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SFP Ratings
Possession Success Rate

Strength of Schedule Ratings
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Strength of Schedule is represented in several ways, including the per-possession opponent adjustment (OA) used to produce each team's overall FEI rating, the per-possession offensive opponent adjustment (OOA) used to produce OFEI Offense ratings, the per-possession defensive opponent adjustment (DOA) used to produce DFEI Defense ratings, and the per-possession special teams opponent adjustment (SOA) used to produce SFEI Special Teams ratings. Remaining columns represent schedule strength as a function of the FEI ratings of each team's opponents and the location (home/away/neutral) of each game. EL ratings represent the average number of losses an elite team (two standard deviations better than aveage) would have against the schedule. VGL ratings represent the average number of losses a very good team (1.5 standard deviations better than average) would have against the schedule. GL ratings represent the average number of losses a good team (one standard deviation better than average) would have against the schedule. AAL ratings represent the average number of losses an above average team (0.5 standard deviations better than average) would have against the schedule. AL ratings represent the average number of losses an average team would have against the schedule.

Ratings and supporting data are calculated from the results of non-garbage possessions in FBS vs. FBS games.

 

 

2008 Strength of Schedule Ratings (final)

 

Team W-L   OA Rk OOA Rk DOA Rk SOA Rk   EL Rk VGL Rk GL Rk AAL Rk AL Rk
Oklahoma 11-2   .29 1 .14 22 .42 3 .04 6   3.26 1 4.44 1 5.73 1 7.09 1 8.42 1
Texas 12-1   .28 2 .06 55 .50 2 .00 63   2.60 6 3.72 3 5.03 2 6.44 2 7.86 2
Texas Tech 9-2   .27 3 .04 59 .51 1 .01 36   2.54 8 3.48 10 4.51 11 5.65 13 6.77 19
Ohio State 9-3   .26 4 .34 1 .16 18 .01 42   2.61 4 3.65 5 4.83 4 6.10 5 7.38 5
Arkansas 4-7   .25 5 .28 3 .23 11 .05 1   2.55 7 3.49 9 4.56 10 5.73 11 6.88 13
Florida 12-1   .22 6 .21 8 .21 12 .05 2   2.27 13 3.35 12 4.67 9 6.11 4 7.60 4
Baylor 3-8   .21 7 .13 28 .28 8 .01 30   2.93 2 3.79 2 4.77 5 5.77 9 6.69 24
Mississippi 8-4   .19 8 .22 7 .17 16 .04 8   2.17 14 3.09 15 4.17 19 5.37 22 6.60 28
Missouri 9-4   .19 9 .07 51 .30 6 -.01 74   2.61 5 3.65 6 4.89 3 6.28 3 7.67 3
Kansas 7-5   .18 10 .12 32 .25 10 .01 31   2.53 9 3.38 11 4.43 12 5.57 14 6.71 22
Oklahoma State 8-4   .17 11 .03 60 .32 4 -.01 87   2.80 3 3.69 4 4.70 6 5.77 8 6.89 12
Illinois 4-7   .17 12 .15 18 .18 14 .03 16   1.94 26 2.87 27 3.96 29 5.18 32 6.41 39
Purdue 3-8   .16 13 .17 14 .15 20 .02 28   1.90 29 2.87 28 3.96 28 5.18 33 6.39 40
Syracuse 2-9   .16 14 .18 12 .14 22 .01 43   1.79 38 2.76 33 3.92 31 5.23 30 6.55 32
Texas A&M 4-8   .16 15 .14 23 .15 19 .00 66   2.40 12 3.25 13 4.31 15 5.46 20 6.62 27
 
