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2018 Game Projections
:: 2023 :: 2022 :: 2021 :: 2020 :: 2019 :: 2018 :: 2017 :: 2016 :: 2015 :: 2014 :: 2013 :: 2012 :: 2011

 

Game projections and results on this page were published in the given season and are provided only for reference. The formula used to calculate game projections has been updated each season. Data comparisons between season results may be misleading.

 

FEI Game Projections are calculated as a function of the current FEI ratings and possession scoring rates of each team, with an adjustment for home field advantage. Projections identify the Win Likelihood (WL) of the projected game winner, a projected final score (PF), and the likelihood of various game results for the projected winner: DW (dominant win by 25+ points), SW (strong win by 17-24 points), MW (moderate win by 9-16 points), NW (narrow win by 1-8 points), NL (narrow loss by 1-8 points), ML (moderate loss by 9-16 points), SL (strong loss by 17-24 points), and DL (dominant loss by 25+ points).

 

2018 Game Projection Results Summary


FEI game projection results are provided below, including expected results as a function of individual game win likelihoods (Proj Pct), actual results of projected game winners (SU Rec, SU Pct), projected game winner results by win likelihood range, the average absolute error between projected margin and result (ME), and projection results against the betting market line (ATS Rec, ATS Pct).

Week
   Proj Pct   SU Rec SU Pct   50-60 60-75 75-90 90+   ME   ATS Rec ATS Pct
1
   .782   34-9 .791   .714 .727 .636 1.000   13.7   24-17 .585
2
   .765   35-14 .714   .455 .700 .706 1.000   14.5   25-22 .532
3
   .769   32-17 .653   .308 .571 .786 .867   14.6   22-21 .512
4
   .779   46-9 .836   .571 .800 .882 .938   12.0   28-24 .538
5
   .750   44-11 .800   .600 .750 .867 1.000   12.4   28-26 .519
6
   .799   33-23 .589   .429 .462 .571 .800   16.5   21-31 .404
7
   .798   38-16 .704   .429 .500 .813 .882   15.8   27-25 .519
8
   .795   43-11 .796   .500 .625 .867 1.000   13.5   29-24 .547
9
   .741   35-20 .636   .667 .524 .556 .846   14.3   26-27 .491
10
   .779   47-14 .770   .444 .833 .842 .800   13.0   30-28 .517
11
   .797   47-14 .770   .500 .714 .952 .722   13.1   29-31 .483
12
   .796   46-14 .767   .750 .600 .737 1.000   13.6   28-31 .475
13
   .792   44-20 .688   .333 .474 .800 .895   14.7   27-34 .443
14/15
   .774   12-3 .800   .500 .600 1.000 1.000   10.1   7-7 .500
Total
   .780   536-195 .733   .505 .635 .782 .901   13.9   351-348 .502

 

 

Bowl Game Projections

 

Result ATS Date WL Projected Winner Projected Loser PF DW SW MW NW NL ML SL DL
W 45-13 Win 12/15 .737 Appalachian State Middle Tennessee 29-19 .087 .433 .123 .095 .167 .050 .031 .015
W 31-20 Win 12/15 .750 Fresno State Arizona State 31-20 .095 .443 .121 .091 .160 .047 .029 .014
W 23-21 Win 12/15 .564 Georgia Southern Eastern Michigan 25-24 .030 .287 .124 .124 .263 .088 .056 .028
W 41-24 Win 12/15 .659 Tulane Louisiana Lafayette 33-27 .049 .371 .127 .112 .212 .067 .042 .021
W 52-13 Win 12/15 .711 Utah State North Texas 31-22 .072 .413 .125 .101 .182 .055 .034 .017
L 13-37 Lose 12/18 .543 Northern Illinois UAB 21-20 .030 .266 .121 .126 .274 .093 .060 .030
W 27-0 Win 12/19 .729 Ohio San Diego State 33-23 .082 .427 .123 .097 .172 .051 .032 .015
W 38-20 Win 12/20 .665 Marshall South Florida 27-21 .051 .376 .127 .111 .209 .065 .041 .020
W 49-18 Lose 12/21 .610 BYU Western Michigan 30-26 .035 .329 .127 .119 .239 .078 .049 .024
L 32-35 Win 12/21 .540 Toledo Florida International 31-30 .030 .263 .121 .126 .276 .094 .060 .030
W 70-14 Win 12/22 .838 Army Houston 38-26 .160 .502 .109 .067 .108 .029 .018 .008
L 32-42 Lose 12/22 .599 Buffalo Troy 29-23 .033 .319 .126 .121 .245 .080 .051 .025
W 31-14 n/a 12/22 .581 Louisiana Tech Hawaii 29-27 .031 .302 .125 .123 .255 .084 .054 .027
L 34-37 Lose 12/22 .577 Memphis Wake Forest 33-29 .030 .298 .125 .123 .257 .085 .054 .027
W 34-10 Win 12/26 .616 Minnesota Georgia Tech 31-29 .036 .334 .127 .119 .236 .076 .048 .024
W 10-7 Win 12/26 .560 TCU California 20-19 .030 .283 .123 .125 .266 .089 .057 .028
L 3-35 Lose 12/27 .608 Miami Wisconsin 26-21 .034 .327 .127 .120 .240 .078 .049 .024
L 27-56 Lose 12/27 .544 Temple Duke 28-22 .030 .267 .121 .126 .274 .093 .059 .030
L 38-45 Lose 12/27 .658 Vanderbilt Baylor 32-24 .048 .371 .127 .112 .212 .067 .042 .021
W 63-14 Lose 12/28 .686 Auburn Purdue 26-24 .060 .393 .126 .106 .197 .061 .038 .019
W 28-26 Win 12/28 .610 Washington State Iowa State 30-26 .035 .329 .127 .119 .239 .077 .049 .024
L 18-34 Lose 12/28 .654 West Virginia Syracuse 34-26 .047 .367 .127 .113 .215 .068 .043 .021
W 45-34 Win 12/29 .843 Alabama Oklahoma 43-29 .164 .505 .109 .065 .105 .028 .017 .008
W 30-3 Lose 12/29 .700 Clemson Notre Dame 27-23 .066 .405 .125 .103 .189 .058 .036 .018
L 15-41 Lose 12/29 .597 Michigan Florida 29-22 .033 .317 .126 .121 .246 .080 .051 .025
W 16-13 Win 12/29 .619 Nevada Arkansas State 28-23 .037 .337 .127 .118 .234 .075 .048 .024
L 0-28 Win 12/29 .508 South Carolina Virginia 29-27 .035 .231 .116 .126 .292 .101 .065 .033
W 35-31 Lose 12/31 .882 Cincinnati Virginia Tech 35-15 .198 .529 .102 .053 .081 .020 .012 .006
L 6-7 Lose 12/31 .700 Michigan State Oregon 27-17 .067 .405 .125 .103 .189 .058 .036 .018
L 33-38 Lose 12/31 .765 Missouri Oklahoma State 37-23 .105 .453 .120 .088 .151 .044 .027 .013
W 14-13 Lose 12/31 .644 Stanford Pittsburgh 31-25 .043 .358 .127 .114 .221 .070 .044 .022
W 52-13 Lose 12/31 .635 Texas A&M North Carolina State 29-27 .041 .351 .127 .116 .225 .072 .045 .022
L 20-31 Win 12/31 .618 Utah Northwestern 25-20 .036 .336 .127 .118 .235 .076 .048 .024
L 32-40 Lose 1/1 .550 Central Florida LSU 31-26 .030 .273 .122 .125 .271 .091 .058 .029
L 21-28 Lose 1/1 .858 Georgia Texas 41-21 .177 .514 .106 .061 .096 .025 .015 .007
L 22-27 n/a 1/1 .648 Mississippi State Iowa 26-19 .045 .363 .127 .114 .218 .069 .043 .021
W 28-23 Lose 1/1 .546 Ohio State Washington 28-27 .030 .268 .122 .125 .273 .092 .059 .030
L 24-27 Win 1/1 .567 Penn State Kentucky 23-21 .030 .289 .124 .124 .262 .087 .056 .028
    1/7 .765 Alabama Clemson 34-22 .105 .453 .120 .087 .151 .044 .027 .013

 

 

Week 14/15 Game Projections and Results

 

Result ATS Date WL Projected Winner Projected Loser PF DW SW MW NW NL ML SL DL
L 29-30 Lose 11/30 .637 Buffalo Northern Illinois 25-20 .041 .353 .127 .116 .224 .072 .045 .022
W 10-3 Win 11/30 .699 Washington Utah 29-21 .066 .404 .125 .104 .189 .058 .036 .018
W 35-28 Win 12/1 .637 Alabama Georgia 34-29 .041 .353 .127 .116 .224 .072 .045 .022
W 30-19 Lose 12/1 .974 Appalachian State Louisiana Lafayette 44-16 .288 .580 .083 .023 .022 .002 .001 .001
W 56-41 Win 12/1 .965 Central Florida Memphis 46-19 .279 .575 .085 .026 .028 .004 .002 .001
W 42-10 Lose 12/1 .926 Clemson Pittsburgh 38-15 .240 .554 .093 .039 .053 .011 .007 .003
W 19-16 Win 12/1 .524 Fresno State Boise State 27-26 .032 .247 .119 .126 .285 .098 .063 .032
L 20-41 Lose 12/1 .639 Marshall Virginia Tech 26-21 .042 .355 .127 .115 .223 .071 .045 .022
L 25-27 Lose 12/1 .583 Middle Tennessee UAB 25-22 .031 .304 .125 .123 .253 .084 .053 .027
W 58-3 Lose 12/1 .909 North Carolina State East Carolina 38-17 .224 .545 .096 .044 .064 .014 .009 .004
W 45-24 Lose 12/1 .794 Ohio State Northwestern 32-19 .125 .473 .116 .080 .134 .038 .023 .011
W 39-27 Win 12/1 .776 Oklahoma Texas 41-29 .112 .461 .118 .085 .145 .041 .026 .012
W 28-3 Win 12/1 .926 South Carolina Akron 37-15 .240 .554 .093 .039 .053 .011 .007 .003
W 23-13 Win 12/1 .647 Stanford California 26-21 .045 .362 .127 .114 .218 .069 .044 .021
W 17-10 Push 12/8 .979 Army Navy 48-19 .293 .582 .082 .021 .019 .002 .001 .000

 

 

Week 13 Game Projections

 

