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Strength of Schedule Ratings
:: 2019

 

Schedule strength is represented in several ways, including each team's average per-possession opponent adjustment (OA), average per-possession offensive opponent adjustment (OOA), and average per-possession defensive opponent adjustment (DOA). Remaining columns represent schedule strength as a function of the FEI ratings of each team's opponents and the location (home/away/neutral) of each game. EL represents the average number of losses an elite team (two standard deviations better than average) would have against the schedule. E1 represents the percent likelihood an elite team would have one or fewer losses against the schedule. GL represents the average number of losses a good team (one standard deviation better than average) would have against the schedule. G3 represents the percent likelihood a good team would have three or fewer losses against the schedule. AL represents the average number of losses an average team would have against the schedule. A6 represents the percent likelihood an average team would have six or fewer losses against the schedule.

Ratings and supporting data are calculated from the results of non-garbage possessions in FBS vs. FBS games.

 

 

2019 Strength of Schedule Ratings (final)

 

Team W-L   OA Rk OOA Rk DOA Rk   EL Rk E1 Rk GL Rk G3 Rk AL Rk A6 Rk
Auburn 8-4   .42 1 .29 8 .55 1   3.35 3 .073 4 5.67 3 .053 2 8.03 4 .132 4
South Carolina 3-8   .36 2 .38 3 .33 6   2.99 7 .114 7 5.18 7 .128 7 7.56 10 .201 7
Michigan 9-4   .31 3 .28 9 .33 4   3.31 4 .069 3 5.56 5 .070 4 7.97 5 .150 5
LSU 14-0   .30 4 .27 10 .33 5   3.54 1 .075 5 6.12 1 .033 1 8.92 1 .051 1
Wisconsin 10-4   .29 5 .38 2 .18 16   3.24 5 .065 2 5.69 2 .065 3 8.42 3 .108 3
Mississippi State 5-7   .28 6 .25 11 .34 3   2.73 9 .157 10 5.02 9 .144 8 7.61 9 .230 9
Ohio State 13-1   .27 7 .38 1 .16 21   3.07 6 .111 6 5.58 4 .084 5 8.46 2 .100 2
Texas A&M 7-5   .27 8 .30 7 .24 12   3.38 2 .052 1 5.21 6 .095 6 7.24 14 .263 11
Penn State 10-2   .24 9 .22 16 .25 11   2.60 11 .189 13 4.72 12 .201 10 7.05 19 .347 18
Arkansas 1-10   .23 10 .20 18 .26 9   2.60 10 .140 9 4.52 18 .208 12 6.75 30 .409 28
Mississippi 3-8   .21 11 .13 31 .30 8   2.73 8 .121 8 4.44 20 .215 14 6.39 48 .522 49
Florida 9-2   .20 12 .33 4 .05 57   2.28 20 .271 21 4.27 26 .299 28 6.65 36 .457 37
Georgia 11-2   .19 13 .31 6 .06 54   2.59 12 .201 15 5.03 8 .156 9 7.79 6 .188 6
Vanderbilt 2-9   .19 14 .22 15 .12 34   2.12 27 .337 32 4.08 36 .345 33 6.45 46 .513 46
Oklahoma 11-2   .18 15 .22 14 .12 32   2.40 17 .231 17 4.79 11 .206 11 7.61 8 .238 10
 
