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FEI Ratings
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The Fremeau Efficiency Index (FEI) is a college football rating system based on opponent-adjusted drive efficiency. Preseason projected ratings are a function of five-year program ratings, recent recruiting success, and returning offensive and defensive experience. Win likelihoods for every regular season FBS game based on team ratings are used to produce the projected distribution of season-long results for each team. The remaining columns represent the percent likelihood each team will go undefeated (0L), lose once (1L), lose twice (2L), and so forth against its regular season schedule.

 

 

2017 FEI Ratings (preseason projections)

 

Rk Team W-L FEI   0L 1L 2L 3L 4L 5L 6L 7L 8L 9L 10L 11L 12L
1 Alabama 0-0 .325   .420 .407 .143 .027 .003 - - - - - - - -
2 Ohio State 0-0 .269   .382 .404 .173 .036 .005 .001 - - - - - - -
3 Florida State 0-0 .230   .034 .215 .353 .268 .100 .024 .004 .001 - - - - -
4 Clemson 0-0 .214   .091 .263 .326 .213 .084 .020 .003 - - - - - -
5 Oklahoma 0-0 .203   .041 .219 .350 .257 .102 .026 .004 - - - - - -
6 USC 0-0 .192   .095 .265 .323 .202 .085 .024 .006 - - - - - -
7 Georgia 0-0 .189   .037 .161 .280 .271 .162 .068 .018 .002 .001 - - - -
8 Stanford 0-0 .180   .032 .149 .276 .277 .168 .075 .019 .004 .001 - - - -
9 LSU 0-0 .178   .004 .061 .197 .299 .243 .139 .046 .009 .001 - - - -
10 Washington 0-0 .162   .063 .233 .319 .247 .103 .030 .006 - - - - - -
11 Penn State 0-0 .159   .023 .174 .330 .278 .145 .042 .008 - - - - - -
12 Wisconsin 0-0 .157   .112 .293 .300 .202 .068 .021 .003 - - - - - -
13 Auburn 0-0 .157   .002 .015 .082 .207 .295 .244 .112 .035 .007 - - - -
14 Florida 0-0 .146   .004 .031 .120 .234 .264 .201 .104 .035 .006 .001 - - -
15 TCU 0-0 .134   .010 .068 .191 .289 .245 .139 .046 .011 .001 - - - -
 
Rk Team W-L FEI   0L 1L 2L 3L 4L 5L 6L 7L 8L 9L 10L 11L 12L
16 Michigan 0-0 .133   .003 .034 .142 .283 .287 .173 .066 .011 .002 - - - -
17 Louisville 0-0 .131   .010 .081 .228 .329 .222 .100 .026 .004 - - - - -
18 Oregon 0-0 .124   .007 .062 .192 .295 .246 .139 .049 .009 .002 - - - -
19 Notre Dame 0-0 .124   .003 .025 .103 .218 .279 .217 .113 .033 .008 .001 - - -
20 Oklahoma State 0-0 .117   .007 .054 .148 .251 .267 .174 .074 .019 .005 .001 - - -
21 Texas A&M 0-0 .113   - .006 .039 .124 .258 .279 .197 .075 .019 .003 - - -
22 Texas 0-0 .109   .001 .014 .076 .180 .285 .233 .148 .051 .011 .001 - - -
23 Kansas State 0-0 .101   .004 .026 .110 .231 .281 .211 .106 .025 .006 - - - -
24 Miami 0-0 .098   .002 .027 .108 .221 .268 .205 .116 .044 .008 .001 - - -
25 Tennessee 0-0 .098   - .004 .028 .106 .224 .292 .216 .095 .031 .004 - - -
26 Georgia Tech 0-0 .093   .001 .007 .046 .137 .234 .266 .184 .092 .028 .004 .001 - -
27 Virginia Tech 0-0 .092   .004 .044 .155 .267 .256 .173 .075 .021 .005 .001 - - -
28 Mississippi 0-0 .087   - .003 .037 .135 .262 .282 .185 .074 .018 .002 - - -
29 Northwestern 0-0 .084   .003 .053 .161 .274 .260 .164 .064 .016 .005 - - - -
30 South Carolina 0-0 .084   - .002 .021 .082 .174 .261 .252 .136 .056 .014 .002 - -
 