Result ATS Date WL Projected Winner Projected Loser PF DW SW MW NW NL ML SL DL
W 42-21 Win 11/20 .884 Miami (OH) Ball State 36-17 .200 .530 .101 .053 .079 .019 .012 .005
L 21-28 Win 11/20 .669 Northern Illinois Western Michigan 28-22 .053 .380 .127 .110 .206 .064 .040 .020
W 27-19 Lose 11/22 .913 Air Force Colorado State 40-18 .227 .547 .095 .043 .061 .014 .008 .004
W 35-3 Win 11/22 .828 Mississippi State Mississippi 35-20 .152 .496 .111 .070 .114 .031 .019 .009
W 44-14 Win 11/23 .907 Buffalo Bowling Green 40-19 .222 .544 .097 .045 .065 .015 .009 .004
W 38-10 Win 11/23 .981 Central Florida South Florida 44-15 .296 .584 .081 .020 .017 .001 .001 .000
W 56-6 Win 11/23 .921 Cincinnati East Carolina 35-13 .235 .552 .094 .041 .056 .012 .007 .003
L 28-31 Lose 11/23 .527 Coastal Carolina South Alabama 32-31 .032 .250 .119 .126 .283 .097 .062 .031
W 28-20 Lose 11/23 .862 Eastern Michigan Kent State 34-16 .180 .517 .105 .060 .093 .024 .015 .007
L 31-52 Lose 11/23 .636 Houston Memphis 36-31 .041 .352 .127 .116 .225 .072 .045 .022
W 31-28 Lose 11/23 .829 Iowa Nebraska 32-17 .152 .496 .111 .070 .113 .031 .019 .009
W 38-0 Win 11/23 .987 Missouri Arkansas 42-12 .303 .587 .080 .018 .012 .000 .000 .000
W 49-28 Lose 11/23 .976 Ohio Akron 40-12 .290 .581 .082 .022 .021 .002 .001 .000
W 59-56 Push 11/23 .707 Oklahoma West Virginia 40-31 .070 .410 .125 .102 .185 .056 .035 .017
W 55-15 Win 11/23 .887 Oregon Oregon State 41-22 .203 .532 .101 .052 .077 .019 .011 .005
W 24-17 Lose 11/23 .939 Texas Kansas 39-15 .253 .561 .090 .035 .045 .009 .005 .002
W 51-13 Lose 11/23 .733 Toledo Central Michigan 30-20 .084 .430 .123 .096 .170 .051 .031 .015
L 31-34 Lose 11/23 .756 Virginia Virginia Tech 32-21 .098 .446 .121 .090 .157 .046 .028 .014
L 15-28 Win 11/23 .530 Washington State Washington 29-28 .031 .254 .120 .126 .281 .096 .062 .031
W 52-21 Win 11/24 .969 Alabama Auburn 39-12 .283 .577 .084 .025 .026 .003 .002 .001
W 21-10 Lose 11/24 .796 Appalachian State Troy 31-18 .127 .475 .116 .079 .133 .037 .023 .011
W 41-40 Lose 11/24 .653 Arizona State Arizona 30-24 .046 .366 .127 .113 .216 .068 .043 .021
W 33-7 Lose 11/24 .699 Arkansas State Texas State 28-20 .066 .404 .126 .104 .190 .058 .036 .018
W 33-24 Lose 11/24 .562 Boise State Utah State 29-27 .030 .284 .123 .124 .265 .089 .057 .028
L 21-42 Win 11/24 .528 Boston College Syracuse 25-24 .032 .252 .119 .126 .282 .096 .062 .031
W 33-21 Lose 11/24 .638 California Colorado 24-19 .042 .354 .127 .115 .224 .071 .045 .022
W 56-35 Win 11/24 .913 Clemson South Carolina 38-16 .228 .547 .095 .043 .061 .014 .008 .004
L 7-59 Lose 11/24 .907 Duke Wake Forest 37-15 .222 .544 .097 .045 .065 .015 .009 .004
W 41-14 Win 11/24 .869 Florida Florida State 33-15 .187 .521 .104 .057 .088 .022 .014 .006
L 24-27 Win 11/24 .793 Florida Atlantic Charlotte 33-20 .125 .473 .116 .080 .135 .038 .023 .011
W 31-13 Lose 11/24 .990 Fresno State San Jose State 43-6 .305 .588 .079 .017 .010 .000 .000 .000
W 45-21 Win 11/24 .947 Georgia Georgia Tech 45-21 .260 .566 .089 .032 .040 .007 .004 .002
W 35-14 Win 11/24 .872 Georgia Southern Georgia State 40-22 .189 .523 .103 .056 .087 .022 .013 .006
W 42-38 Lose 11/24 .873 Iowa State Kansas State 33-15 .190 .523 .103 .056 .086 .022 .013 .006
W 56-10 Win 11/24 .990 Kentucky Louisville 43-7 .305 .588 .079 .017 .010 .000 .000 .000
W 28-21 Push 11/24 .755 Liberty New Mexico State 34-23 .098 .446 .121 .090 .157 .046 .028 .014
L 28-31 Lose 11/24 .693 Louisiana Monroe Louisiana Lafayette 37-29 .063 .399 .126 .105 .193 .059 .037 .018
L 15-30 Win 11/24 .705 Louisiana Tech Western Kentucky 28-20 .069 .408 .125 .102 .186 .057 .035 .017
L 72-74 Win 11/24 .709 LSU Texas A&M 27-19 .071 .411 .125 .101 .184 .056 .035 .017
W 28-25 Win 11/24 .590 Marshall Florida International 28-25 .032 .310 .126 .122 .250 .082 .052 .026
W 24-3 Lose 11/24 .638 Miami Pittsburgh 29-24 .042 .354 .127 .115 .224 .071 .045 .022
L 39-62 Lose 11/24 .644 Michigan Ohio State 29-24 .044 .359 .127 .114 .220 .070 .044 .022
W 14-10 Lose 11/24 .990 Michigan State Rutgers 38-3 .305 .588 .079 .017 .010 .000 .000 .000
L 29-34 Win 11/24 .767 Nevada UNLV 33-21 .106 .455 .119 .087 .150 .043 .027 .013
W 34-28 Lose 11/24 .786 North Carolina State North Carolina 34-21 .119 .468 .117 .082 .139 .039 .024 .012
W 24-21 Lose 11/24 .990 North Texas UTSA 38-6 .305 .588 .079 .017 .010 .000 .000 .000
W 24-16 Lose 11/24 .990 Northwestern Illinois 41-10 .305 .588 .079 .017 .010 .000 .000 .000
W 24-17 Lose 11/24 .929 Notre Dame USC 37-13 .243 .556 .092 .038 .051 .011 .006 .003
L 24-31 Lose 11/24 .664 Oklahoma State TCU 30-24 .051 .376 .127 .111 .209 .066 .041 .020
L 13-27 Lose 11/24 .741 Old Dominion Rice 34-24 .090 .436 .122 .094 .165 .049 .030 .015
W 38-3 Win 11/24 .862 Penn State Maryland 33-16 .181 .517 .105 .059 .093 .024 .014 .007
W 28-21 Win 11/24 .619 Purdue Indiana 30-26 .037 .337 .127 .118 .234 .076 .048 .024
L 30-31 Lose 11/24 .933 San Diego State Hawaii 39-15 .246 .558 .092 .037 .049 .010 .006 .003
L 24-27 Win 11/24 .547 SMU Tulsa 26-25 .030 .270 .122 .125 .272 .092 .059 .030
W 39-7 Lose 11/24 .771 Southern Mississippi UTEP 28-16 .109 .457 .119 .086 .148 .043 .026 .013
W 49-42 Push 11/24 .769 Stanford UCLA 34-22 .108 .456 .119 .086 .149 .043 .027 .013
W 57-7 Win 11/24 .990 Temple Connecticut 54-9 .305 .588 .079 .017 .010 .000 .000 .000
L 24-35 Lose 11/24 .732 Texas Tech Baylor 34-24 .084 .429 .123 .096 .171 .051 .032 .015
W 29-28 Lose 11/24 .796 Tulane Navy 35-22 .126 .474 .116 .079 .133 .037 .023 .011
L 3-27 Lose 11/24 .621 UAB Middle Tennessee 26-22 .037 .339 .127 .118 .233 .075 .047 .023
W 35-27 Lose 11/24 .881 Utah BYU 34-15 .197 .528 .102 .054 .081 .020 .012 .006
W 38-13 Win 11/24 .704 Vanderbilt Tennessee 30-21 .069 .408 .125 .102 .186 .057 .035 .017
L 15-37 Win 11/24 .751 Wisconsin Minnesota 31-21 .095 .443 .121 .091 .159 .047 .029 .014
W 31-3 Lose 11/24 .633 Wyoming New Mexico 26-22 .040 .350 .127 .116 .226 .072 .046 .023

 

 

Week 12 Game Projections and Results

 

Result ATS Date WL Projected Winner Projected Loser PF DW SW MW NW NL ML SL DL
L 41-42 Win 11/13 .695 Western Michigan Ball State 33-25 .064 .401 .126 .104 .191 .059 .037 .018
L 17-52 Lose 11/14 .606 Buffalo Ohio 32-29 .034 .325 .127 .120 .241 .079 .050 .025
W 13-7 Win 11/14 .543 Miami (OH) Northern Illinois 23-22 .030 .266 .121 .126 .275 .093 .060 .030
W 48-17 Win 11/15 .723 Houston Tulane 32-23 .079 .423 .124 .098 .175 .053 .033 .016
W 41-38 Lose 11/15 .765 North Texas Florida Atlantic 31-20 .105 .453 .120 .088 .151 .044 .027 .013
W 56-34 Win 11/15 .811 Toledo Kent State 36-22 .138 .484 .114 .075 .124 .034 .021 .010
W 45-14 Win 11/16 .948 Boise State New Mexico 40-15 .262 .566 .088 .032 .039 .007 .004 .002
W 28-18 Lose 11/16 .601 Memphis SMU 33-30 .033 .321 .126 .121 .244 .080 .050 .025
L 27-35 Lose 11/17 .734 Air Force Wyoming 30-20 .085 .431 .123 .095 .169 .050 .031 .015
L 6-21 Lose 11/17 .797 Akron Bowling Green 32-18 .127 .475 .116 .079 .132 .037 .023 .011
W 45-17 Win 11/17 .990 Appalachian State Georgia State 44-13 .305 .588 .079 .017 .010 .000 .000 .000
L 29-31 Win 11/17 .640 Arizona State Oregon 31-25 .042 .355 .127 .115 .222 .071 .045 .022
W 31-17 Win 11/17 .720 Arkansas State Louisiana Monroe 33-24 .077 .420 .124 .099 .178 .053 .033 .016
W 53-0 Lose 11/17 .926 Auburn Liberty 37-14 .240 .554 .093 .039 .053 .011 .007 .003
L 21-22 Lose 11/17 .754 Boston College Florida State 28-18 .097 .445 .121 .091 .158 .046 .029 .014
W 45-10 Lose 11/17 .902 BYU New Mexico State 37-16 .217 .541 .098 .047 .068 .016 .009 .004
W 38-13 Win 11/17 .714 Central Florida Cincinnati 32-23 .074 .416 .124 .100 .181 .055 .034 .017
W 35-6 Win 11/17 .852 Clemson Duke 33-16 .172 .511 .107 .063 .099 .026 .016 .007
W 55-21 Win 11/17 .978 East Carolina Connecticut 44-16 .292 .582 .082 .022 .019 .002 .001 .000
W 42-35 Win 11/17 .630 Florida International Charlotte 29-24 .040 .347 .127 .117 .228 .073 .046 .023
W 23-14 Lose 11/17 .792 Fresno State San Diego State 29-16 .124 .472 .116 .080 .135 .038 .024 .011
W 66-27 Lose 11/17 .990 Georgia Massachusetts 59-6 .305 .588 .079 .017 .010 .000 .000 .000
W 41-17 Win 11/17 .798 Georgia Southern Coastal Carolina 37-23 .128 .476 .115 .078 .131 .037 .023 .011
W 30-27 Win 11/17 .633 Georgia Tech Virginia 33-28 .040 .349 .127 .116 .227 .072 .046 .023
W 63-0 Win 11/17 .990 Iowa Illinois 42-11 .305 .588 .079 .017 .010 .000 .000 .000
L 10-24 Lose 11/17 .538 Iowa State Texas 27-26 .031 .261 .121 .126 .277 .094 .060 .030
W 34-23 Lose 11/17 .886 Kentucky Middle Tennessee 31-12 .202 .531 .101 .052 .078 .019 .011 .005
W 48-38 Win 11/17 .737 Louisiana Lafayette South Alabama 38-28 .087 .432 .123 .095 .168 .050 .031 .015
W 42-10 Lose 11/17 .990 LSU Rice 45-0 .305 .588 .079 .017 .010 .000 .000 .000
W 23-0 Lose 11/17 .976 Marshall UTSA 36-8 .290 .581 .082 .022 .021 .002 .001 .000
W 38-14 Win 11/17 .799 Miami Virginia Tech 31-18 .129 .476 .115 .078 .131 .037 .023 .011
W 31-20 Win 11/17 .957 Michigan Indiana 39-13 .271 .571 .086 .029 .033 .005 .003 .001
L 6-9 Lose 11/17 .837 Michigan State Nebraska 32-16 .159 .502 .109 .067 .108 .029 .018 .008
W 52-6 Win 11/17 .953 Mississippi State Arkansas 35-10 .267 .569 .087 .030 .036 .006 .003 .002
W 50-17 Win 11/17 .883 Missouri Tennessee 36-17 .199 .529 .101 .053 .080 .020 .012 .006
W 21-12 Lose 11/17 .873 Nevada San Jose State 35-16 .190 .523 .103 .056 .086 .022 .013 .006
W 52-10 Win 11/17 .990 North Carolina State Louisville 46-14 .305 .588 .079 .017 .010 .000 .000 .000
W 24-14 Win 11/17 .717 Northwestern Minnesota 28-19 .075 .418 .124 .100 .179 .054 .034 .016
W 36-3 Win 11/17 .828 Notre Dame Syracuse 35-19 .152 .496 .111 .070 .114 .031 .019 .009
W 52-51 Lose 11/17 .864 Ohio State Maryland 35-17 .182 .518 .105 .059 .092 .023 .014 .007
W 55-40 Lose 11/17 .990 Oklahoma Kansas 51-11 .305 .588 .079 .017 .010 .000 .000 .000
W 20-7 Lose 11/17 .990 Penn State Rutgers 40-6 .305 .588 .079 .017 .010 .000 .000 .000
W 34-13 Win 11/17 .750 Pittsburgh Wake Forest 34-24 .095 .442 .121 .092 .160 .047 .029 .014
L 44-47 Lose 11/17 .677 Purdue Wisconsin 30-23 .056 .386 .127 .108 .202 .063 .039 .019
W 21-20 Lose 11/17 .710 Southern Mississippi Louisiana Tech 25-16 .072 .413 .125 .101 .183 .055 .035 .017
W 16-9 Win 11/17 .605 TCU Baylor 28-25 .034 .324 .127 .120 .242 .079 .050 .025
W 27-17 Lose 11/17 .901 Temple South Florida 38-17 .215 .540 .098 .047 .069 .016 .010 .004
W 41-20 Lose 11/17 .614 Texas A&M UAB 26-22 .036 .333 .127 .119 .237 .077 .049 .024
L 6-21 Lose 11/17 .804 Texas Tech Kansas State 36-22 .133 .480 .115 .077 .128 .036 .022 .010
W 12-7 Win 11/17 .897 Troy Texas State 35-15 .212 .538 .099 .049 .072 .017 .010 .005
L 29-37 Lose 11/17 .715 Tulsa Navy 33-24 .075 .417 .124 .100 .180 .054 .034 .016
L 28-35 Lose 11/17 .626 UNLV Hawaii 34-29 .038 .343 .127 .117 .230 .074 .047 .023
L 27-34 Lose 11/17 .636 USC UCLA 28-23 .041 .352 .127 .116 .225 .072 .045 .022
W 30-7 Win 11/17 .756 Utah Colorado 32-21 .099 .446 .121 .090 .157 .046 .028 .014
W 29-24 Lose 11/17 .990 Utah State Colorado State 47-10 .305 .588 .079 .017 .010 .000 .000 .000
W 36-29 n/a 11/17 .590 Vanderbilt Mississippi 31-28 .032 .311 .126 .122 .250 .082 .052 .026
W 42-23 Lose 11/17 .990 Washington Oregon State 50-10 .305 .588 .079 .017 .010 .000 .000 .000
W 69-28 Win 11/17 .869 Washington State Arizona 37-19 .186 .521 .104 .057 .089 .022 .014 .006
L 41-45 Lose 11/17 .760 West Virginia Oklahoma State 37-26 .101 .449 .120 .089 .154 .045 .028 .013
W 40-16 Lose 11/17 .553 Western Kentucky UTEP 25-24 .030 .276 .123 .125 .269 .091 .058 .029

 

 

Week 11 Game Projections and Results

 