Team W-L   OA Rk OOA Rk DOA Rk   EL Rk E1 Rk GL Rk G3 Rk AL Rk A6 Rk
Texas 8-5   .17 16 .18 21 .16 23   2.54 13 .203 16 4.88 10 .226 15 7.62 7 .219 8
Tulsa 4-8   .16 17 .08 38 .25 10   1.82 52 .409 50 4.13 33 .348 35 6.97 24 .373 20
Iowa State 6-6   .16 18 .15 28 .16 19   2.10 31 .328 29 4.40 21 .286 24 7.10 16 .325 15
Houston 3-8   .16 19 .00 69 .34 2   2.01 34 .345 33 4.10 35 .353 38 6.53 42 .511 45
Clemson 13-1   .16 20 .02 58 .31 7   2.43 16 .179 11 4.64 13 .215 13 7.50 11 .289 13
Oregon 11-2   .16 21 .16 27 .14 27   2.17 25 .324 28 4.51 19 .264 19 7.29 13 .304 14
Alabama 10-2   .16 22 .22 13 .10 42   2.16 26 .284 26 4.16 30 .332 32 6.56 40 .461 38
Stanford 4-8   .15 23 .16 26 .13 31   1.96 35 .385 41 4.26 27 .300 29 6.96 25 .396 26
Georgia Tech 3-8   .14 24 .32 5 -.03 74   1.79 55 .406 48 3.58 65 .494 66 5.92 70 .693 77
TCU 4-7   .13 25 .06 43 .21 14   1.85 46 .432 55 3.92 47 .411 49 6.47 45 .497 43
Michigan State 7-6   .13 26 .17 23 .08 48   2.50 15 .181 12 4.53 17 .226 16 7.01 21 .396 25
Louisville 7-5   .12 27 .17 25 .10 39   1.89 39 .387 42 4.04 40 .329 30 6.77 29 .406 27
Maryland 2-9   .12 28 .13 30 .10 41   2.31 19 .250 18 4.19 29 .297 27 6.39 47 .514 47
Colorado 5-7   .12 29 .11 36 .12 35   1.93 36 .360 37 4.15 31 .346 34 6.85 27 .423 30
Tennessee 7-5   .12 30 .08 39 .14 29   2.11 29 .296 27 4.13 34 .330 31 6.61 37 .475 40
 
Team W-L   OA Rk OOA Rk DOA Rk   EL Rk E1 Rk GL Rk G3 Rk AL Rk A6 Rk
Washington 7-5   .11 31 .00 67 .22 13   1.58 68 .512 68 3.87 48 .433 54 6.72 33 .453 36
Iowa 10-3   .11 32 .14 29 .09 44   2.25 21 .283 24 4.56 16 .233 17 7.20 15 .346 17
Duke 4-7   .11 33 .17 24 .09 45   1.82 51 .407 49 3.71 59 .460 61 6.10 61 .611 63
Oregon State 4-7   .11 34 .09 37 .12 36   1.66 64 .452 59 3.77 56 .422 51 6.36 50 .520 48
Kansas 2-9   .11 35 .05 46 .16 20   1.69 59 .488 66 3.76 57 .445 59 6.28 55 .562 55
USC 8-5   .11 36 .23 12 -.01 70   2.11 30 .334 31 4.58 14 .265 20 7.48 12 .265 12
Oklahoma State 7-5   .10 37 .12 33 .08 51   1.83 49 .422 53 4.14 32 .354 40 6.97 23 .357 19
Utah 10-3   .10 38 .08 40 .11 37   1.67 63 .482 64 4.02 42 .363 41 6.95 26 .393 24
West Virginia 4-7   .10 39 .12 34 .06 55   1.81 53 .429 54 3.86 49 .428 53 6.38 49 .525 51
Tulane 6-6   .10 40 .11 35 .09 46   1.90 38 .381 40 4.06 38 .348 37 6.51 43 .476 42
Baylor 10-3   .10 41 .03 54 .15 26   2.08 32 .348 35 4.34 24 .293 26 7.09 17 .337 16
Memphis 11-2   .09 42 .18 20 .03 63   1.55 69 .513 69 3.94 45 .407 47 7.05 18 .391 23
UCLA 4-8   .09 43 .02 56 .14 28   1.74 57 .441 57 4.01 43 .376 43 6.72 32 .425 31
Florida State 5-7   .09 44 .06 45 .15 25   1.87 43 .376 39 3.81 53 .440 56 6.34 52 .538 52
Arizona 3-8   .09 45 .01 63 .16 22   1.66 65 .474 62 3.78 55 .409 48 6.30 54 .538 53
 
