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The Fremeau Efficiency Index (FEI) is a college football rating system based on opponent-adjusted possession efficiency. Preseason projections (57 percent weight in this week's ratings) are based on five-year results, recruiting success, and returning offensive and defensive production. Strength of Schedule ratings (SOS) represent the average number of losses an elite team (two standard deviations better than average) would have against the team's regular season schedule. Strength of Schedule ratings against opponents played to date (PSOS) are also calculated from the perspective of an elite team. Net points per drive (NPD) is the difference between each team's points scored per offensive drive and its points allowed per opponent offensive drive. Net starting field position (NFP) is the difference between the average starting field position for each team's offensive drives and its opponent's offensive drives. Each team's percent likelihood of winning the remainder of its regular season games (WO) is calculated from individual game win likelihoods, each a function of the current FEI ratings and an adjustment for home field advantage.

 

 

2018 FEI Ratings (updated 9/17/18)

 

Rk Team Rec FEI   SOS Rk PSOS Rk NPD Rk NFP Rk WO
1 Georgia 2-0 .276   1.05 53 .13 62 3.25 4 -2.6 83 .376
2 Alabama 3-0 .265   1.13 45 .11 72 3.76 3 16.4 2 .299
3 Ohio State 3-0 .259   1.08 50 .18 48 2.37 8 6.0 19 .322
4 Clemson 2-0 .255   .89 63 .18 49 1.14 32 .3 64 .419
5 Auburn 1-1 .253   2.31 1 .56 9 .24 64 -2.0 79 .061
6 Washington 1-1 .223   1.23 38 .58 6 .46 57 -5.6 106 .319
7 Oklahoma 3-0 .221   .91 62 .12 70 2.90 5 3.5 35 .244
8 Notre Dame 3-0 .214   1.05 52 .15 55 .75 44 1.9 46 .174
9 Michigan State 1-1 .191   1.10 48 .17 51 .52 51 .1 66 .090
10 Stanford 2-0 .190   1.48 17 .12 65 1.44 24 11.3 6 .030
11 Wisconsin 2-1 .181   .97 58 .07 89 1.64 16 -.6 73 .088
12 LSU 2-0 .180   2.09 3 .74 1 .40 60 7.4 14 .024
13 Mississippi State 2-0 .176   1.68 9 .12 69 4.47 2 -5.0 101 .010
14 Penn State 3-0 .155   1.27 34 .07 88 2.38 7 6.0 20 .015
15 Oklahoma State 2-0 .151   1.20 39 .10 76 2.13 12 3.2 37 .018
 
Rk Team Rec FEI   SOS Rk PSOS Rk NPD Rk NFP Rk WO
16 Michigan 2-1 .145   1.84 5 .45 16 1.35 26 8.6 10 .006
17 Miami 1-1 .139   1.00 56 .31 28 .58 50 -2.3 81 .055
18 Virginia Tech 1-0 .128   .94 60 .16 53 1.20 29 17.8 1 .025
19 Duke 3-0 .128   1.24 37 .20 44 1.47 21 7.0 15 .012
20 Iowa 2-0 .127   .70 78 .05 98 1.55 20 8.4 11 .037
21 TCU 1-1 .127   1.44 19 .49 12 .77 42 2.1 45 .011
22 USC 1-2 .123   1.20 40 .57 8 -.29 75 1.1 58 .038
23 Central Florida 1-0 .118   .23 124 .01 129 4.75 1 -2.8 86 .233
24 Texas 2-1 .115   1.19 42 .14 60 .48 55 -2.4 82 .005
25 Boise State 2-1 .109   .46 94 .29 32 1.56 19 1.5 52 .216
26 Boston College 2-0 .108   1.20 41 .08 84 2.06 14 -5.4 104 .003
27 Texas A&M 1-1 .099   2.23 2 .37 25 1.00 36 1.7 48 .000
28 Florida State 0-2 .096   1.54 14 .14 58 -1.51 110 -16.8 129 .001
29 North Carolina State 1-0 .093   .96 59 .01 125 2.62 6 5.5 23 .004
30 Arizona State 2-1 .090   1.44 20 .29 33 .80 41 -.4 72 .001
 
Rk Team Rec FEI   SOS Rk PSOS Rk NPD Rk NFP Rk WO
31 Utah 1-1 .071   1.19 44 .31 30 -.37 78 2.4 41 .001
32 BYU 2-1 .071   1.25 36 .43 19 .00 67 3.8 32 .006
33 Baylor 1-1 .071   1.32 31 .12 68 -.13 70 -5.1 103 .000
34 West Virginia 1-0 .067   1.11 46 .01 124 2.11 13 2.6 40 .000
35 South Carolina 1-1 .066   1.35 26 .44 18 .58 48 -.2 70 .002
36 Oregon 2-0 .062   .94 61 .02 119 1.32 27 6.2 18 .001
37 Kansas State 1-1 .059   1.46 18 .19 45 .60 46 8.8 9 .000
38 Florida 1-1 .057   1.33 30 .02 114 .84 40 6.8 16 .000
39 Iowa State 0-2 .050   1.34 29 .49 11 -.95 92 -9.1 121 .001
40 Houston 2-1 .048   .30 114 .10 78 .59 47 1.0 59 .055
41 Memphis 1-1 .043   .32 111 .05 94 1.36 25 1.5 51 .034
42 Appalachian State 1-1 .037   .42 98 .28 35 .75 43 2.3 43 .171
43 Temple 1-1 .037   .62 83 .05 95 .48 56 -1.6 78 .003
44 Washington State 2-0 .034   1.04 54 .03 112 2.26 9 .9 61 .000
45 Arizona 0-2 .030   .65 81 .15 56 -1.13 96 -5.1 102 .001
 
