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Possession Success Rate
:: 2018 :: 2017

 

Touchdowns and field goals are recorded as possession wins for the team with the ball and possession losses for the opponent. All other results are recorded as possession losses for the team with the ball and as possession wins for the opponent. Teams are ranked in the table below by possession success rate (PSR), the total number of possession wins recorded divided by total number of possessions played. Possession success rates for the given team's offense (OPS) and defense (DPS) are also provided.

Momentum possession wins are defined as possession wins that immediately follow another possession win (i.e. offensive score following a defensive stop, or vice versa). Momentum win rates for the given team overall (MWR), on offense (OMW), and on defense (DMW) are calculated as a function of momentum wins and momentum win opportunities. Momentum possession stops are defined as possession wins that immediately follow a possession loss (i.e. defensive stop following a failed offensive possession, or offensive score following a failed defensive possession). Momentum stop rates for the given team overall (MSR), on offense (OMS), and on defense (DMS) are calculated as a function of momentum stops and momentum stop opportunities.

Ratings and supporting data are calculated from the results of non-garbage possesssions in FBS vs. FBS games.

 

2018 Possession Success Rate (updated 12/3/18)

 

Rk Team Rec PSR OPS
Rk DPS
Rk   MWR Rk OMW Rk DMW Rk   MSR Rk OMS Rk DMS Rk
1 Alabama 12-0 .753 .636 2 .833 1   .715 1 .596 5 .863 2   .781 1 .750 1 .786 2
2 Michigan 10-2 .667 .492 12 .773 5   .634 7 .525 15 .763 19   .667 5 .500 7 .750 7
3 Clemson 12-0 .665 .489 14 .813 2   .619 10 .480 25 .852 3   .688 3 .480 12 .773 3
4 Utah State 9-2 .664 .520 6 .721 17   .665 4 .539 10 .783 13   .546 42 .472 13 .607 66
5 Georgia 10-2 .664 .604 3 .688 36   .647 6 .576 6 .733 36   .573 20 .606 3 .561 88
6 Fresno State 10-2 .639 .444 27 .809 3   .580 22 .455 35 .788 10   .689 2 .292 82 .833 1
7 Central Florida 11-0 .638 .570 4 .689 35   .672 3 .600 4 .750 26   .573 21 .550 5 .617 64
8 Notre Dame 12-0 .633 .489 15 .766 6   .617 11 .527 14 .754 25   .663 6 .433 23 .769 4
9 Ohio 7-4 .630 .549 5 .649 58   .698 2 .656 1 .724 42   .506 64 .421 25 .578 82
10 Oklahoma 12-1 .628 .657 1 .556 105   .613 13 .652 2 .573 110   .604 12 .691 2 .475 116
11 Ohio State 12-1 .609 .500 11 .681 38   .572 25 .479 26 .667 64   .605 11 .500 7 .693 25
12 North Carolina State 8-3 .606 .517 8 .678 39   .629 8 .568 9 .727 38   .543 45 .457 16 .630 56
13 West Virginia 7-3 .604 .513 9 .643 61   .598 17 .538 11 .660 71   .543 45 .450 18 .620 60
14 Penn State 9-3 .601 .403 46 .779 4   .556 32 .423 49 .815 7   .620 8 .344 56 .759 5
15 Temple 8-3 .600 .394 48 .699 25   .560 30 .383 67 .732 37   .558 30 .385 37 .671 33
 
