SFP Ratings

Strength of Schedule Ratings
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Strength of Schedule Ratings are a function of the current FEI ratings of a given team's schedule of FBS opponents and the location (home/away/neutral) of each game. Teams are ordered by EL ratings, representing the average number of losses an elite team (two standard deviations better than average) would have against the schedule. GL ratings represent the average number of losses a good team (one standard deviation better than average) would have against the schedule. AL ratings represent the average number of losses an average team would have against the schedule. Game counts in the given team's schedule against FEI top 10 opponents (v10), top 20 opponents (v20), top 30 opponents (v30), top 40 opponents (v40), and top 50 opponents (v50) are provided. Strength of schedule ratings considering regular season opponents only are provided in the REL (expected elite team losses), RGL (good team), and RAL (average team) columns.

Ratings and supporting data are calculated from the results of non-garbage possesssions in FBS vs. FBS games.

 

 

2018 Strength of Schedule (final)

 

Rk Team Rec EL   GL Rk AL Rk   v10 v20 v30 v40 v50   REL Rk RGL Rk RAL Rk
1 Alabama 13-1 2.63   5.69 1 8.93 2   5 8 8 8 8   1.16 36 3.24 43 6.04 52
2 Auburn 7-5 2.54   5.02 5 7.68 20   5 6 6 6 7   2.48 1 4.78 3 7.07 15
3 Texas A&M 8-4 2.51   5.21 4 8.14 12   4 5 6 7 8   2.43 2 4.92 2 7.46 4
4 Georgia 10-3 2.37   5.36 3 8.47 7   3 6 7 7 8   1.49 16 3.90 15 6.62 35
5 LSU 9-3 2.37   5.39 2 8.04 14   4 7 7 8 8   2.12 4 4.76 4 7.15 10
6 Tennessee 4-7 2.22   4.93 7 7.83 17   3 5 7 7 8   2.22 3 4.93 1 7.83 2
7 Mississippi State 7-5 2.22   4.84 9 7.71 18   3 6 7 7 7   1.99 6 4.24 8 6.83 23
8 South Carolina 6-6 2.18   4.86 8 7.84 16   3 5 6 7 7   2.08 5 4.51 6 7.11 13
9 Pittsburgh 6-7 1.99   5.01 6 8.93 1   2 4 4 9 9   1.25 30 3.76 24 7.20 9
10 Arkansas 1-10 1.98   4.57 12 7.14 39   3 6 6 6 7   1.98 7 4.57 5 7.14 12
11 Louisville 1-10 1.94   3.84 33 6.65 50   2 2 3 6 6   1.94 8 3.84 17 6.65 33
12 Missouri 7-5 1.94   4.31 19 7.49 24   3 3 4 5 7   1.84 9 3.96 13 6.76 30
13 Oklahoma 12-2 1.81   4.67 11 8.68 4   1 3 6 7 7   0.94 59 3.21 46 6.83 24
14 Mississippi 4-7 1.77   4.07 25 6.80 46   3 5 5 5 6   1.77 10 4.07 11 6.80 28
15 Florida 8-3 1.74   4.45 14 7.48 25   3 5 6 6 7   1.51 14 3.85 16 6.61 37
 
