SFP Ratings

2018 Possession Margins

 

Teams are ranked according to average possession margin (APM), the average lead or deficit the team has held at the start of its non-garbage possessions. The remaining colums provide the distribution of non-garbage possessions contested by the given team against their opponents with the following scoring margins: leading by 25 or more points (W25+), leading by 17 or more points (W17+), leading by 9 or more points (W9+), leading by any margin (W), tied with their opponent (T), trailing by any margin (L), trailing by 9 or more points (L9+), trailing by 17 or more points (L17+), or trailing by 25 or more points (L25+).

Ratings and supporting data are calculated from the results of non-garbage possesssions in FBS vs. FBS games.

 

Rk Team Rec APM   W25+ Rk W17+ Rk W9+ Rk W Rk T Rk L Rk L9+ Rk L17+ Rk L25+ Rk
1 Alabama 13-1 13.5   .178 2 .434 1 .626 1 .773 1 .126 18 .101 2 .042 8 .007 12 .000 1
2 Utah State 10-2 11.9   .228 1 .325 2 .454 3 .745 3 .142 34 .113 3 .033 4 .000 1 .000 1
3 Clemson 14-0 11.2   .130 3 .304 3 .491 2 .745 2 .161 56 .093 1 .022 1 .000 1 .000 1
4 Notre Dame 12-1 7.3   .034 42 .143 22 .437 4 .700 4 .160 53 .140 5 .038 5 .020 23 .003 45
5 Appalachian State 10-2 7.2   .070 9 .189 8 .378 9 .637 9 .233 121 .130 4 .044 9 .019 20 .000 1
6 West Virginia 7-4 6.6   .091 4 .178 10 .341 18 .602 15 .163 57 .235 18 .061 16 .000 1 .000 1
7 Georgia 10-3 6.5   .067 13 .194 7 .413 5 .683 5 .127 19 .190 8 .151 52 .020 22 .000 1
8 Army 9-2 6.3   .037 36 .115 39 .351 15 .665 6 .178 71 .157 7 .058 12 .037 40 .000 1
9 LSU 9-3 6.0   .037 39 .156 15 .392 7 .618 12 .159 51 .223 16 .060 15 .010 15 .000 1
10 Syracuse 9-3 6.0   .053 28 .169 12 .365 13 .644 8 .134 22 .223 15 .059 13 .024 25 .003 41
11 Buffalo 9-4 5.8   .079 6 .152 16 .307 24 .586 19 .200 96 .214 10 .076 19 .028 29 .010 61
12 Fresno State 11-2 5.7   .043 33 .135 29 .327 20 .598 18 .253 125 .149 6 .032 3 .000 1 .000 1
13 Boise State 10-3 5.6   .076 7 .196 6 .278 32 .574 24 .206 106 .220 14 .052 10 .003 9 .000 1
14 Washington State 10-2 5.5   .050 31 .145 20 .271 34 .599 16 .183 75 .218 11 .027 2 .000 1 .000 1
15 Ohio State 13-1 5.3   .084 5 .134 30 .342 17 .625 10 .120 9 .255 23 .070 17 .008 14 .000 1
 
Rk Team Rec APM   W25+ Rk W17+ Rk W9+ Rk W Rk T Rk L Rk L9+ Rk L17+ Rk L25+ Rk
16 Oklahoma 12-2 5.0   .061 21 .150 17 .310 23 .585 21 .180 72 .235 17 .092 25 .048 47 .003 43
17 North Texas 8-4 5.0   .064 16 .138 27 .357 14 .657 7 .125 15 .219 12 .057 11 .051 51 .044 99
18 Oregon 8-4 5.0   .069 10 .188 9 .406 6 .551 28 .175 68 .274 27 .132 40 .050 49 .010 59
19 Memphis 7-6 4.8   .069 11 .157 14 .345 16 .605 13 .122 12 .273 26 .075 18 .044 43 .013 67
20 Iowa 8-4 4.8   .036 41 .101 50 .273 33 .576 22 .205 103 .219 13 .040 7 .000 1 .000 1
21 Central Florida 11-1 4.5   .025 51 .175 11 .389 8 .575 23 .120 8 .305 34 .160 57 .029 34 .000 1
22 Texas 10-4 4.5   .000 94 .105 46 .338 19 .603 14 .086 1 .311 35 .086 24 .025 26 .000 1
23 Washington 9-4 4.4   .037 37 .121 36 .278 31 .586 20 .220 113 .194 9 .081 22 .033 39 .011 63
24 UAB 10-3 4.4   .056 26 .141 24 .303 26 .542 32 .176 70 .282 29 .144 47 .046 44 .004 48
25 Ohio 8-4 4.3   .072 8 .217 4 .369 12 .490 40 .153 44 .357 50 .173 66 .068 66 .012 66
26 North Carolina State 8-4 4.2   .037 37 .161 13 .370 11 .623 11 .117 6 .260 24 .128 35 .062 63 .018 75
27 Temple 8-4 4.2   .069 12 .138 28 .284 30 .497 37 .200 96 .303 33 .113 28 .028 31 .009 58
28 Virginia 7-5 4.2   .011 75 .097 51 .303 25 .566 26 .195 92 .240 20 .082 23 .007 13 .000 1
29 Auburn 7-5 4.1   .055 27 .129 33 .269 35 .550 30 .137 24 .314 38 .166 60 .030 35 .000 1
30 Penn State 9-4 3.9   .027 49 .074 67 .262 38 .565 27 .199 95 .235 19 .060 14 .012 16 .003 42
 
