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SFP Ratings
Possession Success Rate

Strength of Schedule Ratings
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Strength of Schedule is represented in several ways, including the per-possession opponent adjustment (OA) used to produce each team's overall FEI rating, the per-possession offensive opponent adjustment (OOA) used to produce OFEI Offense ratings, the per-possession defensive opponent adjustment (DOA) used to produce DFEI Defense ratings, and the per-possession special teams opponent adjustment (SOA) used to produce SFEI Special Teams ratings. Remaining columns represent schedule strength as a function of the FEI ratings of each team's opponents and the location (home/away/neutral) of each game. EL ratings represent the average number of losses an elite team (two standard deviations better than aveage) would have against the schedule. VGL ratings represent the average number of losses a very good team (1.5 standard deviations better than average) would have against the schedule. GL ratings represent the average number of losses a good team (one standard deviation better than average) would have against the schedule. AAL ratings represent the average number of losses an above average team (0.5 standard deviations better than average) would have against the schedule. AL ratings represent the average number of losses an average team would have against the schedule.

Ratings and supporting data are calculated from the results of non-garbage possessions in FBS vs. FBS games.

 

 

2011 Strength of Schedule Ratings (final)

 

Team W-L   OA Rk OOA Rk DOA Rk SOA Rk   EL Rk VGL Rk GL Rk AAL Rk AL Rk
LSU 12-1   .34 1 .37 1 .30 4 .04 2   3.19 1 4.31 1 5.61 1 6.97 1 8.29 1
Kansas 1-10   .28 2 .12 27 .42 1 .01 31   2.28 14 3.36 13 4.60 9 5.92 11 7.21 14
Tennessee 4-7   .25 3 .32 4 .16 21 .02 10   2.57 5 3.50 7 4.54 13 5.67 21 6.78 28
Oregon 11-2   .22 4 .05 54 .35 2 .00 62   2.51 7 3.57 5 4.78 6 6.10 6 7.49 6
Mississippi 1-10   .22 5 .31 5 .13 24 .04 4   2.24 18 3.27 16 4.43 16 5.69 19 6.96 20
Kansas State 9-3   .21 6 .17 17 .24 8 .02 16   2.15 24 3.15 25 4.40 20 5.76 17 7.11 16
Oregon State 3-8   .20 7 .12 28 .29 5 .00 51   2.35 10 3.33 14 4.40 21 5.56 25 6.76 29
Iowa State 5-7   .20 8 .18 14 .20 14 .02 9   2.27 15 3.39 11 4.66 8 6.05 8 7.44 9
Florida 6-6   .20 9 .32 3 .06 42 .03 8   2.54 6 3.52 6 4.59 10 5.77 16 7.03 18
Georgia 9-4   .19 10 .25 6 .12 32 .04 3   2.34 11 3.42 9 4.72 7 6.16 5 7.58 4
Notre Dame 8-5   .19 11 .18 15 .19 16 .01 29   2.21 19 3.29 15 4.58 11 6.01 9 7.49 5
Michigan State 10-3   .19 12 .03 55 .35 3 .01 32   2.74 3 3.76 4 4.90 4 6.18 4 7.45 8
Auburn 7-5   .18 13 .23 8 .10 35 .03 7   2.77 2 3.79 3 4.91 3 6.09 7 7.29 12
Penn State 8-4   .17 14 .08 46 .27 6 .01 34   2.43 9 3.40 10 4.57 12 5.83 13 7.12 15
Oklahoma State 12-1   .17 15 .10 36 .20 15 .00 50   2.33 12 3.48 8 4.81 5 6.26 3 7.71 3
 