Result ATS Date WL Projected Winner Projected Loser PF DW SW MW NW NL ML SL DL
W 48-14 Win 11/6 .990 Buffalo Kent State 43-12 .305 .588 .079 .017 .010 .000 .000 .000
W 38-15 Win 11/7 .662 Northern Illinois Toledo 28-22 .050 .374 .127 .111 .210 .066 .041 .020
L 28-30 Lose 11/7 .699 Ohio Miami (OH) 35-27 .066 .404 .126 .104 .189 .058 .036 .018
L 23-27 Lose 11/8 .981 North Carolina State Wake Forest 44-15 .296 .584 .081 .020 .017 .001 .001 .000
L 17-24 Lose 11/9 .695 Fresno State Boise State 31-23 .064 .401 .126 .104 .191 .059 .037 .018
W 54-23 Win 11/9 .990 Syracuse Louisville 47-11 .305 .588 .079 .017 .010 .000 .000 .000
W 42-24 Lose 11/10 .784 Air Force New Mexico 34-22 .118 .466 .117 .083 .140 .040 .025 .012
W 24-0 Lose 11/10 .874 Alabama Mississippi State 36-18 .191 .524 .103 .056 .086 .021 .013 .006
W 38-7 Win 11/10 .900 Appalachian State Texas State 33-13 .215 .539 .098 .048 .070 .016 .010 .005
W 31-28 Lose 11/10 .850 Arizona State UCLA 36-19 .170 .509 .107 .063 .100 .026 .016 .008
W 44-16 Lose 11/10 .590 Arkansas State Coastal Carolina 31-28 .032 .311 .126 .122 .250 .082 .052 .026
W 35-16 Lose 11/10 .784 BYU Massachusetts 35-23 .118 .466 .117 .083 .140 .040 .025 .012
W 35-24 Lose 11/10 .990 Central Florida Navy 54-10 .305 .588 .079 .017 .010 .000 .000 .000
L 13-24 Lose 11/10 .801 Central Michigan Bowling Green 32-19 .131 .478 .115 .078 .130 .036 .022 .011
W 35-23 Lose 11/10 .944 Cincinnati South Florida 37-12 .258 .564 .089 .033 .042 .008 .004 .002
W 27-7 Win 11/10 .866 Clemson Boston College 34-16 .184 .519 .104 .058 .090 .023 .014 .007
W 42-35 Lose 11/10 .933 Duke North Carolina 36-13 .247 .558 .091 .037 .049 .010 .006 .003
W 27-7 Win 11/10 .765 Eastern Michigan Akron 27-15 .105 .453 .120 .087 .151 .044 .027 .013
W 35-31 Win 11/10 .579 Florida South Carolina 28-26 .030 .301 .125 .123 .255 .085 .054 .027
W 34-15 Lose 11/10 .800 Florida Atlantic Western Kentucky 32-19 .129 .477 .115 .078 .131 .037 .022 .011
W 45-7 Win 11/10 .843 Florida International UTSA 35-19 .164 .505 .108 .065 .104 .028 .017 .008
W 27-10 Win 11/10 .892 Georgia Auburn 35-15 .207 .535 .100 .050 .075 .018 .011 .005
L 21-35 Lose 11/10 .554 Georgia Southern Troy 27-26 .030 .277 .123 .125 .269 .090 .058 .029
W 34-32 Win 11/10 .609 Indiana Maryland 28-24 .034 .328 .127 .120 .240 .078 .049 .024
L 10-14 Win 11/10 .718 Iowa Northwestern 27-18 .076 .419 .124 .099 .178 .054 .033 .016
W 28-14 Lose 11/10 .955 Iowa State Baylor 39-13 .269 .570 .087 .029 .034 .006 .003 .001
W 21-17 Win 11/10 .634 Kansas State Kansas 27-23 .040 .350 .127 .116 .226 .072 .046 .022
L 7-24 Lose 11/10 .915 Kentucky Tennessee 33-11 .229 .548 .095 .043 .060 .013 .008 .004
W 36-22 Lose 11/10 .563 Louisiana Lafayette Georgia State 36-35 .030 .286 .124 .124 .264 .088 .056 .028
W 38-10 Lose 11/10 .636 Louisiana Monroe South Alabama 32-27 .041 .352 .127 .116 .225 .072 .045 .022
W 28-13 Win 11/10 .887 Louisiana Tech Rice 35-16 .203 .532 .101 .052 .078 .019 .011 .005
W 24-17 Lose 11/10 .956 LSU Arkansas 36-10 .269 .570 .087 .029 .034 .006 .003 .001
W 30-13 Win 11/10 .805 Marshall Charlotte 29-15 .134 .481 .114 .076 .127 .035 .022 .010
W 47-21 Lose 11/10 .585 Memphis Tulsa 31-28 .031 .306 .125 .123 .253 .083 .053 .026
L 21-27 Lose 11/10 .537 Miami Georgia Tech 28-27 .031 .260 .120 .126 .278 .094 .061 .030
W 42-7 Lose 11/10 .990 Michigan Rutgers 44-0 .305 .588 .079 .017 .010 .000 .000 .000
L 6-26 Lose 11/10 .656 Michigan State Ohio State 28-22 .047 .369 .127 .112 .214 .067 .042 .021
W 48-32 Lose 11/10 .632 Middle Tennessee UTEP 26-22 .040 .348 .127 .116 .227 .073 .046 .023
W 33-28 Lose 11/10 .885 Missouri Vanderbilt 36-17 .201 .530 .101 .052 .079 .019 .012 .005
W 54-35 Win 11/10 .888 Nebraska Illinois 39-20 .204 .532 .100 .051 .077 .019 .011 .005
W 49-10 Win 11/10 .871 Nevada Colorado State 35-17 .189 .522 .104 .057 .087 .022 .013 .006
L 31-34 Lose 11/10 .953 North Texas Old Dominion 40-14 .267 .569 .087 .030 .036 .006 .003 .002
W 42-13 Win 11/10 .984 Notre Dame Florida State 38-9 .299 .585 .080 .020 .015 .001 .000 .000
W 48-47 Lose 11/10 .977 Oklahoma Oklahoma State 50-21 .292 .582 .082 .022 .020 .002 .001 .000
W 22-10 Win 11/10 .739 Penn State Wisconsin 30-20 .088 .434 .122 .094 .166 .049 .031 .015
W 52-22 Win 11/10 .663 Pittsburgh Virginia Tech 31-24 .050 .375 .127 .111 .210 .066 .041 .020
L 10-41 Lose 11/10 .913 Purdue Minnesota 38-16 .228 .547 .095 .043 .061 .014 .008 .004
L 24-27 n/a 11/10 .930 San Diego State UNLV 37-13 .244 .557 .092 .038 .050 .010 .006 .003
W 62-50 Lose 11/10 .967 SMU Connecticut 43-15 .281 .576 .084 .025 .027 .003 .002 .001
W 48-17 Win 11/10 .967 Stanford Oregon State 44-17 .281 .576 .084 .025 .027 .003 .002 .001
W 59-49 Win 11/10 .621 Temple Houston 30-26 .037 .339 .127 .118 .233 .075 .047 .023
W 38-24 Lose 11/10 .614 Texas A&M Mississippi 31-27 .036 .332 .127 .119 .237 .077 .049 .024
L 34-41 Lose 11/10 .547 Texas Tech Texas 30-29 .030 .270 .122 .125 .273 .092 .059 .030
W 24-18 Win 11/10 .631 Tulane East Carolina 27-22 .040 .347 .127 .117 .228 .073 .046 .023
W 26-23 Win 11/10 .780 UAB Southern Mississippi 27-15 .115 .463 .118 .084 .142 .041 .025 .012
L 14-15 Win 11/10 .582 USC California 23-21 .031 .303 .125 .123 .254 .084 .053 .027
W 32-25 Win 11/10 .781 Utah Oregon 33-21 .116 .465 .118 .083 .141 .040 .025 .012
W 62-24 Win 11/10 .990 Utah State San Jose State 43-10 .305 .588 .079 .017 .010 .000 .000 .000
W 45-24 Win 11/10 .846 Virginia Liberty 35-18 .166 .507 .108 .064 .103 .027 .017 .008
W 31-7 Win 11/10 .771 Washington State Colorado 36-24 .109 .457 .119 .086 .147 .042 .026 .013
W 47-10 Win 11/10 .843 West Virginia TCU 34-18 .164 .505 .108 .065 .104 .028 .017 .008

 

 

Week 10 Game Projections and Results

 

Result ATS Date WL Projected Winner Projected Loser PF DW SW MW NW NL ML SL DL
W 51-42 Win 10/30 .782 Buffalo Miami (OH) 31-19 .117 .465 .117 .083 .141 .040 .025 .012
W 35-28 Win 10/30 .569 Kent State Bowling Green 32-30 .030 .291 .124 .124 .261 .087 .055 .028
W 45-13 Lose 10/31 .781 Toledo Ball State 36-23 .116 .464 .118 .083 .142 .040 .025 .012
W 52-40 Lose 11/1 .702 Central Florida Temple 30-22 .067 .406 .125 .103 .188 .057 .036 .017
W 36-26 Win 11/1 .670 Northern Illinois Akron 21-14 .053 .380 .127 .110 .206 .064 .040 .020
W 59-14 Win 11/1 .709 Ohio Western Michigan 38-29 .071 .412 .125 .101 .184 .056 .035 .017
L 34-42 Lose 11/2 .547 Colorado Arizona 25-24 .030 .270 .122 .125 .272 .092 .059 .030
W 29-10 Lose 11/2 .686 Middle Tennessee Western Kentucky 29-22 .060 .393 .126 .106 .197 .061 .038 .019
L 13-23 Lose 11/2 .809 Virginia Pittsburgh 34-20 .137 .483 .114 .075 .125 .035 .021 .010
W 29-0 Lose 11/3 .613 Alabama LSU 30-26 .035 .332 .127 .119 .237 .077 .049 .024
W 23-7 Win 11/3 .924 Appalachian State Coastal Carolina 42-19 .238 .553 .093 .040 .054 .011 .007 .003
W 38-14 Lose 11/3 .731 Arkansas State South Alabama 34-24 .084 .429 .123 .096 .171 .051 .032 .015
W 17-14 Lose 11/3 .887 Army Air Force 42-22 .203 .532 .101 .052 .078 .019 .011 .005
W 28-24 Win 11/3 .724 Auburn Texas A&M 26-17 .079 .423 .124 .098 .175 .053 .033 .016
W 21-16 Lose 11/3 .890 Boise State BYU 37-17 .206 .534 .100 .051 .076 .018 .011 .005
W 31-21 Win 11/3 .720 Boston College Virginia Tech 30-21 .077 .420 .124 .099 .177 .053 .033 .016
W 42-0 Win 11/3 .977 Cincinnati Navy 40-12 .291 .581 .082 .022 .020 .002 .001 .000
W 77-16 Win 11/3 .990 Clemson Louisville 56-0 .305 .588 .079 .017 .010 .000 .000 .000
L 41-59 Lose 11/3 .551 East Carolina Memphis 29-28 .030 .274 .122 .125 .270 .091 .058 .029
W 17-7 Lose 11/3 .817 Eastern Michigan Central Michigan 30-15 .143 .488 .113 .073 .120 .033 .020 .010
L 17-38 Win 11/3 .624 Florida Missouri 28-23 .038 .341 .127 .118 .231 .074 .047 .023
L 14-49 Lose 11/3 .727 Florida International Florida Atlantic 33-24 .081 .425 .123 .097 .173 .052 .032 .016
W 48-3 Win 11/3 .985 Fresno State UNLV 43-13 .300 .586 .080 .019 .014 .001 .000 .000
W 34-17 Lose 11/3 .696 Georgia Kentucky 27-20 .064 .401 .126 .104 .191 .059 .037 .018
L 25-44 Lose 11/3 .968 Georgia Southern Louisiana Monroe 41-14 .282 .577 .084 .025 .026 .003 .002 .001
W 38-28 Win 11/3 .778 Georgia Tech North Carolina 36-24 .114 .462 .118 .084 .144 .041 .025 .012
L 31-45 Lose 11/3 .913 Houston SMU 38-16 .228 .547 .095 .043 .061 .014 .008 .004
L 36-38 Lose 11/3 .548 Iowa Purdue 24-23 .030 .271 .122 .125 .272 .092 .059 .030
W 27-3 Win 11/3 .963 Iowa State Kansas 36-10 .277 .575 .085 .027 .029 .004 .002 .001
L 59-62 Lose 11/3 .754 Liberty Massachusetts 36-25 .097 .445 .121 .090 .158 .046 .029 .014
L 12-20 Win 11/3 .546 Miami Duke 25-24 .030 .269 .122 .125 .273 .092 .059 .030
W 42-7 Lose 11/3 .681 Michigan Penn State 27-20 .058 .389 .126 .107 .200 .062 .039 .019
W 24-3 Win 11/3 .854 Michigan State Maryland 31-14 .174 .512 .107 .062 .098 .025 .015 .007
L 31-55 Lose 11/3 .930 Minnesota Illinois 40-17 .244 .557 .092 .038 .050 .010 .006 .003
W 45-3 Lose 11/3 .913 Mississippi State Louisiana Tech 33-11 .228 .547 .095 .043 .061 .014 .008 .004
W 47-28 Win 11/3 .918 North Carolina State Florida State 36-13 .232 .550 .094 .042 .058 .013 .008 .003
W 31-21 Push 11/3 .672 Notre Dame Northwestern 26-20 .054 .382 .127 .109 .205 .064 .040 .020
W 36-31 Lose 11/3 .912 Ohio State Nebraska 40-19 .227 .547 .096 .043 .062 .014 .008 .004
W 51-46 n/a 11/3 .810 Oklahoma Texas Tech 40-26 .138 .484 .114 .075 .124 .034 .021 .010
L 31-35 Lose 11/3 .753 Oklahoma State Baylor 37-26 .097 .445 .121 .091 .158 .046 .029 .014
W 42-21 Lose 11/3 .739 Oregon UCLA 33-23 .088 .434 .122 .094 .166 .049 .031 .015
W 31-23 Lose 11/3 .897 San Diego State New Mexico 34-13 .213 .538 .099 .048 .071 .017 .010 .005
W 48-44 Win 11/3 .684 South Carolina Mississippi 34-27 .059 .392 .126 .107 .198 .061 .038 .019
L 15-41 Win 11/3 .596 South Florida Tulane 28-25 .032 .316 .126 .121 .246 .081 .051 .025
W 26-24 Win 11/3 .531 Southern Mississippi Marshall 21-20 .031 .254 .120 .126 .281 .096 .061 .031
W 41-24 Win 11/3 .893 Syracuse Wake Forest 38-18 .208 .535 .100 .050 .074 .018 .011 .005
W 14-13 Lose 11/3 .789 TCU Kansas State 33-20 .122 .470 .117 .081 .137 .039 .024 .011
W 14-3 Win 11/3 .802 Tennessee Charlotte 33-20 .132 .479 .115 .077 .129 .036 .022 .011
W 40-31 Win 11/3 .563 Texas State Georgia State 28-26 .030 .285 .124 .124 .264 .088 .056 .028
W 26-16 Win 11/3 .888 Troy Louisiana Lafayette 43-23 .204 .533 .100 .051 .077 .019 .011 .005
W 49-19 Win 11/3 .977 Tulsa Connecticut 42-13 .291 .582 .082 .022 .020 .002 .001 .000
W 52-3 Win 11/3 .990 UAB UTSA 38-6 .305 .588 .079 .017 .010 .000 .000 .000
W 38-21 Win 11/3 .841 USC Oregon State 38-21 .162 .504 .109 .066 .106 .028 .017 .008
L 20-38 Lose 11/3 .727 Utah Arizona State 30-20 .081 .425 .123 .097 .173 .052 .032 .016
W 56-17 Win 11/3 .928 Utah State Hawaii 42-19 .242 .555 .092 .038 .052 .011 .006 .003
W 34-26 Win 11/3 .715 UTEP Rice 30-21 .074 .416 .124 .100 .180 .054 .034 .016
W 27-23 Lose 11/3 .801 Washington Stanford 32-19 .131 .478 .115 .078 .130 .036 .022 .011
W 19-13 Lose 11/3 .875 Washington State California 35-17 .192 .525 .103 .055 .085 .021 .013 .006
W 42-41 Push 11/3 .596 West Virginia Texas 29-26 .032 .317 .126 .121 .246 .081 .051 .025
W 31-17 Win 11/3 .969 Wisconsin Rutgers 38-11 .283 .578 .084 .025 .025 .003 .002 .001
W 24-9 Win 11/3 .702 Wyoming San Jose State 27-19 .068 .406 .125 .103 .188 .057 .036 .017