Rk Team Rec APM   W25+ Rk W17+ Rk W9+ Rk W Rk T Rk L Rk L9+ Rk L17+ Rk L25+ Rk
31 Michigan 10-3 3.9   .063 19 .145 21 .268 36 .491 39 .193 89 .316 39 .156 56 .037 41 .000 1
32 Toledo 6-6 3.8   .059 22 .201 5 .327 21 .571 25 .145 39 .284 30 .155 55 .076 76 .023 79
33 Troy 9-3 3.6   .014 69 .128 34 .374 10 .599 17 .149 41 .253 21 .131 37 .080 78 .031 88
34 Missouri 7-5 3.4   .052 29 .146 19 .316 22 .549 31 .111 5 .340 44 .142 45 .056 57 .000 1
35 Cincinnati 10-2 3.4   .058 23 .082 61 .203 64 .457 46 .268 126 .275 28 .100 27 .031 36 .003 46
36 Marshall 8-4 3.0   .000 94 .091 54 .287 29 .541 33 .206 105 .253 22 .132 38 .047 46 .020 76
37 Arkansas State 7-5 2.7   .052 30 .131 32 .241 47 .522 34 .192 88 .285 31 .120 32 .072 69 .038 94
38 Mississippi State 7-5 2.5   .067 14 .142 23 .251 41 .485 41 .163 58 .351 48 .151 51 .050 50 .000 1
39 Wisconsin 8-5 2.2   .003 92 .140 25 .291 27 .425 62 .223 114 .353 49 .168 61 .027 28 .000 1
40 Utah 8-5 2.2   .033 46 .107 45 .248 42 .456 47 .205 104 .339 43 .121 33 .013 17 .000 1
41 Florida 8-3 1.9   .036 40 .140 26 .232 50 .452 48 .144 38 .404 66 .152 53 .032 38 .004 53
42 Eastern Michigan 6-6 1.8   .013 71 .081 63 .185 71 .428 59 .199 94 .374 58 .094 26 .000 1 .000 1
43 Purdue 6-7 1.8   .016 65 .061 74 .247 44 .458 44 .212 109 .330 41 .119 30 .051 52 .026 84
44 Oklahoma State 6-6 1.8   .023 55 .118 38 .252 40 .474 42 .137 25 .389 63 .144 46 .023 24 .000 1
45 Houston 7-5 1.8   .062 20 .148 18 .255 39 .446 55 .132 20 .422 71 .222 80 .062 61 .015 72
 