Team W-L   OA Rk OOA Rk DOA Rk SOA Rk   EL Rk VGL Rk GL Rk AAL Rk AL Rk
Minnesota 3-8   .17 16 .10 39 .22 10 .01 35   2.15 23 3.14 28 4.23 30 5.41 32 6.62 38
Alabama 11-1   .17 17 .34 2 -.02 69 .06 1   2.21 20 3.15 26 4.30 25 5.59 23 6.91 22
Nebraska 8-4   .16 18 .08 42 .22 11 .00 54   2.10 29 3.09 31 4.26 29 5.55 26 6.88 23
Missouri 7-5   .16 19 .12 31 .20 13 .00 49   2.08 32 3.14 27 4.36 23 5.69 20 7.02 19
Texas 8-5   .16 20 .13 25 .18 18 .02 26   2.09 30 3.17 24 4.44 15 5.85 12 7.30 11
Arizona 3-8   .16 21 .12 26 .18 19 .01 37   2.26 16 3.25 17 4.33 24 5.47 28 6.63 36
Texas A&M 7-6   .16 22 .14 22 .16 20 .02 19   2.09 31 3.17 23 4.41 18 5.83 14 7.31 10
Stanford 11-2   .15 23 .08 44 .22 9 .00 58   1.94 37 2.94 33 4.13 33 5.45 29 6.86 24
USC 10-2   .14 24 .10 38 .18 17 .00 57   1.88 38 2.79 38 3.86 40 5.06 42 6.33 43
UCLA 6-8   .14 25 .24 7 .05 47 -.01 82   2.70 4 3.84 2 5.16 2 6.60 2 8.11 2
Baylor 9-3   .13 26 .14 23 .12 30 .02 17   2.11 27 3.09 30 4.29 27 5.61 22 6.93 21
Kentucky 4-7   .13 27 .19 12 .05 43 .03 5   1.98 33 2.83 37 3.82 41 4.94 45 6.10 54
Washington 6-6   .12 28 -.02 68 .24 7 .00 64   2.14 25 3.09 29 4.21 31 5.45 30 6.72 31
Maryland 1-10   .11 29 .10 34 .14 23 .00 70   1.52 56 2.45 50 3.60 48 4.91 46 6.26 47
South Carolina 10-2   .11 30 .07 47 .13 26 .03 6   1.66 45 2.70 40 3.95 36 5.34 35 6.80 26
 
Team W-L   OA Rk OOA Rk DOA Rk SOA Rk   EL Rk VGL Rk GL Rk AAL Rk AL Rk
Ohio State 6-7   .11 31 .09 41 .12 31 .02 12   2.20 21 3.21 19 4.37 22 5.71 18 7.05 17
Vanderbilt 5-7   .11 32 .21 10 .00 57 .02 18   2.24 17 3.18 22 4.30 26 5.57 24 6.83 25
Arkansas 10-2   .11 33 .16 19 .06 39 .02 22   2.49 8 3.38 12 4.41 19 5.54 27 6.66 35
California 6-6   .11 34 .09 40 .13 27 -.01 75   2.11 28 3.03 32 4.15 32 5.39 33 6.68 34
Oklahoma 10-3   .11 35 -.01 63 .20 12 .02 15   2.16 22 3.21 20 4.52 14 5.99 10 7.46 7
Arizona State 5-7   .10 36 .15 21 .05 46 -.01 87   1.97 34 2.93 34 4.07 34 5.35 34 6.69 33
Texas Tech 4-7   .10 37 .06 52 .13 25 -.01 93   1.97 35 2.90 35 3.99 35 5.15 40 6.29 46
Iowa 6-6   .08 38 .17 16 -.01 61 .02 20   1.55 53 2.49 48 3.64 47 4.96 44 6.34 42
Michigan 11-2   .08 39 .14 24 .03 49 .02 21   1.52 55 2.49 49 3.73 42 5.18 38 6.71 32
West Virginia 9-3   .08 40 .22 9 -.05 77 .02 23   1.43 60 2.37 53 3.50 52 4.80 50 6.19 48
Mississippi State 6-6   .08 41 .12 30 .02 53 .02 13   2.31 13 3.22 18 4.27 28 5.42 31 6.63 37
Indiana 0-11   .06 42 .15 20 -.05 76 .01 44   1.59 51 2.43 51 3.46 55 4.61 61 5.85 64
Pittsburgh 5-7   .06 43 .17 18 -.04 74 .01 41   1.41 62 2.35 57 3.52 50 4.88 47 6.32 44
Wisconsin 10-3   .06 44 .18 13 -.08 82 .02 11   1.84 40 2.78 39 3.90 38 5.19 37 6.56 39
South Florida 4-7   .06 45 .06 50 .06 38 .02 14   1.30 76 2.12 74 3.19 70 4.42 68 5.75 66
 