Rk Team Rec PSR OPS
Rk DPS
Rk   MWR Rk OMW Rk DMW Rk   MSR Rk OMS Rk DMS Rk
16 Appalachian State 9-2 .599 .415 41 .742 11   .500 64 .346 91 .745 30   .677 4 .586 4 .754 6
17 Utah 8-4 .596 .417 39 .744 9   .556 32 .419 51 .788 10   .575 19 .353 51 .696 23
18 Washington State 9-2 .595 .491 13 .655 54   .598 17 .470 29 .760 22   .579 16 .487 10 .636 52
19 Army 7-2 .594 .519 7 .654 56   .658 5 .619 3 .694 54   .536 50 .400 32 .645 44
20 Iowa 7-4 .593 .403 44 .742 11   .553 34 .418 52 .766 18   .611 10 .379 41 .712 15
21 Washington 9-3 .588 .427 35 .707 20   .540 42 .440 41 .674 60   .633 7 .483 11 .723 11
22 Syracuse 8-3 .587 .477 18 .678 41   .615 12 .522 16 .735 34   .512 59 .367 43 .620 61
23 LSU 8-3 .587 .448 25 .704 21   .580 22 .500 19 .698 50   .578 18 .303 77 .721 12
24 Boise State 10-3 .587 .432 33 .690 34   .583 21 .452 37 .746 29   .557 32 .381 39 .671 32
25 North Texas 8-3 .587 .431 34 .716 18   .594 19 .518 17 .704 47   .548 41 .229 113 .710 16
26 Georgia Southern 8-3 .585 .464 21 .667 47   .552 36 .470 29 .646 77   .611 9 .455 17 .691 26
27 Cincinnati 9-2 .582 .380 55 .761 7   .536 43 .420 50 .761 21   .594 13 .233 110 .747 8
28 Missouri 7-4 .580 .484 16 .651 57   .583 20 .536 12 .627 89   .550 37 .413 27 .695 24
29 Buffalo 9-3 .579 .457 24 .685 37   .606 14 .481 24 .772 16   .500 68 .368 42 .607 67
30 Florida International 7-4 .577 .467 20 .639 63   .560 31 .492 20 .600 101   .543 43 .405 30 .673 31
 
Rk Team Rec PSR OPS
Rk DPS
Rk   MWR Rk OMW Rk DMW Rk   MSR Rk OMS Rk DMS Rk
31 Troy 8-3 .573 .389 52 .729 14   .522 50 .427 48 .708 45   .570 23 .294 81 .714 13
32 Texas A&M 7-4 .569 .438 30 .656 53   .535 45 .474 28 .612 98   .562 28 .359 49 .705 20
33 Mississippi State 7-4 .565 .398 47 .721 16   .562 28 .403 57 .889 1   .554 33 .360 48 .632 55
34 Toledo 6-5 .565 .439 29 .640 62   .600 16 .534 13 .678 59   .500 68 .333 59 .623 58
35 Memphis 7-5 .558 .507 10 .591 88   .601 15 .570 8 .632 85   .466 86 .400 32 .526 103
36 Florida 7-3 .554 .413 42 .661 49   .564 27 .435 43 .727 38   .561 29 .417 26 .645 44
37 UAB 9-3 .553 .367 65 .716 18   .543 40 .363 77 .844 4   .553 35 .351 53 .658 37
38 Iowa State 7-4 .551 .388 53 .694 30   .516 54 .432 46 .652 75   .551 36 .361 47 .687 30
39 Houston 7-4 .550 .460 22 .592 87   .619 9 .481 23 .761 20   .444 98 .448 20 .432 126
40 Miami (OH) 6-6 .549 .380 57 .693 32   .504 63 .365 76 .750 26   .579 17 .450 18 .658 36
41 Virginia 6-5 .548 .412 43 .667 47   .496 70 .366 74 .727 38   .571 22 .500 7 .651 41
42 Arkansas State 7-4 .546 .376 59 .675 42   .508 60 .387 65 .674 60   .536 49 .333 59 .652 39
43 Georgia Tech 6-5 .543 .476 19 .553 106   .544 39 .510 18 .596 102   .468 85 .381 39 .533 100
44 Arizona State 7-5 .542 .438 30 .623 68   .531 47 .446 39 .630 87   .505 65 .386 35 .594 76
45 Texas 9-4 .542 .445 26 .621 70   .561 29 .476 27 .661 70   .543 44 .408 29 .641 50
 
