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FEI Ratings
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FEI ratings (FEI) represent the per-possession scoring advantage a team would be expected to have on a neutral field against an average opponent. Ratings this week are primarily (71 percent) based on weighted five-year FEI ratings. OFEI Offense ratings (OFEI) and Projected DFEI Defense ratings (DFEI) represent per-possession advantages projected for each unit. Projected losses (PL) represent the average number of losses expected based on individual game win likelihoods in regular season games. Projected season outcome distributions are also provided, represented as the percent chance of losing a given number of regular season games (0L is zero losses, 1L is one loss, etc).

Ratings and supporting data are calculated from the results of non-garbage possessions in FBS vs. FBS games.

 

2019 FEI Ratings (through Week 2)
:: W6 :: W5 :: W4 :: W3 :: W2 :: W1 :: Preseason

 

Rk Team Rec FEI   OFEI Rk DFEI Rk   PL   0L 1L 2L 3L 4L 5L 6L 7L 8L 9L 10L 11L 12L
1 Alabama 2-0 1.36   1.57 2 1.15 2   .8   44 41 13 2 - - - - - - - - -
2 Clemson 2-0 1.13   .97 5 1.27 1   .5   55 35 8 2 - - - - - - - - -
3 Georgia 1-0 .91   1.10 4 .67 11   1.9   12 30 28 20 8 2 - - - - - - -
4 Ohio State 2-0 .80   1.14 3 .48 19   2.2   8 25 30 23 10 3 1 - - - - - -
5 Oklahoma 1-0 .77   1.91 1 -.31 90   1.9   11 30 29 20 8 1 1 - - - - - -
6 LSU 2-0 .77   .67 10 .73 5   2.9   1 11 27 31 19 10 1 - - - - - -
7 Wisconsin 2-0 .63   .48 20 .69 9   2.9   3 10 24 31 20 9 3 - - - - - -
8 Mississippi State 2-0 .62   .53 15 .78 4   3.2   1 8 21 28 25 12 4 1 - - - - -
9 Michigan 2-0 .58   .43 26 .73 7   3.6   2 7 18 24 25 15 8 1 - - - - -
10 Auburn 2-0 .57   .47 23 .69 8   3.9   - 3 11 22 32 21 9 2 - - - - -
11 Notre Dame 1-0 .52   .58 12 .41 20   3.1   2 10 23 30 20 11 3 1 - - - - -
12 Iowa 2-0 .51   .25 43 .73 6   3.5   1 7 18 25 27 14 7 1 - - - - -
13 Appalachian State 1-0 .47   .41 28 .55 17   1.8   16 32 27 19 5 1 - - - - - - -
14 Penn State 1-0 .45   .30 38 .68 10   3.9   1 3 12 22 28 20 10 3 1 - - - -
15 Missouri 1-1 .45   .54 13 .32 25   4.1   - 1 9 21 30 23 12 4 - - - - -
 
Rk Team Rec FEI   OFEI Rk DFEI Rk   PL   0L 1L 2L 3L 4L 5L 6L 7L 8L 9L 10L 11L 12L
16 Florida 1-0 .42   .18 49 .58 16   4.2   - 2 10 18 29 23 14 4 - - - - -
17 Utah 2-0 .41   .12 57 .58 15   3.1   2 10 24 29 20 11 3 1 - - - - -
18 Boise State 2-0 .41   .54 14 .35 23   1.7   12 35 33 15 4 1 - - - - - - -
19 Washington 0-1 .41   .32 34 .66 12   4.1   - 1 11 21 28 22 12 4 1 - - - -
20 Central Florida 1-0 .41   .73 9 .13 39   2.7   4 14 29 28 17 7 1 - - - - - -
21 Washington State 1-0 .38   .94 6 -.11 68   3.8   1 5 14 23 28 17 10 2 - - - - -
22 Michigan State 2-0 .37   -.19 95 .87 3   4.4   - 2 10 18 25 24 15 5 1 - - - -
23 Oregon 1-1 .35   .51 16 .19 32   4.4   - 1 9 18 26 25 14 6 1 - - - -
24 Memphis 1-0 .31   .59 11 -.07 65   3.0   1 13 21 30 22 9 3 1 - - - - -
25 Texas A&M 1-1 .30   .47 22 .12 41   5.8   - - - 2 12 26 30 22 7 1 - - -
26 Baylor 1-0 .30   .83 8 -.25 87   3.9   1 4 11 24 28 18 9 4 1 - - - -
27 Army 1-1 .29   .51 17 .11 42   2.8   - 11 31 35 16 6 1 - - - - - -
28 Oklahoma State 1-0 .28   .92 7 -.30 89   4.2   1 3 8 22 26 23 12 4 1 - - - -
29 West Virginia 0-1 .26   .44 24 .06 47   5.5   - - 1 7 16 25 24 18 7 2 - - -
30 Miami 0-2 .25   -.15 91 .63 14   5.0   - - 2 10 26 28 20 10 3 1 - - -
 