Rk Team Rec EL   GL Rk AL Rk   v10 v20 v30 v40 v50   REL Rk RGL Rk RAL Rk
16 Vanderbilt 5-7 1.73   4.26 22 7.33 32   3 4 5 5 6   1.70 11 4.12 10 6.88 20
17 Kentucky 9-3 1.71   4.48 13 7.41 27   3 6 6 6 7   1.52 13 3.94 14 6.56 38
18 Texas 10-4 1.68   4.41 16 8.31 11   3 3 5 6 6   0.84 68 2.86 53 6.40 43
19 Northwestern 9-5 1.63   4.77 10 8.79 3   2 4 6 7 11   1.14 37 3.58 28 7.05 16
20 Michigan 10-3 1.60   4.30 20 7.70 19   3 4 5 6 8   1.35 24 3.67 26 6.81 26
21 Clemson 14-0 1.60   4.23 23 8.40 9   2 3 3 6 8   0.60 93 2.43 79 5.87 58
22 Louisiana Lafayette 6-7 1.56   3.21 57 5.56 75   2 2 2 4 4   1.39 20 2.66 61 4.42 99
23 Georgia Tech 6-6 1.54   3.50 46 6.68 49   2 2 2 5 7   1.49 17 3.26 38 6.07 51
24 Maryland 5-7 1.53   4.19 24 7.25 34   1 5 6 6 8   1.53 12 4.19 9 7.25 7
25 Florida State 4-7 1.49   3.76 38 6.62 53   3 3 3 6 6   1.49 15 3.76 23 6.62 36
26 Nebraska 3-8 1.45   3.97 29 7.11 40   1 3 4 5 8   1.45 18 3.97 12 7.11 14
27 UCLA 3-9 1.45   4.36 17 8.39 10   2 3 5 7 8   1.45 19 4.36 7 8.39 1
28 Washington 9-4 1.45   4.43 15 8.40 8   1 2 5 7 8   0.97 57 3.25 40 6.66 32
29 Duke 7-5 1.44   3.65 41 7.35 30   1 1 2 5 7   1.39 21 3.44 33 6.77 29
30 Syracuse 9-3 1.41   3.26 53 6.08 67   2 2 3 4 5   1.25 29 2.78 56 5.27 73
 
Rk Team Rec EL   GL Rk AL Rk   v10 v20 v30 v40 v50   REL Rk RGL Rk RAL Rk
31 Iowa State 7-5 1.36   4.00 27 7.36 29   1 3 5 6 6   1.20 31 3.51 31 6.53 40
32 Oregon State 1-10 1.36   3.84 34 7.30 33   2 2 3 5 6   1.36 22 3.84 18 7.30 6
33 Kansas State 4-7 1.36   3.81 35 6.88 43   2 3 5 6 6   1.36 23 3.81 19 6.88 21
34 Utah 8-5 1.35   4.33 18 8.49 5   2 2 3 6 7   0.92 61 3.24 42 6.81 27
35 Stanford 8-4 1.34   3.93 32 7.59 23   2 2 4 5 7   1.28 28 3.66 27 6.95 17
36 Baylor 6-6 1.33   3.71 39 7.01 42   1 2 4 6 6   1.29 26 3.51 30 6.46 42
37 Notre Dame 12-1 1.33   3.53 45 7.22 35   1 2 2 5 6   0.69 84 2.64 63 6.24 47
38 TCU 6-6 1.33   3.96 30 7.45 26   2 3 5 6 6   1.29 27 3.77 22 6.92 19
39 Indiana 5-7 1.31   3.78 37 7.20 37   1 4 5 6 8   1.31 25 3.78 20 7.20 8
40 Purdue 6-7 1.30   4.29 21 8.47 6   1 4 5 6 9   1.11 40 3.75 25 7.63 3
41 Ohio State 13-1 1.29   4.00 28 7.93 15   1 3 4 5 8   0.86 67 2.91 52 6.24 46
42 Penn State 9-4 1.29   3.95 31 7.67 21   1 3 5 6 8   1.10 41 3.43 34 6.83 25
43 Wisconsin 8-5 1.28   3.64 42 6.83 45   0 3 3 5 8   1.19 32 3.32 36 6.12 50
44 Oklahoma State 6-6 1.27   3.79 36 7.39 28   1 4 6 6 6   1.07 46 3.23 44 6.53 39
45 Michigan State 7-6 1.25   4.05 26 8.11 13   1 3 4 6 9   1.18 33 3.77 21 7.46 5
 