Rk Team Rec APM   W25+ Rk W17+ Rk W9+ Rk W Rk T Rk L Rk L9+ Rk L17+ Rk L25+ Rk
46 Georgia Southern 9-3 1.8   .020 60 .101 49 .243 45 .518 35 .211 108 .271 25 .166 59 .105 89 .000 1
47 Texas A&M 8-4 1.8   .014 67 .059 76 .201 65 .458 44 .250 124 .292 32 .080 21 .028 30 .007 54
48 Michigan State 7-6 1.6   .003 93 .033 101 .153 81 .396 72 .291 130 .312 37 .039 6 .000 1 .000 1
49 BYU 6-6 1.6   .046 32 .131 31 .242 46 .412 67 .192 87 .396 65 .150 50 .054 55 .015 72
50 California 6-6 1.6   .014 70 .112 41 .218 58 .422 63 .190 85 .388 62 .136 42 .048 47 .003 43
51 Kentucky 9-3 1.5   .022 57 .067 70 .210 60 .449 52 .240 123 .311 36 .139 43 .064 65 .004 51
52 Middle Tennessee 7-6 1.5   .027 48 .120 37 .288 28 .493 38 .103 4 .404 67 .178 70 .075 75 .027 85
53 USC 5-7 1.5   .000 94 .075 66 .194 68 .500 36 .139 28 .361 52 .139 44 .037 42 .000 1
54 Duke 7-5 1.3   .010 78 .087 55 .232 51 .470 43 .171 63 .359 51 .181 71 .054 54 .010 60
55 Southern Mississippi 5-5 1.2   .025 52 .095 52 .218 55 .395 73 .235 122 .370 57 .128 34 .004 11 .000 1
56 Miami (OH) 6-6 1.2   .042 34 .109 44 .197 67 .433 57 .187 81 .380 59 .155 54 .028 32 .000 1
57 Nevada 7-5 1.2   .012 73 .056 81 .205 62 .450 50 .165 60 .385 61 .118 29 .031 37 .000 1
58 Virginia Tech 5-7 1.1   .020 59 .058 78 .200 66 .447 54 .231 119 .322 40 .132 41 .061 60 .000 1
59 Iowa State 7-5 1.0   .000 94 .062 72 .203 63 .384 75 .279 128 .337 42 .130 36 .029 33 .000 1
60 Vanderbilt 5-7 0.9   .000 94 .054 82 .165 76 .450 51 .185 78 .365 53 .173 67 .019 21 .012 64
 
Rk Team Rec APM   W25+ Rk W17+ Rk W9+ Rk W Rk T Rk L Rk L9+ Rk L17+ Rk L25+ Rk
61 Northwestern 9-5 0.7   .000 94 .025 106 .161 78 .451 49 .202 101 .347 45 .148 48 .014 18 .000 1
62 Florida Atlantic 4-7 0.7   .000 94 .022 109 .225 52 .551 29 .101 3 .348 46 .169 62 .097 85 .034 91
63 Stanford 8-4 0.6   .007 83 .037 98 .172 74 .429 58 .201 100 .370 56 .161 58 .059 59 .000 1
64 Florida International 8-4 0.6   .057 25 .123 35 .213 59 .410 69 .123 13 .467 82 .172 65 .070 67 .020 77
65 Maryland 5-7 0.5   .026 50 .115 40 .237 49 .448 53 .141 31 .411 68 .237 84 .070 68 .004 50
66 San Diego State 6-6 0.3   .000 94 .000 120 .057 116 .426 60 .223 116 .351 47 .078 20 .018 19 .000 1
67 Western Kentucky 3-8 0.3   .066 15 .102 48 .176 73 .367 79 .160 52 .473 83 .195 73 .094 84 .008 55
68 Minnesota 7-6 0.1   .034 42 .109 43 .266 37 .420 65 .143 36 .437 74 .273 93 .099 86 .014 70
69 Wake Forest 6-6 0.0   .064 18 .111 42 .188 70 .376 76 .191 86 .433 73 .217 79 .102 87 .038 95
70 South Carolina 6-6 0.0   .064 17 .094 53 .218 56 .406 70 .154 46 .440 76 .214 77 .083 80 .004 52
71 Boston College 6-5 -0.1   .024 53 .042 93 .150 82 .411 68 .223 115 .366 55 .178 69 .063 64 .003 47
72 Arizona State 7-6 -0.1   .017 63 .049 88 .142 86 .354 81 .201 99 .444 77 .132 39 .003 10 .000 1
73 Wyoming 5-6 -0.2   .004 87 .053 84 .247 43 .417 66 .146 40 .437 75 .202 74 .093 83 .008 56
74 Miami 6-6 -0.3   .017 64 .103 47 .221 54 .372 77 .138 26 .490 88 .224 81 .062 62 .010 61
75 Tulane 6-6 -0.3   .010 80 .071 68 .191 69 .440 56 .194 90 .366 54 .172 64 .074 70 .039 96
 
