081 0.010 0.005 0.001
W 38-22 n/a 10/6 0.963 West Virginia Kansas 40-13 0.461 0.264 0.180 0.057 0.031 0.004 0.002 0.000
W 41-24 Lose 10/6 0.990 Wisconsin Nebraska 43-8 0.628 0.226 0.133 0.003 0.010 0.000 0.000 0.000

 

 

Week 5 Game Projections and Results

 

Result ATS Date WL Projected Winner Projected Loser PF DW SW MW NW NL ML SL DL
W 47-10 Win 9/27 .946 Miami North Carolina 38-13 .406 .269 .193 .078 .043 .007 .003 .001
W 38-16 Lose 9/28 .544 Colorado UCLA 29-27 .061 .012 .197 .274 .263 .097 .063 .032
L 24-40 Win 9/28 .748 Memphis Tulane 36-25 .209 .222 .193 .125 .176 .042 .024 .010
L 25-28 Lose 9/29 .686 Air Force Nevada 34-27 .089 .146 .224 .228 .192 .063 .040 .020
W 56-14 Lose 9/29 .990 Alabama Louisiana Lafayette 62-3 .887 .010 .020 .073 .007 .000 .001 .001
W 52-7 Lose 9/29 .892 Appalachian State South Alabama 38-19 .283 .265 .217 .127 .078 .017 .009 .004
W 52-24 Win 9/29 .961 Arizona State Oregon State 44-16 .457 .265 .181 .059 .032 .004 .002 .000
W 24-13 Lose 9/29 .990 Auburn Southern Mississippi 45-0 .731 .136 .069 .054 .003 .004 .001 .002
W 52-24 Lose 9/29 .631 Ball State Kent State 28-24 .071 .096 .216 .248 .220 .076 .049 .024
W 34-14 Lose 9/29 .822 Boise State Wyoming 33-18 .295 .242 .188 .097 .133 .026 .014 .005
W 45-35 Win 9/29 .667 Boston College Temple 26-20 .081 .129 .221 .235 .202 .068 .043 .021
L 13-42 Lose 9/29 .751 Buffalo Army 35-25 .124 .195 .230 .202 .158 .048 .029 .014
L 24-42 Lose 9/29 .557 California Oregon 25-23 .061 .025 .200 .270 .257 .094 .061 .031
W 45-14 Win 9/29 .915 Central Florida Pittsburgh 42-21 .326 .270 .210 .109 .064 .013 .007 .002
W 49-7 Win 9/29 .897 Cincinnati Connecticut 38-18 .425 .247 .169 .056 .086 .011 .005 .001
W 27-23 Lose 9/29 .990 Clemson Syracuse 42-8 .613 .233 .140 .004 .009 .000 .000 .000
L 14-31 Lose 9/29 .726 Duke Virginia Tech 25-17 .108 .177 .228 .212 .171 .054 .033 .016
W 37-35 Win 9/29 .620 East Carolina Old Dominion 29-25 .068 .085 .214 .253 .225 .079 .051 .025
L 23-26 Win 9/29 .616 Eastern Michigan Northern Illinois 22-19 .068 .081 .213 .254 .227 .080 .051 .026
L 24-25 Win 9/29 .500 Florida Atlantic Middle Tennessee 31-30 .066 .109 .163 .163 .306 .100 .063 .031
W 28-24 Lose 9/29 .652 Florida State Louisville 25-19 .133 .184 .187 .147 .229 .064 .038 .018
W 49-27 Lose 9/29 .705 Fresno State Toledo 32-25 .098 .161 .226 .220 .182 .058 .036 .018
W 38-12 Lose 9/29 .990 Georgia Tennessee 50-0 .793 .085 .042 .070 .007 .000 .001 .001
W 28-21 Win 9/29 .633 Georgia Southern Arkansas State 27-23 .071 .098 .216 .247 .219 .076 .048 .024
W 63-17 Lose 9/29 .779 Georgia Tech Bowling Green 34-23 .145 .213 .230 .190 .143 .041 .025 .012