Rk Team Rec EL   GL Rk AL Rk   v10 v20 v30 v40 v50   REL Rk RGL Rk RAL Rk
46 North Carolina State 8-4 1.25   2.84 67 5.56 74   1 2 2 4 4   1.06 47 2.31 83 4.72 89
47 Arizona State 7-6 1.21   3.71 40 7.59 22   1 2 4 5 6   0.98 53 3.11 48 6.72 31
48 Boston College 6-5 1.17   3.25 55 6.61 54   1 2 2 5 7   0.98 52 2.72 58 5.76 64
49 BYU 6-6 1.17   3.28 51 6.20 64   1 2 4 4 5   1.16 35 3.22 45 5.93 56
50 Rutgers 1-11 1.17   3.49 47 6.85 44   1 3 4 5 7   1.17 34 3.49 32 6.85 22
51 Middle Tennessee 7-6 1.16   3.06 61 6.43 60   1 1 2 3 3   1.03 48 2.54 70 5.22 76
52 Wake Forest 6-6 1.16   3.18 59 6.37 61   2 2 2 5 6   1.14 38 3.05 49 5.94 55
53 San Jose State 1-10 1.11   3.28 52 6.12 66   0 1 4 4 5   1.11 39 3.28 37 6.12 49
54 Minnesota 7-6 1.11   3.53 44 7.34 31   1 3 3 4 7   1.09 44 3.40 35 6.92 18
55 Kansas 3-8 1.10   3.25 56 6.53 57   1 2 4 5 5   1.10 42 3.25 41 6.53 41
56 USC 5-7 1.10   3.57 43 7.14 38   1 2 4 6 6   1.10 43 3.57 29 7.14 11
57 West Virginia 7-4 1.07   3.34 50 6.52 58   1 2 3 5 5   0.97 56 2.98 50 5.78 62
58 Navy 2-10 1.07   3.20 58 6.30 62   1 2 4 4 5   1.07 45 3.20 47 6.30 45
59 Oregon 8-4 1.07   3.35 49 6.63 51   1 1 4 6 6   0.92 60 2.91 51 5.84 59
60 Louisiana Tech 7-5 1.03   2.52 80 4.93 89   2 2 2 2 3   1.02 49 2.47 73 4.73 88
 
Rk Team Rec EL   GL Rk AL Rk   v10 v20 v30 v40 v50   REL Rk RGL Rk RAL Rk
61 San Diego State 6-6 1.00   3.00 62 6.01 68   0 2 3 5 5   0.86 66 2.56 68 5.22 75
62 Iowa 8-4 1.00   3.37 48 7.21 36   1 2 3 4 8   0.73 78 2.72 57 6.31 44
63 Arkansas State 7-5 1.00   1.93 106 4.14 116   1 1 1 2 2   0.96 58 1.73 106 3.60 119
64 Florida Atlantic 4-7 0.99   2.59 74 5.21 82   1 2 2 2 3   0.99 50 2.59 64 5.21 77
65 Texas Tech 4-7 0.99   3.26 54 6.63 52   1 2 4 5 5   0.99 51 3.26 39 6.63 34
66 Wyoming 5-6 0.98   2.81 68 5.39 79   0 3 5 5 5   0.98 54 2.81 55 5.39 71
67 Massachusetts 3-8 0.97   2.25 88 4.50 110   1 1 2 2 2   0.97 55 2.25 86 4.50 97
68 Georgia Southern 9-3 0.91   1.76 109 3.83 123   1 1 1 2 2   0.90 63 1.63 110 3.40 125
69 Colorado 4-7 0.91   2.85 66 6.15 65   1 1 3 4 5   0.91 62 2.85 54 6.15 48
70 Memphis 7-6 0.88   2.46 82 4.78 100   0 3 3 3 3   0.54 101 1.61 111 3.42 124
71 SMU 4-7 0.87   2.56 76 5.16 85   0 2 3 3 4   0.87 64 2.56 66 5.16 81
72 Colorado State 3-8 0.87   2.54 79 5.21 83   1 2 3 3 3   0.87 65 2.54 69 5.21 78
73 Boise State 10-3 0.84   3.14 60 7.09 41   0 2 3 4 4   0.65 88 2.47 74 5.76 65
74 Fresno State 11-2 0.82   2.70 71 6.00 69   0 2 2 3 4   0.49 105 1.75 103 4.41 100
75 Miami 6-6 0.81   2.79 69 6.46 59   1 1 1 3 5   0.74 74 2.52 71 5.81 61
 