Rk Team Rec PSR OPS
Rk DPS
Rk   MWR Rk OMW Rk DMW Rk   MSR Rk OMS Rk DMS Rk
46 Kentucky 8-3 .540 .310 99 .739 13   .469 83 .320 105 .743 32   .592 14 .310 71 .712 14
47 Oklahoma State 5-6 .540 .460 23 .599 85   .526 48 .452 38 .617 95   .516 57 .472 14 .561 89
48 Southern Mississippi 5-5 .540 .325 87 .744 10   .479 76 .338 94 .757 23   .563 26 .241 105 .729 10
49 Middle Tennessee 7-5 .539 .391 50 .672 44   .571 26 .457 34 .740 33   .487 75 .244 104 .653 38
50 Marshall 7-4 .538 .333 82 .694 29   .515 55 .393 61 .700 49   .549 40 .270 91 .687 29
51 Miami 6-5 .535 .318 94 .702 23   .508 60 .354 85 .789 8   .533 53 .306 74 .646 43
52 Nevada 6-5 .534 .359 71 .693 31   .467 85 .322 103 .778 15   .538 47 .364 46 .642 49
53 Boston College 6-5 .533 .324 89 .696 26   .500 64 .372 71 .721 43   .519 56 .256 97 .667 34
54 Purdue 6-6 .532 .426 36 .628 67   .507 62 .430 47 .625 90   .567 24 .438 22 .645 46
55 BYU 5-6 .532 .339 79 .696 26   .575 24 .453 36 .833 5   .481 77 .156 125 .632 54
56 Michigan State 7-5 .527 .282 111 .752 8   .438 102 .314 108 .769 17   .587 15 .200 118 .735 9
57 San Diego State 6-5 .525 .326 86 .701 24   .484 73 .350 87 .789 8   .553 34 .316 67 .663 35
58 Air Force 4-7 .523 .403 44 .603 80   .466 86 .391 64 .511 125   .558 31 .386 35 .707 19
59 California 6-5 .522 .258 119 .728 15   .447 96 .265 122 .829 6   .538 48 .200 118 .696 22
60 Minnesota 6-6 .522 .360 69 .645 60   .535 44 .382 68 .745 30   .504 66 .354 50 .595 75
 
Rk Team Rec PSR OPS
Rk DPS
Rk   MWR Rk OMW Rk DMW Rk   MSR Rk OMS Rk DMS Rk
61 Stanford 7-4 .520 .416 40 .612 73   .522 51 .406 55 .689 57   .509 62 .432 24 .569 85
62 Texas Tech 4-7 .520 .423 37 .590 90   .500 64 .386 66 .642 80   .519 55 .464 15 .571 84
63 Arizona 4-7 .519 .394 48 .621 69   .552 35 .466 31 .673 63   .480 80 .313 70 .597 73
64 Wisconsin 7-5 .519 .390 51 .631 65   .500 64 .408 53 .667 64   .520 54 .340 58 .634 53
65 Auburn 6-5 .518 .358 72 .656 52   .513 58 .405 56 .698 51   .509 63 .289 83 .622 59
66 Maryland 5-7 .517 .359 70 .611 74   .520 53 .371 72 .696 52   .475 82 .348 54 .556 91
67 Oregon 7-4 .517 .380 55 .603 81   .548 37 .441 40 .688 58   .426 102 .280 88 .533 100
68 South Carolina 6-5 .515 .432 32 .561 104   .523 49 .373 70 .694 56   .491 73 .510 6 .476 114
69 Eastern Michigan 6-5 .513 .312 98 .704 21   .429 106 .337 95 .639 81   .563 25 .250 101 .709 17
70 South Florida 6-5 .509 .347 76 .621 71   .463 88 .357 79 .625 90   .514 58 .347 55 .605 69
71 USC 5-7 .507 .331 83 .646 59   .451 93 .321 104 .644 78   .511 60 .283 87 .644 47
72 Duke 6-5 .500 .316 96 .669 46   .421 108 .304 112 .625 90   .563 27 .326 64 .707 18
72 Wake Forest 5-6 .500 .343 78 .606 78   .496 69 .356 82 .667 64   .474 83 .300 79 .573 83
74 Louisiana Tech 6-5 .498 .310 100 .669 45   .447 95 .325 102 .694 54   .550 38 .263 94 .688 28
75 Florida Atlantic 4-7 .496 .361 67 .628 66   .488 71 .355 84 .711 44   .464 88 .304 75 .581 79
 