Rk Team Rec FEI   SOS Rk PSOS Rk NPD Rk NFP Rk WO
46 Wake Forest 1-1 .027   1.35 27 .11 73 -.35 76 -1.4 77 .000
47 Louisiana Tech 1-0 .026   .77 71 .01 126 .50 52 -7.6 115 .002
48 San Diego State 1-1 .026   .74 76 .43 20 -.37 79 -6.0 107 .023
49 Marshall 1-0 .024   .16 128 .01 130 .58 48 -2.7 84 .091
50 Northwestern 1-2 .021   1.42 22 .17 52 -.03 68 6.6 17 .000
51 California 2-0 .020   1.06 51 .13 61 .44 58 5.9 21 .000
52 Mississippi 1-1 .018   1.58 12 .43 21 -1.52 112 -9.4 124 .000
53 Minnesota 3-0 .016   1.19 43 .04 105 1.59 17 1.4 56 .000
54 Texas Tech 1-1 .015   1.27 33 .08 86 .14 66 -2.3 80 .000
55 Missouri 2-0 .014   1.39 24 .06 92 1.46 23 .2 65 .000
56 Louisville 1-1 .013   1.50 15 .51 10 -1.41 107 .0 68 .000
57 Fresno State 1-1 .012   .39 101 .11 74 .95 37 9.5 8 .013
58 Utah State 1-1 .008   .76 74 .37 24 1.01 35 2.2 44 .007
59 Kentucky 2-0 .008   1.09 49 .12 71 1.12 33 1.5 53 .000
60 Buffalo 2-0 .002   .23 122 .09 82 1.05 34 5.2 24 .035
 
Rk Team Rec FEI   SOS Rk PSOS Rk NPD Rk NFP Rk WO
61 Toledo 0-1 -.003   .29 116 .12 66 -2.27 122 -7.2 113 .016
62 Purdue 0-3 -.005   1.31 32 .05 97 -.21 71 -3.6 93 .000
63 UCLA 0-3 -.005   1.49 16 .48 13 -1.94 117 -9.1 119 .000
64 Georgia Tech 0-2 -.007   1.63 11 .07 87 -.53 84 -9.2 122 .000
65 Navy 1-1 -.009   .75 75 .04 102 -.41 80 5.5 22 .000
66 Nebraska 0-2 -.014   1.72 7 .02 116 -.26 73 -3.4 92 .000
67 South Florida 2-0 -.015   .39 100 .02 120 .50 54 1.9 47 .001
68 Maryland 2-1 -.016   1.57 13 .18 47 .18 65 3.5 34 .000
69 Pittsburgh 1-1 -.021   1.39 25 .16 54 -.95 91 -3.0 87 .000
70 Georgia Southern 1-1 -.024   .69 80 .58 7 -.27 74 .7 62 .033
71 Army 2-1 -.026   .81 69 .24 40 .50 52 5.0 27 .001
72 North Carolina 0-2 -.027   .79 70 .08 85 -1.03 95 -8.2 118 .000
73 Indiana 3-0 -.027   1.42 21 .03 108 1.23 28 3.6 33 .000
74 Cincinnati 2-0 -.027   .41 99 .06 93 1.15 30 9.9 7 .001
75 Arkansas State 1-1 -.028   .76 73 .63 3 -1.64 114 -2.7 85 .030
 
Rk Team Rec FEI   SOS Rk PSOS Rk NPD Rk NFP Rk WO
76 Virginia 1-1 -.031   .85 66 .04 101 .65 45 3.9 31 .000
77 Northern Illinois 1-2 -.032   .63 82 .28 37 -.60 86 .0 69 .001
78 Syracuse 2-0 -.034   1.39 23 .08 83 1.59 18 16.3 3 .000
79 Arkansas 0-2 -.035   1.71 8 .02 117 -.97 94 -12.4 128 .000
80 Tulsa 0-2 -.042   .58 87 .20 43 -.47 83 .4 63 .000
81 Tulane 0-2 -.042   .86 64 .03 107 -.24 72 4.9 28 .000
82 North Texas 2-0 -.047   .14 129 .04 104 2.17 10 12.2 5 .025
83 Ohio 0-1 -.052   .17 127 .03 111 -1.75 116 -7.5 114 .003
84 Wyoming 1-2 -.054   .31 113 .10 77 -.75 88 5.1 25 .002
85 Colorado 2-0 -.054   1.02 55 .05 96 1.73 15 7.4 13 .000
86 Troy 1-1 -.055   .31 112 .13 64 -.81 89 -3.4 89 .006
87 Florida Atlantic 1-1 -.058   .82 67 .46 14 -1.24 100 1.0 60 .000
88 Vanderbilt 2-1 -.058   1.35 28 .45 17 1.14 31 5.0 26 .000
89 UNLV 1-1 -.068   .44 96 .22 42 .25 63 -.7 74 .000
90 Kansas 2-0 -.069   1.26 35 .02 118 1.46 22 15.9 4 .000
 