Team W-L   OA Rk OOA Rk DOA Rk   EL Rk E1 Rk GL Rk G3 Rk AL Rk A6 Rk
Virginia 8-5   .09 46 .19 19 -.01 69   2.20 24 .280 22 4.34 23 .284 23 7.03 20 .387 22
Arizona State 7-5   .08 47 -.02 72 .17 18   1.65 66 .485 65 3.80 54 .443 58 6.54 41 .468 39
California 7-5   .07 48 .04 51 .07 52   1.88 41 .345 34 4.06 37 .348 36 6.73 31 .439 32
Kansas State 7-5   .07 49 .01 62 .14 30   1.83 50 .434 56 3.99 44 .371 42 6.59 38 .447 35
South Florida 3-8   .07 50 -.02 73 .17 17   1.77 56 .418 51 3.66 60 .439 55 5.88 73 .677 74
Rutgers 2-10   .06 51 -.03 78 .15 24   2.53 14 .196 14 4.57 15 .244 18 6.81 28 .411 29
Marshall 7-5   .05 52 .06 44 .04 59   1.49 71 .555 73 3.47 69 .502 68 6.05 66 .626 66
Florida Atlantic 10-3   .05 53 .00 66 .09 43   1.89 40 .393 43 3.75 58 .440 57 6.27 56 .568 56
Northwestern 3-9   .05 54 .00 68 .09 47   2.33 18 .263 20 4.31 25 .276 22 6.65 35 .476 41
Cincinnati 11-3   .04 55 -.02 74 .08 49   2.23 22 .258 19 4.39 22 .270 21 6.98 22 .380 21
North Carolina 6-6   .04 56 .21 17 -.12 99   1.49 72 .575 75 3.51 68 .535 70 6.22 58 .569 57
Purdue 4-8   .04 57 .13 32 -.06 85   1.91 37 .395 44 3.83 52 .423 52 6.25 57 .572 58
Minnesota 10-2   .03 58 .17 22 -.11 97   1.69 60 .453 60 3.65 61 .481 63 6.10 62 .615 65
Washington State 5-7   .03 59 .02 57 .03 62   1.84 47 .419 52 3.92 46 .387 44 6.36 51 .522 50
Nebraska 5-7   .03 60 .07 41 -.05 81   2.12 28 .281 23 4.06 39 .353 39 6.47 44 .508 44
 
Team W-L   OA Rk OOA Rk DOA Rk   EL Rk E1 Rk GL Rk G3 Rk AL Rk A6 Rk
Notre Dame 11-2   .03 61 -.04 80 .10 40   1.88 42 .399 46 4.02 41 .405 45 6.66 34 .446 34
Pittsburgh 7-5   .03 62 -.03 77 .10 38   1.32 84 .616 82 3.40 72 .553 72 6.09 63 .614 64
Navy 10-2   .02 63 -.02 75 .07 53   1.68 61 .446 58 3.60 62 .496 67 6.09 64 .606 61
Texas Tech 3-8   .02 64 .02 59 .03 65   1.62 67 .492 67 3.54 66 .488 65 5.82 75 .673 73
Miami 5-7   .01 65 .03 53 .00 67   1.24 89 .647 91 3.29 76 .574 75 6.07 65 .592 60
Louisiana Monroe 4-7   .00 66 .02 55 -.02 72   1.36 81 .597 79 3.11 81 .632 81 5.43 83 .768 86
Miami (OH) 7-6   .00 67 -.02 76 .03 60   2.20 23 .284 25 4.20 28 .291 25 6.57 39 .444 33
Syracuse 4-7   -.01 68 .01 65 .03 61   1.20 94 .661 93 2.92 92 .685 91 5.29 89 .780 88
Texas State 2-9   -.01 69 -.11 94 .12 33   1.25 88 .649 92 3.05 86 .656 84 5.42 84 .752 82
Georgia Southern 6-6   -.02 70 -.18 109 .18 15   1.84 48 .360 38 3.59 64 .459 60 5.79 76 .703 78
Virginia Tech 6-5   -.02 71 .05 50 -.06 86   1.18 95 .667 95 2.95 89 .682 89 5.36 87 .772 87
South Alabama 1-10   -.02 72 -.06 84 .05 58   .98 106 .737 104 2.77 99 .724 98 5.26 90 .780 89
Indiana 7-5   -.02 73 .05 47 -.10 92   2.02 33 .332 30 3.83 51 .412 50 6.01 67 .626 67
Kentucky 7-5   -.02 74 -.04 81 -.04 76   1.39 78 .595 78 3.20 78 .612 78 5.75 77 .677 75
Boston College 5-7   -.03 75 .05 48 -.10 91   1.87 45 .354 36 3.60 63 .476 62 5.96 68 .647 71
 