W 44-41 Win 9/29 .537 Hawaii San Jose State 29-28 .078 .128 .170 .161 .288 .091 .057 .027
W 24-17 Win 9/29 .695 Indiana Rutgers 26-18 .164 .202 .191 .138 .205 .054 .032 .014
W 24-10 Win 9/29 .572 Kentucky South Carolina 26-24 .062 .040 .203 .266 .250 .090 .059 .030
L 14-46 Win 9/29 .562 Louisiana Monroe Georgia State 30-28 .087 .141 .175 .159 .276 .085 .053 .025
W 29-27 Win 9/29 .571 Louisiana Tech North Texas 28-25 .091 .145 .176 .158 .271 .083 .051 .024
W 45-16 Win 9/29 .964 LSU Mississippi 41-13 .465 .264 .179 .056 .030 .004 .002 .000
W 20-17 Lose 9/29 .691 Marshall Western Kentucky 29-22 .160 .201 .191 .139 .208 .055 .032 .014
L 39-40 Win 9/29 .532 Miami (OH) Western Michigan 27-26 .061 .003 .192 .276 .270 .100 .065 .033
W 20-17 Win 9/29 .795 Michigan Northwestern 29-16 .260 .236 .191 .108 .149 .032 .017 .007
W 31-20 Lose 9/29 .990 Michigan State Central Michigan 42-3 .670 .189 .104 .027 .009 .001 .000 .000
L 6-13 Lose 9/29 .814 Mississippi State Florida 32-19 .177 .233 .230 .174 .124 .034 .020 .009
L 43-52 Win 9/29 .679 New Mexico Liberty 28-22 .086 .140 .223 .230 .196 .065 .041 .020
W 35-21 Win 9/29 .875 North Carolina State Virginia 34-16 .255 .260 .222 .139 .088 .020 .011 .005
W 38-17 Lose 9/29 .628 Notre Dame Stanford 27-23 .070 .093 .215 .249 .221 .077 .049 .025
W 58-42 Win 9/29 .881 Ohio Massachusetts 40-22 .263 .262 .220 .135 .085 .019 .011 .004
W 27-26 Lose 9/29 .696 Ohio State Penn State 35-27 .164 .203 .191 .138 .205 .053 .031 .014
W 66-33 Win 9/29 .928 Oklahoma Baylor 41-19 .357 .271 .203 .097 .055 .010 .005 .002
W 48-28 Win 9/29 .897 Oklahoma State Kansas 36-16 .425 .247 .169 .056 .086 .011 .005 .001
W 42-28 Win 9/29 .636 Purdue Nebraska 27-22 .124 .177 .186 .150 .237 .067 .041 .019
W 17-14 Lose 9/29 .791 TCU Iowa State 29-17 .156 .221 .230 .185 .136 .039 .023 .011
W 19-14 Lose 9/29 .746 Texas Kansas State 30-20 .207 .221 .193 .125 .178 .042 .024 .010
W 24-17 n/a 9/29 .891 Texas A&M Arkansas 36-16 .351 .259 .192 .089 .084 .015 .008 .003
W 45-21 Win 9/29 .827 Troy Coastal Carolina 37-23 .191 .240 .229 .167 .116 .031 .018 .008
W 28-7 Lose 9/29 .706 UAB Charlotte 33-25 .098 .162 .226 .220 .181 .058 .036 .018
W 24-20 Win 9/29 .627 USC Arizona 31-27 .118 .172 .185 .151 .242 .070 .042 .020
W 30-21 Win 9/29 .667 UTSA UTEP 27-21 .082 .130 .221 .234 .201 .067 .043 .021
W 56-24 Lose 9/29 .894 Wake Forest Rice 38-19 .286 .266 .217 .126 .077 .017 .009 .004
W 35-7 Lose 9/29 .871 Washington BYU 32-15 .247 .259 .223 .142 .091 .021 .012 .005
W 28-24 Win 9/29 .546 Washington State Utah 22-21 .061 .013 .197 .274 .263 .097 .063 .032
W 42-34 Lose 9/29 .521 West Virginia Texas Tech 31-30 .072 .120 .167 .162 .296 .095 .059 .029