Rk Team W-L FEI   0L 1L 2L 3L 4L 5L 6L 7L 8L 9L 10L 11L 12L
31 Boise State 0-0 .079   .015 .082 .202 .283 .238 .130 .039 .010 .001 - - - -
32 Washington State 0-0 .074   .001 .004 .027 .103 .200 .269 .232 .115 .038 .009 .001 - -
33 Baylor 0-0 .074   .001 .006 .038 .120 .247 .279 .192 .088 .024 .004 .001 - -
34 UCLA 0-0 .069   - - .008 .043 .120 .224 .272 .195 .101 .031 .006 - -
35 North Carolina State 0-0 .066   .001 .002 .014 .062 .163 .258 .252 .168 .062 .016 .002 - -
36 BYU 0-0 .062   .003 .028 .107 .234 .286 .208 .098 .031 .005 .001 - - -
37 Mississippi State 0-0 .059   - - .003 .022 .077 .194 .281 .249 .125 .039 .008 - -
38 Memphis 0-0 .056   .031 .141 .279 .280 .181 .069 .016 .003 - - - - -
39 Vanderbilt 0-0 .056   - - .002 .018 .063 .168 .257 .258 .162 .062 .011 .001 -
40 Utah 0-0 .056   - - .007 .038 .116 .225 .275 .215 .097 .025 .003 - -
41 Houston 0-0 .051   .010 .055 .148 .249 .246 .177 .081 .026 .007 .001 - - -
42 Appalachian State 0-0 .048   .029 .312 .371 .206 .063 .018 .001 .001 - - - - -
43 Arizona State 0-0 .047   - - .006 .026 .090 .185 .263 .227 .139 .053 .010 .001 -
44 North Carolina 0-0 .046   - .003 .020 .066 .157 .241 .251 .165 .075 .020 .003 - -
45 Arkansas 0-0 .045   - - .001 .013 .064 .178 .299 .272 .142 .030 - - -
 
Rk Team W-L FEI   0L 1L 2L 3L 4L 5L 6L 7L 8L 9L 10L 11L 12L
46 South Florida 0-0 .044   .050 .175 .296 .257 .143 .058 .017 .002 - - - - -
47 San Diego State 0-0 .044   .015 .090 .234 .311 .225 .093 .024 .006 .001 - - - -
48 Pittsburgh 0-0 .039   - .001 .009 .050 .125 .225 .275 .196 .092 .025 .003 - -
49 Missouri 0-0 .038   - .001 .010 .054 .148 .255 .277 .179 .066 .010 - - -
50 Toledo 0-0 .037   .018 .107 .249 .285 .204 .098 .030 .007 .001 - - - -
51 Colorado State 0-0 .037   - .037 .156 .285 .271 .165 .065 .019 .002 - - - -
52 Michigan State 0-0 .036   - .001 .006 .030 .089 .200 .259 .234 .125 .047 .007 .001 -
53 Western Kentucky 0-0 .036   .049 .215 .316 .255 .121 .036 .008 - - - - - -
54 Nebraska 0-0 .033   - .001 .006 .037 .115 .231 .279 .212 .087 .025 .005 - -
55 Indiana 0-0 .030   - .001 .007 .055 .163 .257 .272 .171 .060 .013 .002 - -
56 Minnesota 0-0 .027   - .004 .029 .100 .196 .272 .226 .123 .040 .008 .001 - -
57 Iowa 0-0 .026   - - .003 .030 .098 .211 .284 .227 .111 .031 .005 - -
58 Duke 0-0 .017   - - .003 .017 .054 .144 .223 .249 .185 .095 .026 .003 -
59 Kentucky 0-0 .017   - - .003 .011 .041 .119 .228 .266 .206 .103 .021 .002 -
60 Wake Forest 0-0 .012   - - - .005 .021 .079 .173 .281 .253 .139 .044 .005 -
 
