SFP Ratings

Possession Success Rate
:: 2018 :: 2017

 

Touchdowns and field goals are recorded as possession wins for the team with the ball and possession losses for the opponent. All other results are recorded as possession losses for the team with the ball and as possession wins for the opponent. Teams are ranked in the table below by possession success rate (PSR), the total number of possession wins recorded divided by total number of possessions played. Possession success rates for the given team's offense (OPS) and defense (DPS) are also provided.

Momentum possession wins are defined as possession wins that immediately follow another possession win (i.e. offensive score following a defensive stop, or vice versa). Momentum win rates for the given team overall (MWR), on offense (OMW), and on defense (DMW) are calculated as a function of momentum wins and momentum win opportunities. Momentum possession stops are defined as possession wins that immediately follow a possession loss (i.e. defensive stop following a failed offensive possession, or offensive score following a failed defensive possession). Momentum stop rates for the given team overall (MSR), on offense (OMS), and on defense (DMS) are calculated as a function of momentum stops and momentum stop opportunities.

Ratings and supporting data are calculated from the results of non-garbage possesssions in FBS vs. FBS games.

 

2017 Possession Success Rate (final)

 

Rk Team Rec PSR OPS
Rk DPS
Rk   MWR Rk OMW Rk DMW Rk   MSR Rk OMS Rk DMS Rk
1 Ohio State 12-2 .673 .534 4 .792 3   .661 3 .515 10 .867 1   .612 10 .576 3 .656 41
2 Alabama 12-1 .652 .474 14 .803 2   .589 17 .442 35 .814 11   .678 2 .480 7 .766 2
3 Penn State 11-2 .651 .479 12 .776 7   .641 4 .505 14 .846 2   .620 3 .400 31 .710 18
4 Georgia 12-2 .645 .514 6 .763 9   .663 2 .558 4 .812 12   .608 13 .424 24 .706 19
5 Washington 9-3 .644 .504 7 .746 12   .679 1 .553 6 .825 9   .560 37 .379 38 .679 34
6 Wisconsin 13-1 .634 .433 28 .784 5   .622 8 .495 15 .790 20   .593 21 .303 74 .740 10
7 Central Florida 12-0 .634 .524 5 .711 25   .637 5 .516 9 .770 29   .612 11 .513 4 .677 35
8 Clemson 11-2 .632 .392 46 .831 1   .563 24 .394 59 .842 4   .695 1 .346 52 .821 1
9 Auburn 9-4 .630 .455 19 .778 6   .620 9 .490 20 .825 8   .581 31 .250 102 .750 4
10 Oklahoma State 10-3 .617 .568 2 .654 56   .616 10 .562 3 .687 57   .581 30 .596 1 .617 59
11 Oklahoma 12-2 .615 .600 1 .611 74   .629 7 .619 1 .625 82   .595 18 .589 2 .610 62
12 South Florida 9-2 .612 .472 16 .738 14   .594 15 .485 23 .766 30   .617 4 .472 8 .700 23
13 Florida Atlantic 10-3 .601 .542 3 .646 59   .635 6 .595 2 .690 54   .546 44 .457 14 .617 59
14 Boise State 11-3 .597 .420 31 .727 19   .533 43 .367 77 .746 36   .615 7 .452 19 .735 11
15 Memphis 9-3 .588 .490 8 .636 65   .598 13 .494 16 .708 46   .542 47 .460 12 .594 69
 