 

 

Week 4 Game Projections and Results

 

Result ATS Date WL Projected Winner Projected Loser PF DW SW MW NW NL ML SL DL
W 31-17 Win 9/20 .797 Temple Tulsa 32-20 .161 .224 .230 .182 .133 .037 .022 .010
W 56-36 Win 9/21 .932 Central Florida Florida Atlantic 45-22 .367 .271 .201 .093 .052 .009 .005 .002
W 63-24 Win 9/21 .939 Penn State Illinois 38-12 .535 .236 .147 .021 .055 .004 .001 .000
W 39-36 Lose 9/21 .816 USC Washington State 31-18 .179 .234 .230 .173 .122 .033 .020 .009
W 45-23 Win 9/22 .922 Alabama Texas A&M 37-15 .343 .271 .206 .102 .059 .011 .006 .002
W 35-14 Win 9/22 .753 Arizona Oregon State 38-27 .214 .224 .193 .123 .173 .041 .023 .010
W 27-20 n/a 9/22 .716 Arkansas State UNLV 32-24 .103 .169 .227 .216 .177 .056 .035 .017
W 34-3 Win 9/22 .990 Auburn Arkansas 42-6 .638 .217 .126 .009 .010 .000 .000 .000
W 26-7 Win 9/22 .893 Baylor Kansas 34-15 .284 .266 .217 .127 .077 .017 .009 .004
L 13-30 Lose 9/22 .730 Boston College Purdue 29-19 .192 .216 .192 .130 .186 .046 .026 .011
L 23-38 Lose 9/22 .634 Bowling Green Miami (OH) 28-24 .071 .099 .216 .247 .218 .076 .048 .024
W 42-13 Win 9/22 .703 Buffalo Rutgers 29-21 .170 .205 .192 .136 .201 .052 .030 .013
W 34-30 Win 9/22 .676 Cincinnati Ohio 30-24 .085 .138 .223 .231 .197 .065 .041 .020
W 49-21 Win 9/22 .947 Clemson Georgia Tech 38-12 .562 .231 .142 .013 .049 .003 .001 .001
W 30-28 Win 9/22 .669 Coastal Carolina Louisiana Lafayette 39-32 .145 .192 .189 .144 .219 .060 .035 .016
W 47-21 Win 9/22 .768 Florida Tennessee 28-17 .229 .229 .192 .118 .165 .038 .021 .009
W 37-19 Win 9/22 .877 Florida State Northern Illinois 27-9 .257 .261 .221 .138 .087 .020 .011 .005
W 43-29 Lose 9/22 .948 Georgia Missouri 43-17 .563 .231 .141 .012 .049 .003 .001 .001
W 26-13 Lose 9/22 .917 Iowa State Akron 34-12 .332 .270 .208 .107 .062 .012 .006 .002
L 3-27 Lose 9/22 .543 Louisville Virginia 27-25 .080 .131 .171 .161 .285 .090 .056 .027
W 38-21 Lose 9/22 .910 LSU Louisiana Tech 35-14 .317 .269 .211 .113 .067 .013 .007 .003
W 49-31 Lose 9/22 .625 Massachusetts Charlotte 30-26 .069 .090 .215 .251 .223 .078 .050 .025
W 52-35 Win 9/22 .887 Memphis South Alabama 37-19 .273 .264 .219 .131 .081 .018 .010 .004
W 31-17 Lose 9/22 .990 Miami Florida International 45-10 .627 .227 .134 .002 .010 .000 .000 .000
W 56-10 Win 9/22 .916 Michigan Nebraska 35-13 .328 .270 .209 .108 .063 .012 .007 .002
W 35-21 Win 9/22 .906 Michigan State Indiana 34-13 .444 .246 .166 .049 .080 .010 .004 .001
L 13-42 Lose 9/22 .507 Minnesota Maryland 24-23 .068 .112 .164 .163 .303 .098 .062 .030