 

 

Week 9 Game Projections and Results

 

Result ATS Date WL Projected Winner Projected Loser PF DW SW MW NW NL ML SL DL
L 14-34 Lose 10/25 .739 Appalachian State Georgia Southern 34-22 .201 .219 .193 .127 .181 .044 .025 .011
W 52-14 Win 10/25 .875 Ohio Ball State 38-22 .253 .260 .222 .139 .088 .021 .012 .005
L 28-49 Lose 10/25 .728 Virginia Tech Georgia Tech 31-26 .110 .179 .228 .212 .170 .053 .033 .016
W 58-14 Win 10/25 .900 West Virginia Baylor 37-20 .297 .267 .215 .121 .073 .015 .008 .003
L 24-51 Lose 10/25 .804 Western Michigan Toledo 36-26 .167 .228 .230 .179 .129 .036 .021 .010
L 31-38 Lose 10/26 .599 Indiana Minnesota 29-24 .104 .159 .181 .155 .256 .076 .047 .022
W 21-13 Win 10/26 .695 Louisiana Tech Florida Atlantic 29-21 .164 .202 .191 .138 .205 .054 .032 .014
L 14-27 Lose 10/26 .704 Miami Boston College 29-20 .171 .206 .192 .136 .200 .052 .030 .013
W 41-10 Win 10/26 .860 Utah UCLA 33-16 .354 .248 .180 .078 .109 .018 .009 .003
W 34-21 Lose 10/26 .531 Wyoming Colorado State 25-22 .076 .125 .169 .162 .291 .092 .058 .028
W 17-10 Lose 10/27 .633 Akron Central Michigan 22-20 .071 .098 .216 .247 .219 .076 .048 .024
L 31-45 Lose 10/27 .531 Arkansas Vanderbilt 24-23 .061 .004 .191 .275 .270 .100 .065 .034
L 43-47 Lose 10/27 .751 Arkansas State Louisiana Lafayette 37-26 .212 .223 .193 .123 .174 .041 .023 .010
W 37-22 Win 10/27 .600 Army Eastern Michigan 32-25 .105 .160 .181 .155 .256 .076 .046 .022
W 48-38 Push 10/27 .700 Boise State Air Force 32-21 .167 .204 .191 .137 .203 .053 .031 .014
W 26-20 Lose 10/27 .964 Cincinnati SMU 37-8 .619 .214 .125 .007 .035 .000 .000 .001
W 59-10 Win 10/27 .959 Clemson Florida State 36-6 .606 .222 .131 .001 .039 .001 .000 .001
W 37-34 Lose 10/27 .502 Coastal Carolina Georgia State 34-32 .066 .109 .163 .163 .305 .099 .063 .031
L 34-41 Lose 10/27 .989 Colorado Oregon State 48-15 .593 .239 .146 .011 .011 .001 .000 .000
L 45-54 Lose 10/27 .898 Duke Pittsburgh 34-14 .427 .247 .169 .055 .085 .011 .005 .001
W 38-17 Win 10/27 .552 Florida International Western Kentucky 30-24 .083 .136 .173 .160 .280 .087 .054 .026
W 50-20 Win 10/27 .982 Fresno State Hawaii 44-13 .552 .249 .157 .025 .016 .001 .000 .000
W 36-17 Lose 10/27 .571 Georgia Florida 29-23 .070 .112 .189 .199 .260 .087 .055 .027
W 57-36 Win 10/27 .870 Houston South Florida 36-20 .247 .259 .223 .142 .091 .021 .012 .005
W 40-31 Lose 10/27 .674 Iowa State Texas Tech 29-24 .084 .135 .222 .232 .198 .066 .042 .021
W 15-14 Win 10/27 .614 Kentucky Missouri 26-23 .112 .166 .183 .153 .249 .073 .044 .021
W 63-33 Win 10/27 .907 Maryland Illinois 36-16 .310 .269 .212 .116 .069 .014 .008 .003
W 22-17 Win 10/27 .707 Massachusetts Connecticut 41-30 .173 .207 .192 .135 .199 .051 .030 .013
W 23-13 Win 10/27 .586 Michigan State Purdue 24-23 .064 .054 .207 .262 .242 .087 .056 .028
W 28-13 Win 10/27 .790 Mississippi State Texas A&M 27-17 .154 .220 .230 .185 .137 .039 .023 .011
L 41-51 Lose 10/27 .690 North Carolina State Syracuse 32-21 .160 .200 .191 .139 .208 .055 .032 .014
W 41-17 Lose 10/27 .990 North Texas Rice 45-6 .676 .184 .100 .030 .009 .001 .000 .000
W 7-6 Win 10/27 .647 Northern Illinois BYU 26-20 .131 .182 .187 .148 .231 .065 .039 .018
W 31-17 Win 10/27 .606 Northwestern Wisconsin 24-23 .066 .071 .211 .258 .232 .082 .053 .027
W 44-22 Win 10/27 .990 Notre Dame Navy 46-9 .673 .186 .102 .028 .009 .001 .000 .000
W 51-14 Win 10/27 .983 Oklahoma Kansas State 48-18 .560 .247 .155 .022 .015 .001 .000 .000
L 17-51 Lose 10/27 .698 Old Dominion Middle Tennessee 29-26 .094 .156 .225 .223 .186 .060 .038 .018
L 15-44 Lose 10/27 .725 Oregon Arizona 33-21 .188 .214 .192 .131 .189 .047 .027 .012
W 30-24 Lose 10/27 .509 Penn State Iowa 24-23 .056 .029 .167 .257 .281 .106 .069 .036
L 24-28 Lose 10/27 .712 San Diego State Nevada 27-17 .177 .209 .192 .134 .196 .050 .029 .013
W 27-24 Lose 10/27 .921 South Carolina Tennessee 36-17 .341 .270 .207 .104 .059 .011 .006 .002
L 17-20 Lose 10/27 .653 Southern Mississippi Charlotte 26-19 .134 .185 .188 .147 .228 .063 .038 .017
L 26-27 Win 10/27 .713 TCU Kansas 27-16 .178 .209 .192 .134 .196 .050 .029 .013
L 35-38 Lose 10/27 .711 Texas Oklahoma State 33-24 .176 .209 .192 .135 .197 .050 .029 .013
W 27-20 Win 10/27 .763 Texas State New Mexico State 29-22 .133 .203 .230 .197 .151 .045 .027 .013
L 17-24 Lose 10/27 .794 Tulsa Tulane 27-18 .158 .222 .230 .184 .134 .038 .023 .011
W 19-0 Win 10/27 .750 UAB UTEP 32-17 .211 .223 .193 .124 .175 .042 .024 .010
L 37-50 Lose 10/27 .520 UNLV San Jose State 29-26 .072 .119 .167 .162 .297 .095 .060 .029
L 35-38 Win 10/27 .565 USC Arizona State 25-24 .062 .033 .202 .268 .253 .092 .060 .030
W 61-19 n/a 10/27 .913 Utah State New Mexico 37-17 .322 .270 .210 .111 .065 .013 .007 .003
W 31-21 Win 10/27 .961 Virginia North Carolina 36-12 .454 .265 .181 .060 .033 .004 .002 .000
W 56-35 Win 10/27 .504 Wake Forest Louisville 27-25 .067 .110 .163 .163 .305 .099 .062 .031
L 10-12 Lose 10/27 .942 Washington California 37-9 .544 .234 .146 .018 .053 .004 .001 .000
W 41-38 Win 10/27 .562 Washington State Stanford 30-26 .087 .141 .175 .159 .276 .085 .053 .025

 

 

Week 8 Game Projections and Results

 

