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BCF Toys is the home of college football data visualized by Brian Fremeau. In addition to producing the data, graphics, and analysis archived here, I write regularly for Football OutsidersESPN Insider, and other web and print publications.

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05.08.13 :: ESPN Insider :: Oregon and USC lead the way in the preliminary Pac-12 Conference FEI projections. Read more articles like this in my ESPN Archive.

05.07.13 :: ESPN Insider :: Clemson and Miami lead the way in the preliminary Atlantic Coast Conference FEI projections. Read more articles like this in my ESPN Archive.

05.06.13 :: ESPN Insider :: Alabama and South Carolina lead the way in the preliminary Southeastern Conference FEI projections. Read more articles like this in my ESPN Archive.

05.03.13 :: ESPN Insider :: Ohio State and Michigan State lead the way in the preliminary Big Ten conference FEI projections. Read more articles like this in my ESPN Archive.

05.01.13 :: ESPN Insider :: Texas and Oklahoma State lead the way in the preliminary Big 12 conference FEI projections. Read more articles like this in my ESPN Archive.

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Saturday
Jan052013

Championship Matchup

FEI ratings are based on possession efficiency, and each drive and possession change event has a measurable impact on the final score. As might be expected, the average value of starting field position is the same as the average value of a given first down series from the same field position. First downs are statistically similar to the start of unique possessions.

So while I'll be paying close attention to overall drive efficiency throughout the title game, efficiency per first down series will reveal an even more refined view of the championship battle between Alabama and Notre Dame. The charts above represent the first down series success to date for both teams.

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