W 38-17 Win 9/22 .903 Mississippi Kent State 38-18 .302 .268 .214 .119 .071 .015 .008 .003
L 7-28 Lose 9/22 .836 Mississippi State Kentucky 35-20 .316 .245 .185 .091 .124 .023 .012 .004
L 30-31 Lose 9/22 .702 Navy SMU 36-28 .169 .205 .191 .137 .202 .052 .031 .014
W 38-35 Win 9/22 .587 North Carolina Pittsburgh 24-22 .064 .054 .207 .262 .242 .087 .056 .028
W 37-20 Lose 9/22 .620 North Carolina State Marshall 29-24 .115 .170 .184 .152 .245 .071 .043 .020
W 47-7 Lose 9/22 .677 North Texas Liberty 29-23 .150 .195 .190 .142 .215 .058 .034 .016
W 56-27 Win 9/22 .865 Notre Dame Wake Forest 33-15 .362 .248 .179 .076 .107 .017 .009 .003
W 49-6 Lose 9/22 .990 Ohio State Tulane 47-10 .654 .203 .115 .018 .009 .000 .000 .000
W 28-21 Lose 9/22 .982 Oklahoma Army 49-18 .548 .250 .158 .026 .017 .001 .000 .000
L 17-41 Lose 9/22 .888 Oklahoma State Texas Tech 42-23 .275 .264 .218 .130 .080 .018 .010 .004
W 23-20 Lose 9/22 .841 San Diego State Eastern Michigan 32-17 .207 .247 .227 .160 .108 .028 .016 .007
W 37-14 Win 9/22 .754 South Carolina Vanderbilt 32-22 .215 .224 .193 .123 .173 .041 .023 .010
W 20-13 Win 9/22 .855 South Florida East Carolina 38-22 .226 .253 .225 .151 .100 .025 .014 .006
W 40-22 Lose 9/22 .656 Southern Mississippi Rice 28-23 .078 .120 .220 .239 .207 .070 .045 .022
W 38-31 Win 9/22 .764 Stanford Oregon 31-20 .225 .227 .192 .119 .167 .038 .022 .009
W 51-21 Push 9/22 .921 Syracuse Connecticut 42-20 .341 .270 .207 .103 .059 .011 .006 .002
W 31-16 Win 9/22 .568 Texas TCU 24-21 .062 .036 .202 .267 .252 .091 .059 .030
W 63-44 Win 9/22 .799 Toledo Nevada 37-25 .162 .225 .230 .181 .132 .037 .022 .010
W 35-27 Lose 9/22 .605 Troy Louisiana Monroe 28-24 .107 .162 .182 .154 .253 .075 .046 .022
W 42-32 Win 9/22 .795 Utah State Air Force 35-23 .159 .223 .230 .183 .134 .038 .023 .010
L 20-27 Lose 9/22 .502 UTEP New Mexico State 24-23 .055 .036 .160 .251 .284 .107 .070 .036
W 25-21 Win 9/22 .624 UTSA Texas State 26-22 .069 .089 .215 .251 .223 .078 .050 .025
L 35-49 Win 9/22 .949 Virginia Tech Old Dominion 33-7 .569 .230 .140 .011 .047 .002 .001 .001
W 27-20 Lose 9/22 .884 Washington Arizona State 34-15 .268 .263 .220 .133 .083 .019 .010 .004
W 35-6 Lose 9/22 .632 West Virginia Kansas State 31-27 .071 .097 .216 .248 .219 .076 .049 .024
W 28-20 Win 9/22 .516 Western Kentucky Ball State 25-24 .070 .117 .166 .163 .299 .096 .060 .029
W 34-15 Lose 9/22 .622 Western Michigan Georgia State 31-26 .116 .170 .184 .152 .245 .071 .043 .020
W 28-17 n/a 9/22 .577 Wisconsin Iowa 22-19 .094 .148 .177 .158 .268 .081 .050 .024