Result ATS Date WL Projected Winner Projected Loser PF DW SW MW NW NL ML SL DL
W 24-23 Lose 10/20 .810 Akron Kent State 33-17 .278 .240 .189 .103 .141 .029 .015 .006
W 58-21 Win 10/20 .934 Alabama Tennessee 44-13 .519 .238 .151 .026 .059 .005 .002 .000
W 27-17 Lose 10/20 .990 Appalachian State Louisiana Lafayette 58-14 .764 .109 .053 .064 .007 .001 .001 .001
W 23-0 Lose 10/20 .517 Arkansas Tulsa 24-23 .057 .020 .175 .263 .277 .104 .068 .035
W 31-30 Lose 10/20 .882 Army Miami (OH) 37-20 .265 .262 .220 .135 .084 .019 .011 .004
W 31-16 Win 10/20 .700 Auburn Mississippi 30-23 .167 .204 .191 .137 .203 .053 .031 .014
W 31-17 Win 10/20 .903 Buffalo Toledo 42-20 .439 .247 .167 .051 .081 .010 .005 .001
W 49-7 Win 10/20 .701 California Oregon State 34-24 .168 .205 .191 .137 .202 .052 .031 .014
W 37-10 Win 10/20 .914 Central Florida East Carolina 41-16 .466 .244 .162 .043 .074 .008 .003 .000
L 17-24 Lose 10/20 .545 Cincinnati Temple 24-23 .081 .132 .172 .161 .284 .089 .055 .027
W 41-7 Lose 10/20 .738 Clemson North Carolina State 29-23 .115 .186 .229 .208 .165 .051 .031 .015
L 14-28 Lose 10/20 .893 Duke Virginia 31-16 .284 .266 .217 .127 .077 .017 .009 .004
W 42-20 Win 10/20 .739 Eastern Michigan Ball State 30-19 .201 .219 .193 .127 .181 .044 .025 .011
W 36-17 Win 10/20 .920 Florida International Rice 39-17 .338 .270 .207 .104 .060 .011 .006 .002
W 38-17 Win 10/20 .852 Florida State Wake Forest 29-17 .221 .251 .226 .154 .102 .025 .015 .006
W 38-7 Win 10/20 .839 Fresno State New Mexico 34-15 .320 .245 .185 .089 .123 .023 .012 .004
W 48-31 Win 10/20 .716 Georgia Southern New Mexico State 33-19 .180 .210 .192 .133 .194 .049 .029 .013
L 22-40 Win 10/20 .568 Hawaii Nevada 30-28 .062 .037 .203 .267 .251 .091 .059 .030
W 49-36 Win 10/20 .831 Houston Navy 39-19 .307 .244 .186 .093 .128 .024 .013 .005
W 23-0 Win 10/20 .915 Iowa Maryland 32-14 .327 .270 .209 .109 .063 .012 .007 .002
W 14-7 Lose 10/20 .984 Kentucky Vanderbilt 36-9 .560 .247 .154 .022 .015 .001 .000 .000
W 31-24 Win 10/20 .881 Louisiana Tech UTEP 33-15 .264 .262 .220 .135 .085 .019 .011 .004
W 19-3 Win 10/20 .851 LSU Mississippi State 29-18 .220 .251 .226 .154 .102 .025 .015 .006
W 31-7 Win 10/20 .839 Marshall Florida Atlantic 34-22 .205 .246 .228 .161 .109 .028 .016 .007
L 13-24 Lose 10/20 .656 Massachusetts Coastal Carolina 39-36 .078 .120 .220 .239 .207 .070 .044 .022
L 7-21 Lose 10/20 .654 Michigan State Michigan 24-23 .077 .118 .220 .239 .208 .071 .045 .022
W 21-13 Win 10/20 .777 Middle Tennessee Charlotte 34-24 .143 .212 .230 .191 .144 .042 .025 .012
L 28-53 Lose 10/20 .624 Minnesota Nebraska 29-21 .117 .171 .184 .152 .244 .070 .043 .020
W 65-33 Win 10/20 .890 Missouri Memphis 41-21 .279 .265 .218 .129 .079 .017 .010 .004
L 21-29 Lose 10/20 .742 North Texas UAB 29-17 .204 .220 .193 .126 .179 .043 .025 .011
W 18-15 Lose 10/20 .965 Northwestern Rutgers 37-8 .620 .213 .124 .008 .034 .000 .000 .001
W 49-14 Win 10/20 .902 Ohio Bowling Green 43-24 .300 .268 .214 .120 .072 .015 .008 .003
L 20-49 Lose 10/20 .748 Ohio State Purdue 36-22 .209 .222 .193 .124 .176 .042 .024 .010
W 52-27 Win 10/20 .866 Oklahoma TCU 39-19 .363 .248 .179 .075 .106 .017 .009 .003
W 33-28 Win 10/20 .730 Penn State Indiana 33-21 .192 .216 .192 .129 .186 .046 .026 .011
W 16-13 Lose 10/20 .990 San Diego State San Jose State 38-7 .623 .230 .137 .000 .010 .000 .000 .000
W 38-30 Lose 10/20 .990 South Florida Connecticut 52-11 .691 .171 .091 .037 .008 .002 .000 .000
W 27-17 Lose 10/20 .911 Southern Mississippi UTSA 29-11 .318 .269 .211 .113 .066 .013 .007 .003
W 40-37 Lose 10/20 .948 Syracuse North Carolina 37-15 .412 .269 .191 .076 .041 .006 .003 .001
L 14-20 Win 10/20 .675 Texas State Louisiana Monroe 29-23 .149 .194 .190 .143 .217 .058 .035 .016
W 48-16 Win 10/20 .964 Texas Tech Kansas 39-14 .464 .264 .179 .056 .031 .004 .002 .000
L 23-27 Lose 10/20 .802 Tulane SMU 32-21 .165 .226 .230 .180 .130 .036 .022 .010
W 31-30 Win 10/20 .687 UCLA Arizona 28-22 .089 .146 .224 .227 .192 .063 .040 .019
W 41-28 Lose 10/20 .657 Utah USC 25-20 .078 .121 .220 .238 .206 .070 .044 .022
W 24-16 Lose 10/20 .912 Utah State Wyoming 38-13 .461 .245 .162 .044 .075 .009 .004 .000
W 27-13 Win 10/20 .797 Washington Colorado 32-22 .161 .224 .230 .182 .133 .037 .022 .010
W 34-20 n/a 10/20 .611 Washington State Oregon 32-29 .067 .076 .212 .256 .230 .081 .052 .026
L 34-37 Win 10/20 .565 Western Kentucky Old Dominion 27-26 .062 .033 .202 .268 .253 .092 .060 .030
W 35-10 Lose 10/20 .502 Western Michigan Central Michigan 30-26 .066 .109 .163 .163 .306 .100 .063 .031
W 49-20 Win 10/20 .988 Wisconsin Illinois 44-12 .589 .240 .147 .012 .011 .001 .000 .000

 

 

Week 7 Game Projections and Results

 

Result ATS Date WL Projected Winner Projected Loser PF DW SW MW NW NL ML SL DL
W 35-9 Win 10/9 .836 Appalachian State Arkansas State 36-20 .316 .245 .185 .091 .124 .023 .012 .004
W 15-13 Win 10/11 .849 Georgia Southern Texas State 34-18 .335 .246 .183 .084 .117 .021 .010 .003
L 14-17 Win 10/11 .548 TCU Texas Tech 28-26 .061 .016 .198 .273 .261 .096 .062 .032
W 21-17 Lose 10/12 .903 San Diego State Air Force 35-14 .302 .268 .214 .119 .071 .015 .008 .003
L 24-25 Win 10/12 .574 Tulsa South Florida 27-24 .062 .043 .204 .265 .248 .090 .058 .030
W 42-10 Win 10/12 .854 Utah Arizona 31-15 .224 .252 .226 .152 .101 .025 .014 .006
W 39-10 Lose 10/13 .941 Alabama Missouri 43-19 .390 .270 .196 .084 .047 .008 .004 .001
W 52-3 Win 10/13 .912 Army San Jose State 40-18 .461 .245 .162 .044 .075 .009 .004 .000
L 24-30 Lose 10/13 .990 Auburn Tennessee 41-3 .659 .198 .111 .021 .009 .000 .000 .000
W 31-27 Lose 10/13 .926 Boise State Nevada 37-13 .497 .241 .155 .033 .065 .006 .002 .000
W 38-20 Win 10/13 .963 Boston College Louisville 40-13 .463 .264 .179 .057 .031 .004 .002 .000
W 24-6 Win 10/13 .829 Buffalo Akron 32-18 .193 .241 .229 .167 .115 .030 .018 .008
W 49-23 Lose 10/13 .718 BYU Hawaii 33-25 .104 .171 .227 .215 .175 .055 .034 .017
L 7-37 Win 10/13 .664 California UCLA 27-21 .080 .127 .221 .236 .203 .068 .043 .021
W 31-30 Lose 10/13 .816 Central Florida Memphis 43-28 .287 .241 .188 .100 .137 .027 .015 .005
L 23-24 Lose 10/13 .636 Central Michigan Ball State 26-21 .072 .101 .217 .246 .217 .075 .048 .024
L 20-45 Lose 10/13 .744 Coastal Carolina Louisiana Monroe 39-29 .119 .190 .229 .205 .162 .049 .030 .015
W 28-14 Win 10/13 .888 Duke Georgia Tech 38-19 .406 .248 .172 .062 .092 .013 .006 .001
W 28-26 Win 10/13 .942 Eastern Michigan Toledo 42-17 .392 .270 .196 .083 .046 .008 .004 .001
W 37-27 Win 10/13 .968 Florida Vanderbilt 37-8 .628 .208 .120 .012 .031 .000 .000 .001
W 24-21 Win 10/13 .785 Florida International Middle Tennessee 33-21 .150 .217 .230 .188 .140 .040 .024 .011
W 27-3 Win 10/13 .898 Fresno State Wyoming 32-12 .293 .267 .215 .123 .074 .016 .009 .003
L 16-36 Win 10/13 .554 Georgia LSU 28-26 .084 .137 .173 .160 .279 .087 .054 .026
W 42-20 Win 10/13 .871 Houston East Carolina 37-19 .373 .248 .178 .072 .103 .016 .008 .002
W 42-16 Win 10/13 .758 Iowa Indiana 29-18 .219 .225 .192 .121 .171 .040 .022 .009
W 22-16 Win 10/13 .590 Liberty Troy 29-26 .064 .057 .208 .261 .240 .086 .055 .028
W 31-3 Win 10/13 .955 Louisiana Tech UTSA 37-10 .591 .225 .135 .004 .042 .001 .000 .001
W 42-20 Lose 10/13 .561 Marshall Old Dominion 28-26 .087 .140 .174 .159 .276 .085 .053 .025
W 34-7 Win 10/13 .961 Maryland Rutgers 37-10 .454 .265 .181 .060 .032 .004 .002 .000
L 13-16 Win 10/13 .655 Miami Virginia 28-22 .135 .185 .188 .146 .227 .063 .038 .017
W 31-6 Lose 10/13 .747 Miami (OH) Kent State 32-22 .121 .192 .229 .204 .160 .049 .030 .014
W 37-33 Lose 10/13 .693 Mississippi Arkansas 32-24 .161 .201 .191 .139 .207 .054 .032 .014
L 18-20 Lose 10/13 .686 New Mexico Colorado State 32-24 .157 .199 .190 .140 .210 .056 .033 .015
L 38-66 Lose 10/13 .777 New Mexico State Louisiana Lafayette 37-25 .239 .231 .192 .115 .160 .036 .020 .008
W 30-7 Win 10/13 .884 North Texas Southern Mississippi 31-13 .268 .263 .219 .133 .083 .019 .010 .004
W 24-21 Win 10/13 .655 Northern Illinois Ohio 29-24 .077 .119 .220 .239 .208 .070 .045 .022
W 34-31 Push 10/13 .937 Northwestern Nebraska 36-12 .381 .271 .198 .088 .049 .008 .004 .001
W 19-14 Lose 10/13 .990 Notre Dame Pittsburgh 46-6 .678 .182 .099 .031 .009 .001 .000 .000
W 30-14 Lose 10/13 .990 Ohio State Minnesota 44-10 .606 .236 .142 .006 .009 .000 .000 .000
L 12-31 Lose 10/13 .848 Oklahoma State Kansas State 38-22 .334 .246 .183 .085 .117 .021 .011 .004
L 17-21 Win 10/13 .602 Penn State Michigan State 27-24 .065 .068 .210 .258 .234 .083 .053 .027
W 46-7 Win 10/13 .835 Purdue Illinois 34-19 .313 .245 .186 .091 .125 .023 .012 .004
W 24-17 Win 10/13 .887 Temple Navy 37-17 .405 .248 .173 .062 .092 .013 .006 .001
W 23-17 Lose 10/13 .955 Texas Baylor 42-15 .434 .267 .186 .067 .037 .005 .002 .001
W 26-23 Lose 10/13 .546 Texas A&M South Carolina 26-24 .081 .132 .172 .161 .284 .089 .055 .027
W 42-0 Lose 10/13 .711 UAB Rice 32-23 .176 .209 .192 .134 .197 .050 .029 .013
W 31-20 n/a 10/13 .702 USC Colorado 31-24 .096 .158 .226 .222 .184 .059 .037 .018
W 59-28 Lose 10/13 .947 Utah State UNLV 41-16 .409 .269 .192 .077 .042 .007 .003 .001
W 22-19 Lose 10/13 .943 Virginia Tech North Carolina 38-12 .549 .233 .144 .017 .052 .003 .001 .000
L 27-30 Lose 10/13 .937 Washington Oregon 39-15 .527 .237 .149 .023 .057 .004 .002 .000
L 14-30 Lose 10/13 .701 West Virginia Iowa State 30-23 .168 .205 .191 .137 .202 .052 .031 .014
L 14-40 Lose 10/13 .815 Western Kentucky Charlotte 33-19 .285 .241 .189 .100 .137 .028 .015 .006
W 42-35 Win 10/13 .688 Western Michigan Bowling Green 36-29 .158 .199 .191 .140 .209 .055 .033 .015
L 13-38 Lose 10/13 .535 Wisconsin Michigan 27-26 .077 .127 .170 .161 .289 .091 .057 .028

 

 

Week 6 Game Projections and Results

 