Rk Team Rec FEI   OFEI Rk DFEI Rk   PL   0L 1L 2L 3L 4L 5L 6L 7L 8L 9L 10L 11L 12L
31 Utah State 0-1 .23   .31 35 .28 28   4.6   - 1 5 14 29 27 16 5 2 1 - - -
32 Minnesota 1-0 .22   -.01 68 .33 24   4.4   - 2 8 17 25 24 17 6 1 - - - -
33 North Carolina State 1-0 .22   .48 19 .03 50   4.2   - 2 10 22 27 22 11 5 1 - - - -
34 Florida State 1-1 .22   .03 61 .27 30   5.5   - - 1 4 15 26 29 17 7 1 - - -
35 Cincinnati 1-1 .21   .14 55 .27 29   4.6   - 1 5 16 28 27 16 6 1 - - - -
36 Indiana 1-0 .20   .26 42 -.02 55   4.8   - 1 5 12 22 27 21 10 2 - - - -
37 Stanford 1-1 .20   .36 31 .13 38   5.5   - - 1 7 16 25 25 18 6 2 - - -
38 Arizona State 1-0 .18   .37 30 -.05 60   4.7   - 1 6 15 23 26 18 8 2 1 - - -
39 Kansas State 1-0 .18   .30 36 .00 52   5.2   - 1 3 9 21 24 23 13 5 1 - - -
40 Northwestern 0-1 .18   -.26 102 .63 13   6.0   - - 1 3 12 22 27 22 9 3 1 - -
41 USC 2-0 .14   .19 46 .13 40   5.3   - 1 4 8 19 22 26 14 5 1 - - -
42 Texas 1-1 .14   .29 41 .10 44   5.6   - - 1 5 14 28 27 18 6 1 - - -
43 TCU 0-0 .13   -.20 97 .52 18   5.4   - - 2 8 16 25 23 17 7 2 - - -
44 Virginia 1-0 .11   -.18 92 .41 21   4.0   - 4 10 23 27 21 11 4 - - - - -
45 Temple 0-0 .11   -.05 76 .29 26   4.3   - 2 9 19 26 23 14 6 1 - - - -
 