Team W-L   OA Rk OOA Rk DOA Rk SOA Rk   EL Rk VGL Rk GL Rk AAL Rk AL Rk
Washington 0-12   .15 16 .13 26 .17 15 .01 39   2.51 10 3.53 7 4.67 8 5.87 7 7.12 10
South Carolina 6-6   .15 17 .15 19 .14 21 .05 3   2.11 19 3.07 18 4.20 18 5.48 18 6.78 18
Florida State 7-4   .14 18 .25 5 .05 38 .02 20   1.62 48 2.53 44 3.61 43 4.85 48 6.20 49
Colorado 4-7   .14 19 -.05 75 .30 7 .04 5   2.12 18 3.04 21 4.14 22 5.33 24 6.51 34
Michigan 3-9   .13 20 .20 9 .03 46 .02 19   1.97 25 2.92 24 4.04 25 5.28 28 6.64 26
SMU 0-11   .12 21 -.07 82 .31 5 -.02 94   1.87 31 2.81 32 3.90 32 5.10 37 6.34 42
LSU 7-5   .11 22 .11 33 .12 25 .01 35   1.98 24 2.83 29 3.86 33 5.04 39 6.24 45
Oregon State 9-4   .11 23 .13 27 .07 34 .02 21   2.50 11 3.52 8 4.69 7 5.96 6 7.24 6
Virginia 4-7   .11 24 .28 4 -.06 76 .03 17   1.55 54 2.50 47 3.61 44 4.88 46 6.21 47
Penn State 10-2   .11 25 .17 13 .04 40 .02 22   1.93 27 2.91 25 4.04 26 5.30 27 6.64 25
TCU 10-2   .11 26 .01 64 .20 13 -.01 79   2.00 23 2.83 30 3.79 38 4.92 44 6.14 53
Georgia 9-3   .11 27 .23 6 -.02 64 .05 4   1.83 34 2.82 31 3.99 27 5.31 26 6.71 21
Indiana 2-9   .10 28 .12 30 .08 32 .00 49   1.64 45 2.53 45 3.56 49 4.73 53 6.00 61
Pittsburgh 9-4   .10 29 .12 31 .11 28 -.01 69   1.56 51 2.63 41 3.95 30 5.50 16 7.12 8
Washington State 1-11   .10 30 .06 52 .14 23 .00 56   1.91 28 2.95 22 4.14 21 5.48 17 6.86 15
 
Team W-L   OA Rk OOA Rk DOA Rk SOA Rk   EL Rk VGL Rk GL Rk AAL Rk AL Rk
Michigan State 9-4   .09 31 .10 35 .08 30 .00 51   2.02 21 3.04 20 4.32 14 5.75 10 7.22 7
Kansas State 4-7   .09 32 -.06 77 .25 9 -.01 81   1.84 33 2.65 39 3.58 47 4.60 68 5.65 77
Stanford 5-7   .08 33 .29 2 -.11 91 .00 55   2.13 17 3.08 17 4.16 20 5.35 23 6.56 30
Georgia Tech 7-4   .08 34 .13 29 .01 55 .04 7   1.40 63 2.29 64 3.41 63 4.70 57 6.01 59
North Carolina State 5-7   .08 35 .19 11 -.06 75 .03 10   1.34 72 2.35 58 3.56 48 4.99 41 6.52 33
Clemson 5-6   .08 36 .09 45 .03 45 .03 13   1.38 66 2.29 63 3.41 61 4.67 60 6.00 62
Wisconsin 6-6   .08 37 .11 34 .04 41 .02 27   1.70 42 2.65 38 3.84 34 5.15 34 6.51 35
Auburn 4-7   .08 38 .09 41 .07 33 .01 46   1.55 53 2.45 53 3.53 52 4.74 51 6.02 58
USC 12-1   .07 39 .10 38 .05 36 .02 26   2.01 22 3.05 19 4.25 16 5.56 15 6.97 11
Alabama 12-2   .07 40 .17 15 -.03 67 .03 11   2.16 15 3.13 14 4.33 13 5.68 12 7.12 9
Nebraska 9-4   .06 41 .09 44 .04 42 .00 62   2.04 20 2.94 23 4.04 24 5.33 25 6.69 23
Oregon 10-3   .06 42 .09 40 .04 43 .01 38   2.13 16 3.09 16 4.23 17 5.47 19 6.81 17
Wake Forest 8-5   .06 43 .00 65 .08 31 .03 12   1.42 61 2.46 52 3.75 40 5.23 29 6.84 16
Miami 6-6   .05 44 .13 25 -.04 73 .03 14   1.78 39 2.69 36 3.81 36 5.10 36 6.47 37
Minnesota 6-6   .05 45 .10 36 .02 54 -.01 82   1.57 50 2.53 43 3.69 42 5.05 38 6.47 38
 