Rk Team Rec PSR OPS
Rk DPS
Rk   MWR Rk OMW Rk DMW Rk   MSR Rk OMS Rk DMS Rk
16 TCU 10-3 .584 .422 30 .702 32   .538 39 .418 44 .689 55   .593 20 .409 27 .701 21
17 Notre Dame 10-3 .584 .439 23 .710 27   .542 34 .441 36 .707 47   .608 12 .452 19 .716 15
18 Virginia Tech 8-4 .583 .348 76 .786 4   .537 41 .368 76 .833 6   .616 5 .290 81 .750 4
19 Toledo 10-3 .581 .490 8 .664 48   .606 11 .511 12 .727 39   .534 51 .457 14 .600 66
20 Mississippi State 8-4 .579 .397 43 .711 26   .551 31 .432 42 .723 40   .573 32 .316 67 .724 12
20 San Diego State 9-3 .579 .397 44 .706 30   .551 32 .447 34 .694 50   .558 38 .294 79 .692 27
22 Louisville 7-5 .579 .475 13 .657 51   .578 20 .481 24 .705 48   .495 68 .457 14 .541 96
23 Troy 10-2 .578 .365 62 .750 10   .500 66 .337 98 .800 16   .595 18 .382 37 .692 27
24 Arkansas State 6-5 .574 .411 38 .707 29   .513 53 .404 53 .691 53   .612 8 .457 14 .716 16
25 Stanford 9-5 .571 .479 11 .641 64   .541 35 .468 27 .619 87   .600 17 .510 5 .676 36
26 Michigan 8-5 .570 .333 86 .771 8   .536 42 .404 54 .788 22   .568 33 .111 129 .761 3
27 Fresno State 9-4 .569 .380 51 .727 20   .511 56 .411 49 .681 59   .602 16 .324 63 .747 6
28 UTSA 5-5 .563 .359 68 .728 18   .505 61 .373 73 .750 32   .584 28 .346 52 .689 31
29 Iowa State 7-5 .561 .403 41 .696 33   .555 28 .422 43 .750 32   .568 34 .342 55 .681 33
30 Ohio 8-4 .561 .465 17 .643 62   .593 16 .494 17 .717 43   .488 72 .375 40 .586 77
 
Rk Team Rec PSR OPS
Rk DPS
Rk   MWR Rk OMW Rk DMW Rk   MSR Rk OMS Rk DMS Rk
31 Northwestern 10-3 .557 .348 75 .747 11   .557 25 .415 46 .840 5   .545 45 .171 121 .691 29
32 Louisiana Tech 6-6 .555 .438 26 .633 66   .600 12 .493 18 .717 42   .473 78 .409 27 .540 98
33 Wyoming 7-5 .554 .304 101 .738 15   .482 77 .341 96 .744 37   .592 23 .194 116 .718 14
34 Marshall 8-5 .552 .333 86 .694 34   .459 93 .358 83 .595 93   .612 8 .297 78 .742 9
35 USC 11-3 .552 .411 37 .661 50   .473 83 .392 61 .587 96   .606 14 .471 9 .701 22
36 Western Michigan 5-6 .550 .360 67 .655 53   .500 66 .358 82 .679 61   .516 56 .279 87 .639 50
37 LSU 8-4 .549 .391 47 .674 43   .504 62 .388 62 .688 56   .593 22 .417 26 .667 40
38 Army 9-3 .546 .474 14 .596 81   .554 29 .556 5 .558 108   .556 40 .405 29 .682 32
39 Appalachian State 8-4 .546 .413 36 .676 41   .567 22 .438 37 .800 16   .504 60 .341 57 .592 72
39 Duke 6-6 .546 .333 86 .730 16   .521 50 .344 94 .844 3   .557 39 .361 46 .655 42
41 Utah 6-6 .546 .404 40 .650 57   .554 30 .464 28 .673 64   .485 73 .267 92 .620 57
42 Purdue 7-6 .546 .350 74 .719 23   .497 70 .362 80 .780 25   .582 29 .333 61 .691 30
43 Texas 7-6 .543 .281 109 .743 13   .462 88 .296 111 .776 27   .588 25 .195 114 .746 7
44 Arizona 6-6 .542 .490 10 .559 103   .541 35 .514 11 .551 112   .508 57 .483 6 .541 96
45 Kansas State 7-5 .542 .419 32 .624 70   .585 18 .507 13 .679 62   .479 77 .277 88 .597 68
 