 

 

Week 3 Game Projections and Results

 

Result ATS Date WL Projected Winner Projected Loser PF DW SW MW NW NL ML SL DL
W 41-34 Lose 9/13 .566 Boston College Wake Forest 25-23 .089 .143 .175 .159 .273 .084 .052 .025
W 28-25 Win 9/13 .575 Charlotte Old Dominion 24-21 .062 .043 .204 .265 .248 .090 .058 .029
W 59-22 Lose 9/14 .935 Memphis Georgia State 39-16 .375 .271 .199 .090 .050 .009 .004 .001
W 62-7 Lose 9/15 .909 Alabama Mississippi 37-15 .453 .246 .164 .047 .077 .009 .004 .001
L 21-28 Lose 9/15 .659 Arizona State San Diego State 31-25 .138 .187 .188 .146 .225 .062 .037 .017
L 17-44 Lose 9/15 .818 Arkansas North Texas 39-25 .182 .236 .229 .172 .121 .033 .019 .009
W 28-21 Push 9/15 .845 Army Hawaii 40-25 .213 .249 .227 .157 .106 .027 .016 .007
L 21-22 Lose 9/15 .875 Auburn LSU 33-15 .255 .260 .222 .139 .088 .020 .011 .005
L 27-40 Win 9/15 .512 Baylor Duke 24-23 .057 .026 .170 .259 .279 .105 .069 .035
W 35-28 Win 9/15 .775 Buffalo Eastern Michigan 30-19 .142 .211 .230 .192 .145 .042 .026 .012
W 38-7 Lose 9/15 .990 Clemson Georgia Southern 42-6 .636 .219 .127 .008 .010 .000 .000 .000
W 48-10 Win 9/15 .925 Florida Colorado State 38-15 .350 .271 .205 .100 .057 .011 .005 .002
L 7-30 Lose 9/15 .873 Florida State Syracuse 33-15 .377 .248 .177 .071 .101 .016 .008 .002
W 49-7 Win 9/15 .990 Georgia Middle Tennessee 44-3 .702 .161 .084 .042 .007 .002 .000 .000
L 49-63 Lose 9/15 .539 Houston Texas Tech 27-26 .079 .129 .171 .161 .287 .090 .056 .027
W 38-10 Lose 9/15 .771 Indiana Ball State 30-19 .139 .208 .230 .194 .147 .043 .026 .012
W 55-14 Win 9/15 .630 Kansas Rutgers 27-23 .071 .095 .216 .249 .220 .076 .049 .024
W 41-17 Win 9/15 .942 Kansas State UTSA 36-12 .393 .270 .196 .083 .046 .008 .004 .001
W 20-17 Win 9/15 .859 Louisville Western Kentucky 36-20 .230 .254 .225 .149 .098 .024 .014 .006
L 14-35 Win 9/15 .502 Maryland Temple 25-24 .055 .037 .159 .250 .284 .108 .071 .036
L 24-63 Lose 9/15 .535 Massachusetts Florida International 28-27 .077 .127 .170 .161 .289 .091 .057 .028
W 49-24 Lose 9/15 .753 Miami Toledo 31-21 .214 .224 .193 .123 .173 .041 .023 .010
W 45-20 Win 9/15 .986 Michigan SMU 43-11 .573 .244 .151 .017 .013 .001 .000 .000
W 26-3 n/a 9/15 .819 Minnesota Miami (OH) 30-16 .182 .236 .229 .172 .121 .032 .019 .009
W 56-10 Win 9/15 .990 Mississippi State Louisiana Lafayette 45-10 .633 .222 .130 .006 .010 .000 .000 .000
L 19-24 Win 9/15 .749 Nebraska Troy 30-20 .123 .194 .230 .203 .159 .048 .030 .014
W 37-35 Lose 9/15 .646 Nevada Oregon State 34-29 .075 .110 .218 .243 .212 .073 .046 .023
L 25-42 Lose 9/15 .515 New Mexico State New Mexico 25-24 .057 .022 .174 .262 .277 .104 .068 .035
W 24-16 Lose 9/15 .861 Northern Illinois Central Michigan 29-13 .234 .255 .224 .148 .096 .023 .013 .006
L 34-39 Lose 9/15 .937 Northwestern Akron 34-10 .380 .271 .198 .088 .049 .008 .004 .001
W 22-17 Lose 9/15 .990 Notre Dame Vanderbilt 46-9 .653 .204 .115 .018 .009 .000 .000 .000
W 40-28 Lose 9/15 .848 Ohio State TCU 35-18 .279 .252 .203 .115 .111 .023 .013 .005
W 37-27 Win 9/15 .848 Oklahoma Iowa State 39-22 .334 .246 .183 .085 .117 .021 .011 .004
W 44-21 Win 9/15 .565 Oklahoma State Boise State 30-28 .062 .034 .202 .268 .253 .092 .060 .030
W 35-22 Win 9/15 .988 Oregon San Jose State 42-9 .586 .241 .147 .013 .012 .001 .000 .000
W 63-10 n/a 9/15 .990 Penn State Kent State 41-6 .618 .232 .138 .002 .010 .000 .000 .000
W 24-19 Win 9/15 .548 Pittsburgh Georgia Tech 26-25 .061 .015 .198 .273 .262 .096 .063 .032
L 37-40 Win 9/15 .526 Purdue Missouri 26-25 .059 .010 .186 .271 .272 .102 .066 .034
W 41-31 n/a 9/15 .759 South Alabama Texas State 28-18 .130 .200 .230 .199 .154 .046 .028 .013
W 25-19 Win 9/15 .740 South Florida Illinois 29-19 .160 .212 .209 .160 .172 .047 .028 .013
W 24-0 Win 9/15 .901 Tennessee UTEP 34-14 .298 .267 .215 .121 .072 .015 .008 .003
W 48-10 Lose 9/15 .946 Texas A&M Louisiana Monroe 43-17 .407 .269 .193 .078 .043 .007 .003 .001
L 24-31 Win 9/15 .585 Tulane UAB 29-26 .097 .152 .179 .157 .264 .079 .049 .023
L 20-29 n/a 9/15 .556 Tulsa Arkansas State 30-28 .061 .024 .200 .271 .258 .094 .061 .031
L 14-38 Lose 9/15 .732 UCLA Fresno State 32-23 .112 .181 .228 .210 .168 .052 .032 .016
L 14-37 Lose 9/15 .561 USC Texas 24-22 .087 .140 .174 .159 .276 .085 .053 .025
W 45-31 n/a 9/15 .640 Virginia Ohio 28-23 .073 .105 .217 .245 .215 .074 .047 .024
W 21-7 Win 9/15 .779 Washington Utah 31-19 .241 .232 .192 .114 .159 .035 .020 .008
L 21-24 Win 9/15 .910 Wisconsin BYU 32-12 .317 .269 .211 .113 .067 .013 .007 .003