Rk Team Rec EL   GL Rk AL Rk   v10 v20 v30 v40 v50   REL Rk RGL Rk RAL Rk
76 Washington State 10-2 0.81   2.92 63 6.54 56   1 1 3 4 5   0.68 85 2.51 72 5.77 63
77 Hawaii 7-6 0.81   2.50 81 5.46 77   0 1 3 3 3   0.80 69 2.43 78 5.19 79
78 Akron 3-8 0.79   2.65 73 5.69 72   0 0 2 3 5   0.79 70 2.65 62 5.69 66
79 California 6-6 0.78   2.87 65 6.55 55   1 1 2 3 4   0.74 76 2.66 60 5.98 53
80 Connecticut 0-11 0.77   2.56 77 5.36 80   0 2 3 4 5   0.77 71 2.56 67 5.36 72
81 Tulane 6-6 0.76   2.16 91 4.74 102   1 1 2 2 2   0.75 72 2.13 88 4.58 92
82 Army 9-2 0.76   2.12 94 4.70 103   1 1 1 2 3   0.75 73 2.03 92 4.37 104
83 Virginia Tech 5-7 0.76   2.91 64 6.70 48   1 1 2 5 6   0.61 92 2.46 75 5.90 57
84 Northern Illinois 8-6 0.75   2.79 70 6.77 47   0 1 3 3 4   0.66 87 2.36 81 5.63 68
85 Illinois 3-8 0.74   2.68 72 5.96 70   0 2 2 3 7   0.74 75 2.68 59 5.96 54
86 Air Force 4-7 0.74   2.45 83 5.22 81   0 1 3 3 3   0.74 77 2.45 76 5.22 74
87 Ball State 3-8 0.73   2.25 87 4.90 91   1 1 2 2 2   0.73 79 2.25 85 4.90 82
88 New Mexico 2-9 0.71   2.40 85 5.18 84   0 2 3 3 4   0.71 80 2.40 80 5.18 80
89 North Carolina 1-9 0.71   2.58 75 5.83 71   0 0 0 5 6   0.71 81 2.58 65 5.83 60
90 Rice 1-11 0.71   2.06 98 4.83 95   1 1 1 1 2   0.71 82 2.06 91 4.83 85
 
Rk Team Rec EL   GL Rk AL Rk   v10 v20 v30 v40 v50   REL Rk RGL Rk RAL Rk
91 Liberty 4-6 0.70   2.06 97 4.13 117   0 1 2 3 4   0.70 83 2.06 90 4.13 109
92 Temple 8-4 0.67   2.19 89 5.07 87   0 1 2 3 4   0.58 98 1.86 97 4.36 105
93 Miami (OH) 6-6 0.67   2.35 86 5.52 76   0 0 3 3 5   0.67 86 2.35 82 5.52 70
94 Cincinnati 10-2 0.66   2.12 92 4.92 90   0 1 2 2 3   0.64 89 1.99 95 4.51 96
95 Virginia 7-5 0.65   2.55 78 6.24 63   0 0 1 4 6   0.58 97 2.29 84 5.59 69
96 East Carolina 3-8 0.63   2.18 90 4.86 94   0 1 2 3 4   0.63 90 2.18 87 4.86 84
97 Arizona 4-7 0.63   2.43 84 5.66 73   0 0 2 3 4   0.63 91 2.43 77 5.66 67
98 Utah State 10-2 0.62   2.02 99 4.61 104   0 1 2 2 3   0.57 99 1.79 100 4.02 111
99 Western Michigan 6-6 0.62   2.12 93 5.13 86   0 1 2 3 3   0.59 96 1.95 96 4.64 90
100 Central Florida 11-1 0.61   1.99 102 4.80 97   1 1 2 2 4   0.24 124 1.17 124 3.53 122
101 Central Michigan 0-11 0.60   2.00 101 4.57 107   0 0 2 2 3   0.60 94 2.00 94 4.57 94
102 Kent State 1-10 0.59   2.01 100 4.83 96   0 1 2 2 3   0.59 95 2.01 93 4.83 86
103 UNLV 3-8 0.57   2.07 96 4.87 93   0 1 2 2 2   0.57 100 2.07 89 4.87 83
104 South Florida 6-6 0.56   1.93 105 4.50 111   0 1 2 2 3   0.53 102 1.77 102 4.02 110
105 Ohio 8-4 0.56   1.98 103 4.79 99   0 0 1 2 3   0.53 103 1.81 99 4.29 107
 