Team W-L   OA Rk OOA Rk DOA Rk   EL Rk E1 Rk GL Rk G3 Rk AL Rk A6 Rk
Middle Tennessee 3-8   -.03 76 .07 42 -.16 106   1.40 77 .580 76 3.06 84 .622 80 5.24 92 .801 92
Missouri 5-6   -.03 77 .05 49 -.15 101   1.33 83 .619 84 3.06 85 .675 88 5.41 85 .752 83
Wake Forest 7-5   -.04 78 .00 71 -.04 78   1.40 76 .589 77 3.12 80 .660 85 5.59 80 .719 80
Utah State 6-6   -.04 79 -.05 83 -.04 77   1.79 54 .398 45 3.52 67 .482 64 5.91 72 .633 68
Air Force 10-2   -.04 80 -.18 110 .08 50   1.08 97 .702 98 2.93 90 .706 95 5.51 81 .743 81
Illinois 6-7   -.05 81 .03 52 -.12 98   1.87 44 .405 47 3.85 50 .406 46 6.16 59 .585 59
SMU 10-3   -.05 82 .01 64 -.10 93   1.47 73 .567 74 3.43 70 .530 69 6.14 60 .611 62
Temple 7-5   -.06 83 -.10 92 -.01 71   1.55 70 .528 70 3.40 73 .552 71 5.82 74 .665 72
Hawaii 9-5   -.06 84 -.07 87 -.07 89   1.31 85 .639 88 3.42 71 .558 73 6.33 53 .556 54
Boise State 11-2   -.06 85 -.09 89 -.04 80   1.05 100 .685 97 3.08 83 .616 79 5.92 69 .634 69
North Carolina State 3-8   -.07 86 -.14 101 .03 64   1.22 92 .667 94 2.83 95 .710 96 5.14 97 .834 99
Louisiana Lafayette 10-3   -.09 87 -.12 96 -.06 84   .93 107 .764 107 2.82 97 .695 94 5.61 79 .689 76
BYU 6-6   -.09 88 -.08 88 -.09 90   1.33 82 .639 87 3.32 74 .577 76 5.91 71 .643 70
Appalachian State 12-1   -.09 89 -.18 112 .00 68   1.00 105 .741 105 2.90 93 .692 92 5.64 78 .713 79
Western Kentucky 9-3   -.10 90 -.16 105 -.05 82   .69 121 .857 120 2.40 113 .784 111 5.00 102 .821 97
 
Team W-L   OA Rk OOA Rk DOA Rk   EL Rk E1 Rk GL Rk G3 Rk AL Rk A6 Rk
New Mexico 1-10   -.11 91 -.14 102 -.07 88   1.30 86 .647 90 2.97 88 .674 87 5.16 95 .820 96
Old Dominion 0-11   -.11 92 -.22 116 -.02 73   .93 108 .766 108 2.54 107 .783 108 4.92 106 .852 104
Central Florida 9-3   -.11 93 .01 60 -.22 112   1.06 98 .730 103 2.79 98 .735 99 5.25 91 .797 91
Southern Mississippi 6-6   -.11 94 -.14 103 -.03 75   1.68 62 .475 63 3.28 77 .588 77 5.49 82 .761 84
East Carolina 2-8   -.12 95 .01 61 -.23 118   1.23 91 .615 81 2.69 102 .755 103 4.63 114 .923 121
Georgia State 6-6   -.12 96 -.10 90 -.15 102   .79 115 .804 113 2.51 109 .764 104 5.12 98 .805 95
Fresno State 3-8   -.12 97 -.18 108 -.06 83   1.23 90 .644 89 2.75 100 .747 101 4.94 104 .863 110
Ball State 4-7   -.12 98 -.26 121 .00 66   .67 123 .852 119 2.23 119 .841 118 4.61 115 .902 117
Charlotte 6-6   -.12 99 -.06 85 -.18 108   1.73 58 .463 61 3.30 75 .560 74 5.39 86 .767 85
UNLV 3-8   -.13 100 -.05 82 -.22 115   .61 126 .878 125 2.18 122 .844 120 4.56 117 .886 112
New Mexico State 1-10   -.14 101 -.19 113 -.04 79   1.39 79 .612 80 2.92 91 .682 90 5.01 101 .855 107
Bowling Green 2-9   -.14 102 -.11 95 -.15 103   1.21 93 .632 86 2.89 94 .693 93 5.09 99 .835 100
Army 3-8   -.14 103 -.31 124 .05 56   1.47 74 .541 71 3.08 82 .661 86 5.18 94 .859 109
Kent State 6-6   -.14 104 -.07 86 -.23 116   1.45 75 .553 72 3.14 79 .639 82 5.31 88 .805 94
Arkansas State 7-5   -.15 105 -.22 115 -.07 87   1.03 102 .745 106 2.70 101 .737 100 5.15 96 .795 90
 