 

 

Week 2 Game Projections and Results

 

Result ATS Date WL Projected Winner Projected Loser PF DW SW MW NW NL ML SL DL
W 42-12 Lose 9/7 .876 TCU SMU 40-21 .383 .248 .176 .069 .099 .015 .007 .002
W 57-7 Win 9/8 .990 Alabama Arkansas State 45-6 .667 .192 .106 .025 .009 .001 .000 .000
W 45-9 Lose 9/8 .792 Appalachian State Charlotte 30-17 .256 .235 .191 .109 .151 .032 .018 .007
L 27-34 Win 9/8 .755 Arkansas Colorado State 37-26 .216 .225 .193 .122 .172 .040 .023 .010
W 38-14 Win 9/8 .870 Army Liberty 39-22 .246 .258 .223 .142 .091 .021 .012 .005
W 37-20 Push 9/8 .890 Baylor UTSA 33-13 .410 .248 .172 .060 .090 .013 .006 .001
W 62-7 Lose 9/8 .986 Boise State Connecticut 43-10 .577 .243 .150 .016 .013 .001 .000 .000
L 14-45 Lose 9/8 .554 Bowling Green Maryland 29-27 .061 .022 .199 .271 .259 .095 .061 .031
L 18-21 Lose 9/8 .599 BYU California 26-23 .065 .065 .210 .259 .236 .084 .054 .027
W 28-26 Lose 9/8 .856 Clemson Texas A&M 31-14 .346 .247 .181 .081 .112 .019 .010 .003
W 21-7 Win 9/8 .551 Duke Northwestern 22-20 .083 .135 .173 .160 .281 .088 .054 .026
L 16-27 Win 9/8 .809 Florida Kentucky 31-18 .172 .231 .230 .176 .126 .035 .021 .009
W 33-27 Lose 9/8 .824 Florida Atlantic Air Force 41-27 .188 .239 .229 .169 .118 .031 .018 .008
W 41-17 Win 9/8 .865 Georgia South Carolina 33-15 .362 .248 .179 .076 .106 .017 .009 .003
W 34-13 Win 9/8 .794 Georgia Southern Massachusetts 32-20 .158 .222 .230 .184 .135 .038 .023 .011
L 38-49 Win 9/8 .564 Georgia Tech South Florida 27-25 .088 .142 .175 .159 .274 .085 .052 .025
W 43-29 Win 9/8 .616 Hawaii Rice 31-27 .068 .081 .213 .254 .227 .080 .051 .026
W 45-18 Lose 9/8 .549 Houston Arizona 30-29 .061 .017 .198 .273 .261 .096 .062 .032
W 20-16 Win 9/8 .629 Indiana Virginia 24-20 .070 .094 .215 .249 .221 .077 .049 .025
W 13-3 Win 9/8 .758 Iowa Iowa State 28-18 .129 .200 .230 .199 .154 .046 .028 .013
W 31-7 Win 9/8 .548 Kansas Central Michigan 26-25 .082 .134 .172 .160 .282 .088 .055 .026
W 21-20 Win 9/8 .537 Louisiana Monroe Southern Mississippi 30-29 .078 .128 .170 .161 .288 .091 .057 .028
L 21-22 Win 9/8 .547 Memphis Navy 33-32 .082 .133 .172 .160 .283 .088 .055 .027
L 0-21 Win 9/8 .545 Miami (OH) Cincinnati 26-25 .061 .013 .197 .274 .263 .097 .063 .032