Result ATS Date WL Projected Winner Projected Loser PF DW SW MW NW NL ML SL DL
W 41-26 Win 10/4 0.825 Houston Tulsa 34-20 0.189 0.239 0.229 0.168 0.117 0.031 0.018 0.008
W 37-20 Push 10/4 0.894 Troy Georgia State 38-18 0.285 0.266 0.217 0.126 0.077 0.017 0.009 0.004
L 20-45 Lose 10/5 0.726 BYU Utah State 30-22 0.108 0.177 0.228 0.212 0.171 0.054 0.033 0.016
L 31-66 Lose 10/5 0.575 Louisville Georgia Tech 29-27 0.062 0.044 0.204 0.265 0.248 0.090 0.058 0.029
L 24-34 Lose 10/5 0.928 Marshall Middle Tennessee 35-12 0.356 0.271 0.204 0.097 0.055 0.010 0.005 0.002
W 35-7 Win 10/6 0.504 Air Force Navy 31-30 0.055 0.034 0.162 0.253 0.283 0.107 0.070 0.036
L 17-41 Lose 10/6 0.667 Akron Miami (OH) 26-20 0.081 0.130 0.221 0.235 0.202 0.067 0.043 0.021
W 65-31 Win 10/6 0.986 Alabama Arkansas 43-9 0.691 0.168 0.089 0.038 0.011 0.002 0.000 0.000
W 24-17 Win 10/6 0.730 Arizona California 29-21 0.111 0.180 0.228 0.211 0.169 0.053 0.033 0.016
L 21-28 Lose 10/6 0.797 Arizona State Colorado 35-22 0.262 0.237 0.190 0.108 0.148 0.031 0.017 0.007
L 9-23 Lose 10/6 0.787 Auburn Mississippi State 28-16 0.250 0.234 0.191 0.112 0.154 0.034 0.018 0.007
W 37-34 Lose 10/6 0.713 Baylor Kansas State 32-24 0.101 0.167 0.227 0.217 0.178 0.057 0.035 0.017
L 13-19 Win 10/6 0.764 Boise State San Diego State 32-21 0.133 0.204 0.230 0.197 0.151 0.045 0.027 0.013
W 34-24 Win 10/6 0.777 Buffalo Central Michigan 30-18 0.239 0.231 0.192 0.115 0.160 0.036 0.020 0.008
W 48-20 Win 10/6 0.985 Central Florida SMU 48-16 0.571 0.245 0.152 0.018 0.013 0.001 0.000 0.000
W 37-21 Win 10/6 0.825 Cincinnati Tulane 33-19 0.188 0.239 0.229 0.169 0.118 0.031 0.018 0.008
W 63-3 Win 10/6 0.952 Clemson Wake Forest 39-12 0.580 0.228 0.138 0.007 0.045 0.002 0.000 0.001
L 24-27 Win 10/6 0.638 Eastern Michigan Western Michigan 30-25 0.125 0.178 0.186 0.149 0.236 0.067 0.040 0.019
W 21-3 Lose 10/6 0.839 Fresno State Nevada 35-19 0.320 0.245 0.185 0.089 0.123 0.023 0.012 0.004
W 41-13 Win 10/6 0.990 Georgia Vanderbilt 49-6 0.721 0.145 0.074 0.050 0.003 0.005 0.000 0.001
W 48-13 n/a 10/6 0.804 Georgia Southern South Alabama 34-21 0.168 0.228 0.230 0.179 0.129 0.036 0.021 0.010
W 17-13 Win 10/6 0.584 Hawaii Wyoming 29-27 0.063 0.052 0.206 0.262 0.243 0.087 0.056 0.029
W 48-31 Win 10/6 0.807 Iowa Minnesota 26-12 0.275 0.239 0.189 0.104 0.142 0.029 0.016 0.006
L 14-20 Lose 10/6 0.590 Kentucky Texas A&M 26-23 0.100 0.155 0.179 0.156 0.261 0.078 0.048 0.023
L 41-49 Lose 10/6 0.674 Liberty New Mexico State 28-21 0.148 0.194 0.190 0.143 0.217 0.058 0.035 0.016
L 7-28 Lose 10/6 0.978 Louisiana Tech UAB 44-13 0.529 0.254 0.163 0.033 0.020 0.002 0.001 0.000
L 19-27 Lose 10/6 0.806 LSU Florida 30-16 0.273 0.239 0.190 0.104 0.143 0.029 0.016 0.006
W 55-14 Lose 10/6 0.990 Memphis Connecticut 51-17 0.604 0.236 0.143 0.007 0.009 0.000 0.000 0.000
W 28-27 Lose 10/6 0.863 Miami Florida State 30-14 0.236 0.256 0.224 0.147 0.095 0.023 0.013 0.006
W 42-21 Win 10/6 0.876 Michigan Maryland 33-15 0.255 0.261 0.221 0.139 0.088 0.020 0.011 0.005
L 19-29 Lose 10/6 0.942 Michigan State Northwestern 34-10 0.392 0.270 0.196 0.083 0.046 0.008 0.004 0.001
W 70-21 Lose 10/6 0.887 Mississippi Louisiana Monroe 39-20 0.274 0.264 0.219 0.131 0.081 0.018 0.010 0.004
W 28-23 Lose 10/6 0.820 North Carolina State Boston College 34-20 0.183 0.236 0.229 0.171 0.120 0.032 0.019 0.009
W 27-24 Lose 10/6 0.961 North Texas UTEP 39-10 0.609 0.220 0.129 0.003 0.038 0.001 0.000 0.001
W 24-16 n/a 10/6 0.573 Northern Illinois Ball State 23-20 0.092 0.146 0.177 0.158 0.270 0.082 0.051 0.024
W 45-23 Win 10/6 0.715 Notre Dame Virginia Tech 27-19 0.180 0.210 0.192 0.133 0.194 0.049 0.029 0.013
W 27-26 Win 10/6 0.711 Ohio Kent State 36-27 0.176 0.209 0.192 0.134 0.197 0.050 0.029 0.013
W 49-26 Lose 10/6 0.981 Ohio State Indiana 43-11 0.543 0.251 0.159 0.028 0.017 0.001 0.001 0.000
L 45-48 Lose 10/6 0.768 Oklahoma Texas 35-24 0.184 0.224 0.210 0.150 0.157 0.041 0.024 0.011
L 42-48 Lose 10/6 0.842 Oklahoma State Iowa State 34-19 0.209 0.247 0.227 0.159 0.107 0.027 0.016 0.007
L 33-52 Lose 10/6 0.507 Old Dominion Florida Atlantic 29-28 0.068 0.112 0.164 0.163 0.303 0.098 0.062 0.030
L 3-20 Lose 10/6 0.720 Rice UTSA 32-24 0.105 0.173 0.228 0.215 0.174 0.055 0.034 0.017
L 17-38 Lose 10/6 0.558 Rutgers Illinois 25-23 0.061 0.026 0.200 0.270 0.257 0.094 0.061 0.031
L 30-42 Lose 10/6 0.642 San Jose State Colorado State 30-25 0.074 0.107 0.218 0.244 0.214 0.073 0.047 0.023
W 37-35 Win 10/6 0.668 South Carolina Missouri 31-25 0.082 0.130 0.222 0.234 0.201 0.067 0.043 0.021
W 58-42 Win 10/6 0.839 South Florida Massachusetts 37-21 0.320 0.245 0.185 0.089 0.122 0.022 0.012 0.004
L 21-40 Lose 10/6 0.887 Stanford Utah 31-13 0.273 0.264 0.219 0.131 0.081 0.018 0.010 0.004
L 37-44 Lose 10/6 0.759 Syracuse Pittsburgh 32-21 0.220 0.226 0.192 0.121 0.170 0.039 0.022 0.009
W 49-6 Win 10/6 0.929 Temple East Carolina 37-14 0.359 0.271 0.203 0.096 0.055 0.010 0.005 0.002
L 27-42 Lose 10/6 0.835 Texas State Louisiana Lafayette 37-23 0.200 0.244 0.228 0.163 0.112 0.029 0.017 0.008
W 52-36 Win 10/6 0.723 Toledo Bowling Green 37-29 0.107 0.175 0.228 0.213 0.173 0.054 0.034 0.016
L 14-50 Lose 10/6 0.742 UNLV New Mexico 33-23 0.118 0.189 0.229 0.206 0.163 0.050 0.031 0.015
W 31-24 Lose 10/6 0.990 Washington UCLA 44-8 0.715 0.150 0.078 0.047 0.005 0.004 0.000 0.001
W 56-37 Win 10/6 0.903 Washington State Oregon State 42-21 0.438 0.247 0.167 0.051 0.081 0.010 0.005 0.001
W 38-22 n/a 10/6 0.963 West Virginia Kansas 40-13 0.461 0.264 0.180 0.057 0.031 0.004 0.002 0.000
W 41-24 Lose 10/6 0.990 Wisconsin Nebraska 43-8 0.628 0.226 0.133 0.003 0.010 0.000 0.000 0.000

 

 

Week 5 Game Projections and Results

 

Result ATS Date WL Projected Winner Projected Loser PF DW SW MW NW NL ML SL DL
W 47-10 Win 9/27 .946 Miami North Carolina 38-13 .406 .269 .193 .078 .043 .007 .003 .001
W 38-16 Lose 9/28 .544 Colorado UCLA 29-27 .061 .012 .197 .274 .263 .097 .063 .032
L 24-40 Win 9/28 .748 Memphis Tulane 36-25 .209 .222 .193 .125 .176 .042 .024 .010
L 25-28 Lose 9/29 .686 Air Force Nevada 34-27 .089 .146 .224 .228 .192 .063 .040 .020
W 56-14 Lose 9/29 .990 Alabama Louisiana Lafayette 62-3 .887 .010 .020 .073 .007 .000 .001 .001
W 52-7 Lose 9/29 .892 Appalachian State South Alabama 38-19 .283 .265 .217 .127 .078 .017 .009 .004
W 52-24 Win 9/29 .961 Arizona State Oregon State 44-16 .457 .265 .181 .059 .032 .004 .002 .000
W 24-13 Lose 9/29 .990 Auburn Southern Mississippi 45-0 .731 .136 .069 .054 .003 .004 .001 .002
W 52-24 Lose 9/29 .631 Ball State Kent State 28-24 .071 .096 .216 .248 .220 .076 .049 .024
W 34-14 Lose 9/29 .822 Boise State Wyoming 33-18 .295 .242 .188 .097 .133 .026 .014 .005
W 45-35 Win 9/29 .667 Boston College Temple 26-20 .081 .129 .221 .235 .202 .068 .043 .021
L 13-42 Lose 9/29 .751 Buffalo Army 35-25 .124 .195 .230 .202 .158 .048 .029 .014
L 24-42 Lose 9/29 .557 California Oregon 25-23 .061 .025 .200 .270 .257 .094 .061 .031
W 45-14 Win 9/29 .915 Central Florida Pittsburgh 42-21 .326 .270 .210 .109 .064 .013 .007 .002
W 49-7 Win 9/29 .897 Cincinnati Connecticut 38-18 .425 .247 .169 .056 .086 .011 .005 .001
W 27-23 Lose 9/29 .990 Clemson Syracuse 42-8 .613 .233 .140 .004 .009 .000 .000 .000
L 14-31 Lose 9/29 .726 Duke Virginia Tech 25-17 .108 .177 .228 .212 .171 .054 .033 .016
W 37-35 Win 9/29 .620 East Carolina Old Dominion 29-25 .068 .085 .214 .253 .225 .079 .051 .025
L 23-26 Win 9/29 .616 Eastern Michigan Northern Illinois 22-19 .068 .081 .213 .254 .227 .080 .051 .026
L 24-25 Win 9/29 .500 Florida Atlantic Middle Tennessee 31-30 .066 .109 .163 .163 .306 .100 .063 .031
W 28-24 Lose 9/29 .652 Florida State Louisville 25-19 .133 .184 .187 .147 .229 .064 .038 .018
W 49-27 Lose 9/29 .705 Fresno State Toledo 32-25 .098 .161 .226 .220 .182 .058 .036 .018
W 38-12 Lose 9/29 .990 Georgia Tennessee 50-0 .793 .085 .042 .070 .007 .000 .001 .001
W 28-21 Win 9/29 .633 Georgia Southern Arkansas State 27-23 .071 .098 .216 .247 .219 .076 .048 .024
W 63-17 Lose 9/29 .779 Georgia Tech Bowling Green 34-23 .145 .213 .230 .190 .143 .041 .025 .012
W 44-41 Win 9/29 .537 Hawaii San Jose State 29-28 .078 .128 .170 .161 .288 .091 .057 .027
W 24-17 Win 9/29 .695 Indiana Rutgers 26-18 .164 .202 .191 .138 .205 .054 .032 .014
W 24-10 Win 9/29 .572 Kentucky South Carolina 26-24 .062 .040 .203 .266 .250 .090 .059 .030
L 14-46 Win 9/29 .562 Louisiana Monroe Georgia State 30-28 .087 .141 .175 .159 .276 .085 .053 .025
W 29-27 Win 9/29 .571 Louisiana Tech North Texas 28-25 .091 .145 .176 .158 .271 .083 .051 .024
W 45-16 Win 9/29 .964 LSU Mississippi 41-13 .465 .264 .179 .056 .030 .004 .002 .000
W 20-17 Lose 9/29 .691 Marshall Western Kentucky 29-22 .160 .201 .191 .139 .208 .055 .032 .014
L 39-40 Win 9/29 .532 Miami (OH) Western Michigan 27-26 .061 .003 .192 .276 .270 .100 .065 .033
W 20-17 Win 9/29 .795 Michigan Northwestern 29-16 .260 .236 .191 .108 .149 .032 .017 .007
W 31-20 Lose 9/29 .990 Michigan State Central Michigan 42-3 .670 .189 .104 .027 .009 .001 .000 .000
L 6-13 Lose 9/29 .814 Mississippi State Florida 32-19 .177 .233 .230 .174 .124 .034 .020 .009
L 43-52 Win 9/29 .679 New Mexico Liberty 28-22 .086 .140 .223 .230 .196 .065 .041 .020
W 35-21 Win 9/29 .875 North Carolina State Virginia 34-16 .255 .260 .222 .139 .088 .020 .011 .005
W 38-17 Lose 9/29 .628 Notre Dame Stanford 27-23 .070 .093 .215 .249 .221 .077 .049 .025
W 58-42 Win 9/29 .881 Ohio Massachusetts 40-22 .263 .262 .220 .135 .085 .019 .011 .004
W 27-26 Lose 9/29 .696 Ohio State Penn State 35-27 .164 .203 .191 .138 .205 .053 .031 .014
W 66-33 Win 9/29 .928 Oklahoma Baylor 41-19 .357 .271 .203 .097 .055 .010 .005 .002
W 48-28 Win 9/29 .897 Oklahoma State Kansas 36-16 .425 .247 .169 .056 .086 .011 .005 .001
W 42-28 Win 9/29 .636 Purdue Nebraska 27-22 .124 .177 .186 .150 .237 .067 .041 .019
W 17-14 Lose 9/29 .791 TCU Iowa State 29-17 .156 .221 .230 .185 .136 .039 .023 .011
W 19-14 Lose 9/29 .746 Texas Kansas State 30-20 .207 .221 .193 .125 .178 .042 .024 .010
W 24-17 n/a 9/29 .891 Texas A&M Arkansas 36-16 .351 .259 .192 .089 .084 .015 .008 .003
W 45-21 Win 9/29 .827 Troy Coastal Carolina 37-23 .191 .240 .229 .167 .116 .031 .018 .008
W 28-7 Lose 9/29 .706 UAB Charlotte 33-25 .098 .162 .226 .220 .181 .058 .036 .018
W 24-20 Win 9/29 .627 USC Arizona 31-27 .118 .172 .185 .151 .242 .070 .042 .020
W 30-21 Win 9/29 .667 UTSA UTEP 27-21 .082 .130 .221 .234 .201 .067 .043 .021
W 56-24 Lose 9/29 .894 Wake Forest Rice 38-19 .286 .266 .217 .126 .077 .017 .009 .004
W 35-7 Lose 9/29 .871 Washington BYU 32-15 .247 .259 .223 .142 .091 .021 .012 .005
W 28-24 Win 9/29 .546 Washington State Utah 22-21 .061 .013 .197 .274 .263 .097 .063 .032
W 42-34 Lose 9/29 .521 West Virginia Texas Tech 31-30 .072 .120 .167 .162 .296 .095 .059 .029