Rk Team Rec PSR OPS
Rk DPS
Rk   MWR Rk OMW Rk DMW Rk   MSR Rk OMS Rk DMS Rk
46 Iowa 8-5 .541 .336 85 .709 28   .483 76 .354 86 .721 41   .587 26 .349 50 .699 24
47 Miami 9-3 .541 .354 69 .691 35   .538 40 .409 51 .771 28   .522 54 .262 96 .633 52
48 Michigan State 10-3 .540 .352 72 .725 21   .511 55 .380 69 .791 19   .543 46 .256 99 .702 20
49 Colorado State 6-6 .537 .450 20 .613 73   .565 23 .486 21 .661 74   .471 81 .388 35 .569 86
50 Utah State 5-7 .536 .320 93 .691 36   .541 37 .376 72 .809 13   .500 62 .250 102 .624 55
51 Washington State 8-4 .535 .372 55 .671 44   .545 33 .409 50 .784 23   .500 62 .298 76 .619 58
52 North Carolina State 8-4 .534 .403 42 .645 61   .482 78 .400 57 .585 97   .565 36 .468 10 .649 45
53 Houston 7-5 .533 .376 53 .678 39   .504 64 .393 60 .700 49   .538 48 .378 39 .643 48
54 Eastern Michigan 5-7 .532 .327 90 .713 24   .440 101 .309 107 .673 63   .616 6 .357 47 .745 8
55 Boston College 7-6 .531 .308 99 .729 17   .503 65 .363 79 .784 23   .550 41 .186 119 .698 25
56 Northern Illinois 7-5 .531 .283 108 .725 22   .462 89 .284 115 .809 13   .548 43 .267 92 .676 37
57 Texas A&M 6-6 .529 .369 59 .655 54   .557 25 .413 48 .780 26   .464 87 .309 72 .564 90
58 Wake Forest 7-5 .527 .416 33 .623 71   .556 27 .477 25 .661 73   .482 75 .370 42 .565 89
59 Buffalo 5-6 .526 .383 49 .654 55   .461 91 .388 62 .565 103   .586 27 .342 55 .712 17
60 Southern Mississippi 7-5 .524 .361 65 .655 52   .474 82 .329 100 .694 50   .550 42 .391 33 .650 44
 
Rk Team Rec PSR OPS
Rk DPS
Rk   MWR Rk OMW Rk DMW Rk   MSR Rk OMS Rk DMS Rk
61 Missouri 6-6 .524 .434 27 .579 92   .597 14 .544 7 .667 66   .429 101 .339 59 .507 111
62 Florida State 6-6 .523 .341 79 .676 42   .519 51 .383 66 .756 31   .508 58 .286 82 .624 56
63 South Carolina 8-4 .523 .326 92 .647 58   .516 52 .382 68 .750 32   .500 62 .286 82 .584 78
64 Navy 7-6 .523 .449 21 .578 93   .525 47 .485 22 .566 102   .496 67 .370 42 .594 70
65 Arizona State 7-6 .522 .424 29 .575 96   .532 45 .458 29 .619 87   .456 88 .387 36 .512 108
66 Temple 6-6 .520 .360 66 .645 60   .523 48 .372 74 .750 32   .535 50 .391 33 .613 61
67 Middle Tennessee 7-6 .518 .340 80 .664 47   .475 81 .353 87 .654 76   .566 35 .340 58 .698 26
68 Oregon 6-6 .517 .367 61 .629 68   .580 19 .434 40 .804 15   .432 100 .250 102 .550 94
69 Indiana 4-7 .517 .309 98 .703 31   .522 49 .370 75 .833 6   .504 61 .217 110 .652 43
70 New Mexico State 7-6 .513 .341 78 .667 45   .476 79 .383 65 .673 65   .536 49 .268 91 .676 37
71 Miami (OH) 4-7 .512 .333 86 .688 37   .415 110 .286 114 .667 66   .603 15 .439 22 .724 12
72 Georgia State 7-4 .504 .287 106 .677 40   .395 113 .253 122 .667 66   .589 24 .421 25 .675 39
73 Florida International 7-5 .504 .383 50 .592 84   .509 60 .433 41 .578 99   .492 70 .347 51 .589 75
74 SMU 6-6 .503 .459 18 .528 114   .485 75 .449 31 .508 124   .500 62 .455 18 .567 88
75 UNLV 5-6 .502 .444 22 .534 111   .532 44 .492 19 .563 105   .429 101 .354 49 .482 120
 