Team W-L   OA Rk OOA Rk DOA Rk SOA Rk   EL Rk VGL Rk GL Rk AAL Rk AL Rk
Arizona State 4-7   .05 46 -.03 72 .12 24 .01 47   1.84 32 2.64 40 3.59 46 4.66 64 5.73 75
North Carolina 7-5   .05 47 .06 54 .04 44 .00 59   1.25 78 2.24 68 3.43 59 4.82 50 6.36 41
Marshall 3-8   .05 48 -.01 68 .11 27 -.02 90   1.36 71 2.21 69 3.31 71 4.59 70 5.90 68
Colorado State 6-6   .04 49 .10 37 .00 56 -.02 97   1.49 57 2.39 55 3.55 50 4.83 49 6.18 50
Maryland 7-5   .04 50 .10 39 -.01 61 .00 58   1.25 76 2.17 74 3.33 69 4.71 56 6.18 51
Wyoming 3-8   .04 51 .08 47 -.01 59 -.01 88   1.37 68 2.19 72 3.18 76 4.33 80 5.57 82
Cincinnati 10-3   .04 52 .07 50 .03 49 -.01 78   1.79 37 2.70 35 3.82 35 5.13 35 6.55 31
UCLA 4-8   .04 53 .04 58 .07 35 .00 65   1.80 36 2.73 34 3.80 37 5.00 40 6.23 46
Connecticut 7-5   .04 54 .06 53 .03 51 .01 40   1.21 82 2.17 75 3.34 67 4.71 54 6.21 48
Duke 3-8   .03 55 .08 48 -.03 68 .02 18   1.12 89 2.01 82 3.09 81 4.37 79 5.75 74
New Mexico 4-8   .03 56 -.07 79 .11 26 -.01 86   1.66 44 2.49 48 3.59 45 4.85 47 6.15 52
Vanderbilt 7-6   .02 57 .14 24 -.08 79 .02 29   1.90 30 2.89 26 4.08 23 5.43 21 6.87 14
Utah 12-0   .02 58 .08 49 -.04 71 -.02 92   1.31 74 2.18 73 3.32 70 4.61 67 6.01 60
Iowa State 1-10   .01 59 -.12 91 .17 17 -.01 71   1.46 58 2.32 59 3.42 60 4.65 65 5.92 66
Boston College 8-5   .01 60 .15 20 -.14 101 .02 25   1.28 75 2.26 66 3.51 53 4.98 42 6.59 29
 
Team W-L   OA Rk OOA Rk DOA Rk SOA Rk   EL Rk VGL Rk GL Rk AAL Rk AL Rk
California 9-4   .01 61 -.02 71 .03 47 .01 34   1.73 41 2.65 37 3.73 41 4.95 43 6.33 44
Iowa 8-4   .01 62 .09 42 -.09 81 .01 45   1.46 59 2.31 61 3.40 64 4.69 59 6.08 56
Virginia Tech 9-4   .00 63 .09 43 -.10 89 .03 15   1.52 55 2.53 46 3.77 39 5.18 31 6.72 20
Air Force 7-5   .00 64 -.05 76 .05 37 -.02 98   1.41 62 2.32 60 3.45 58 4.73 52 6.10 54
Kentucky 6-6   .00 65 .08 46 -.09 85 .01 32   1.68 43 2.49 49 3.48 56 4.59 69 5.84 71
UTEP 5-7   -.01 66 -.09 86 .09 29 -.03 111   1.80 35 2.58 42 3.54 51 4.71 55 5.97 63
Rutgers 7-5   -.01 67 .02 62 -.04 70 .01 33   1.18 84 1.98 83 3.09 82 4.40 77 5.81 72
West Virginia 8-4   -.01 68 .19 10 -.18 106 .00 52   1.12 88 1.98 84 3.09 80 4.42 75 5.86 70
Mississippi State 3-8   -.01 69 .15 21 -.15 104 .03 9   1.38 65 2.21 70 3.24 74 4.39 78 5.61 79
Tennessee 5-7   -.02 70 .16 16 -.20 113 .02 24   1.61 49 2.41 54 3.45 57 4.66 63 5.96 65
Northwestern 8-4   -.02 71 .06 56 -.09 83 .01 48   1.37 67 2.24 67 3.38 65 4.66 62 6.04 57
Navy 7-5   -.03 72 .16 17 -.22 114 .01 37   1.24 79 2.13 78 3.22 75 4.52 71 5.97 64
South Florida 7-5   -.03 73 .05 57 -.11 92 .00 53   1.10 90 1.96 85 3.08 83 4.41 76 5.88 69
Notre Dame 7-6   -.03 74 -.06 78 -.01 58 .01 41   1.55 52 2.36 57 3.38 66 4.67 61 6.08 55
Louisville 4-7   -.04 75 -.01 67 -.06 77 .02 23   .98 96 1.72 97 2.72 96 3.90 94 5.19 93
 