Rk Team Rec FEI   OFEI Rk DFEI Rk   PL   0L 1L 2L 3L 4L 5L 6L 7L 8L 9L 10L 11L 12L
46 Mississippi 1-1 .11   .42 27 -.14 71   6.3   - - - 1 5 18 31 28 14 3 - - -
47 Iowa State 0-0 .11   .14 56 .11 43   5.7   - - 2 4 16 25 24 18 10 1 - - -
48 South Carolina 0-1 .11   .20 45 -.04 58   7.7   - - - - 1 5 14 23 28 21 7 1 -
49 Ohio 0-1 .10   .49 18 -.19 81   3.8   - 3 14 26 26 19 8 3 1 - - - -
50 Tennessee 0-2 .09   -.05 75 .03 49   7.8   - - - - 1 4 12 23 31 20 8 1 -
51 San Diego State 1-0 .08   -.33 106 .40 22   3.2   1 10 23 24 23 12 6 1 - - - - -
52 Kentucky 2-0 .06   .02 64 .16 35   5.0   - - 3 10 23 28 21 12 3 - - - -
53 Georgia Southern 0-1 .05   .16 54 -.16 74   4.7   - - 3 13 28 28 18 7 2 1 - - -
54 Pittsburgh 1-1 .05   .17 50 -.05 61   5.8   - - 1 5 13 23 26 21 10 1 - - -
55 Virginia Tech 1-1 .04   -.04 72 -.04 57   5.3   - - 1 8 17 30 25 13 5 1 - - -
56 Western Michigan 0-1 .04   .36 33 -.42 98   4.6   - 1 5 15 26 26 19 6 2 - - - -
57 Houston 0-1 .04   .43 25 -.32 91   5.4   - - 2 7 18 24 28 14 6 1 - - -
58 UCLA 0-2 .03   .17 52 -.18 79   7.7   - - - - 2 6 13 23 24 21 8 3 -
59 Maryland 1-0 .01   .08 58 -.01 53   6.0   - - 1 4 11 20 28 20 11 5 - - -
60 Southern Mississippi 0-1 .01   -.34 109 .16 34   5.3   - - 1 6 20 28 25 14 5 1 - - -
 
Rk Team Rec FEI   OFEI Rk DFEI Rk   PL   0L 1L 2L 3L 4L 5L 6L 7L 8L 9L 10L 11L 12L
61 Syracuse 1-1 .01   -.08 80 .05 48   6.0   - - - 3 11 21 31 21 11 2 - - -
62 California 1-0 .01   -.19 94 .21 31   5.5   - - 2 7 14 25 27 15 8 2 - - -
63 Nebraska 1-1 .00   .17 51 -.14 70   6.8   - - - 1 4 13 20 28 20 11 3 - -
64 Arizona 0-1 .00   .29 39 -.39 95   6.7   - - - 1 6 13 22 30 18 9 1 - -
65 BYU 1-1 .00   -.04 74 -.01 54   5.6   - - 2 6 16 23 25 20 7 1 - - -
66 Troy 0-0 -.01   -.23 100 .16 36   4.6   - 1 6 16 25 25 16 8 2 1 - - -
67 Air Force 0-0 -.01   .36 32 -.39 96   4.7   - 1 4 15 22 27 20 9 2 - - - -
68 Texas Tech 1-0 -.01   .47 21 -.47 101   5.9   - - - 4 14 18 29 20 11 4 - - -
69 Wake Forest 2-0 -.02   .02 63 -.09 67   5.0   - 1 4 10 25 27 22 8 3 - - - -
70 Colorado 2-0 -.02   .03 62 -.03 56   6.1   - - 1 4 12 19 26 24 11 3 - - -
71 Boston College 1-0 -.02   -.25 101 .29 27   5.4   - - 1 8 20 26 24 15 5 1 - - -
72 Fresno State 0-2 -.02   .01 65 .18 33   5.1   - - 2 10 23 27 24 11 3 - - - -
73 Western Kentucky 1-0 -.03   -.02 70 -.15 72   4.3   - 2 9 20 25 22 14 6 2 - - - -
74 Arkansas State 1-1 -.04   -.04 73 .07 46   4.6   - - 5 17 28 28 16 5 1 - - - -
75 Louisiana Tech 0-1 -.04   -.06 77 -.07 63   4.2   - 1 11 21 28 23 12 3 1 - - - -
 