Rk Team Rec PSR OPS
Rk DPS
Rk   MWR Rk OMW Rk DMW Rk   MSR Rk OMS Rk DMS Rk
76 Minnesota 5-7 .502 .313 97 .667 45   .457 94 .329 101 .684 58   .529 53 .317 66 .646 46
77 North Texas 8-5 .502 .438 25 .537 110   .573 21 .523 8 .644 78   .405 117 .338 60 .468 122
78 Kentucky 6-6 .500 .393 45 .594 82   .500 66 .437 39 .580 98   .484 74 .346 52 .592 73
79 UAB 7-5 .498 .372 54 .601 77   .500 66 .414 47 .625 82   .453 90 .261 97 .590 74
80 Central Michigan 7-5 .497 .287 107 .679 38   .469 84 .312 105 .795 18   .506 59 .269 90 .641 49
81 Tulane 4-7 .493 .379 52 .593 83   .530 46 .407 52 .692 52   .436 98 .356 48 .508 110
82 Mississippi 5-6 .492 .415 34 .563 100   .496 71 .403 56 .620 86   .467 85 .404 30 .538 99
83 Colorado 4-7 .492 .369 58 .590 86   .427 104 .344 95 .523 117   .517 55 .447 21 .582 80
84 Georgia Tech 4-6 .491 .351 73 .609 75   .450 98 .361 81 .595 95   .495 69 .300 75 .627 54
85 Texas Tech 5-7 .490 .370 56 .568 98   .468 85 .383 66 .554 111   .469 84 .323 64 .582 79
86 UCLA 6-7 .490 .439 23 .520 116   .504 63 .455 30 .545 114   .456 89 .464 11 .466 123
87 Pittsburgh 4-7 .490 .320 94 .642 63   .495 72 .319 102 .789 21   .467 86 .310 71 .573 84
88 Florida 4-7 .488 .315 96 .629 69   .486 74 .348 91 .730 38   .426 104 .255 100 .553 93
89 West Virginia 6-6 .487 .364 63 .573 97   .540 38 .449 32 .648 77   .412 111 .262 95 .516 106
90 Western Kentucky 5-7 .486 .338 81 .619 72   .463 87 .347 92 .659 75   .471 80 .314 70 .593 71
 
Rk Team Rec PSR OPS
Rk DPS
Rk   MWR Rk OMW Rk DMW Rk   MSR Rk OMS Rk DMS Rk
91 California 4-7 .482 .384 48 .563 100   .468 86 .403 55 .545 114   .492 70 .392 32 .571 85
92 Louisiana Monroe 4-8 .481 .408 39 .517 118   .430 103 .448 33 .407 129   .500 62 .365 45 .605 64
93 Coastal Carolina 3-8 .479 .352 70 .585 91   .510 58 .377 70 .711 45   .471 79 .320 65 .577 82
94 Massachusetts 3-8 .475 .345 77 .590 87   .373 119 .256 121 .568 101   .530 52 .429 23 .602 65
94 Virginia 5-7 .475 .262 115 .664 49   .455 95 .349 90 .714 44   .448 92 .106 130 .644 47
96 Old Dominion 4-7 .473 .273 111 .631 67   .416 109 .303 110 .667 66   .481 76 .146 127 .639 51
97 Syracuse 3-8 .468 .336 84 .577 94   .476 80 .347 92 .681 59   .447 93 .316 67 .532 100
98 Nebraska 4-8 .466 .336 83 .557 104   .509 59 .415 45 .622 85   .409 114 .259 98 .527 102
99 Air Force 4-7 .460 .415 35 .479 126   .511 56 .438 38 .558 108   .444 95 .458 13 .460 125
100 Nevada 3-8 .459 .352 70 .533 112   .495 73 .386 64 .632 80   .406 116 .315 69 .493 118
101 Louisiana Lafayette 4-7 .458 .370 57 .540 108   .462 90 .377 70 .595 93   .450 91 .370 42 .514 107
102 Georgia Southern 2-9 .457 .305 100 .587 89   .435 102 .353 87 .564 104   .469 82 .224 107 .632 53
103 Idaho 3-8 .449 .290 105 .600 78   .449 99 .356 85 .636 79   .426 104 .196 113 .568 87
104 Baylor 1-10 .444 .317 95 .543 107   .451 97 .338 97 .625 82   .415 110 .281 84 .506 112
105 Bowling Green 2-9 .440 .326 91 .528 115   .422 107 .333 99 .523 117   .419 108 .328 62 .500 113
 