Rk Team W-L FEI   0L 1L 2L 3L 4L 5L 6L 7L 8L 9L 10L 11L 12L
61 Western Michigan 0-0 .008   .001 .023 .112 .271 .307 .189 .075 .018 .004 - - - -
62 Oregon State 0-0 .005   - - .001 .004 .022 .075 .163 .260 .248 .163 .055 .008 -
63 Texas Tech 0-0 .003   - - .001 .007 .031 .084 .184 .275 .244 .129 .041 .003 -
64 Temple 0-0 .002   - .008 .047 .127 .242 .261 .188 .094 .028 .005 - - -
65 Colorado 0-0 .001   - - .002 .011 .049 .131 .236 .287 .191 .076 .015 .001 -
66 Iowa State 0-0 .001   - - .002 .007 .043 .117 .229 .286 .210 .091 .014 - -
67 Central Florida 0-0 -.001   .001 .012 .049 .136 .231 .244 .196 .091 .033 .006 - - -
68 Troy 0-0 -.002   .003 .041 .199 .329 .272 .119 .032 .006 - - - - -
69 Arizona 0-0 -.004   - - .003 .013 .047 .131 .241 .269 .196 .080 .018 .001 -
70 West Virginia 0-0 -.007   - - - .004 .022 .090 .217 .288 .253 .101 .023 .002 -
71 Navy 0-0 -.008   - .002 .012 .051 .143 .228 .244 .185 .099 .029 .006 - -
72 Syracuse 0-0 -.009   - - - .002 .014 .073 .203 .300 .258 .122 .025 .003 -
73 Virginia 0-0 -.016   - - .001 .005 .030 .095 .203 .280 .239 .118 .026 .003 -
74 Utah State 0-0 -.018   - .004 .023 .084 .187 .274 .236 .130 .050 .010 .001 - -
75 Tulsa 0-0 -.021   - .001 .006 .026 .092 .201 .248 .222 .140 .054 .010 .001 -
 
Rk Team W-L FEI   0L 1L 2L 3L 4L 5L 6L 7L 8L 9L 10L 11L 12L
76 California 0-0 -.032   - - - - .002 .013 .048 .135 .263 .309 .187 .044 -
77 Boston College 0-0 -.033   - - - .001 .006 .032 .104 .212 .273 .240 .103 .025 .003
78 UTSA 0-0 -.033   .003 .032 .129 .253 .287 .190 .080 .023 .004 - - - -
79 Cincinnati 0-0 -.033   - .002 .012 .060 .151 .250 .263 .168 .074 .018 .002 - -
80 Arkansas State 0-0 -.034   .002 .018 .085 .200 .279 .239 .127 .041 .008 .001 - - -
81 Louisiana Tech 0-0 -.041   .001 .010 .068 .193 .284 .246 .134 .053 .010 .001 - - -
82 Northern Illinois 0-0 -.043   - .003 .019 .072 .184 .268 .238 .139 .061 .014 .002 - -
83 Wyoming 0-0 -.043   - .001 .020 .067 .183 .268 .259 .139 .050 .011 .001 - -
84 Maryland 0-0 -.049   - - - - .001 .008 .045 .137 .267 .299 .198 .045 -
85 SMU 0-0 -.054   - .001 .002 .020 .076 .179 .270 .250 .142 .050 .009 - -
86 Tulane 0-0 -.057   - - - .008 .042 .121 .218 .270 .206 .101 .031 .004 -
87 Middle Tennessee 0-0 -.059   - .002 .022 .077 .189 .271 .241 .136 .047 .013 .002 - -
88 Miami (OH) 0-0 -.060   - .009 .042 .124 .221 .260 .194 .106 .033 .010 .001 - -
89 Bowling Green 0-0 -.064   - .001 .009 .040 .124 .212 .258 .205 .106 .037 .007 .001 -
90 Army 0-0 -.072   - .001 .012 .055 .148 .251 .254 .175 .081 .019 .003 - -
 