Rk Team Rec FEI   SOS Rk PSOS Rk NPD Rk NFP Rk WO
91 Air Force 0-1 -.070   .33 108 .02 123 -1.33 102 1.4 55 .000
92 Tennessee 1-1 -.073   1.90 4 .09 81 .43 59 3.3 36 .000
93 Western Kentucky 0-2 -.074   .57 90 .40 22 -1.57 113 -7.1 112 .002
94 Eastern Michigan 1-1 -.078   .25 120 .10 75 -.43 81 .0 67 .001
95 Bowling Green 0-2 -.080   .29 117 .12 67 -2.02 119 -7.9 116 .000
96 Nevada 1-1 -.083   .25 119 .03 113 -.96 93 -4.3 96 .000
97 Miami (OH) 0-3 -.089   .27 118 .09 80 -1.47 109 -9.9 125 .000
98 South Alabama 1-2 -.093   .57 88 .30 31 -.73 87 1.6 49 .000
99 Oregon State 0-2 -.094   1.80 6 .59 5 -1.31 101 -1.3 76 .000
100 Western Michigan 0-2 -.094   .35 105 .26 38 -2.50 123 -17.5 130 .001
101 Illinois 1-1 -.097   .81 68 .03 106 -.04 69 7.8 12 .000
102 Rutgers 1-2 -.099   1.68 10 .60 4 -1.14 98 -4.8 99 .000
103 Middle Tennessee 0-2 -.106   .85 65 .65 2 -3.13 128 1.5 54 .000
104 Ball State 0-2 -.109   .60 85 .46 15 -1.21 99 -4.5 98 .000
105 SMU 0-3 -.110   .72 77 .38 23 -2.21 121 -6.1 108 .000
 
Rk Team Rec FEI   SOS Rk PSOS Rk NPD Rk NFP Rk WO
106 UAB 1-1 -.110   .33 109 .02 121 -.94 90 -1.2 75 .000
107 Akron 1-0 -.110   .29 115 .07 90 -.46 82 -10.4 126 .000
108 Hawaii 3-1 -.111   .37 103 .06 91 .90 38 -3.4 90 .000
109 New Mexico 1-1 -.113   .58 86 .35 26 -.36 77 1.1 57 .000
110 Louisiana Monroe 1-1 -.119   .34 107 .18 50 -1.36 105 2.3 42 .000
111 Central Michigan 0-3 -.122   .57 89 .09 79 -1.13 97 -4.4 97 .000
112 East Carolina 1-0 -.128   .37 104 .01 128 2.14 11 2.6 39 .000
113 Southern Mississippi 0-1 -.128   .77 72 .01 127 .35 62 -6.3 109 .000
114 Kent State 0-2 -.130   .47 93 .28 34 -2.15 120 -9.1 120 .000
115 Colorado State 1-3 -.135   .38 102 .14 59 -1.36 104 -6.6 111 .000
116 Old Dominion 0-3 -.136   .23 123 .03 110 -1.37 106 4.4 30 .000
117 Liberty 1-1 -.138   .69 79 .04 100 .36 61 -5.6 105 .000
118 Coastal Carolina 1-1 -.139   .24 121 .13 63 -.57 85 1.6 50 .000
119 Florida International 2-1 -.141   .35 106 .03 109 .84 39 -3.3 88 .000
120 Rice 0-2 -.145   .61 84 .04 99 -1.52 111 4.5 29 .000
 
Rk Team Rec FEI   SOS Rk PSOS Rk NPD Rk NFP Rk WO
121 San Jose State 0-2 -.154   .45 95 .19 46 -1.66 115 -4.1 95 .000
122 Massachusetts 0-3 -.155   .98 57 .22 41 -3.01 126 -3.8 94 .000
123 Charlotte 1-1 -.161   .19 125 .04 103 -1.35 103 3.0 38 .000
124 UTSA 0-3 -.162   .47 92 .31 29 -2.82 125 -4.9 100 .000
125 Georgia State 0-2 -.164   .44 97 .24 39 -3.02 127 -9.3 123 .000
126 Texas State 0-2 -.167   .14 130 .02 122 -1.44 108 -6.5 110 .000
127 New Mexico State 0-4 -.167   .32 110 .14 57 -1.96 118 -3.4 91 .000
128 UTEP 0-2 -.196   .18 126 .02 115 -2.55 124 -8.1 117 .000
129 Connecticut 0-2 -.198   .53 91 .28 36 -5.72 129 -.4 71 .000
130 Louisiana Lafayette 0-1 -.227   1.10 47 .33 27 -6.50 130 -11.1 127 .000