Rk Team Rec APM   W25+ Rk W17+ Rk W9+ Rk W Rk T Rk L Rk L9+ Rk L17+ Rk L25+ Rk
76 Louisiana Lafayette 6-7 -0.4   .018 61 .085 58 .221 53 .421 64 .159 50 .421 70 .244 86 .085 81 .044 100
77 Colorado 4-7 -0.4   .022 58 .081 62 .144 85 .299 97 .277 127 .424 72 .207 75 .092 82 .000 1
78 Liberty 4-6 -0.6   .033 44 .077 65 .207 61 .399 71 .218 112 .384 60 .214 76 .077 77 .033 90
79 Louisiana Tech 7-5 -0.9   .000 94 .050 87 .145 84 .426 60 .181 73 .394 64 .191 72 .082 79 .018 74
80 TCU 6-6 -1.1   .000 94 .023 108 .059 115 .356 80 .228 118 .416 69 .119 31 .046 45 .013 68
81 Pittsburgh 6-7 -1.3   .000 94 .058 77 .136 87 .337 89 .187 83 .476 85 .214 77 .075 71 .014 69
82 Air Force 4-7 -1.3   .000 94 .029 103 .124 93 .306 94 .174 66 .521 94 .149 49 .025 27 .000 1
83 Texas Tech 4-7 -1.3   .011 76 .054 83 .122 94 .391 74 .154 45 .455 79 .233 83 .075 73 .022 78
84 Northern Illinois 8-6 -1.5   .000 94 .014 113 .094 104 .369 78 .174 67 .457 80 .174 68 .054 56 .000 1
85 Georgia Tech 6-6 -1.7   .039 35 .086 56 .185 72 .348 84 .176 69 .476 86 .240 85 .112 92 .043 98
86 Indiana 5-7 -1.7   .011 77 .057 79 .157 80 .346 85 .143 35 .511 89 .254 90 .054 53 .004 49
87 Hawaii 7-6 -2.1   .010 79 .066 71 .168 75 .349 82 .184 77 .467 81 .253 89 .132 95 .056 106
88 Kansas State 4-7 -2.2   .023 56 .036 99 .117 96 .266 101 .284 129 .450 78 .171 63 .104 88 .036 92
89 SMU 4-7 -2.4   .000 94 .061 73 .158 79 .301 96 .186 80 .513 90 .247 87 .115 93 .025 81
90 Nebraska 3-8 -2.4   .018 62 .085 59 .132 88 .324 91 .125 16 .551 97 .290 98 .107 91 .029 87
 
Rk Team Rec APM   W25+ Rk W17+ Rk W9+ Rk W Rk T Rk L Rk L9+ Rk L17+ Rk L25+ Rk
91 South Florida 6-6 -2.4   .006 85 .034 100 .102 100 .314 93 .155 48 .531 96 .227 82 .056 58 .009 57
92 Louisiana Monroe 5-6 -2.9   .013 72 .085 57 .218 57 .346 86 .141 33 .513 91 .329 103 .141 97 .056 105
93 Mississippi 4-7 -3.0   .024 54 .053 84 .146 83 .324 90 .194 91 .482 87 .271 92 .150 100 .061 107
94 Tulsa 2-9 -3.1   .008 81 .019 111 .086 110 .339 88 .187 82 .475 84 .300 99 .132 96 .023 80
95 UCLA 3-9 -3.5   .000 94 .021 110 .089 107 .257 102 .182 74 .561 98 .286 96 .075 72 .014 71
96 Tennessee 4-7 -3.7   .000 94 .083 60 .240 48 .341 87 .140 29 .520 93 .358 109 .210 114 .079 111
97 Baylor 6-6 -3.9   .000 94 .041 94 .120 95 .303 95 .120 7 .577 103 .266 91 .150 101 .041 97
98 North Carolina 1-9 -4.3   .000 94 .000 120 .023 126 .199 116 .226 117 .575 101 .252 88 .105 89 .000 1
99 Florida State 4-7 -4.5   .000 94 .056 80 .164 77 .241 107 .161 54 .598 111 .343 106 .143 99 .052 103
100 Massachusetts 3-8 -4.6   .058 24 .069 69 .088 108 .273 100 .165 61 .562 99 .315 101 .162 105 .092 117
101 Akron 3-8 -4.6   .000 94 .014 114 .053 118 .205 114 .208 107 .587 107 .279 95 .124 94 .049 101
102 UNLV 3-8 -4.7   .033 44 .052 86 .107 97 .284 99 .140 30 .576 102 .314 100 .151 102 .096 119
103 Texas State 2-9 -4.7   .000 94 .007 117 .102 101 .255 104 .149 42 .596 110 .360 110 .142 98 .025 83
104 Ball State 3-8 -4.9   .004 88 .044 91 .101 103 .250 106 .169 62 .581 106 .351 108 .153 104 .028 86
105 Charlotte 4-7 -5.0   .004 86 .017 112 .102 102 .318 92 .093 2 .589 109 .347 107 .153 103 .076 109
 