Team W-L   OA Rk OOA Rk DOA Rk SOA Rk   EL Rk VGL Rk GL Rk AAL Rk AL Rk
Buffalo 8-6   -.04 76 -.04 74 -.03 66 .00 61   1.36 69 2.30 62 3.51 54 4.92 45 6.47 36
Tulane 2-10   -.04 77 -.14 93 .03 48 .00 50   1.51 56 2.29 65 3.30 72 4.49 72 5.77 73
Arizona 8-5   -.05 78 -.01 66 -.09 84 .00 68   1.63 47 2.48 51 3.49 55 4.63 66 5.91 67
Central Florida 3-8   -.05 79 -.12 90 .00 57 .00 57   1.08 92 1.83 91 2.77 94 3.90 93 5.18 96
UNLV 5-7   -.06 80 .02 63 -.13 94 -.03 107   1.34 73 2.08 79 3.11 79 4.30 82 5.59 81
UAB 3-8   -.06 81 -.01 69 -.10 90 -.03 114   .98 95 1.75 94 2.77 93 3.97 90 5.26 91
Miami (OH) 1-10   -.06 82 .03 61 -.14 100 -.02 100   .88 109 1.64 102 2.64 101 3.84 97 5.17 97
Houston 7-5   -.07 83 -.15 98 .02 52 -.01 80   1.24 80 2.02 80 3.05 85 4.29 83 5.63 78
Utah State 3-9   -.07 84 -.12 89 .02 53 -.01 73   1.42 60 2.19 71 3.18 77 4.30 81 5.49 84
San Diego State 2-9   -.07 85 -.01 70 -.13 95 -.02 91   1.36 70 2.16 76 3.14 78 4.22 84 5.37 88
Western Michigan 8-4   -.07 86 -.21 109 .05 39 -.02 101   1.16 85 1.91 87 2.93 86 4.11 86 5.44 86
Eastern Michigan 2-9   -.08 87 -.07 83 -.08 80 .00 64   .94 101 1.71 100 2.71 97 3.88 95 5.18 94
BYU 9-3   -.08 88 -.03 73 -.15 103 -.02 99   1.39 64 2.14 77 3.06 84 4.19 85 5.42 87
Southern Mississippi 7-6   -.09 89 -.07 81 -.14 98 .00 60   .95 99 1.72 95 2.80 89 4.09 87 5.54 83
East Carolina 9-5   -.10 90 -.15 97 -.01 62 -.01 72   1.09 91 2.01 81 3.25 73 4.70 58 6.33 43
 