W 49-3 Lose 9/8 .940 Michigan Western Michigan 35-11 .387 .270 .197 .086 .047 .008 .004 .001
L 13-16 Lose 9/8 .720 Michigan State Arizona State 30-21 .184 .212 .192 .132 .192 .048 .028 .012
W 21-14 Win 9/8 .669 Minnesota Fresno State 25-19 .082 .132 .222 .234 .200 .067 .042 .021
W 31-10 Win 9/8 .681 Mississippi State Kansas State 30-23 .153 .197 .190 .141 .213 .057 .034 .015
W 40-13 Lose 9/8 .778 Missouri Wyoming 30-19 .145 .213 .230 .191 .143 .041 .025 .012
L 28-33 Lose 9/8 .773 Nebraska Colorado 33-22 .140 .209 .230 .193 .146 .043 .026 .012
L 19-41 Win 9/8 .832 North Carolina East Carolina 37-22 .309 .244 .186 .093 .127 .024 .013 .004
W 41-7 Win 9/8 .958 North Carolina State Georgia State 38-11 .445 .266 .184 .063 .034 .005 .002 .000
W 24-16 Lose 9/8 .990 Notre Dame Ball State 47-7 .683 .177 .096 .033 .008 .001 .000 .000
W 52-3 Win 9/8 .990 Ohio State Rutgers 45-3 .701 .162 .086 .042 .008 .002 .000 .000
W 49-21 Win 9/8 .912 Oklahoma UCLA 45-24 .321 .269 .210 .111 .065 .013 .007 .003
W 55-13 Lose 9/8 .951 Oklahoma State South Alabama 41-15 .420 .268 .189 .073 .039 .006 .003 .001
L 20-28 Lose 9/8 .652 Old Dominion Florida International 28-23 .076 .116 .219 .240 .209 .071 .045 .023
W 51-6 Win 9/8 .749 Penn State Pittsburgh 31-20 .210 .223 .193 .124 .175 .042 .024 .010
L 19-20 n/a 9/8 .831 Purdue Eastern Michigan 29-14 .196 .242 .228 .165 .114 .030 .017 .008
W 17-3 Win 9/8 .662 Stanford USC 31-26 .080 .126 .221 .236 .204 .069 .043 .022
L 29-36 Lose 9/8 .724 Temple Buffalo 30-21 .107 .176 .228 .213 .172 .054 .034 .016
W 28-21 Lose 9/8 .932 Texas Tulsa 37-14 .367 .271 .201 .093 .052 .009 .005 .002
L 24-47 Win 9/8 .542 UAB Coastal Carolina 28-26 .079 .130 .171 .161 .286 .090 .056 .027
W 52-24 Lose 9/8 .835 UNLV UTEP 36-21 .200 .244 .228 .163 .112 .029 .017 .008
W 17-6 Win 9/8 .649 Utah Northern Illinois 25-19 .131 .182 .187 .148 .230 .064 .039 .018
W 60-13 Lose 9/8 .851 Utah State New Mexico State 31-15 .220 .251 .226 .154 .102 .025 .015 .006
W 41-10 Lose 9/8 .594 Vanderbilt Nevada 31-28 .064 .061 .209 .260 .238 .085 .055 .028
W 31-0 Lose 9/8 .953 Washington State San Jose State 37-11 .426 .268 .188 .070 .038 .006 .003 .001
W 45-14 Lose 9/8 .990 Wisconsin New Mexico 44-6 .658 .200 .112 .020 .009 .000 .000 .000