Rk Team Rec APM   W25+ Rk W17+ Rk W9+ Rk W Rk T Rk L Rk L9+ Rk L17+ Rk L25+ Rk
106 Western Michigan 6-6 -5.1   .004 91 .047 89 .094 105 .254 105 .232 120 .514 92 .290 97 .181 111 .091 116
107 Kansas 3-8 -5.1   .004 89 .080 64 .132 89 .256 103 .164 59 .580 105 .392 116 .224 119 .012 65
108 Arizona 4-7 -5.4   .004 90 .037 97 .126 92 .348 83 .122 11 .530 95 .363 111 .237 121 .119 124
109 Old Dominion 3-8 -5.7   .000 94 .004 119 .022 127 .108 129 .204 102 .688 124 .276 94 .075 73 .025 81
110 Navy 2-10 -6.0   .000 94 .000 120 .046 122 .222 110 .201 98 .577 104 .335 104 .180 108 .038 93
111 Illinois 3-8 -6.1   .012 74 .044 92 .127 91 .287 98 .143 37 .570 100 .375 112 .211 116 .096 118
112 Colorado State 3-8 -6.3   .016 66 .031 102 .106 98 .197 117 .122 10 .681 122 .386 115 .232 120 .079 112
113 Coastal Carolina 4-7 -6.5   .000 94 .005 118 .086 111 .180 120 .171 64 .649 119 .405 118 .180 110 .050 102
114 Central Michigan 0-11 -6.6   .000 94 .000 120 .028 124 .155 123 .216 111 .629 115 .339 105 .163 106 .032 89
115 Bowling Green 2-9 -6.6   .000 94 .000 120 .048 121 .214 112 .161 55 .625 113 .319 102 .218 117 .129 126
116 San Jose State 1-10 -6.9   .000 94 .007 116 .051 120 .162 122 .213 110 .625 113 .404 117 .180 109 .055 104
117 Rutgers 1-11 -7.3   .000 94 .060 75 .079 113 .184 119 .184 76 .633 116 .472 125 .273 127 .071 108
118 Kent State 1-10 -7.3   .000 94 .000 120 .044 123 .225 109 .188 84 .587 108 .380 113 .210 115 .118 123
119 UTSA 3-9 -7.4   .000 94 .008 115 .129 90 .231 108 .125 16 .644 117 .470 124 .250 124 .087 114
120 New Mexico State 2-9 -7.5   .000 94 .000 120 .052 119 .185 118 .195 93 .620 112 .432 120 .192 113 .080 113
 
Rk Team Rec APM   W25+ Rk W17+ Rk W9+ Rk W Rk T Rk L Rk L9+ Rk L17+ Rk L25+ Rk
121 New Mexico 2-9 -7.5   .030 47 .041 95 .093 106 .219 111 .133 21 .648 118 .422 119 .237 121 .100 120
122 East Carolina 3-8 -7.8   .007 84 .025 105 .057 116 .213 113 .138 27 .649 120 .383 114 .223 118 .121 125
123 Georgia State 1-10 -7.8   .014 67 .046 90 .088 109 .134 126 .171 65 .694 125 .477 126 .273 126 .088 115
124 Arkansas 1-10 -7.9   .000 94 .027 104 .105 99 .202 115 .125 14 .673 121 .447 123 .249 123 .105 122
125 South Alabama 2-9 -8.1   .000 94 .023 107 .081 112 .112 128 .186 79 .702 128 .442 122 .186 112 .078 110
126 Rice 1-11 -8.6   .000 94 .000 120 .022 127 .147 124 .158 49 .695 126 .437 121 .179 107 .104 121
127 UTEP 1-10 -8.7   .008 82 .038 96 .060 114 .147 125 .154 46 .699 127 .485 127 .259 125 .132 127
128 Connecticut 0-11 -10.6   .000 94 .000 120 .009 129 .173 121 .141 32 .686 123 .527 129 .345 129 .145 129
129 Louisville 1-10 -10.9   .000 94 .000 120 .026 125 .128 127 .150 43 .722 129 .500 128 .316 128 .171 130
130 Oregon State 1-10 -12.8   .000 94 .000 120 .000 130 .012 130 .134 23 .854 130 .606 130 .354 130 .134 128