Team W-L   OA Rk OOA Rk DOA Rk SOA Rk   EL Rk VGL Rk GL Rk AAL Rk AL Rk
Boston College 3-8   .06 46 -.02 65 .15 22 .00 68   1.38 66 2.27 64 3.37 62 4.62 60 5.93 61
Colorado 3-10   .05 47 .03 56 .06 40 .00 67   2.13 26 3.20 21 4.43 17 5.82 15 7.28 13
North Carolina 6-6   .04 48 .00 62 .10 34 -.01 91   1.32 72 2.27 63 3.45 56 4.84 48 6.31 45
Illinois 6-6   .04 49 -.05 70 .12 28 .01 27   1.45 58 2.35 56 3.48 53 4.75 52 6.14 51
Florida State 8-4   .04 50 .06 51 .03 50 .00 69   1.32 73 2.24 68 3.40 57 4.72 55 6.12 52
Tulsa 8-5   .04 51 .01 59 .06 41 .01 33   1.95 36 2.87 36 3.94 37 5.17 39 6.50 40
Syracuse 4-7   .04 52 .10 35 -.02 68 .00 47   1.41 61 2.30 59 3.34 63 4.58 62 5.91 62
Connecticut 4-7   .03 53 .05 53 .02 55 .00 52   1.19 85 2.05 81 3.13 75 4.35 71 5.66 71
Clemson 9-4   .03 54 .01 58 .05 45 -.02 100   1.64 48 2.63 42 3.87 39 5.30 36 6.79 27
Duke 3-8   .02 55 .07 49 .00 59 -.01 88   1.40 63 2.28 62 3.30 66 4.46 66 5.74 67
Virginia Tech 10-3   .02 56 -.02 67 .10 36 -.02 98   1.39 65 2.41 52 3.67 44 5.12 41 6.72 30
Louisville 6-6   .02 57 .20 11 -.15 98 .00 65   1.26 79 2.21 70 3.38 60 4.73 54 6.19 49
Wake Forest 5-7   .02 58 .10 37 -.02 66 -.01 80   1.24 81 2.15 71 3.31 65 4.68 58 6.16 50
Rutgers 8-4   .01 59 .01 60 .02 52 -.01 79   1.06 95 1.93 88 3.06 78 4.40 70 5.89 63
Miami 5-6   .01 60 .08 45 -.03 70 -.01 81   1.18 86 1.97 85 3.03 83 4.26 78 5.56 73
 
Team W-L   OA Rk OOA Rk DOA Rk SOA Rk   EL Rk VGL Rk GL Rk AAL Rk AL Rk
Washington State 3-8   .01 61 .07 48 -.05 78 .00 72   1.68 43 2.51 47 3.47 54 4.54 64 5.70 70
Purdue 6-6   .00 62 .01 57 -.01 62 .01 40   1.85 39 2.66 41 3.66 45 4.83 49 6.09 55
Cincinnati 9-3   .00 63 .11 32 -.12 90 -.01 76   1.31 75 2.25 66 3.38 61 4.70 56 6.08 56
Navy 4-7   -.01 64 .08 43 -.09 87 -.01 94   1.34 71 2.14 73 3.14 73 4.29 74 5.53 78
Toledo 8-4   -.01 65 -.13 91 .11 33 .01 39   1.21 84 2.07 80 3.18 71 4.46 67 5.84 65
Northwestern 5-7   -.01 66 .12 29 -.15 97 .00 61   1.48 57 2.29 60 3.39 58 4.67 59 6.00 57
Utah 7-5   -.02 67 -.12 90 .09 37 -.01 92   1.36 68 2.26 65 3.38 59 4.69 57 6.11 53
Marshall 7-6   -.02 68 -.06 72 -.02 65 .02 24   1.66 44 2.59 45 3.71 43 5.03 43 6.47 41
Army 2-9   -.03 69 -.15 101 .12 29 -.02 97   1.22 83 2.07 79 3.09 76 4.27 77 5.56 75
Kent State 4-7   -.03 70 -.04 69 -.02 67 .00 59   1.56 52 2.23 69 3.09 77 4.08 88 5.15 95
SMU 7-5   -.04 71 -.11 85 .02 56 .00 45   1.79 42 2.63 43 3.64 46 4.75 53 5.94 59
Louisiana Tech 7-5   -.05 72 -.07 76 -.04 73 .00 55   1.36 69 2.10 76 3.17 72 4.41 69 5.71 69
BYU 9-3   -.05 73 .11 33 -.19 102 .02 25   1.09 92 1.81 92 2.76 93 3.93 91 5.22 93
Rice 4-8   -.05 74 -.11 86 .02 54 -.01 83   1.65 46 2.53 46 3.59 49 4.75 51 5.99 58
UNLV 2-9   -.05 75 -.14 97 .05 44 -.03 115   1.84 41 2.61 44 3.52 51 4.52 65 5.56 74
 