Rk Team W-L FEI   0L 1L 2L 3L 4L 5L 6L 7L 8L 9L 10L 11L 12L
91 Florida Atlantic 0-0 -.073   - .001 .014 .056 .158 .263 .255 .170 .062 .018 .002 .001 -
92 Georgia Southern 0-0 -.074   - .001 .005 .033 .117 .245 .284 .206 .083 .026 .002 - -
93 Ohio 0-0 -.076   .001 .008 .043 .124 .216 .253 .201 .109 .034 .010 .001 - -
94 Ball State 0-0 -.077   - .002 .015 .061 .155 .241 .268 .172 .068 .016 .002 - -
95 Southern Mississippi 0-0 -.079   - .004 .022 .091 .226 .289 .232 .105 .028 .004 - - -
96 Air Force 0-0 -.087   - - - .002 .023 .077 .185 .274 .252 .134 .046 .006 -
97 Marshall 0-0 -.088   - - .003 .016 .059 .144 .231 .254 .175 .086 .026 .006 -
98 Rutgers 0-0 -.089   - - - - .002 .012 .062 .186 .312 .274 .130 .021 -
99 East Carolina 0-0 -.092   - - - .001 .005 .022 .094 .199 .275 .244 .133 .028 -
100 Nevada 0-0 -.094   - - - .002 .016 .073 .197 .294 .259 .127 .030 .002 -
101 Central Michigan 0-0 -.094   - - .003 .011 .041 .121 .208 .263 .208 .109 .033 .003 -
102 Eastern Michigan 0-0 -.098   - - .001 .004 .025 .075 .155 .245 .240 .156 .077 .018 .003
103 Old Dominion 0-0 -.098   - - .003 .020 .073 .169 .247 .242 .167 .063 .014 .001 -
104 Purdue 0-0 -.105   - - - - - .002 .009 .050 .146 .288 .306 .161 .039
105 Fresno State 0-0 -.108   - - - .002 .011 .054 .153 .270 .280 .173 .051 .007 -
 
Rk Team W-L FEI   0L 1L 2L 3L 4L 5L 6L 7L 8L 9L 10L 11L 12L
106 South Alabama 0-0 -.108   - - .001 .015 .054 .146 .254 .271 .179 .065 .013 .001 -
107 Illinois 0-0 -.108   - - - - - .001 .016 .055 .154 .263 .298 .171 .042
108 Louisiana Lafayette 0-0 -.108   - - - .005 .042 .135 .264 .291 .187 .063 .012 .001 -
109 Massachusetts 0-0 -.112   - - - .001 .007 .053 .162 .281 .290 .153 .048 .005 -
110 Florida International 0-0 -.118   - - - .005 .025 .085 .182 .258 .250 .148 .041 .007 -
111 San Jose State 0-0 -.119   - - - - .001 .005 .037 .103 .212 .281 .236 .107 .018
112 New Mexico 0-0 -.120   - - - .001 .006 .033 .119 .246 .301 .209 .074 .011 -
113 North Texas 0-0 -.129   - - .001 .012 .046 .139 .242 .284 .184 .077 .013 .001 -
114 Georgia State 0-0 -.129   - - .001 .012 .047 .144 .251 .269 .183 .073 .020 .001 -
115 UNLV 0-0 -.130   - - - .004 .019 .069 .158 .273 .260 .151 .059 .006 -
116 Kent State 0-0 -.132   - - - - .008 .034 .111 .241 .287 .211 .092 .015 -
117 Akron 0-0 -.132   - - - - .006 .032 .109 .236 .285 .226 .093 .012 -
118 Kansas 0-0 -.134   - - - - - - .005 .033 .135 .302 .362 .163 -
119 Rice 0-0 -.137   - - - .001 .010 .045 .124 .230 .267 .201 .096 .024 .002
120 Hawaii 0-0 -.143   - - - - .003 .016 .063 .158 .278 .286 .160 .035 -
 
Rk Team W-L FEI   0L 1L 2L 3L 4L 5L 6L 7L 8L 9L 10L 11L 12L
121 Connecticut 0-0 -.145   - - - - .001 .004 .023 .081 .189 .309 .280 .112 -
122 Louisiana Monroe 0-0 -.150   - - - - .002 .025 .069 .187 .270 .264 .132 .044 .005
123 Buffalo 0-0 -.163   - - - .001 .003 .018 .065 .155 .251 .274 .183 .051 -
124 New Mexico State 0-0 -.178   - - - - .001 .006 .034 .113 .229 .291 .221 .089 .017
125 Idaho 0-0 -.179   - - - .001 .004 .035 .116 .242 .285 .222 .084 .010 -
126 Charlotte 0-0 -.181   - - - - .003 .024 .085 .188 .315 .260 .110 .013 -
127 Texas State 0-0 -.182   - - - - .003 .020 .084 .198 .290 .260 .124 .022 -
128 UTEP 0-0 -.194   - - - - - .003 .014 .062 .152 .281 .300 .153 .034
129 Coastal Carolina 0-0 -.228   - - - - .001 .010 .036 .135 .255 .324 .191 .048 -
130 UAB 0-0 -.282   - - - - - .001 .007 .028 .129 .300 .374 .161 -