Rk Team Rec FEI   OFEI Rk DFEI Rk   PL   0L 1L 2L 3L 4L 5L 6L 7L 8L 9L 10L 11L 12L
76 Purdue 1-1 -.05   .19 47 -.23 84   7.0   - - - 1 3 12 22 28 22 10 2 - -
77 Georgia Tech 1-1 -.07   .37 29 -.40 97   6.3   - - - 2 7 17 25 27 15 6 1 - -
78 North Carolina 2-0 -.07   .07 59 -.29 88   5.8   - - 1 4 12 22 29 22 9 1 - - -
79 Duke 0-1 -.08   -.03 71 -.06 62   6.6   - - - 1 5 14 24 26 20 6 3 1 -
80 Florida International 0-2 -.09   .16 53 -.49 104   5.6   - - - 5 16 27 27 16 7 2 - - -
81 Northern Illinois 0-1 -.11   -.39 112 .16 37   5.6   - - 2 6 14 25 25 18 8 2 - - -
82 Vanderbilt 0-2 -.11   -.02 69 -.16 75   7.5   - - - - 1 5 16 25 28 18 6 1 -
83 South Florida 0-2 -.12   -.20 96 -.08 66   6.5   - - - 1 6 16 23 27 18 7 2 - -
84 Marshall 0-1 -.12   -.31 104 .10 45   5.4   - - 2 8 20 25 25 13 6 1 - - -
85 Arkansas 0-1 -.14   -.14 90 -.17 78   7.5   - - - - 1 5 13 27 32 17 5 - -
86 Toledo 0-1 -.15   .29 40 -.52 108   4.9   - 1 3 15 21 26 20 10 3 1 - - -
87 Tulsa 1-1 -.16   -.08 81 -.25 86   6.6   - - - 2 7 15 25 25 17 7 2 - -
88 UAB 1-0 -.18   -.07 79 -.07 64   3.8   - 4 17 22 26 21 9 1 - - - - -
89 SMU 2-0 -.18   -.06 78 -.34 93   5.4   - 1 3 9 18 25 22 16 5 1 - - -
90 Middle Tennessee 0-1 -.20   -.13 87 -.16 76   5.8   - - 1 3 13 23 28 19 9 3 1 - -
 
Rk Team Rec FEI   OFEI Rk DFEI Rk   PL   0L 1L 2L 3L 4L 5L 6L 7L 8L 9L 10L 11L 12L
91 Nevada 1-1 -.20   -.31 103 -.16 77   5.1   - - 2 11 22 30 21 11 3 - - - -
92 Tulane 1-1 -.21   -.33 107 -.04 59   6.2   - - - 2 8 19 29 25 14 3 - - -
93 Miami (OH) 0-1 -.22   -.13 88 -.24 85   6.3   - - - 2 8 18 30 25 13 4 - - -
94 Florida Atlantic 0-2 -.25   -.09 83 -.33 92   6.2   - - - 2 11 20 25 22 15 4 1 - -
95 North Texas 0-1 -.25   -.18 93 -.35 94   5.7   - - 2 5 15 21 28 20 8 1 - - -
96 Buffalo 0-1 -.26   .18 48 -.49 103   5.4   - - 2 8 17 26 24 16 6 1 - - -
97 Louisville 0-1 -.26   -.13 86 -.50 106   8.3   - - - - - 1 8 17 28 27 16 3 -
98 Illinois 2-0 -.29   -.20 98 -.52 109   7.1   - - - 1 2 9 19 30 26 12 1 - -
99 Louisiana Lafayette 1-1 -.30   .30 37 -.87 121   6.1   - - 1 4 9 18 27 23 14 4 - - -
100 Wyoming 2-0 -.30   -.53 115 .02 51   5.1   - 1 2 8 19 30 26 12 2 - - - -
101 Louisiana Monroe 0-1 -.34   -.01 67 -.68 114   6.8   - - - 1 3 14 22 31 19 9 1 - -
102 Hawaii 2-0 -.37   -.09 82 -.77 116   6.5   - - 1 2 6 17 26 26 16 5 1 - -
103 Navy 0-0 -.38   .20 44 -.82 119   6.8   - - - 1 4 13 21 28 22 9 2 - -
104 Eastern Michigan 1-1 -.39   -.43 113 -.19 80   5.7   - - 2 5 14 23 28 16 9 3 - - -
105 Texas State 0-2 -.44   -.70 124 -.19 82   7.4   - - - - 2 6 18 28 28 14 4 - -
 