Rk Team Rec PSR OPS
Rk DPS
Rk   MWR Rk OMW Rk DMW Rk   MSR Rk OMS Rk DMS Rk
75 TCU 5-6 .496 .267 115 .672 43   .475 80 .308 110 .784 12   .496 71 .238 107 .627 57
77 Louisiana Lafayette 6-6 .496 .480 17 .496 122   .509 59 .491 22 .520 122   .466 86 .439 21 .509 107
78 Northwestern 8-5 .495 .293 105 .691 33   .469 84 .333 96 .756 24   .503 67 .231 111 .651 40
79 Wyoming 5-6 .494 .306 102 .678 39   .434 105 .297 114 .703 48   .536 50 .231 111 .699 21
80 Kansas State 4-7 .493 .364 66 .600 83   .531 46 .433 45 .706 46   .423 103 .268 93 .534 99
81 Indiana 5-7 .493 .377 58 .581 96   .548 37 .438 42 .696 52   .455 92 .302 78 .564 87
82 Vanderbilt 5-6 .489 .373 60 .588 91   .481 75 .359 78 .651 76   .509 61 .405 31 .569 85
83 Northern Illinois 8-5 .488 .253 121 .695 28   .406 116 .260 124 .725 41   .550 38 .250 101 .688 27
84 Mississippi 4-7 .488 .444 27 .517 116   .542 41 .571 7 .500 126   .419 106 .298 80 .525 104
85 Hawaii 7-5 .487 .422 38 .529 114   .513 57 .458 33 .582 107   .412 108 .367 45 .448 123
86 Pittsburgh 6-6 .485 .351 74 .586 93   .483 74 .357 79 .644 78   .461 90 .367 43 .539 96
87 Nebraska 3-8 .483 .368 64 .581 94   .436 104 .333 96 .614 97   .485 76 .385 37 .554 92
88 Colorado 4-7 .481 .338 80 .611 74   .448 94 .357 79 .595 103   .462 89 .308 72 .584 77
89 Tulane 5-6 .480 .284 109 .657 50   .402 118 .277 118 .658 73   .536 50 .304 75 .648 42
90 North Carolina 1-9 .479 .336 81 .602 82   .457 92 .338 93 .619 94   .480 79 .333 59 .600 70
 
Rk Team Rec PSR OPS
Rk DPS
Rk   MWR Rk OMW Rk DMW Rk   MSR Rk OMS Rk DMS Rk
91 Virginia Tech 5-6 .474 .319 91 .611 74   .424 107 .292 115 .628 88   .481 78 .333 59 .584 77
92 Charlotte 4-7 .472 .322 90 .613 72   .418 110 .302 113 .636 82   .500 68 .341 57 .618 63
93 Baylor 5-6 .471 .373 60 .541 111   .476 79 .393 61 .558 114   .438 99 .353 51 .507 108
94 SMU 4-7 .468 .319 91 .604 79   .404 117 .250 126 .659 72   .489 74 .412 28 .580 81
95 Western Michigan 6-5 .468 .387 54 .547 108   .514 56 .459 32 .587 106   .409 109 .327 63 .493 110
96 Louisiana Monroe 5-6 .465 .351 75 .563 102   .521 52 .407 54 .667 64   .388 116 .306 73 .484 113
97 Liberty 4-6 .462 .318 93 .577 98   .478 77 .319 106 .750 26   .430 100 .314 69 .500 109
98 Kansas 3-8 .461 .283 110 .595 86   .410 114 .311 109 .529 119   .461 90 .255 98 .597 72
99 Old Dominion 3-8 .460 .357 73 .552 107   .466 86 .403 58 .581 108   .447 96 .316 67 .538 98
100 Akron 3-8 .454 .212 127 .654 55   .362 125 .215 129 .625 90   .493 72 .222 114 .638 51
101 UCLA 3-9 .452 .331 84 .544 110   .500 64 .369 73 .674 60   .400 114 .322 65 .462 120
102 Tennessee 4-7 .449 .288 106 .588 92   .436 103 .350 87 .581 109   .451 94 .195 121 .606 68
103 Tulsa 2-9 .448 .315 97 .590 89   .472 81 .435 44 .541 118   .403 110 .180 123 .581 79
104 Western Kentucky 3-8 .445 .288 107 .581 94   .462 89 .314 107 .735 34   .445 97 .250 101 .548 94
105 Illinois 3-8 .443 .369 62 .516 117   .485 72 .491 21 .525 121   .383 119 .259 96 .493 110
 