 

 

Week 4 Game Projections and Results

 

Result ATS Date WL Projected Winner Projected Loser PF DW SW MW NW NL ML SL DL
W 31-17 Win 9/20 .797 Temple Tulsa 32-20 .161 .224 .230 .182 .133 .037 .022 .010
W 56-36 Win 9/21 .932 Central Florida Florida Atlantic 45-22 .367 .271 .201 .093 .052 .009 .005 .002
W 63-24 Win 9/21 .939 Penn State Illinois 38-12 .535 .236 .147 .021 .055 .004 .001 .000
W 39-36 Lose 9/21 .816 USC Washington State 31-18 .179 .234 .230 .173 .122 .033 .020 .009
W 45-23 Win 9/22 .922 Alabama Texas A&M 37-15 .343 .271 .206 .102 .059 .011 .006 .002
W 35-14 Win 9/22 .753 Arizona Oregon State 38-27 .214 .224 .193 .123 .173 .041 .023 .010
W 27-20 n/a 9/22 .716 Arkansas State UNLV 32-24 .103 .169 .227 .216 .177 .056 .035 .017
W 34-3 Win 9/22 .990 Auburn Arkansas 42-6 .638 .217 .126 .009 .010 .000 .000 .000
W 26-7 Win 9/22 .893 Baylor Kansas 34-15 .284 .266 .217 .127 .077 .017 .009 .004
L 13-30 Lose 9/22 .730 Boston College Purdue 29-19 .192 .216 .192 .130 .186 .046 .026 .011
L 23-38 Lose 9/22 .634 Bowling Green Miami (OH) 28-24 .071 .099 .216 .247 .218 .076 .048 .024
W 42-13 Win 9/22 .703 Buffalo Rutgers 29-21 .170 .205 .192 .136 .201 .052 .030 .013
W 34-30 Win 9/22 .676 Cincinnati Ohio 30-24 .085 .138 .223 .231 .197 .065 .041 .020
W 49-21 Win 9/22 .947 Clemson Georgia Tech 38-12 .562 .231 .142 .013 .049 .003 .001 .001
W 30-28 Win 9/22 .669 Coastal Carolina Louisiana Lafayette 39-32 .145 .192 .189 .144 .219 .060 .035 .016
W 47-21 Win 9/22 .768 Florida Tennessee 28-17 .229 .229 .192 .118 .165 .038 .021 .009
W 37-19 Win 9/22 .877 Florida State Northern Illinois 27-9 .257 .261 .221 .138 .087 .020 .011 .005
W 43-29 Lose 9/22 .948 Georgia Missouri 43-17 .563 .231 .141 .012 .049 .003 .001 .001
W 26-13 Lose 9/22 .917 Iowa State Akron 34-12 .332 .270 .208 .107 .062 .012 .006 .002
L 3-27 Lose 9/22 .543 Louisville Virginia 27-25 .080 .131 .171 .161 .285 .090 .056 .027
W 38-21 Lose 9/22 .910 LSU Louisiana Tech 35-14 .317 .269 .211 .113 .067 .013 .007 .003
W 49-31 Lose 9/22 .625 Massachusetts Charlotte 30-26 .069 .090 .215 .251 .223 .078 .050 .025
W 52-35 Win 9/22 .887 Memphis South Alabama 37-19 .273 .264 .219 .131 .081 .018 .010 .004
W 31-17 Lose 9/22 .990 Miami Florida International 45-10 .627 .227 .134 .002 .010 .000 .000 .000
W 56-10 Win 9/22 .916 Michigan Nebraska 35-13 .328 .270 .209 .108 .063 .012 .007 .002
W 35-21 Win 9/22 .906 Michigan State Indiana 34-13 .444 .246 .166 .049 .080 .010 .004 .001
L 13-42 Lose 9/22 .507 Minnesota Maryland 24-23 .068 .112 .164 .163 .303 .098 .062 .030
W 38-17 Win 9/22 .903 Mississippi Kent State 38-18 .302 .268 .214 .119 .071 .015 .008 .003
L 7-28 Lose 9/22 .836 Mississippi State Kentucky 35-20 .316 .245 .185 .091 .124 .023 .012 .004
L 30-31 Lose 9/22 .702 Navy SMU 36-28 .169 .205 .191 .137 .202 .052 .031 .014
W 38-35 Win 9/22 .587 North Carolina Pittsburgh 24-22 .064 .054 .207 .262 .242 .087 .056 .028
W 37-20 Lose 9/22 .620 North Carolina State Marshall 29-24 .115 .170 .184 .152 .245 .071 .043 .020
W 47-7 Lose 9/22 .677 North Texas Liberty 29-23 .150 .195 .190 .142 .215 .058 .034 .016
W 56-27 Win 9/22 .865 Notre Dame Wake Forest 33-15 .362 .248 .179 .076 .107 .017 .009 .003
W 49-6 Lose 9/22 .990 Ohio State Tulane 47-10 .654 .203 .115 .018 .009 .000 .000 .000
W 28-21 Lose 9/22 .982 Oklahoma Army 49-18 .548 .250 .158 .026 .017 .001 .000 .000
L 17-41 Lose 9/22 .888 Oklahoma State Texas Tech 42-23 .275 .264 .218 .130 .080 .018 .010 .004
W 23-20 Lose 9/22 .841 San Diego State Eastern Michigan 32-17 .207 .247 .227 .160 .108 .028 .016 .007
W 37-14 Win 9/22 .754 South Carolina Vanderbilt 32-22 .215 .224 .193 .123 .173 .041 .023 .010
W 20-13 Win 9/22 .855 South Florida East Carolina 38-22 .226 .253 .225 .151 .100 .025 .014 .006
W 40-22 Lose 9/22 .656 Southern Mississippi Rice 28-23 .078 .120 .220 .239 .207 .070 .045 .022
W 38-31 Win 9/22 .764 Stanford Oregon 31-20 .225 .227 .192 .119 .167 .038 .022 .009
W 51-21 Push 9/22 .921 Syracuse Connecticut 42-20 .341 .270 .207 .103 .059 .011 .006 .002
W 31-16 Win 9/22 .568 Texas TCU 24-21 .062 .036 .202 .267 .252 .091 .059 .030
W 63-44 Win 9/22 .799 Toledo Nevada 37-25 .162 .225 .230 .181 .132 .037 .022 .010
W 35-27 Lose 9/22 .605 Troy Louisiana Monroe 28-24 .107 .162 .182 .154 .253 .075 .046 .022
W 42-32 Win 9/22 .795 Utah State Air Force 35-23 .159 .223 .230 .183 .134 .038 .023 .010
L 20-27 Lose 9/22 .502 UTEP New Mexico State 24-23 .055 .036 .160 .251 .284 .107 .070 .036
W 25-21 Win 9/22 .624 UTSA Texas State 26-22 .069 .089 .215 .251 .223 .078 .050 .025
L 35-49 Win 9/22 .949 Virginia Tech Old Dominion 33-7 .569 .230 .140 .011 .047 .002 .001 .001
W 27-20 Lose 9/22 .884 Washington Arizona State 34-15 .268 .263 .220 .133 .083 .019 .010 .004
W 35-6 Lose 9/22 .632 West Virginia Kansas State 31-27 .071 .097 .216 .248 .219 .076 .049 .024
W 28-20 Win 9/22 .516 Western Kentucky Ball State 25-24 .070 .117 .166 .163 .299 .096 .060 .029
W 34-15 Lose 9/22 .622 Western Michigan Georgia State 31-26 .116 .170 .184 .152 .245 .071 .043 .020
W 28-17 n/a 9/22 .577 Wisconsin Iowa 22-19 .094 .148 .177 .158 .268 .081 .050 .024

 

 

Week 3 Game Projections and Results

 

Result ATS Date WL Projected Winner Projected Loser PF DW SW MW NW NL ML SL DL
W 41-34 Lose 9/13 .566 Boston College Wake Forest 25-23 .089 .143 .175 .159 .273 .084 .052 .025
W 28-25 Win 9/13 .575 Charlotte Old Dominion 24-21 .062 .043 .204 .265 .248 .090 .058 .029
W 59-22 Lose 9/14 .935 Memphis Georgia State 39-16 .375 .271 .199 .090 .050 .009 .004 .001
W 62-7 Lose 9/15 .909 Alabama Mississippi 37-15 .453 .246 .164 .047 .077 .009 .004 .001
L 21-28 Lose 9/15 .659 Arizona State San Diego State 31-25 .138 .187 .188 .146 .225 .062 .037 .017
L 17-44 Lose 9/15 .818 Arkansas North Texas 39-25 .182 .236 .229 .172 .121 .033 .019 .009
W 28-21 Push 9/15 .845 Army Hawaii 40-25 .213 .249 .227 .157 .106 .027 .016 .007
L 21-22 Lose 9/15 .875 Auburn LSU 33-15 .255 .260 .222 .139 .088 .020 .011 .005
L 27-40 Win 9/15 .512 Baylor Duke 24-23 .057 .026 .170 .259 .279 .105 .069 .035
W 35-28 Win 9/15 .775 Buffalo Eastern Michigan 30-19 .142 .211 .230 .192 .145 .042 .026 .012
W 38-7 Lose 9/15 .990 Clemson Georgia Southern 42-6 .636 .219 .127 .008 .010 .000 .000 .000
W 48-10 Win 9/15 .925 Florida Colorado State 38-15 .350 .271 .205 .100 .057 .011 .005 .002
L 7-30 Lose 9/15 .873 Florida State Syracuse 33-15 .377 .248 .177 .071 .101 .016 .008 .002
W 49-7 Win 9/15 .990 Georgia Middle Tennessee 44-3 .702 .161 .084 .042 .007 .002 .000 .000
L 49-63 Lose 9/15 .539 Houston Texas Tech 27-26 .079 .129 .171 .161 .287 .090 .056 .027
W 38-10 Lose 9/15 .771 Indiana Ball State 30-19 .139 .208 .230 .194 .147 .043 .026 .012
W 55-14 Win 9/15 .630 Kansas Rutgers 27-23 .071 .095 .216 .249 .220 .076 .049 .024
W 41-17 Win 9/15 .942 Kansas State UTSA 36-12 .393 .270 .196 .083 .046 .008 .004 .001
W 20-17 Win 9/15 .859 Louisville Western Kentucky 36-20 .230 .254 .225 .149 .098 .024 .014 .006
L 14-35 Win 9/15 .502 Maryland Temple 25-24 .055 .037 .159 .250 .284 .108 .071 .036
L 24-63 Lose 9/15 .535 Massachusetts Florida International 28-27 .077 .127 .170 .161 .289 .091 .057 .028
W 49-24 Lose 9/15 .753 Miami Toledo 31-21 .214 .224 .193 .123 .173 .041 .023 .010
W 45-20 Win 9/15 .986 Michigan SMU 43-11 .573 .244 .151 .017 .013 .001 .000 .000
W 26-3 n/a 9/15 .819 Minnesota Miami (OH) 30-16 .182 .236 .229 .172 .121 .032 .019 .009
W 56-10 Win 9/15 .990 Mississippi State Louisiana Lafayette 45-10 .633 .222 .130 .006 .010 .000 .000 .000
L 19-24 Win 9/15 .749 Nebraska Troy 30-20 .123 .194 .230 .203 .159 .048 .030 .014
W 37-35 Lose 9/15 .646 Nevada Oregon State 34-29 .075 .110 .218 .243 .212 .073 .046 .023
L 25-42 Lose 9/15 .515 New Mexico State New Mexico 25-24 .057 .022 .174 .262 .277 .104 .068 .035
W 24-16 Lose 9/15 .861 Northern Illinois Central Michigan 29-13 .234 .255 .224 .148 .096 .023 .013 .006
L 34-39 Lose 9/15 .937 Northwestern Akron 34-10 .380 .271 .198 .088 .049 .008 .004 .001
W 22-17 Lose 9/15 .990 Notre Dame Vanderbilt 46-9 .653 .204 .115 .018 .009 .000 .000 .000
W 40-28 Lose 9/15 .848 Ohio State TCU 35-18 .279 .252 .203 .115 .111 .023 .013 .005
W 37-27 Win 9/15 .848 Oklahoma Iowa State 39-22 .334 .246 .183 .085 .117 .021 .011 .004
W 44-21 Win 9/15 .565 Oklahoma State Boise State 30-28 .062 .034 .202 .268 .253 .092 .060 .030
W 35-22 Win 9/15 .988 Oregon San Jose State 42-9 .586 .241 .147 .013 .012 .001 .000 .000
W 63-10 n/a 9/15 .990 Penn State Kent State 41-6 .618 .232 .138 .002 .010 .000 .000 .000
W 24-19 Win 9/15 .548 Pittsburgh Georgia Tech 26-25 .061 .015 .198 .273 .262 .096 .063 .032
L 37-40 Win 9/15 .526 Purdue Missouri 26-25 .059 .010 .186 .271 .272 .102 .066 .034
W 41-31 n/a 9/15 .759 South Alabama Texas State 28-18 .130 .200 .230 .199 .154 .046 .028 .013
W 25-19 Win 9/15 .740 South Florida Illinois 29-19 .160 .212 .209 .160 .172 .047 .028 .013
W 24-0 Win 9/15 .901 Tennessee UTEP 34-14 .298 .267 .215 .121 .072 .015 .008 .003
W 48-10 Lose 9/15 .946 Texas A&M Louisiana Monroe 43-17 .407 .269 .193 .078 .043 .007 .003 .001
L 24-31 Win 9/15 .585 Tulane UAB 29-26 .097 .152 .179 .157 .264 .079 .049 .023
L 20-29 n/a 9/15 .556 Tulsa Arkansas State 30-28 .061 .024 .200 .271 .258 .094 .061 .031
L 14-38 Lose 9/15 .732 UCLA Fresno State 32-23 .112 .181 .228 .210 .168 .052 .032 .016
L 14-37 Lose 9/15 .561 USC Texas 24-22 .087 .140 .174 .159 .276 .085 .053 .025
W 45-31 n/a 9/15 .640 Virginia Ohio 28-23 .073 .105 .217 .245 .215 .074 .047 .024
W 21-7 Win 9/15 .779 Washington Utah 31-19 .241 .232 .192 .114 .159 .035 .020 .008
L 21-24 Win 9/15 .910 Wisconsin BYU 32-12 .317 .269 .211 .113 .067 .013 .007 .003