Rk Team Rec FEI   OFEI Rk DFEI Rk   PL   0L 1L 2L 3L 4L 5L 6L 7L 8L 9L 10L 11L 12L
106 East Carolina 0-1 -.45   -.38 111 -.49 102   6.7   - - - 2 5 14 25 26 19 8 1 - -
107 Ball State 0-1 -.47   -.33 105 -.65 112   7.4   - - - - 3 7 17 25 26 16 5 1 -
108 Rutgers 1-1 -.48   -.69 122 -.23 83   8.7   - - - - - 1 3 13 25 32 21 5 -
109 UNLV 0-1 -.48   -.13 89 -.78 117   7.6   - - - - 1 6 15 24 26 20 7 1 -
110 Liberty 0-2 -.48   -.54 116 -.47 100   6.3   - - - 1 5 20 28 27 14 4 1 - -
111 Charlotte 0-1 -.48   -.54 117 -.51 107   7.1   - - - 1 3 8 20 29 25 10 3 1 -
112 Central Michigan 0-1 -.53   -.96 129 -.12 69   7.1   - - - - 3 11 21 26 23 12 4 - -
113 Colorado State 0-1 -.54   .00 66 -.90 122   7.9   - - - - 1 3 11 20 29 23 11 2 -
114 Georgia State 1-0 -.54   -.13 85 -.94 125   6.9   - - - - 4 10 23 28 22 11 2 - -
115 Coastal Carolina 1-1 -.55   -.12 84 -.98 127   6.9   - - - - 4 12 23 28 23 8 2 - -
116 Oregon State 0-2 -.56   .06 60 -1.29 129   9.7   - - - - - - - 3 9 26 38 24 -
117 Akron 0-2 -.57   -.95 128 -.15 73   8.1   - - - - 1 3 11 18 26 24 13 3 1
118 Kent State 0-1 -.57   -.83 126 -.43 99   8.1   - - - - - 3 8 21 32 24 11 1 -
119 Old Dominion 0-1 -.59   -.22 99 -.91 123   7.5   - - - 1 1 6 14 26 27 17 7 1 -
120 Kansas 0-1 -.63   -.65 121 -.50 105   9.6   - - - - - - 1 3 13 26 39 18 -
 
Rk Team Rec FEI   OFEI Rk DFEI Rk   PL   0L 1L 2L 3L 4L 5L 6L 7L 8L 9L 10L 11L 12L
121 San Jose State 0-1 -.69   -.72 125 -.64 111   8.7   - - - - - 1 3 10 25 32 23 6 -
122 New Mexico 0-0 -.69   -.55 118 -.72 115   7.8   - - - - 1 5 12 21 27 22 10 2 -
123 Bowling Green 0-1 -.70   -.36 110 -.97 126   8.3   - - - - - 1 6 16 28 29 15 5 -
124 Rice 0-2 -.71   -.69 123 -.82 120   9.4   - - - - - - 2 7 16 27 28 15 5
125 South Alabama 0-1 -.77   -.59 119 -.80 118   8.9   - - - - - 1 4 9 21 28 28 9 -
126 New Mexico State 0-2 -.80   -.61 120 -.92 124   8.5   - - - - - 1 5 16 27 30 17 4 -
127 UTSA 0-1 -.81   -1.05 130 -.54 110   8.6   - - - - - 1 5 15 23 32 19 5 -
128 Massachusetts 0-1 -.81   -.34 108 -1.04 128   8.0   - - - - - 2 8 21 30 26 11 2 -
129 UTEP 0-1 -.91   -.93 127 -.68 113   8.2   - - - - - 3 7 15 33 26 13 3 -
130 Connecticut 0-1 -1.00   -.52 114 -1.49 130   9.7   - - - - - - - 1 9 29 36 25 -