Team W-L   OA Rk OOA Rk DOA Rk SOA Rk   EL Rk VGL Rk GL Rk AAL Rk AL Rk
TCU 10-2   -.06 76 -.11 87 .00 60 -.03 114   1.35 70 2.14 72 3.05 80 4.11 86 5.30 87
Ball State 6-6   -.07 77 -.18 104 .05 48 -.01 73   1.30 78 2.03 82 3.00 85 4.21 80 5.54 77
Boise State 12-1   -.07 78 -.11 84 -.01 63 -.02 107   1.40 64 2.24 67 3.32 64 4.57 63 5.93 60
Fresno State 3-9   -.07 79 -.02 66 -.12 92 .00 63   1.24 82 2.00 84 3.06 79 4.31 73 5.65 72
North Carolina State 6-5   -.07 80 -.11 83 -.02 64 -.02 108   1.05 98 1.80 93 2.78 92 3.97 89 5.29 88
Bowling Green 4-7   -.07 81 -.07 74 -.08 85 .00 48   .98 104 1.70 101 2.70 97 3.86 95 5.16 94
Georgia Tech 7-5   -.08 82 .00 61 -.12 91 -.03 116   1.08 93 1.84 91 2.84 90 4.09 87 5.48 80
Air Force 5-6   -.08 83 -.14 96 .02 51 -.02 105   1.45 59 2.09 77 2.89 88 3.81 99 4.79 107
Idaho 1-10   -.08 84 -.08 79 -.09 86 -.02 110   1.01 102 1.72 100 2.70 96 3.85 96 5.10 96
Southern Mississippi 11-2   -.09 85 -.15 98 -.03 71 -.02 103   1.15 88 1.97 86 3.03 82 4.28 75 5.72 68
East Carolina 5-7   -.09 86 -.13 92 -.04 75 -.02 109   1.32 74 2.12 75 3.04 81 4.13 84 5.40 82
UTEP 4-7   -.09 87 -.10 81 -.10 88 -.01 96   1.04 100 1.73 98 2.62 99 3.73 100 4.96 100
New Mexico 1-10   -.10 88 -.20 109 .00 58 -.01 86   1.60 49 2.36 54 3.23 69 4.23 79 5.30 86
Virginia 7-5   -.11 89 -.12 89 -.06 81 -.01 84   1.10 91 1.86 90 2.90 87 4.16 82 5.55 76
North Texas 5-7   -.11 90 -.14 95 -.06 80 -.02 113   1.59 50 2.28 61 3.14 74 4.18 81 5.36 84
 