 

 

Week 2 Game Projections and Results

 

Result ATS Date WL Projected Winner Projected Loser PF DW SW MW NW NL ML SL DL
W 42-12 Lose 9/7 .876 TCU SMU 40-21 .383 .248 .176 .069 .099 .015 .007 .002
W 57-7 Win 9/8 .990 Alabama Arkansas State 45-6 .667 .192 .106 .025 .009 .001 .000 .000
W 45-9 Lose 9/8 .792 Appalachian State Charlotte 30-17 .256 .235 .191 .109 .151 .032 .018 .007
L 27-34 Win 9/8 .755 Arkansas Colorado State 37-26 .216 .225 .193 .122 .172 .040 .023 .010
W 38-14 Win 9/8 .870 Army Liberty 39-22 .246 .258 .223 .142 .091 .021 .012 .005
W 37-20 Push 9/8 .890 Baylor UTSA 33-13 .410 .248 .172 .060 .090 .013 .006 .001
W 62-7 Lose 9/8 .986 Boise State Connecticut 43-10 .577 .243 .150 .016 .013 .001 .000 .000
L 14-45 Lose 9/8 .554 Bowling Green Maryland 29-27 .061 .022 .199 .271 .259 .095 .061 .031
L 18-21 Lose 9/8 .599 BYU California 26-23 .065 .065 .210 .259 .236 .084 .054 .027
W 28-26 Lose 9/8 .856 Clemson Texas A&M 31-14 .346 .247 .181 .081 .112 .019 .010 .003
W 21-7 Win 9/8 .551 Duke Northwestern 22-20 .083 .135 .173 .160 .281 .088 .054 .026
L 16-27 Win 9/8 .809 Florida Kentucky 31-18 .172 .231 .230 .176 .126 .035 .021 .009
W 33-27 Lose 9/8 .824 Florida Atlantic Air Force 41-27 .188 .239 .229 .169 .118 .031 .018 .008
W 41-17 Win 9/8 .865 Georgia South Carolina 33-15 .362 .248 .179 .076 .106 .017 .009 .003
W 34-13 Win 9/8 .794 Georgia Southern Massachusetts 32-20 .158 .222 .230 .184 .135 .038 .023 .011
L 38-49 Win 9/8 .564 Georgia Tech South Florida 27-25 .088 .142 .175 .159 .274 .085 .052 .025
W 43-29 Win 9/8 .616 Hawaii Rice 31-27 .068 .081 .213 .254 .227 .080 .051 .026
W 45-18 Lose 9/8 .549 Houston Arizona 30-29 .061 .017 .198 .273 .261 .096 .062 .032
W 20-16 Win 9/8 .629 Indiana Virginia 24-20 .070 .094 .215 .249 .221 .077 .049 .025
W 13-3 Win 9/8 .758 Iowa Iowa State 28-18 .129 .200 .230 .199 .154 .046 .028 .013
W 31-7 Win 9/8 .548 Kansas Central Michigan 26-25 .082 .134 .172 .160 .282 .088 .055 .026
W 21-20 Win 9/8 .537 Louisiana Monroe Southern Mississippi 30-29 .078 .128 .170 .161 .288 .091 .057 .028
L 21-22 Win 9/8 .547 Memphis Navy 33-32 .082 .133 .172 .160 .283 .088 .055 .027
L 0-21 Win 9/8 .545 Miami (OH) Cincinnati 26-25 .061 .013 .197 .274 .263 .097 .063 .032
W 49-3 Lose 9/8 .940 Michigan Western Michigan 35-11 .387 .270 .197 .086 .047 .008 .004 .001
L 13-16 Lose 9/8 .720 Michigan State Arizona State 30-21 .184 .212 .192 .132 .192 .048 .028 .012
W 21-14 Win 9/8 .669 Minnesota Fresno State 25-19 .082 .132 .222 .234 .200 .067 .042 .021
W 31-10 Win 9/8 .681 Mississippi State Kansas State 30-23 .153 .197 .190 .141 .213 .057 .034 .015
W 40-13 Lose 9/8 .778 Missouri Wyoming 30-19 .145 .213 .230 .191 .143 .041 .025 .012
L 28-33 Lose 9/8 .773 Nebraska Colorado 33-22 .140 .209 .230 .193 .146 .043 .026 .012
L 19-41 Win 9/8 .832 North Carolina East Carolina 37-22 .309 .244 .186 .093 .127 .024 .013 .004
W 41-7 Win 9/8 .958 North Carolina State Georgia State 38-11 .445 .266 .184 .063 .034 .005 .002 .000
W 24-16 Lose 9/8 .990 Notre Dame Ball State 47-7 .683 .177 .096 .033 .008 .001 .000 .000
W 52-3 Win 9/8 .990 Ohio State Rutgers 45-3 .701 .162 .086 .042 .008 .002 .000 .000
W 49-21 Win 9/8 .912 Oklahoma UCLA 45-24 .321 .269 .210 .111 .065 .013 .007 .003
W 55-13 Lose 9/8 .951 Oklahoma State South Alabama 41-15 .420 .268 .189 .073 .039 .006 .003 .001
L 20-28 Lose 9/8 .652 Old Dominion Florida International 28-23 .076 .116 .219 .240 .209 .071 .045 .023
W 51-6 Win 9/8 .749 Penn State Pittsburgh 31-20 .210 .223 .193 .124 .175 .042 .024 .010
L 19-20 n/a 9/8 .831 Purdue Eastern Michigan 29-14 .196 .242 .228 .165 .114 .030 .017 .008
W 17-3 Win 9/8 .662 Stanford USC 31-26 .080 .126 .221 .236 .204 .069 .043 .022
L 29-36 Lose 9/8 .724 Temple Buffalo 30-21 .107 .176 .228 .213 .172 .054 .034 .016
W 28-21 Lose 9/8 .932 Texas Tulsa 37-14 .367 .271 .201 .093 .052 .009 .005 .002
L 24-47 Win 9/8 .542 UAB Coastal Carolina 28-26 .079 .130 .171 .161 .286 .090 .056 .027
W 52-24 Lose 9/8 .835 UNLV UTEP 36-21 .200 .244 .228 .163 .112 .029 .017 .008
W 17-6 Win 9/8 .649 Utah Northern Illinois 25-19 .131 .182 .187 .148 .230 .064 .039 .018
W 60-13 Lose 9/8 .851 Utah State New Mexico State 31-15 .220 .251 .226 .154 .102 .025 .015 .006
W 41-10 Lose 9/8 .594 Vanderbilt Nevada 31-28 .064 .061 .209 .260 .238 .085 .055 .028
W 31-0 Lose 9/8 .953 Washington State San Jose State 37-11 .426 .268 .188 .070 .038 .006 .003 .001
W 45-14 Lose 9/8 .990 Wisconsin New Mexico 44-6 .658 .200 .112 .020 .009 .000 .000 .000

 

 

Week 1 Game Projections and Results

 

Result ATS Date WL Projected Winner Projected Loser PF DW SW MW NW NL ML SL DL
W 56-17 Win 8/30 .954 Central Florida Connecticut 43-16 .584 .227 .137 .006 .044 .002 .000 .001
W 48-10 Lose 8/30 .912 Minnesota New Mexico State 34-13 .320 .269 .211 .112 .066 .013 .007 .003
W 31-27 Win 8/30 .572 Northwestern Purdue 23-20 .092 .146 .176 .158 .270 .083 .051 .024
W 23-17 n/a 8/30 .674 Wake Forest Tulane 32-25 .148 .194 .190 .143 .217 .059 .035 .016
W 45-13 Lose 8/31 .584 Colorado Colorado State 31-28 .074 .122 .192 .197 .253 .084 .053 .026
W 34-14 Win 8/31 .876 Duke Army 37-19 .256 .261 .221 .138 .087 .020 .011 .005
W 38-31 Lose 8/31 .966 Michigan State Utah State 36-8 .473 .263 .177 .053 .029 .004 .002 .000
W 31-10 Win 8/31 .909 Stanford San Diego State 38-17 .313 .269 .212 .114 .068 .014 .007 .003
L 42-55 Lose 8/31 .623 Western Michigan Syracuse 28-24 .069 .089 .215 .251 .224 .078 .050 .025
W 34-3 Win 8/31 .956 Wisconsin Western Kentucky 37-11 .439 .267 .185 .066 .036 .005 .002 .001
W 51-14 Lose 9/1 .923 Alabama Louisville 38-15 .423 .257 .179 .063 .063 .009 .004 .001
L 23-28 Win 9/1 .722 Arizona BYU 33-24 .106 .174 .228 .214 .173 .055 .034 .016
W 49-7 Win 9/1 .937 Arizona State UTSA 37-13 .380 .271 .198 .088 .049 .008 .004 .001
W 21-16 Win 9/1 .616 Auburn Washington 27-23 .086 .142 .197 .191 .238 .076 .047 .023
W 56-20 Win 9/1 .794 Boise State Troy 30-17 .259 .236 .191 .109 .150 .032 .017 .007
W 55-21 Win 9/1 .912 Boston College Massachusetts 34-13 .321 .269 .210 .111 .065 .013 .007 .003
W 24-17 Push 9/1 .596 California North Carolina 27-24 .065 .063 .209 .260 .237 .085 .055 .028
W 45-27 Win 9/1 .881 Houston Rice 36-17 .392 .248 .175 .066 .096 .014 .007 .002
W 31-24 Win 9/1 .696 Illinois Kent State 25-18 .093 .154 .225 .224 .187 .061 .038 .019
W 38-28 Win 9/1 .752 Indiana Florida International 30-20 .213 .223 .193 .123 .174 .041 .023 .010
W 33-7 Win 9/1 .838 Iowa Northern Illinois 28-13 .203 .245 .228 .162 .110 .028 .017 .007
W 35-20 Lose 9/1 .875 Kentucky Central Michigan 34-16 .254 .260 .222 .139 .088 .020 .012 .005
W 30-26 Win 9/1 .712 Louisiana Tech South Alabama 29-20 .177 .209 .192 .134 .196 .050 .029 .013
W 35-28 Win 9/1 .704 Marshall Miami (OH) 27-19 .170 .206 .192 .136 .201 .052 .030 .013
W 47-27 Win 9/1 .635 Mississippi Texas Tech 32-27 .094 .154 .200 .187 .228 .071 .044 .021
L 41-59 Lose 9/1 .814 Navy Hawaii 38-24 .283 .241 .189 .101 .138 .028 .015 .006
W 24-17 Win 9/1 .749 Notre Dame Michigan 27-18 .123 .193 .230 .203 .159 .048 .030 .014
W 77-31 Win 9/1 .990 Ohio State Oregon State 51-9 .710 .155 .080 .045 .006 .003 .000 .000
W 63-14 Win 9/1 .929 Oklahoma Florida Atlantic 46-23 .360 .271 .203 .096 .054 .010 .005 .002
L 10-52 Win 9/1 .565 Old Dominion Liberty 26-23 .088 .142 .175 .159 .274 .084 .052 .025
W 58-24 Win 9/1 .902 Oregon Bowling Green 38-18 .301 .268 .214 .119 .071 .015 .008 .003
W 45-38 Win 9/1 .921 Penn State Appalachian State 37-15 .340 .270 .207 .104 .060 .011 .006 .002
W 35-7 Lose 9/1 .798 Rutgers Texas State 29-17 .162 .225 .230 .182 .132 .037 .022 .010
L 23-46 Lose 9/1 .531 SMU North Texas 34-33 .075 .125 .169 .162 .291 .093 .058 .028
W 49-15 Lose 9/1 .929 South Carolina Coastal Carolina 36-14 .359 .271 .203 .096 .054 .010 .005 .002
L 29-34 Lose 9/1 .856 Texas Maryland 31-14 .291 .254 .201 .110 .106 .022 .012 .004
L 17-26 Lose 9/1 .872 UCLA Cincinnati 39-21 .249 .259 .222 .141 .090 .021 .012 .005
W 43-21 Lose 9/1 .982 USC UNLV 45-14 .548 .250 .158 .026 .017 .001 .000 .000
W 35-7 Lose 9/1 .545 Vanderbilt Middle Tennessee 27-25 .061 .013 .197 .274 .263 .097 .063 .032
W 41-19 Win 9/1 .598 Washington State Wyoming 24-20 .104 .159 .181 .155 .257 .076 .047 .022
W 40-14 Lose 9/1 .656 West Virginia Tennessee 29-23 .104 .167 .203 .182 .217 .066 .041 .020
L 17-33 Lose 9/2 .603 Miami LSU 25-21 .081 .134 .195 .193 .244 .079 .050 .024
L 3-24 Lose 9/3 .751 Florida State Virginia Tech 26-16 .124 .195 .230 .202 .158 .048 .029 .014