Team W-L   OA Rk OOA Rk DOA Rk SOA Rk   EL Rk VGL Rk GL Rk AAL Rk AL Rk
Boise State 11-1   -.10 91 -.07 80 -.10 87 -.03 113   1.16 86 1.81 93 2.74 95 3.82 98 5.04 102
Ohio 3-8   -.10 92 -.11 88 -.07 78 -.01 84   .93 102 1.66 101 2.58 102 3.69 105 4.93 106
Central Michigan 7-5   -.10 93 -.15 96 -.05 74 -.02 102   .89 108 1.71 98 2.79 92 4.05 88 5.46 85
Rice 10-3   -.11 94 -.21 107 -.02 63 -.03 104   1.64 46 2.37 56 3.33 68 4.47 74 5.72 76
Nevada 6-6   -.11 95 -.17 101 -.04 72 .00 54   1.25 77 1.95 86 2.88 87 3.94 92 5.14 98
Akron 5-7   -.12 96 -.09 84 -.13 93 -.04 120   .73 117 1.50 110 2.54 104 3.78 101 5.18 95
Temple 5-7   -.12 97 -.20 106 -.03 69 -.03 106   1.13 87 1.85 89 2.79 90 3.95 91 5.27 90
Army 3-8   -.12 98 -.26 114 .03 50 -.03 109   .85 111 1.48 111 2.39 111 3.48 109 4.70 111
Toledo 3-9   -.13 99 -.26 113 -.02 65 -.02 93   .95 100 1.71 99 2.70 98 3.88 96 5.23 92
Memphis 5-7   -.14 100 -.09 85 -.19 108 -.02 89   .95 98 1.58 104 2.51 105 3.66 106 4.96 104
Hawaii 6-7   -.15 101 -.10 87 -.18 105 -.01 75   1.76 40 2.48 50 3.41 62 4.47 73 5.60 80
Bowling Green 6-6   -.16 102 -.16 99 -.15 102 -.04 119   1.00 94 1.72 96 2.66 100 3.78 100 5.06 100
Kent State 3-8   -.16 103 -.20 105 -.10 88 -.01 77   .79 113 1.46 113 2.37 113 3.48 110 4.73 110
New Mexico State 2-9   -.17 104 -.15 95 -.19 110 -.01 70   .92 104 1.52 109 2.39 112 3.40 113 4.57 113
North Texas 1-11   -.17 105 -.26 115 -.09 86 .00 67   .91 106 1.60 103 2.56 103 3.75 102 5.05 101
 
Team W-L   OA Rk OOA Rk DOA Rk SOA Rk   EL Rk VGL Rk GL Rk AAL Rk AL Rk
Northern Illinois 5-7   -.17 106 -.19 102 -.13 96 -.03 116   .78 114 1.47 112 2.41 109 3.55 107 4.88 107
Idaho 1-10   -.18 107 -.14 94 -.19 109 -.02 95   .82 112 1.44 114 2.32 114 3.36 114 4.54 114
Troy 7-5   -.18 108 -.23 110 -.14 99 .01 44   1.20 83 1.89 88 2.79 91 3.80 99 4.98 103
Tulsa 10-3   -.20 109 -.21 108 -.20 112 -.02 103   .87 110 1.55 108 2.51 106 3.71 104 5.08 99
Fresno State 7-6   -.20 110 -.16 100 -.23 115 -.03 112   1.07 93 1.82 92 2.81 88 3.99 89 5.31 89
Ball State 11-2   -.21 111 -.40 120 -.01 60 -.03 115   .69 118 1.33 118 2.26 115 3.46 111 4.86 108
Florida Atlantic 7-6   -.21 112 -.24 111 -.19 111 -.01 85   1.22 81 1.83 90 2.66 99 3.74 103 4.94 105
Western Kentucky 0-10   -.21 113 -.20 104 -.25 118 -.01 76   .96 97 1.57 106 2.39 110 3.33 115 4.34 116
San Jose State 5-6   -.21 114 -.35 118 -.09 82 -.01 83   .90 107 1.43 115 2.20 117 3.17 118 4.28 119
Louisiana Tech 7-5   -.22 115 -.13 92 -.28 119 -.04 117   .91 105 1.57 105 2.48 107 3.54 108 4.73 109
Louisiana Monroe 3-8   -.22 116 -.19 103 -.24 117 -.03 105   .74 116 1.37 116 2.22 116 3.20 116 4.33 117
Florida International 5-7   -.24 117 -.25 112 -.23 116 -.03 110   .92 103 1.55 107 2.42 108 3.44 112 4.66 112
Arkansas State 5-6   -.25 118 -.36 119 -.13 97 -.03 108   .78 115 1.37 117 2.19 118 3.17 119 4.32 118
Louisiana Lafayette 6-6   -.26 119 -.33 117 -.19 107 -.04 118   .66 119 1.22 119 2.10 119 3.19 117 4.45 115
Middle Tennessee 5-7   -.35 120 -.30 116 -.37 120 -.02 96   .35 120 .90 120 1.66 120 2.67 120 3.88 120