Team W-L   OA Rk OOA Rk DOA Rk SOA Rk   EL Rk VGL Rk GL Rk AAL Rk AL Rk
San Jose State 5-7   -.11 91 -.18 105 -.03 72 -.02 111   1.37 67 2.07 78 3.00 84 4.16 83 5.45 81
Wyoming 6-5   -.12 92 -.16 102 -.08 83 -.01 85   1.54 54 2.31 58 3.23 68 4.27 76 5.37 83
Akron 0-11   -.13 93 -.05 71 -.21 107 .01 36   .85 110 1.53 109 2.46 108 3.61 105 4.87 104
Houston 12-1   -.13 94 -.01 64 -.25 113 .00 56   .83 111 1.55 108 2.55 102 3.82 98 5.25 90
Buffalo 2-9   -.13 95 -.12 88 -.14 96 .01 28   .86 109 1.60 107 2.53 105 3.62 104 4.81 106
Central Michigan 2-9   -.13 96 -.08 80 -.16 99 .00 53   .95 106 1.67 103 2.60 100 3.68 102 4.93 102
Nevada 7-6   -.14 97 -.15 100 -.13 95 -.01 74   1.65 47 2.36 55 3.25 67 4.31 72 5.48 79
UAB 3-9   -.14 98 -.08 78 -.21 108 -.01 78   1.17 87 1.91 89 2.85 89 3.97 90 5.24 91
Miami (OH) 4-8   -.14 99 -.11 82 -.19 103 .01 30   1.07 94 1.78 94 2.72 95 3.86 94 5.09 97
Central Florida 4-7   -.14 100 -.08 77 -.22 110 .01 43   .91 108 1.53 110 2.42 110 3.48 109 4.66 109
San Diego State 7-5   -.14 101 -.23 112 -.05 79 -.04 118   1.30 77 1.94 87 2.83 91 3.84 97 4.95 101
Louisiana Monroe 3-8   -.15 102 -.07 75 -.21 109 .01 42   .99 103 1.63 105 2.49 107 3.53 107 4.69 108
Western Michigan 6-6   -.15 103 -.14 94 -.20 104 .00 46   1.25 80 2.01 83 2.97 86 4.11 85 5.33 85
Louisiana Lafayette 8-4   -.16 104 -.07 73 -.24 111 -.02 99   1.05 96 1.69 102 2.52 106 3.58 106 4.83 105
Northern Illinois 10-3   -.17 105 -.26 116 -.08 84 .00 71   1.14 90 1.74 95 2.70 98 3.88 93 5.22 92
 
Team W-L   OA Rk OOA Rk DOA Rk SOA Rk   EL Rk VGL Rk GL Rk AAL Rk AL Rk
Eastern Michigan 4-6   -.17 106 -.19 107 -.18 100 .00 66   1.14 89 1.74 96 2.53 104 3.46 110 4.42 114
Western Kentucky 7-4   -.18 107 -.16 103 -.19 101 -.02 106   .97 105 1.52 111 2.27 113 3.24 114 4.37 116
Colorado State 2-9   -.20 108 -.24 115 -.13 93 -.04 119   1.05 97 1.63 104 2.44 109 3.37 112 4.42 113
New Mexico State 4-9   -.20 109 -.20 110 -.20 105 -.01 89   1.01 101 1.74 97 2.72 94 3.92 92 5.26 89
Troy 3-9   -.20 110 -.28 117 -.13 94 -.01 77   1.04 99 1.72 99 2.59 101 3.68 101 4.96 99
Florida Atlantic 1-11   -.20 111 -.20 111 -.20 106 .01 38   .94 107 1.63 106 2.55 103 3.68 103 4.97 98
Tulane 1-11   -.22 112 -.35 120 -.10 89 -.02 104   .75 113 1.38 112 2.30 112 3.39 111 4.64 110
Utah State 6-6   -.23 113 -.18 106 -.29 116 .00 60   .63 117 1.22 118 2.12 114 3.25 113 4.58 111
Temple 8-4   -.24 114 -.14 93 -.32 119 -.02 102   .48 120 1.03 120 1.82 120 2.86 120 4.11 120
Arkansas State 9-3   -.24 115 -.19 108 -.27 114 -.03 117   .76 112 1.32 114 2.12 115 3.17 116 4.38 115
Ohio 9-4   -.24 116 -.24 114 -.24 112 -.01 95   .71 115 1.34 113 2.32 111 3.51 108 4.90 103
Memphis 1-10   -.24 117 -.15 99 -.34 120 -.01 90   .70 116 1.28 115 2.06 117 3.09 117 4.29 118
Middle Tennessee 2-10   -.26 118 -.23 113 -.27 115 -.02 101   .61 118 1.23 117 2.11 116 3.19 115 4.47 112
Hawaii 5-7   -.29 119 -.28 118 -.30 117 -.04 120   .74 114 1.26 116 2.04 118 3.07 118 4.30 117
Florida International 8-5   -.31 120 -.28 119 -.32 118 -.02 112   .57 119 1.09 119 1.88 119 2.94 119 4.25 119