Rk Team Rec PSR OPS
Rk DPS
Rk   MWR Rk OMW Rk DMW Rk   MSR Rk OMS Rk DMS Rk
106 Texas State 2-9 .437 .216 126 .636 64   .380 124 .276 119 .655 74   .448 95 .149 126 .618 62
107 Florida State 4-7 .436 .255 120 .610 77   .384 122 .278 117 .667 64   .474 83 .235 109 .600 70
108 Coastal Carolina 4-7 .436 .360 68 .486 124   .477 78 .396 59 .556 115   .386 117 .269 92 .475 115
109 East Carolina 3-8 .433 .298 103 .566 101   .441 98 .347 90 .632 86   .416 107 .241 105 .540 95
110 Ball State 3-8 .431 .317 95 .545 109   .417 111 .356 83 .514 123   .423 103 .288 84 .533 100
111 New Mexico 2-9 .429 .260 118 .562 103   .471 82 .394 60 .559 112   .375 121 .111 130 .553 93
112 San Jose State 1-10 .429 .265 117 .574 99   .406 115 .329 98 .529 119   .453 93 .184 122 .614 65
113 Central Michigan 0-11 .423 .171 130 .657 51   .300 128 .190 130 .636 82   .477 81 .133 129 .644 48
114 Massachusetts 3-8 .423 .369 62 .452 126   .398 119 .327 101 .488 127   .394 115 .390 34 .441 125
115 Kent State 1-10 .417 .274 113 .535 113   .416 113 .308 110 .606 100   .401 113 .237 108 .512 106
115 Navy 2-9 .417 .345 77 .491 123   .440 100 .391 63 .514 123   .366 125 .288 84 .448 122
117 UNLV 3-8 .411 .308 101 .500 121   .457 91 .365 75 .615 96   .368 123 .288 86 .427 127
118 New Mexico State 2-9 .409 .248 122 .511 119   .396 120 .254 125 .568 111   .384 118 .254 99 .472 117
119 Arkansas 1-10 .408 .266 116 .541 111   .421 109 .328 99 .633 84   .379 120 .170 124 .512 105
120 UTEP 1-10 .408 .227 125 .569 100   .333 126 .217 128 .607 99   .421 105 .212 117 .560 90
 
Rk Team Rec PSR OPS
Rk DPS
Rk   MWR Rk OMW Rk DMW Rk   MSR Rk OMS Rk DMS Rk
121 Bowling Green 2-9 .407 .280 112 .517 115   .441 99 .339 92 .594 104   .361 126 .218 115 .467 118
122 UTSA 3-9 .406 .203 128 .578 97   .417 111 .275 121 .783 13   .403 111 .149 126 .538 97
123 Rutgers 1-11 .402 .186 129 .600 83   .313 127 .221 127 .542 117   .429 101 .143 128 .596 74
124 Colorado State 3-8 .401 .287 108 .508 120   .444 97 .351 86 .594 104   .366 124 .262 95 .467 118
125 South Alabama 2-9 .396 .296 104 .456 125   .380 123 .327 100 .441 128   .403 111 .271 90 .488 112
126 Oregon State 1-10 .395 .328 85 .435 127   .460 90 .380 69 .559 112   .375 121 .318 66 .443 124
127 Georgia State 1-10 .382 .324 88 .430 128   .438 101 .350 87 .548 116   .331 129 .278 89 .385 129
128 Rice 1-11 .381 .246 123 .511 118   .385 121 .262 123 .667 64   .346 127 .200 118 .456 121
129 Louisville 1-10 .330 .231 124 .409 129   .294 129 .289 116 .286 129   .333 128 .213 116 .423 128
130 Connecticut 0-11 .282 .270 114 .286 130   .224 130 .276 120 .179 130   .298 130 .254 100 .343 130