Rk Team Rec PSR OPS
Rk DPS
Rk   MWR Rk OMW Rk DMW Rk   MSR Rk OMS Rk DMS Rk
106 BYU 3-9 .438 .264 114 .592 85   .426 106 .257 120 .815 10   .432 99 .298 76 .519 105
107 North Carolina 2-9 .438 .254 118 .603 76   .398 112 .288 113 .667 66   .444 95 .216 112 .586 76
108 Tennessee 3-8 .437 .268 113 .589 88   .367 120 .274 116 .531 116   .469 82 .265 94 .600 66
109 Tulsa 2-10 .437 .368 60 .485 123   .441 100 .367 78 .510 123   .421 107 .375 40 .466 123
110 Akron 6-7 .433 .238 122 .600 78   .386 115 .263 118 .618 89   .437 97 .222 108 .553 92
111 Arkansas 3-8 .432 .336 82 .479 125   .453 96 .396 58 .514 122   .393 121 .293 80 .471 121
112 Maryland 3-8 .426 .258 117 .556 105   .461 92 .357 84 .600 92   .374 124 .189 117 .526 103
113 South Alabama 3-8 .425 .260 116 .567 99   .411 111 .353 87 .560 106   .429 101 .170 122 .554 91
114 Vanderbilt 4-7 .420 .302 102 .539 109   .420 108 .315 103 .606 91   .411 112 .275 89 .521 104
115 Connecticut 2-9 .412 .298 103 .516 119   .385 116 .268 117 .559 107   .397 119 .281 84 .494 117
116 Illinois 2-10 .411 .203 125 .598 80   .317 126 .236 124 .500 125   .445 94 .163 125 .609 63
117 Hawaii 2-9 .404 .270 112 .509 121   .388 114 .308 108 .517 120   .411 112 .280 86 .500 113
118 New Mexico 2-9 .402 .240 120 .549 106   .375 118 .308 108 .500 125   .396 120 .170 123 .542 95
119 Cincinnati 3-8 .397 .293 104 .487 122   .321 124 .240 123 .452 127   .408 115 .309 72 .500 113
120 Rutgers 3-8 .394 .197 126 .563 102   .330 122 .183 127 .667 66   .402 118 .217 110 .500 113
 
Rk Team Rec PSR OPS
Rk DPS
Rk   MWR Rk OMW Rk DMW Rk   MSR Rk OMS Rk DMS Rk
121 Kent State 1-10 .379 .165 128 .587 90   .284 128 .179 128 .667 66   .422 106 .163 125 .576 83
122 East Carolina 3-8 .378 .361 64 .396 129   .513 54 .475 26 .550 113   .265 130 .250 102 .300 130
123 Texas State 1-10 .377 .231 123 .528 113   .319 125 .234 125 .517 120   .389 122 .220 109 .530 101
124 Charlotte 1-10 .366 .156 130 .575 95   .244 129 .159 129 .556 110   .417 109 .167 124 .578 81
125 Ball State 1-10 .364 .238 121 .483 124   .427 105 .315 103 .630 81   .315 127 .177 120 .436 126
126 Kansas 0-11 .359 .250 119 .460 127   .378 117 .293 112 .571 100   .306 128 .194 115 .402 128
127 San Jose State 1-11 .348 .180 127 .511 120   .322 123 .262 119 .522 119   .349 125 .113 128 .510 109
128 Oregon State 0-11 .341 .276 110 .373 130   .333 121 .310 106 .345 130   .328 126 .254 101 .371 129
129 UTEP 0-12 .338 .158 129 .518 117   .243 130 .111 130 .611 90   .380 123 .241 106 .488 119
130 Rice 1-11 .332 .209 124 .448 128   .304 127 .205 126 .435 128   .306 129 .186 118 .429 127