Rk Team Rec EL   GL Rk AL Rk   v10 v20 v30 v40 v50   REL Rk RGL Rk RAL Rk
106 Buffalo 9-4 0.54   2.09 95 5.41 78   0 0 2 2 3   0.47 109 1.72 107 4.35 106
107 Toledo 6-6 0.53   1.90 107 4.79 98   0 1 1 2 3   0.51 104 1.79 101 4.41 101
108 Troy 9-3 0.53   1.80 108 4.43 113   0 1 1 2 4   0.48 106 1.58 112 3.85 116
109 Nevada 7-5 0.48   1.96 104 4.98 88   0 2 2 2 2   0.47 108 1.85 98 4.60 91
110 South Alabama 2-9 0.48   1.75 110 4.44 112   0 0 0 2 2   0.48 107 1.75 104 4.44 98
111 Southern Mississippi 5-5 0.46   1.54 119 3.62 127   0 1 1 1 2   0.46 110 1.54 117 3.62 118
112 Tulsa 2-9 0.45   1.57 116 3.94 119   0 1 1 1 2   0.45 111 1.57 113 3.94 113
113 Georgia State 1-10 0.45   1.69 114 4.37 114   0 0 0 2 2   0.45 112 1.69 108 4.37 103
114 UAB 10-3 0.45   1.72 113 4.60 105   0 1 1 1 2   0.38 119 1.36 121 3.57 120
115 Louisiana Monroe 5-6 0.44   1.55 118 4.00 118   0 1 1 1 1   0.44 113 1.55 116 4.00 112
116 Appalachian State 10-2 0.44   1.52 120 3.91 121   0 1 1 1 1   0.41 116 1.37 120 3.37 127
117 Bowling Green 2-9 0.43   1.74 111 4.58 106   0 0 1 1 3   0.43 114 1.74 105 4.58 93
118 New Mexico State 2-9 0.43   1.50 121 3.88 122   0 0 1 1 2   0.43 115 1.50 118 3.88 115
119 Eastern Michigan 6-6 0.42   1.74 112 4.89 92   0 0 1 1 3   0.38 117 1.57 114 4.38 102
120 UTSA 3-9 0.38   1.65 115 4.74 101   0 0 0 1 2   0.38 118 1.65 109 4.74 87
 
Rk Team Rec EL   GL Rk AL Rk   v10 v20 v30 v40 v50   REL Rk RGL Rk RAL Rk
121 Houston 7-5 0.36   1.49 122 4.29 115   0 0 1 1 2   0.20 127 1.00 126 3.47 123
122 Charlotte 4-7 0.34   1.55 117 4.56 108   0 0 0 1 1   0.34 120 1.55 115 4.56 95
123 North Texas 8-4 0.33   1.28 125 3.71 125   0 0 1 1 1   0.16 128 0.79 130 2.89 130
124 Coastal Carolina 4-7 0.32   1.33 124 3.93 120   0 0 0 1 2   0.32 121 1.33 122 3.93 114
125 Marshall 8-4 0.28   1.47 123 4.54 109   0 0 0 1 1   0.27 122 1.40 119 4.29 108
126 Western Kentucky 3-8 0.26   1.21 126 3.74 124   0 0 0 0 1   0.26 123 1.21 123 3.74 117
127 Florida International 8-4 0.25   1.21 127 3.69 126   0 0 0 1 1   0.24 125 1.12 125 3.38 126
128 Texas State 2-9 0.23   0.93 130 3.04 130   0 0 0 1 1   0.23 126 0.93 129 3.04 129
129 Old Dominion 3-8 0.16   1.00 128 3.54 128   0 0 0 0 1   0.16 129 1.00 127 3.54 121
130 UTEP 1-10 0.15   0.95 129 3.33 129   0 0 0 0 1   0.15 130 0.95 128 3.33 128