 

 

Week 1 Game Projections and Results

 

Result ATS Date WL Projected Winner Projected Loser PF DW SW MW NW NL ML SL DL
W 56-17 Win 8/30 .954 Central Florida Connecticut 43-16 .584 .227 .137 .006 .044 .002 .000 .001
W 48-10 Lose 8/30 .912 Minnesota New Mexico State 34-13 .320 .269 .211 .112 .066 .013 .007 .003
W 31-27 Win 8/30 .572 Northwestern Purdue 23-20 .092 .146 .176 .158 .270 .083 .051 .024
W 23-17 n/a 8/30 .674 Wake Forest Tulane 32-25 .148 .194 .190 .143 .217 .059 .035 .016
W 45-13 Lose 8/31 .584 Colorado Colorado State 31-28 .074 .122 .192 .197 .253 .084 .053 .026
W 34-14 Win 8/31 .876 Duke Army 37-19 .256 .261 .221 .138 .087 .020 .011 .005
W 38-31 Lose 8/31 .966 Michigan State Utah State 36-8 .473 .263 .177 .053 .029 .004 .002 .000
W 31-10 Win 8/31 .909 Stanford San Diego State 38-17 .313 .269 .212 .114 .068 .014 .007 .003
L 42-55 Lose 8/31 .623 Western Michigan Syracuse 28-24 .069 .089 .215 .251 .224 .078 .050 .025
W 34-3 Win 8/31 .956 Wisconsin Western Kentucky 37-11 .439 .267 .185 .066 .036 .005 .002 .001
W 51-14 Lose 9/1 .923 Alabama Louisville 38-15 .423 .257 .179 .063 .063 .009 .004 .001
L 23-28 Win 9/1 .722 Arizona BYU 33-24 .106 .174 .228 .214 .173 .055 .034 .016
W 49-7 Win 9/1 .937 Arizona State UTSA 37-13 .380 .271 .198 .088 .049 .008 .004 .001
W 21-16 Win 9/1 .616 Auburn Washington 27-23 .086 .142 .197 .191 .238 .076 .047 .023
W 56-20 Win 9/1 .794 Boise State Troy 30-17 .259 .236 .191 .109 .150 .032 .017 .007
W 55-21 Win 9/1 .912 Boston College Massachusetts 34-13 .321 .269 .210 .111 .065 .013 .007 .003
W 24-17 Push 9/1 .596 California North Carolina 27-24 .065 .063 .209 .260 .237 .085 .055 .028
W 45-27 Win 9/1 .881 Houston Rice 36-17 .392 .248 .175 .066 .096 .014 .007 .002
W 31-24 Win 9/1 .696 Illinois Kent State 25-18 .093 .154 .225 .224 .187 .061 .038 .019
W 38-28 Win 9/1 .752 Indiana Florida International 30-20 .213 .223 .193 .123 .174 .041 .023 .010
W 33-7 Win 9/1 .838 Iowa Northern Illinois 28-13 .203 .245 .228 .162 .110 .028 .017 .007
W 35-20 Lose 9/1 .875 Kentucky Central Michigan 34-16 .254 .260 .222 .139 .088 .020 .012 .005
W 30-26 Win 9/1 .712 Louisiana Tech South Alabama 29-20 .177 .209 .192 .134 .196 .050 .029 .013
W 35-28 Win 9/1 .704 Marshall Miami (OH) 27-19 .170 .206 .192 .136 .201 .052 .030 .013
W 47-27 Win 9/1 .635 Mississippi Texas Tech 32-27 .094 .154 .200 .187 .228 .071 .044 .021
L 41-59 Lose 9/1 .814 Navy Hawaii 38-24 .283 .241 .189 .101 .138 .028 .015 .006
W 24-17 Win 9/1 .749 Notre Dame Michigan 27-18 .123 .193 .230 .203 .159 .048 .030 .014
W 77-31 Win 9/1 .990 Ohio State Oregon State 51-9 .710 .155 .080 .045 .006 .003 .000 .000
W 63-14 Win 9/1 .929 Oklahoma Florida Atlantic 46-23 .360 .271 .203 .096 .054 .010 .005 .002
L 10-52 Win 9/1 .565 Old Dominion Liberty 26-23 .088 .142 .175 .159 .274 .084 .052 .025
W 58-24 Win 9/1 .902 Oregon Bowling Green 38-18 .301 .268 .214 .119 .071 .015 .008 .003
W 45-38 Win 9/1 .921 Penn State Appalachian State 37-15 .340 .270 .207 .104 .060 .011 .006 .002
W 35-7 Lose 9/1 .798 Rutgers Texas State 29-17 .162 .225 .230 .182 .132 .037 .022 .010
L 23-46 Lose 9/1 .531 SMU North Texas 34-33 .075 .125 .169 .162 .291 .093 .058 .028
W 49-15 Lose 9/1 .929 South Carolina Coastal Carolina 36-14 .359 .271 .203 .096 .054 .010 .005 .002
L 29-34 Lose 9/1 .856 Texas Maryland 31-14 .291 .254 .201 .110 .106 .022 .012 .004
L 17-26 Lose 9/1 .872 UCLA Cincinnati 39-21 .249 .259 .222 .141 .090 .021 .012 .005
W 43-21 Lose 9/1 .982 USC UNLV 45-14 .548 .250 .158 .026 .017 .001 .000 .000
W 35-7 Lose 9/1 .545 Vanderbilt Middle Tennessee 27-25 .061 .013 .197 .274 .263 .097 .063 .032
W 41-19 Win 9/1 .598 Washington State Wyoming 24-20 .104 .159 .181 .155 .257 .076 .047 .022
W 40-14 Lose 9/1 .656 West Virginia Tennessee 29-23 .104 .167 .203 .182 .217 .066 .041 .020
L 17-33 Lose 9/2 .603 Miami LSU 25-21 .081 .134 .195 .193 .244 .079 .050 .024
L 3-24 Lose 9/3 .751 Florida State Virginia Tech 26-16 .124 .195 .230 .202 .158 .048 .029 .014