Team W-L   OA Rk OOA Rk DOA Rk   EL Rk E1 Rk GL Rk G3 Rk AL Rk A6 Rk
Rice 3-9   -.15 106 -.13 97 -.18 107   .89 110 .776 110 2.51 108 .783 109 4.95 103 .825 98
UTSA 3-8   -.15 107 .00 70 -.29 120   1.02 103 .727 102 2.49 110 .801 112 4.61 116 .911 119
Northern Illinois 4-7   -.16 108 -.18 111 -.11 96   .93 109 .768 109 2.47 111 .780 107 4.64 113 .883 111
Wyoming 7-5   -.16 109 -.04 79 -.29 122   1.06 99 .723 101 2.59 104 .770 106 4.94 105 .839 101
Colorado State 3-8   -.16 110 -.14 100 -.21 111   .81 113 .825 116 2.26 118 .836 117 4.56 118 .899 116
Toledo 5-6   -.18 111 -.22 117 -.10 95   .70 120 .868 124 2.20 121 .852 122 4.44 120 .903 118
Connecticut 1-10   -.18 112 -.24 119 -.15 100   1.36 80 .617 83 3.04 87 .640 83 5.22 93 .803 93
Nevada 6-6   -.19 113 -.23 118 -.16 105   1.02 104 .716 100 2.58 105 .767 105 4.90 108 .841 102
Eastern Michigan 5-7   -.19 114 -.17 106 -.21 110   .69 122 .862 122 2.34 114 .806 113 4.82 109 .854 106
San Jose State 4-7   -.19 115 -.15 104 -.23 117   .87 111 .791 112 2.41 112 .833 116 4.67 112 .895 114
Western Michigan 6-6   -.20 116 -.21 114 -.20 109   .66 124 .885 126 2.28 115 .819 114 4.69 111 .857 108
Troy 4-7   -.21 117 -.10 91 -.31 124   .76 116 .838 117 2.20 120 .844 119 4.33 123 .929 123
Ohio 6-6   -.21 118 -.13 99 -.29 121   .82 112 .787 111 2.27 117 .829 115 4.53 119 .895 115
Florida International 5-7   -.21 119 -.18 107 -.25 119   1.03 101 .715 99 2.67 103 .747 102 4.91 107 .852 105
North Texas 3-8   -.23 120 -.29 122 -.16 104   .72 119 .815 114 2.13 123 .871 123 4.22 124 .933 124
 
Team W-L   OA Rk OOA Rk DOA Rk   EL Rk E1 Rk GL Rk G3 Rk AL Rk A6 Rk
Central Michigan 7-6   -.24 121 -.11 93 -.35 126   1.28 87 .619 85 2.82 96 .724 97 5.06 100 .851 103
Buffalo 7-5   -.24 122 -.29 123 -.22 114   .80 114 .867 123 2.28 116 .846 121 4.40 121 .924 122
San Diego State 9-3   -.25 123 -.25 120 -.22 113   .47 128 .921 127 1.94 125 .881 124 4.38 122 .918 120
Coastal Carolina 4-7   -.27 124 -.41 127 -.10 94   .73 118 .845 118 2.10 124 .891 125 4.17 125 .951 125
UAB 8-5   -.33 125 -.13 98 -.51 130   1.13 96 .672 96 2.55 106 .784 110 4.76 110 .891 113
UTEP 0-11   -.36 126 -.38 126 -.32 125   .43 130 .943 130 1.53 130 .948 130 3.57 128 .976 127
Akron 0-12   -.36 127 -.43 129 -.30 123   .47 129 .926 129 1.84 126 .905 126 4.03 126 .955 126
Liberty 6-5   -.41 128 -.42 128 -.37 127   .75 117 .823 115 1.80 127 .935 127 3.55 130 .988 130
Massachusetts 1-10   -.42 129 -.33 125 -.49 129   .48 127 .926 128 1.68 129 .943 129 3.57 129 .988 129
Louisiana Tech 9-3   -.45 130 -.44 130 -.44 128   .66 125 .861 121 1.78 128 .941 128 3.64 127 .977 128